Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is expected to improve with the return of funds after the National Day holiday and rising policy expectations for the "14th Five-Year Plan" from the upcoming Fourth Plenary Session [1][3] - The A-share market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.30% and the CSI 300 Index down 0.44%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index rose by 1.14% and 2.34% respectively [1] - The trading volume increased, with an average daily turnover of approximately 2.52 trillion yuan, peaking at 3.17 trillion yuan on Thursday before dropping to 2.35 trillion yuan on Friday [1] Group 2 - The convertible bond market is experiencing a downward adjustment, with the China Convertible Bond Index down 1.55% and the convertible bond equal-weight index down 1.29% [2] - The median price of convertible bonds fell from 132.30 yuan to 129.51 yuan, and the median conversion premium rate shrank to 23.77% [2] - The market is expected to remain in a volatile state for the remainder of September, with potential risk aversion as the National Day holiday approaches [2] Group 3 - In October, the convertible bond market is anticipated to receive support and repair opportunities, with a focus on stocks with solid fundamentals and compressed conversion premiums, particularly in technology growth and cyclical sectors [3] - The market's overall tight supply-demand balance is likely to continue supporting convertible bond valuations [3]

Market Dynamics - The bond market is experiencing intense competition for pricing power, particularly with the 10-year government bond rate fluctuating between 1.75% and 1.80%[1] - Major banks have net purchased 9.3 billion CNY of 7-10 year government bonds since September, reversing an 8-month trend of net selling[2] - The overall bond fund size reached approximately 11.15 trillion CNY by mid-2025, with institutional investors holding about 8.99 trillion CNY[3] Central Bank Actions - There is uncertainty regarding whether the central bank will restart bond purchases, as recent buying behavior may not indicate a policy shift but rather internal bank strategies[2] - The central bank's recent operations, including a reform of the 14-day reverse repurchase agreement, aim to stabilize liquidity across quarters and holidays[4] Redemption Fees and Market Sentiment - The punitive redemption fee rates for bond funds may lead to capital outflows if not optimized, potentially increasing pressure on bond yields[3] - The market sentiment remains cautious, with bearish forces slightly dominating, necessitating a defensive strategy while awaiting clearer signals from the central bank[5] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected adjustments in monetary policy, liquidity changes, and fiscal policy shifts that could impact market stability[7]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The macro - economic growth is slowing down, with drags from the real estate sector, weakening consumption support, and declining investment growth. However, policy - side counter - cyclical adjustments have been implemented, and the stock market remains strong while the commodity market is volatile. Overseas, the Fed has started a "preventive降息周期" [2]. - For the RMB exchange rate, the upward risk of the US dollar may be higher than the downward risk. The exchange rate may oscillate around 7.10 in the short - term, and policy signals from the RMB central parity rate should be focused on [4]. - The stock index is expected to be volatile in the short - term due to the multi - empty game and the approaching holidays [6]. - Treasury bonds should focus on central bank dynamics. There may be opportunities for long - side intervention on dips [7]. - Precious metals are expected to run strongly as the Fed's monetary policy is in a loose cycle, and gold price will continue to rise [10]. - Copper prices may oscillate strongly around 80,000 yuan per ton due to tight supply in the short - term and stable demand [15]. - Aluminum is expected to oscillate strongly, alumina may run weakly, and cast aluminum alloy is expected to oscillate strongly [17]. - Zinc is expected to maintain a short - term oscillatory pattern and is recommended to be under - weighted [20]. - Nickel and stainless steel are mainly affected by the macro - level, and the fundamentals provide no clear guidance [21]. - Tin prices may oscillate around 274,000 yuan per ton, with short - term supply remaining tight [23]. - Carbonate lithium prices are expected to oscillate between 72,000 - 76,000 yuan per ton before the National Day holiday [25]. - Industrial silicon prices may rise slightly during the dry season but are restricted by inventory. Polysilicon trading is complex, and high volatility requires cautious participation [28]. - Lead prices are expected to be cautiously bullish as the supply - demand contradiction lies in raw materials [29]. - Steel prices are expected to oscillate before the holiday, with limited upward and downward space [30]. - Iron ore prices are expected to oscillate, with support from replenishment and high molten iron production but limited upward space due to demand and high shipments [34]. - Coking coal and coke prices are supported by pre - holiday replenishment, but the rebound height is restricted by high steel inventory [35]. - Ferrosilicon and ferromanganese are supported by cost and term structure improvement, and trial long - positions are recommended [38]. - Crude oil is under fundamental pressure, and the medium - term trend is bearish, although geopolitical risks may cause short - term rebounds [40]. - LPG is expected to oscillate weakly as the overall driving force weakens [44]. - PTA - PX needs macro - level drivers to break through, and the polyester peak season is not highly expected [48]. - MEG is expected to oscillate between 4200 - 4400 yuan, and short - term downward space is limited [51]. - Methanol is recommended to reduce long - positions and hold short - put options [54]. - PP's downward space is limited, and attention should be paid to device changes and opportunities for long - positions on dips [57]. - PE is expected to maintain an oscillatory pattern as the real - world situation is weak but the valuation is low [60]. - PVC is recommended to be observed temporarily due to the coexistence of weak fundamentals and macro - level expectations [62]. - Pure benzene is facing increasing surplus pressure, and its price is expected to be weakly volatile. Styrene is expected to oscillate, and the spread between pure benzene and styrene can be considered to be widened [64][66]. - Fuel oil's cracking is stabilizing, and short - term short - selling is not recommended. Low - sulfur fuel oil's cracking is weakening, and the short - term situation remains weak [67][69]. - Asphalt is expected to oscillate weakly, with the possibility of a last - chance rise in the futures market during the demand peak season [71]. - Urea is expected to oscillate between 1650 - 1850 yuan in the 01 contract, with support and suppression coexisting [73]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - **Market Information**: There were various events such as the China - US presidential phone call, policy announcements in China (e.g., Shanghai's property tax adjustment), and overseas events like the Fed's interest - rate decision, Japan's central bank actions, and geopolitical events [1]. - **Core Logic**: The macro - economy shows a complex situation with slowing growth and policy counter - cyclical adjustments. The stock and commodity markets are affected differently, and overseas, the Fed's policy path depends on employment and inflation [2]. 3.2 RMB Exchange Rate - **Market Performance**: The on - shore RMB against the US dollar declined on Friday, with the central parity rate also being adjusted downwards [3]. - **Core Logic**: The Fed faces challenges in formulating monetary policy. The US dollar index may mainly trade based on the current situation, and the RMB exchange rate may oscillate around 7.10, with policy signals from the central parity rate being crucial [4]. 3.3 Stock Index - **Market Review**: The stock index was volatile with reduced trading volume last Friday, and the trading enthusiasm declined but sentiment improved [6]. - **Core Logic**: The market is in a multi - empty game. With the approaching holidays, the market is expected to be volatile in the short - term [6]. 3.4 Treasury Bonds - **Market Review**: Treasury bonds rebounded last week but dropped significantly on Friday, and the money market was tight due to tax payments [7]. - **Core Logic**: The economic data in August showed downward pressure, but the market paid little attention. The bond market was less affected by the stock market. The market lacks a clear right - side signal, and attention should be paid to central bank dynamics [7]. 3.5 Precious Metals (Gold & Silver) - **Market Performance**: London spot gold and silver continued to rise last week, with short - term adjustments after the Fed's interest - rate cut but strong rebounds on Friday [10]. - **Core Logic**: The Fed is in a monetary policy easing cycle, and gold prices will continue to rise. Attention should be paid to the Fed's policy expectations and relevant economic data [10]. 3.6 Copper - **Market Performance**: The main futures contract of Shanghai copper declined during the week, and inventories changed differently in different markets [13]. - **Core Logic**: The decline in copper prices was due to the Fed's interest - rate cut and Powell's speech. In the future, copper prices may oscillate strongly around 80,000 yuan per ton due to tight supply and stable demand [15]. 3.7 Aluminum Industry Chain - **Market Performance**: The prices of aluminum, alumina, and cast aluminum alloy showed different trends, and relevant trading volumes and positions also changed [16]. - **Core Logic**: For aluminum, after the interest - rate cut, the focus may shift to fundamentals, and prices may oscillate strongly. Alumina is in a state of supply surplus and may have a weak price trend. Cast aluminum alloy is supported by cost and may oscillate strongly [17]. 3.8 Zinc - **Market Performance**: The main contract of Shanghai zinc oscillated slightly, and trading volume and positions changed [19]. - **Core Logic**: The zinc market is affected by the Fed's interest - rate cut and supply - demand fundamentals. Supply is in surplus, and demand is average. It is recommended to maintain an under - weighted position [20]. 3.9 Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Market Performance**: The prices of nickel and stainless steel declined, and relevant spot prices and inventories also changed [20]. - **Core Logic**: They are mainly affected by the macro - level, with limited fundamental adjustments. The future trend needs further observation [21]. 3.10 Tin - **Market Performance**: The main futures contract of Shanghai tin declined slightly during the week, and inventories increased [22]. - **Core Logic**: The decline was due to the Fed's interest - rate cut and Powell's speech. In the short - term, supply is tight, and prices may oscillate around 274,000 yuan per ton [23]. 3.11 Carbonate Lithium - **Market Performance**: The weighted index contract of carbonate lithium rose last week, with changes in trading volume, positions, and warehouse receipts [24]. - **Core Logic**: The lithium - battery industry chain performed well last week. With the expected increase in downstream demand, carbonate lithium prices may oscillate before the National Day [24][25]. 3.12 Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market Performance**: The weighted futures contracts of industrial silicon and polysilicon showed different trends, with changes in trading volume, positions, and warehouse receipts [26]. - **Core Logic**: Industrial silicon prices may rise slightly during the dry season but are restricted by inventory. Polysilicon trading is complex, and high volatility requires cautious participation [28]. 3.13 Lead - **Market Performance**: The main contract of Shanghai lead oscillated at a high level, and trading volume and positions changed [29]. - **Core Logic**: The Fed's interest - rate cut has little impact on lead prices. The supply - demand fundamentals are stable, and prices may rise cautiously [29]. 3.14 Black Metals 3.14.1 Steel (Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil) - **Market Performance**: Steel prices were strong, and there were price adjustments in billets [30]. - **Core Logic**: The supply of steel decreased, and demand improved slightly, but inventory was still at a high level. Before the holiday, steel prices are expected to oscillate with limited space [30]. 3.14.2 Iron Ore - **Core Logic**: After the Fed's interest - rate cut, the market may return to fundamental trading. Supply is abundant, demand is strong, and inventory is transferring from ports to steel mills. Prices are expected to oscillate [32][33]. 3.14.3 Coking Coal and Coke - **Market Information**: There were relevant geopolitical and policy - related events. - **Core Logic**: Downstream pre - holiday replenishment has started, and the market's sentiment is improving. However, high steel inventory restricts the rebound height of coking coal and coke prices [35]. 3.14.4 Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese - **Market Performance**: The prices of ferrosilicon and ferromanganese rose, and positions decreased [37]. - **Core Logic**: They are supported by cost and term - structure improvement. The long - term logic is related to the anti - involution expectation, and trial long - positions are recommended [38]. 3.15 Energy and Chemicals 3.15.1 Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: International oil prices weakened, with declines in both WTI and Brent crude [40]. - **Core Logic**: The core contradiction is between fundamental pressure and geopolitical support. Fundamentals are bearish in the medium - term, while geopolitical events may cause short - term rebounds [40]. 3.15.2 LPG - **Market Performance**: LPG prices declined, and relevant spot prices also changed [42]. - **Core Logic**: The overall driving force is weakening, with supply increasing slightly and demand changing little [44]. 3.15.3 PTA - PX - **Market Performance**: The prices of PX and PTA were affected by supply, demand, and inventory factors [45]. - **Core Logic**: The polyester peak season is not highly expected, and macro - level drivers are needed for a breakthrough [48]. 3.15.4 MEG - Bottle Chip - **Market Performance**: The inventory of MEG increased, and the prices were affected by supply, demand, and cost factors [49]. - **Core Logic**: MEG is under pressure from inventory expectations but has limited downward space. It is expected to oscillate between 4200 - 4400 yuan [51]. 3.15.5 Methanol - **Market Performance**: The price of methanol changed, and the inventory situation was different in different regions [53]. - **Core Logic**: The main contradiction lies in the port, and it is recommended to reduce long - positions and hold short - put options [54]. 3.15.6 PP - **Market Performance**: The price of PP declined, and its supply, demand, and inventory changed [55]. - **Core Logic**: The downstream demand recovery is less than expected, but the profit compression may trigger device shutdowns and a potential rebound [57]. 3.15.7 PE - **Market Performance**: The price of PE declined, and its supply, demand, and inventory changed [58]. - **Core Logic**: The real - world situation is weak, but the low valuation limits the downward space, and an oscillatory pattern is expected [60]. 3.15.8 PVC - **Market Performance**: PVC prices were at a low level, and its supply, demand, and inventory changed [61]. - **Core Logic**: The industry has weak fundamentals, but macro - level expectations make short - selling less attractive. It is recommended to observe temporarily [62]. 3.15.9 Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market Performance**: The prices of pure benzene and styrene declined, and their inventory situations changed [63][65]. - **Core Logic**: Pure benzene faces increasing surplus pressure, and styrene may oscillate. The spread between them can be considered to be widened [64][66]. 3.15.10 Fuel Oil - **Market Performance**: The prices of fuel oil and low - sulfur fuel oil changed, and their supply, demand, and inventory situations were different [67][68]. - **Core Logic**: Fuel oil's cracking is stabilizing, and short - term short - selling is not recommended. Low - sulfur fuel oil's cracking is weakening, and the short - term situation remains weak [67][69]. 3.15.11 Asphalt - **Market Performance**: The price of asphalt declined, and its supply, demand, and inventory changed [70]. - **Core Logic**: Asphalt is expected to oscillate weakly, with the possibility of a last - chance rise in the futures market during the demand peak season [71]. 3.15.12 Urea - **Market Performance**: The price of urea declined, and its inventory situation changed [72]. - **Core Logic**: Urea is expected to oscillate between 1650 - 1850 yuan in the 01 contract, with support and suppression coexisting [73].

【导读】马晓燕接任英大证券董事长 中国基金报记者 含章 英大证券迎来重大人事变动！ 近日，马晓燕接任英大证券董事长。原董事长段光明卸任，结束 3 年任期。从履历来看，二 者均是国网体系内的 " 老将 " 。 马晓燕接任英大证券董事长 天眼查信息显示，马晓燕已出任英大证券董事长一职，且已担任英大证券法定代表人。英大 证券原董事长段光明已于 9 月 16 日卸任。 | 序号 | | 姓名 | 明多 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 马晓燕 | | 董事长 | | | 法定代表人 受益所有人▸ | | | 图片来源：天眼查 公开信息显示，马晓燕，历任国家电网公司金融资产管理部（国网资产管理有限公司）财务 资产处处长，国网英大国际控股集团有限公司总会计师、党委委员，国网英大国际控股集团 有限公司董事、副总经理、党委委员兼英大基金管理有限公司董事长、党总支书记，国网英 大国际控股集团有限公司党委委员，国网英大董事、总经理、党委副书记，英大长安保险经 纪有限公司职工董事、总经理、党委副书记等职。现任英大证券党委书记、董事长。 原董事长段光明的任期始于 2022 年 8 月，至今已有 3 年时 ...

Group 1 - Suzhou Longjie (603332) has submitted an application for a specific stock issuance, which has been accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] - The issuance is expected to raise funds amounting to 100 million yuan [1] - The sponsoring institution for this issuance is Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. [1]

Group 1 - Ant Group's chairman Han Xinyi clarified that the company will not issue virtual currency but emphasized that token economy needs to be rooted in the real economy [1] - As of September 22, 2023, the leading securities ETF (159993.SZ) rose by 0.46%, while its related index (399437.SZ) increased by 0.65% [1] - Among major constituent stocks, CITIC Securities rose by 1.52%, China Galaxy by 1.26%, East Money by 1.13%, and Huatai Securities by 0.82% [1] Group 2 - Galaxy Securities noted that industry profits are concentrating among leading brokerages, with the net profit CR5 reaching 45.88% in H1 2025, an increase of 6.81 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Leading brokerages are expanding competitive advantages through diversified operations and establishing barriers in derivatives and cross-border businesses [1] - According to招商证券, the self-operated income of the securities industry is expected to grow by 50% year-on-year in H1 2025, with self-operated yield increasing by 1.6 percentage points to 5.04% [1] - Leading firms like CITIC Securities and CICC are maintaining a competitive edge in international business, reflecting a trend of increasing industry concentration and improved profitability [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to experience fluctuations, with the brokerage sector showing slight gains and a notable increase in trading activity for the 300 billion yuan brokerage ETF (512000) [1][5] - The brokerage ETF (512000) has reached a new scale of over 34 billion yuan, marking a historical high, with an average daily trading volume of 9.57 billion yuan this year [5] - The ETF tracks the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index, encompassing 49 listed brokerage stocks, with nearly 60% of its holdings concentrated in the top ten leading brokerages [5] Group 2 - Recent data indicates a significant increase in non-bank deposits, attracting market attention, with a total reduction of 480.1 billion yuan in excess term deposits from June to August 2025 [3] - The brokerage sector is expected to benefit from a low-interest-rate environment, with continued inflows of institutional and retail funds into the market [3] - The brokerage ETF (512000) has seen a net inflow for 17 consecutive trading days, totaling 6.472 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest [3]

近日，马晓燕接任英大证券董事长。原董事长段光明卸任，结束3年任期。从履历来看，二者均是国网体系内的"老将"。 马晓燕接任英大证券董事长 天眼查信息显示，马晓燕已出任英大证券董事长一职，且已担任英大证券法定代表人。英大证券原董事长段光明已于9月16日卸任。 【导读】马晓燕接任英大证券董事长 英大证券迎来重大人事变动！ 图片来源：天眼查 成功发行14亿元短期融资券 9月10日，英大证券首次大规模短期融资券发行工作顺利完成，发行金额为14亿元，期限为355天，票面利率为1.9%，创"央企同规模券商发行金额最 大""公司单笔融资金额最高"两项纪录。 官网信息显示，英大证券成立于1996年，是国家电网有限公司旗下的全牌照综合性证券公司，总部位于深圳市，注册资本为43.36亿元。公司的前身是蔚 深证券，2006年由国家电网公司实施全面重组，更名为英大证券。国家电网公司通过上市公司国网英大股份有限公司持有公司100%股权。 截至2024年12月31日，英大证券拥有2家子公司（英大期货有限公司与英大证券投资有限公司）、1家孙公司、14家分公司、17家证券营业部。 英大证券近年来高管变更频繁，公司总经理、首席风险官等多个关键岗 ...

- The report does not contain any specific quantitative models or factors for analysis[1][2][3] - The report primarily focuses on market trends, style performance, valuation metrics, and fund flows without detailing quantitative models or factor construction[4][5][6] - Key metrics such as PE_TTM, ERP, and fund issuance are discussed, but these are general market indicators rather than specific quantitative factors or models[10][11][12]

The 申斤宏源证券 SHENWAN HONGYUAN SECURITIES 解锁科创板新地图 "科创成长层"开通攻略在此! 科创成长层从哪儿来? 若您已开通科创板交易权限且风险承受能力测评结果为C4 (积极型) (含)以上,在签署科创成长层风险揭示书后方可 交易2025年7月13日新规发布后新上市的科创成长层股票或存 托凭证,若未签署仅可以交易2025年7月13日新规发布前已上 士かっつけた旦十月にはないというのであげたけど、 中的32多仔重木盆村的科则以下层反宗以仔托元此。 参与路径 申财有道APP/大赢家APP 首页 科创成长层 业务开通 业务办理 以申财有道为例: 业务办理首页 科创成长层 科创成长层 I 热门业务 账户管理 密码服务 权限开通 理财 相关协议 l 材别成长层 I 科创成长层是科创板内为未盈利科技型企业设 I 立的专门层次,旨在增强对前景广阔科技型企 科创板上海证券交易所科创板科创成长层企 业的包容性。符合条件的投资者可以要托证券 I 业股票投资风险揭示书 公司参与科创成长居股票或存托凭证交易, 权圆开通 (2 沪深ETF申赎业务 目 创新企业股票或存托 本人(本机构)已仔细阅读并接受 ...