Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - From March 23rd to March 27th, 2026, the equity market fluctuated downward overall. The A - share market and the Hong Kong stock market both declined, while the convertible bond market recovered, the bond market was strong, and the commodity futures performance was differentiated [5][10][11]. - The equity market's weekly trend was first down and then up. The initial decline was due to the escalation of the US - Iran conflict and the Fed's hawkish stance, and the subsequent rise was driven by Trump's signal of easing and indirect negotiations between the US and Iran [14]. - The convertible bond market went up this week, but the trading activity decreased significantly, and it may still be affected by the US - Iran conflict in the short term [18]. - The bond market yield mainly declined this week. The initial pressure was due to inflation concerns caused by high oil prices, and the subsequent decline in inflation expectations was affected by the easing of the US - Israel - Iran situation, but the rebound of risk assets restricted the decline of interest rates. The liquidity was stable near the end - of - quarter point [22]. - The South China Commodity Index showed a differentiated performance this week, with precious metals leading the decline and metals strengthening. Gold prices continued to fluctuate downward, and the short - term trend may still be volatile [32][33]. Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. This Week's Performance of Major Asset Classes - The equity market fluctuated downward. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.1%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.76%, the ChiNext Index fell 1.68%, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index fell 1.41%, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.29%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 1.94%. The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 10.49 trillion yuan [5][10][13]. - The convertible bond market recovered. The China Securities Convertible Bond Index rose 1.28% this week and fell 5% in the past month; the Shanghai Convertible Bond Index rose 1.06% this week and fell 5.56% in the past month [5][10][13]. - The bond market was strong. The yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year China Bond Treasury bonds all declined [5][10][22]. - The commodity futures performance was differentiated. COMEX gold fell 0.05%, COMEX silver rose 2.89%, LME copper rose 2.59%, LME aluminum rose 2.9%, WTI crude oil rose 1.44%, SHFE rebar rose 0.03%, CBOT soybeans fell 0.09%, and CBOT corn fell 0.97% [5][11][13]. 2. Performance of the Equity Market - Stocks - The equity market fluctuated downward this week. The Shanghai Composite Index adjusted at the beginning of the week, then rose, declined slightly on Thursday, and closed up on Friday [14]. - Most industries fell this week. Non - bank finance, comprehensive finance, computer, media, national defense and military industry, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery led the decline, while power and public utilities, basic chemicals, and non - ferrous metals led the rise [14]. - The market rotation was still active this week. The rebound was mainly driven by previous main lines such as computing power, non - ferrous metals, and power. In addition, the innovative drug and new energy sectors also performed well [14]. 3. Performance of the Equity Market - Convertible Bonds - The equity market fluctuated weakly this week, but the convertible bond market rose. The China Securities Convertible Bond Index rose 1.28% and the Shanghai Convertible Bond Index rose 1.06% this week. The trading volume of convertible bonds and underlying stocks decreased significantly compared with last week [18]. - The convertible bond market may still be affected by the US - Iran conflict in the short term [18]. 4. Performance of the Fixed - Income Market - The bond market yield mainly declined this week. The yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year China Bond Treasury bonds all declined [22]. - The initial pressure on the bond market was due to inflation concerns caused by high oil prices, and the subsequent decline in inflation expectations was affected by the easing of the US - Israel - Iran situation, but the rebound of risk assets restricted the decline of interest rates [22]. - The liquidity was stable near the end - of - quarter point, which may have moderated the adjustment range of the bond market [22]. 5. Performance of the Commodity Market - The South China Commodity Index showed a differentiated performance this week. The comprehensive index fell 0.25%, the energy and chemical index fell 0.12%, the metal index rose 1.45%, the precious metal index fell 2.75%, the industrial product index rose 0.04%, and the agricultural product index fell 1.15% [32]. - The gold price continued to fluctuate downward this week. The short - term trend may still be volatile, and it may need the easing of the US - Israel - Iran situation to strengthen again [33].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current market trading revolves around the narrative of the US - Israel - Iran conflict. Asset price volatility indicates a significant decline in the probability of geopolitics returning to the status quo, with two likely extreme paths in the future. One is the lifting of Iranian sanctions, leading to lower oil prices, increased frictional unemployment from the AI revolution, and potential rebounds in growth - tech stocks. The other is Iran's substantial control of the strait, pushing up oil prices, forcing central banks to turn hawkish, and potentially bursting the AI bubble early. It is recommended to build a hedging portfolio, with gold and US Treasuries having strong recovery potential, and HALO targets taking priority over tech - growth targets [1][42]. - The domestic market has a chaotic main line, with rapidly fluctuating risk preferences. The rotation between high - tech, low - defense, and cyclical sectors has accelerated, increasing the overall operation difficulty. The convertible bond market shows obvious style differentiation, with high - volatility target valuations significantly compressed, and medium - and low - priced bonds relatively resistant to decline and able to achieve relative returns. The overall market's 100 - yuan premium rate has compressed by about 2 percentage points to around 33%, basically returning to the level at the beginning of 2026. In terms of strategy, the trading end is advised to conduct intraday band operations around high - volatility equity - like targets, while the allocation end should wait patiently for a clear right - hand signal and focus on medium - and low - volatility targets with large expected differences and strong performance certainty [1][43][44]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Week - on - Week Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Overall Decline - From March 23rd to March 27th, the equity market generally declined. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.09% to 3913.72 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 0.76% to 13760.37 points, the ChiNext Index declined 1.68% to 3295.88 points, and the CSI 300 Index decreased 1.41% to 4502.57 points. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 977.10 billion yuan to 20994.42 billion yuan, a week - on - week decline of 4.45% [6][8]. - On different trading days, the market showed different trends. For example, on March 23rd, the major indices fell, with over 5100 stocks declining; on March 24th, the indices rose, with over 5100 stocks rising, etc. In terms of industries, 10 out of 31 Shenwan primary industries rose, with non - ferrous metals, public utilities, etc. leading the gains, and non - bank finance, computer, etc. leading the losses [9][10][11]. 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Overall Decline - From March 23rd to March 27th, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 1.28% to 498.94 points. None of the 29 Shenwan primary industries in the convertible bond market rose, with petrochemicals, steel, etc. leading the declines. The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 713.50 billion yuan, a significant increase of 43.83 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of 6.55%. About 74.59% of individual convertible bonds rose, with 24.04% rising between 0 - 1% and 30.60% rising over 2% [6][13]. - The overall market's convertible bond conversion premium rate increased, with the average daily conversion premium rate at 45.49%, up 1.30 pcts from the previous week. Different price and parity intervals showed different trends in the conversion premium rate quantile. In terms of industries, 27 industries' conversion premium rates widened, with beauty care, textile and apparel, etc. leading the widening, and social services, public utilities, etc. leading the narrowing. In terms of conversion parity, only one industry's parity increased, with public utilities leading the increase, while national defense and military industry, light manufacturing, etc. led the declines [22][29][34]. 1.3 Comparison of Stock and Bond Market Sentiments - From March 23rd to March 27th, the weekly weighted average and median of the convertible bond market were positive, while those of the stock market were negative. The trading volume of the convertible bond market increased by 6.55% week - on - week, at the 66.80% quantile level since 2022, and the stock market's trading volume increased by 1.79%, at the 86.20% quantile level. About 77.81% of convertible bonds rose, while about 20.67% of stocks rose, and about 81.16% of convertible bonds had higher price changes than stocks. Overall, the trading sentiment of the convertible bond market was better this week [39]. - On different trading days, the trading sentiments of the convertible bond and stock markets also showed differences. For example, on March 23rd, the convertible bond market's trading sentiment was better; on March 24th, although both markets generally rose, the convertible bond market's trading sentiment was still better, etc. [40]. 2. Future Outlook and Investment Strategy - Overseas, the Brent crude oil price had a V - shaped fluctuation, the US dollar continuously rose above 100 points, the spot gold price dropped to a low of $4100 per ounce on Monday and then fluctuated significantly for four consecutive days, the US stock market declined, and the US Treasury yield fluctuated upward throughout the week but retreated significantly at the end of Friday, with the market shifting to price in a recession. It is recommended to build a hedging portfolio, with gold and US Treasuries having strong recovery potential, and HALO targets taking priority over tech - growth targets [1][42]. - Domestically, the convertible bond market shows style differentiation. It is recommended to conduct intraday band operations around high - volatility equity - like targets at the trading end and wait patiently for a clear right - hand signal at the allocation end, focusing on medium - and low - volatility targets with large expected differences and strong performance certainty. The top ten high - rated, medium - and low - priced convertible bonds with the greatest potential for conversion premium rate repair next week are Yong 22 Convertible Bond, Linggang Convertible Bond, etc. [1][44].

Group 1 - The market sentiment is currently characterized by a lack of panic despite a significant drop, indicating that further declines may occur until true panic sets in [8] - There is a perception that the bull market may have ended, with quantitative trading dominating the market dynamics, leading to pronounced volatility [6] - Investors are adopting a cautious approach, with some choosing to liquidate positions and others waiting for better entry points, reflecting a mix of strategies in response to market conditions [5][7] Group 2 - The negotiation conditions between the U.S. and Iran are seen as vastly different, with both sides currently holding firm, suggesting prolonged discussions ahead [2] - The overall market is described as chaotic, with a focus on speculative trading rather than value investing, indicating a potential shift in investment strategies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The equity market is under pressure due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts, tightening global liquidity expectations, and high oil prices, leading to a decline in risk appetite for equity assets [1][18] Weekly Review of Convertible Bond Market - During the week of March 16-20, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 3.38% to 3957.1 points, while the China Convertible Bond Index dropped 3.15% to 492.6 points [1][5] - Major indices experienced more declines than gains, with only the ChiNext Index rising by 1.3% [1][5] - The trading volume in the convertible bond market decreased, with the total daily trading volume for the entire A-share market falling by 11.5% to 2.21 trillion yuan [10][11] Market Outlook - The current adjustment in the convertible bond market may continue for another 20-50 days, with a potential decline of 10%-20% expected [2][19] - The People's Bank of China has indicated a commitment to maintaining stability in financial markets, which may provide liquidity support to the equity market [2][19] - The focus is shifting towards fundamental pricing as the market approaches the annual report disclosure period, with physical assets being favored over virtual assets [3][25] Sector Performance - The majority of sectors saw declines, with only the telecommunications and banking sectors showing positive performance [1][7] - Convertible bonds across all sectors fell, with financial convertible bonds showing relative resilience [1][7] Trading Activity - The number of convertible bonds subject to forced redemption decreased, with four bonds totaling 1.061 billion yuan announced for forced redemption, down by 2.852 billion yuan from the previous week [15][26] - The average price of convertible bonds fell by 5.69 yuan to 101.92 yuan, indicating a continued decline in valuation [10][11] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to maintain strict control over positions and focus on low-priced convertible bonds for defensive strategies [3][25] - There may be opportunities for rebound in strong stocks during market fluctuations, with a cautious approach recommended for speculative participation [3][25]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report - This week, against the backdrop of the escalating conflict between the US and Iran, the equity market declined significantly, with small and micro - cap stocks experiencing large drops. Although the equal - weighted and weighted declines of convertible bonds were smaller than those of their underlying stocks, their anti - decline performance compared to the underlying stocks was not prominent compared to the fourth quarter of last year. This is because the valuation of convertible bonds continued to compress significantly, mainly in the balanced and bond - biased areas. There were many individual bonds in the balanced area experiencing a "double - kill" of parity and valuation, and the valuation of new bonds, near - maturity bonds, and bonds that did not undergo downward revisions in the bond - biased area also compressed significantly. Currently, the valuation of the convertible bond market has basically returned to the level at the end of last year, and the valuation has dropped to a short - term neutral range. If there is a substantial negative impact, the phased low of convertible bond valuation is expected to be around the 250 - day moving average (corresponding to a par premium rate of around 28%), and investors can seize the rebound opportunity. Structurally, considering the uncertainty of the equity market trend, there are still potential risk points such as near - maturity, downward revisions, and high valuations in the bond - biased and stock - biased areas. Recently, medium - term balanced convertible bonds with a large decline in valuation have relatively more advantages in both offense and defense [4][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Week's View and Outlook - Different from the previous pattern where convertible bonds actively compressed valuation while the underlying stocks were relatively stable, this week, due to the escalating US - Iran conflict, the equity market declined significantly, and small and micro - cap stocks had large drops. The anti - decline performance of convertible bonds compared to the underlying stocks was not prominent, mainly because the valuation compression was concentrated in the balanced and bond - biased areas. The convertible bond market valuation has returned to the end - of - last - year level, and if there is a substantial negative impact, the phased low of valuation is expected to be around the 250 - day moving average. Medium - term balanced convertible bonds are relatively more advantageous [4][7]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - The escalating US - Iran conflict led to a continued increase in crude oil prices, a significant cooling of domestic risk appetite, and a large - scale compression of convertible bond valuation. The par premium rate dropped 1.7% to 30.1%, breaking through the key point. The valuation compression was mainly concentrated in the balanced and bond - biased areas, and the valuation of new bonds that had not entered the conversion period compressed by more than 5%. The compression range shifted from high - parity to medium - and low - parity intervals. In the 70 - 130 yuan parity interval, the valuation compression was about 2% - 3%, and the compression in the extremely low - parity area below 70 yuan was relatively large. In terms of individual bonds, in the high - parity interval above 140 yuan, some individual bonds such as Yitian, Dazhong, and Huachen had strong valuation performance, with an increase of more than 10%. In the 100 - 140 yuan parity interval, there were many "double - kill" individual bonds. In the bond - biased area below 100 yuan, new bonds, near - maturity bonds, and bonds that did not undergo downward revisions had the largest valuation compression. As of now, the valuation of convertible bonds in the 80 - 100 yuan parity interval and in the 1 - 2 - year and 4 - 5 - year term intervals is still slightly higher than the end - of - last - year level [6][8][10]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, 2 convertible bonds including Yuanxin and Huicheng announced redemptions, and 6 announced non - redemptions, with a forced redemption rate of 25%. Currently, there are 30 convertible bonds that have issued forced redemption or maturity redemption announcements and have not been delisted, and the potential conversion or maturity balance of forced - redeemed and matured convertible bonds among the non - delisted bonds is 9.9 billion yuan [6][27]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Ruike proposed a downward revision, and 4 convertible bonds including Qiaoyin, Lanfan, and Baolai announced downward - revision results. Only Baolai did not revise to the bottom, and the others all revised to the bottom. As of now, 81 convertible bonds are in the temporary non - downward - revision range, 19 cannot be downward - revised due to net - asset constraints, 1 has triggered the downward - revision condition but has not issued an announcement, 22 are accumulating downward - revision days, and 3 have issued downward - revision board plans but have not gone to the general meeting of shareholders [6][35]. 3.3.3 Put Option - This week, Tiannai Convertible Bond issued a conditional put - option announcement. As of now, 1 convertible bond has issued a conditional put - option announcement, 11 are accumulating put - option trigger days, among which 10 are accumulating downward - revision days, and 1 proposed a downward revision [6][38]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - As of now, there are 4 convertible bonds in the approval - registration process, with a to - be - issued scale of 6.4 billion yuan; there are 12 convertible bonds in the listing - committee approval process, with a to - be - issued scale of 11.9 billion yuan [40].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, against the backdrop of the escalating conflict between the US and Iran, the equity market declined significantly, with small and micro - cap stocks experiencing large drops. Although the equal - weighted and weighted declines of convertible bonds were smaller than those of their underlying stocks, their resistance to decline was not prominent compared to the fourth quarter of last year. This is because the valuation of convertible bonds continued to compress significantly, mainly in the balanced and debt - biased zones. There were many individual bonds in the balanced zone with "double kills" of parity and valuation, and the valuation compression of new bonds, near - maturity bonds, and bonds that did not undergo downward revisions in the debt - biased zone was also large. Currently, the convertible bond market valuation has basically returned to the level at the end of last year, and the valuation has dropped to a short - term neutral range. If there is a substantial negative impact, the phased low of convertible bond valuation is expected to be around the 250 - day moving average (corresponding to a 100 - yuan premium rate of around 28%), and rebound opportunities can be grasped. Structurally, considering the uncertainty of the equity market trend, the debt - biased and equity - biased zones still have potential risk points such as near - maturity, downward revisions, and high valuations. Recently, medium - term balanced convertible bonds with significant valuation declines have relatively strong offensive and defensive advantages [4][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Week's Viewpoint and Outlook - Different from the previous pattern where convertible bonds actively compressed valuations while underlying stocks remained relatively stable, this week, due to the escalating US - Iran conflict, the equity market declined significantly, especially small and micro - cap stocks. The equal - weighted and weighted declines of convertible bonds were smaller than those of underlying stocks, but their anti - decline ability was not prominent compared to Q4 last year. Valuation compression was mainly in the balanced and debt - biased zones. The convertible bond market valuation has basically returned to the end - of - last - year level, and if there is a substantial negative impact, the phased low of valuation is expected to be around the 250 - day moving average. Considering market uncertainties, medium - term balanced convertible bonds have offensive and defensive advantages [4][7]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - The escalating US - Iran conflict led to a continuous rise in crude oil prices, a significant cooling of domestic risk appetite, and a large decline in small and micro - cap stocks. Convertible bond valuations continued to compress significantly. After removing outliers, the 100 - yuan premium rate dropped 1.7% to 30.1%, breaking below the +1 standard deviation level. Valuation compression was mainly in the balanced and debt - biased zones, and new bonds not in the conversion period had a compression rate of over 5%. The compression range shifted from high - parity to medium - and low - parity intervals, with a 2% - 3% compression in the 70 - 130 yuan parity interval and a relatively large compression in the below - 70 - yuan extremely low - parity interval. In the high - parity interval above 140 yuan, individual bonds like Yitian, Dazhong, and Huachen had strong valuation performance, with an increase of over 10%. In the 100 - 140 yuan parity interval, there were many "double - kill" individual bonds. In the below - 100 - yuan debt - biased interval, new bonds, near - maturity bonds, and non - downward - revised bonds had the largest valuation compression, and Longda had broken below the bond floor with a high default expectation. Currently, the convertible bond market valuation has returned to the end - of - last - year level, but the valuation of the 80 - 100 yuan parity interval and the 1 - 2 - year and 4 - 5 - year maturity intervals is still slightly higher than that at the end of last year [6][8][13]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, 2 convertible bonds including Yuanxin and Huicheng announced redemptions, and 6 announced non - redemptions, with a forced redemption rate of 25%. There are currently 30 convertible bonds that have issued forced redemption or maturity redemption announcements but have not delisted, and the potential conversion or maturity balance of forced - redeemed and matured convertible bonds among the non - delisted ones is 9 billion yuan. There are 40 convertible bonds currently in the redemption process, 6 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, 13 are expected to issue announcements of potential redemption triggers, and 13 are expected to enter the forced - redemption counting period within the next month [28][31]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Ruike proposed a downward revision, and 4 convertible bonds including Qiaoyin, Lanfan, and Baolai announced downward - revision results. Only Baolai did not revise downward to the bottom, and the others did. Currently, 81 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision interval, 19 cannot be downward - revised due to net - asset constraints, 1 has triggered the condition but the stock price is still below the downward - revision trigger price and no announcement has been made, 22 are accumulating downward - revision days, and 3 have issued downward - revision board proposals but have not gone to the general meeting of shareholders [36]. 3.3.3 Put Option - This week, Tiannai Convertible Bond issued a conditional put - option announcement. Currently, 1 convertible bond has issued a conditional put - option announcement, 11 are accumulating put - option trigger days, 10 of which are also accumulating downward - revision days, and 1 has proposed a downward revision [39]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - As of now, there are 4 convertible bonds in the approval - registration process, with a to - be - issued scale of 6.4 billion yuan; and 12 in the listing - committee approval process, with a to - be - issued scale of 11.9 billion yuan [41].

Core Viewpoints - The essence of investment remains consistent, focusing on understanding investments and risk perception, regardless of the size of funds or whether the investor is an individual or an institution [4] - Achieving compound interest requires being on the right path [11] - The current market can be described as "chaotic," reflecting uncertainty and complexity [14][75] Investment Philosophy - Valuation is considered the most important thermometer for sensing market heat [10][34] - The investment style is naturally cautious towards assets that have surged significantly in a short time [46] - Risk control is viewed as an integral part of investment capability, not separate from it [17][106] - The concept of safety margin is flexible and should be applied according to various scenarios [106][100] Market Insights - The current market shows significant heat, but structural differences exist among various sectors and individual stocks [30][34] - The equity market is perceived as having good value despite recent substantial increases, with many reasonably valued companies still available [43][47] - The bond market, particularly convertible bonds, is currently at historical high valuations, making it less attractive [86][90] Asset Management Strategies - The focus is on a diversified approach, emphasizing the roles and boundaries of each asset class within a portfolio [49][51] - The team values long-term relationships and trust, which enhances decision-making efficiency [159][161] - Active management is seen as essential, with a focus on fundamental research and long-term value creation [125][129] Future Outlook - The team expresses optimism about AI's potential to transform industries, while also acknowledging the risks of market disruptions [82][84] - The importance of selecting the right sectors and companies, particularly in the context of long-term trends like AI and renewable energy, is emphasized [120][140] - The need for a balanced approach to investment, considering both financial health and personal well-being, is highlighted [177]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On March 12, the capital market showed a stable and slightly loose trend, the bond market significantly recovered, the main indices of the convertible bond market collectively declined, and most convertible bond issues fell. The yields of US Treasury bonds across all maturities generally increased, and the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies also generally rose [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bond Market News 3.1.1 Domestic News - The Fourth Session of the 14th National People's Congress closed in Beijing on March 12, approving various reports and passing several laws [3] - Central Bank Governor Pan Gongsheng stated that the central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy and build a scientific and stable monetary policy system [4] - The Ministry of Finance added multiple subjects related to "ultra - long - term special treasury bond arrangements" in the government - funded budget expenditure function classification subjects [5][6] 3.1.2 International News - Iran's new Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei vowed to continue to block the Strait of Hormuz and threatened to open up other fronts, and demanded the immediate closure of all US military bases in the Middle East [7] 3.1.3 Commodities - On March 12, WTI April crude oil futures rose 9.72% to $95.73 per barrel, Brent May crude oil futures rose 9.2% to $100.46 per barrel, COMEX April gold futures fell 1.93% to $5084.1 per ounce, and NYMEX April natural gas futures rose 0.65% to $3.248 per million British thermal units [8] 3.2 Capital Market 3.2.1 Open Market Operations - On March 12, the central bank conducted 245 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate, with an operating rate of 1.40%. The net capital injection on the day was 15 billion yuan [10] 3.2.2 Capital Interest Rates - On March 12, the capital market was stable and slightly loose. DR001 decreased by 4.21bp to 1.327%, and DR007 increased by 0.59bp to 1.470%. Other interest rates also showed corresponding changes [11][12] 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics 3.3.1 Interest - Bearing Bonds - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On March 12, the bond market significantly recovered. As of 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250016 decreased by 0.70bp to 1.8070%, and the yield of the 10 - year state - owned development bond active bond 250220 decreased by 1.05bp to 1.9690% [14] - **Bond Tendering Situation**: Multiple state - owned development bonds were tendered on March 12, with different issuance scales, winning yields, full - field multiples, and marginal multiples [15] 3.3.2 Credit Bonds - **Secondary Market Transaction Abnormalities**: On March 12, the transaction prices of 5 industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%, including some bonds falling and some rising [15] - **Credit Bond Events**: Multiple companies announced events such as bond principal repayment extensions, receiving liquidation petitions, and financial performance reports [16] 3.3.3 Convertible Bonds - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices**: On March 12, the three major A - share indices collectively fell, and the main indices of the convertible bond market also followed suit. The trading volume of the convertible bond market decreased compared with the previous trading day, and most convertible bond issues fell [18] - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: On March 12, Star Semiconductor's convertible bond issuance was approved by the CSRC. Some convertible bonds announced proposals to lower the conversion price, early redemption, or non - early redemption [20] 3.3.4 Overseas Bond Markets - **US Bond Market**: On March 12, the yields of US Treasury bonds across all maturities generally increased, and the yield spreads between different maturities narrowed. The break - even inflation rate of US 10 - year inflation - protected treasury bonds (TIPS) increased [21][22][23] - **European Bond Market**: On March 12, the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies generally increased [24][25] - **Daily Price Changes of Chinese - funded US Dollar Bonds**: As of the close on March 12, some Chinese - funded US dollar bonds rose, and some fell [26]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the stock market last week (March 9 - March 13), the market's risk - aversion sentiment rose at the beginning of the week, and the stock market was under pressure as oil prices soared. Then, with multiple factors such as the coordinated release of strategic oil reserves by multiple countries, the AI agent boom led by OpenClaw, and TACO trading, the market stabilized, but the stability was short - lived. The technology sector cooled down in the second half of the week, and the overall market declined again. In the bond market, bond yields fluctuated upward under the influence of multiple factors, and the 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.81% on Friday, up 3.33bp from the previous week. In the convertible bond market, most convertible bond issues fell, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index down 1.10% for the whole week, the median price down 1.68%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity down 0.90%. The overall market conversion premium rate decreased by 1.66% compared with the previous week [1][7][8]. - In the coming week (March 16 - March 20), as the geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran intensifies, the A - share market is more volatile, and the convertible bond market continues the previous week's situation of "double killing" of parity and valuation. It is recommended to focus on individual bonds with good fundamentals and no strong redemption risk, such as opportunities in the AI computing power chain, embodied intelligence, and autonomous driving, as well as the catch - up opportunities of innovative drugs and two - wheeled vehicles at relatively low levels. Also, it is advisable to avoid bonds with high strong redemption risks [2][19]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Trends - **Stock Market**: At the beginning of last week, the stock market was under pressure due to rising risk - aversion sentiment and soaring oil prices. Then it stabilized under the influence of multiple factors but declined again later. The A - share market showed different trends on different days. For example, on Monday, the three major A - share indexes fell, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.67%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.74%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.64%, and the trading volume was 26706 billion yuan, an increase of 4513 billion yuan from the previous day. By industry, most Shenwan primary industries closed down last week, with coal (5.03%), power equipment (4.55%), and building decoration (4.12%) leading the gains, while national defense and military industry (-6.64%), petroleum and petrochemicals (-4.33%), and others lagged behind [7][8]. - **Bond Market**: Bond yields fluctuated upward last week. Geopolitical conflicts, rising inflation data, and strong import - export data all suppressed bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.81% on Friday, up 3.33bp from the previous week [8]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond issues fell last week. The CSI Convertible Bond Index was down 1.10% for the whole week, the median price was down 1.68%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity was down 0.90%. The overall market conversion premium rate decreased by 1.66% compared with the previous week. By industry, most convertible bond industries closed down, with coal (2.06%), steel (0.21%), and petroleum and petrochemicals (0.18%) leading, while social services (-7.10%), national defense and military industry (-6.55%), and others lagging. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 3374.40 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 674.88 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week. At the individual bond level, Wankai (bottle chips), Baichuan Convertible Bond 2 (fine chemicals), and others had the highest increases, while Fenggong (precision tools), Yong 22 (adhesive materials), and others had the largest declines [8][12][13][16]. Valuation Overview - As of March 13, 2026, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates for bonds with parities in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 49.88%, 44.86%, 33.31%, 21.92%, 13.48%, and 13.48% respectively, at the 98%/97%, 98%/98%, 98%/98%, 93%/94%, 83%/76%, and 96%/93% percentile values since 2010/2021. For bond - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM for bonds with parities below 70 yuan was -4.43%, at the 2%/5% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 46.65%, at the 93%/96% percentile values since 2010/2021. The difference between the implied volatility of convertible bonds and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks was 5.14%, at the 90%/90% percentile values since 2010/2021 [20]. Primary Market Tracking - Last week (March 9 - March 13), there was no announcement of convertible bond issuance, and Haitian Convertible Bond was listed. The underlying stock is Haitian Co., Ltd., which belongs to the environmental protection industry, with a market value of 47.75 billion yuan as of March 13. The company is an integrated environmental service operator. The scale of the issued convertible bonds is 8.01 billion yuan, with a credit rating of AA, and it was listed on March 12. The funds after deducting issuance fees are used for multiple projects such as the digital water supply and comprehensive efficiency improvement project in Jianyang [28]. - As of the announcement on March 13, there is no announcement of convertible bond issuance and listing for the coming week (March 16 - March 20). Last week, the exchange approved the registration of 1 company (Star Semiconductor), the listing committee passed 1 company (Dwell), the exchange accepted 1 company (Tianshan Electronics), and the board of directors proposed a plan for 1 company (Sinco Environmental). There is no new company approved by the general meeting of shareholders. As of now, there are 101 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 164.96 billion yuan, including 5 bonds with a total scale of 5.13 billion yuan that have been approved for registration and 9 bonds with a total scale of 8.16 billion yuan that have passed the listing committee [29].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Recently, convertible bonds have shown a "negative convexity" characteristic, with returns and drawdowns significantly worse than the underlying stocks. The compression of convertible bond valuations started in the first week after the Spring Festival. Although the equity market performed well during this period, there was an obvious structural shift, and the technology sector was weak. Additionally, non - callable convertible bonds generally entered the second round of call - counting periods. Despite the decent performance of the underlying stocks, high - parity convertible bonds, new bonds, and sub - new bonds actively compressed their valuations due to poor expectations. Subsequently, the conflict between the US and Iran impacted global risk appetite, causing a surge in oil prices and a weak and volatile domestic equity market. The compression of convertible bond valuations spread comprehensively, and the valuations in the debt - biased and balanced intervals also declined significantly. From a rolling perspective, the 100 - yuan premium rate has returned to around the +1 standard deviation level, and the central value has significantly shifted down from the previous high. In the short term, convertible bond valuations have compressed to a stage - low. With the expectation of a mid - term slow - bull equity market, the convertible bond market has shown a certain cost - effectiveness, and opportunities for individual bonds with certain cost - effectiveness in valuation can be actively explored [1][5]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Viewpoint and Outlook - Convertible bonds have a "negative convexity" feature, performing worse than underlying stocks. The valuation compression started after the Spring Festival, affected by market structure shift, call - counting periods, and the US - Iran conflict. Currently, the 100 - yuan premium rate is around +1 standard deviation, and the convertible bond market has cost - effectiveness [1][5]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - Due to the surge in oil prices caused by the US - Iran conflict and the new round of Sino - US economic and trade consultations, the domestic equity market stabilized compared to last week, with small and micro - cap stocks relatively weak. Convertible bonds continued to digest valuations this week. After removing outliers, the 100 - yuan premium rate decreased by 0.5% to 31.8%, roughly equal to the +1 standard deviation level. This week, the valuation compression spread from high - parity and long - duration bonds to other intervals, showing a universal full - interval compression. The compression in the debt - biased and balanced convertible bonds was generally over 1%. From a term perspective, the valuation compression of new bonds over 5.5 years was close to 4%, and the compression in the 2 - 4 - year interval was also relatively large. In terms of individual bonds, high - parity bonds above 140 yuan with large valuation compression were mostly those in the call progress or about to enter the call - counting period, with obvious pre - emptive characteristics, and the valuation compression due to call expectations was about 10%. Other bonds with large valuation compression in the balanced and debt - biased intervals were mostly new bonds that had not entered the conversion period. Bonds around 3 years, such as Yake and Daimei, also had relatively large valuation compression due to the downward trend of the underlying stocks. In addition, the valuations in the extremely low - parity area below 60 yuan were generally compressed [4][6][9]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, 9 convertible bonds, including Fenggong and Liyang, announced redemptions, and 4 announced non - redemptions, with a call rate of 69%. Currently, there are 31 convertible bonds that have issued call or maturity redemption announcements but have not delisted. Among the non - delisted bonds, the potential conversion or maturity balance of call and maturity bonds is 12.2 billion yuan. There are currently 47 convertible bonds in the redemption progress. 12 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, and 11 are expected to issue announcements of potential redemption triggers. In addition, 13 convertible bonds are expected to enter the call - counting period within the next month [23][27]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - This week, Weining Convertible Bond proposed a downward revision, and no convertible bond announced the result of the downward revision. As of now, 79 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision interval, 18 cannot be revised downward due to net asset constraints, 0 have triggered the condition and the stock price is still below the downward - revision trigger price but have not issued an announcement, 21 are accumulating days for downward revision, and 6 have issued the board of directors' pre - plan for downward revision but have not gone to the shareholders' meeting [31]. 3.3.3 Put Option - This week, no convertible bond issued a conditional put option announcement. As of now, 4 convertible bonds are accumulating days to trigger the put option, among which 1 is also accumulating days for downward revision, and 3 are in the non - downward - revision interval [33]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - As of now, there are 6 convertible bonds in the approval - registration progress, with a to - be - issued scale of 5.3 billion yuan; there are 9 convertible bonds in the process of passing the listing committee, with a to - be - issued scale of 8.2 billion yuan [35].