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9月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、舜宇、山東黃金、中芯、藥明生物、聯想
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 07:40
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,344 points, with short-term technical signals indicating a "buy" but not a "strong buy" [1] - Resistance levels are identified at 26,840 points and 27,500 points, while support levels are at 25,700 points and 25,000 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider the premium levels of products, as high premiums can affect purchase prices [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical's stock rose to a high of 87.7 HKD, closing at 87 HKD, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band [3] - Current technical signals suggest a "sell" with slight bearish sentiment, and the first resistance level is at 91.2 HKD [3] - Investors are encouraged to compare options with a 2%-3% out-of-the-money range for better leverage [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) - Shandong Gold's stock closed at 38.26 HKD, showing significant gains over the past two days [6] - Current technical signals indicate a "sell," with resistance levels at 40.6 HKD and 43.1 HKD, and support levels at 33.4 HKD and 30.6 HKD [6] Group 4: Company Analysis - SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock reached a high of 74.05 HKD, with current technical signals summarizing as "sell" [9] - Support levels are noted at 64.7 HKD and 58.6 HKD, with a recommendation for safer options around 58-59 HKD [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) - WuXi Biologics' stock peaked at 40.2 HKD, closing at 40.08 HKD, with short-term technical signals indicating a "sell" [12] - Resistance levels are at 42.1 HKD and 43.8 HKD, while support levels are at 36.8 HKD and 33.6 HKD [12] Group 6: Company Analysis - Lenovo Group (00992.HK) - Lenovo's stock closed at 12.2 HKD, with technical signals summarizing as "sell" and short-term outlook being pessimistic [15] - Resistance levels are at 12.6 HKD and 13.4 HKD, with support levels at 11.5 HKD and 11 HKD [15]
永金证券晨会纪要-20250919
永丰金证券· 2025-09-19 11:57
永豐金證券亞洲研究部晨訊 2025/9/19 | 麥嘉嘉 | 研究部主管 | avis.mak@sinopac.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 張雪婷 | 研究部經理 | samantha.cheung@sinopac.com | | 林仲全 | 研究部資深專員 | kobe.lin@sinopac.com | 1 永豐金證券亞洲研究部晨訊 今日市埸主要焦點 股市及產品投資策略 • 美股破頂|美股在科技股帶動下,三大指數周四盤中齊破頂,兼創收市歷史新 高 • 中美通話|總統特朗普與中國國家主席習近平的通話預計將於華盛頓時間周五 上午9時進行 • 美小型股|小型股指數羅素2000時隔近4年再創收市新高 • 英特爾|英特爾獲輝達(Nvidia)注資50億美元,刺激股價收市爆升22.8% • 投資策略佈局|科技、醫藥持續受關注 • 南下資金|南下資金強勁流入港股 • 倉位配置|美聯儲預防式減息支撐港股 永豐金證券亞洲研究部晨訊 永豐金證券亞洲研究部全球新聞概要 重點國際新聞 2 永豐金證券亞洲研究部 -今日市埸焦點及策略 • 聯儲局重啟減息,提振了市場風險偏好,美股三大指數周四齊破頂兼創收市 ...
信达国际控股港股晨报-20250919
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-09-19 05:00
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces resistance around 27,200 points, with a projected P/E ratio of approximately 13 times over the next 12 months, as the US and China agree to extend the tariff truce and the US Federal Reserve signals potential policy adjustments due to economic conditions [2][5] - The market remains active with a positive risk appetite, as capital rotates among different sectors despite limited corporate profit improvements [2] Sector Focus - The AI sector is gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of "Artificial Intelligence+" and breakthroughs in chip development are reported [8] - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see increased confidence in the supply chain due to Tesla's developments [8] - The mobile components sector is entering a traditional peak season for consumer electronics, with major brands launching new smartphones [8] Corporate News - Zijin Mining International (2259) is set to launch an IPO today, aiming to raise up to 25 billion HKD [8] - Ctrip has been summoned for discussions regarding unreasonable restrictions on transaction pricing [8] - Macau Telecom has extended its contract with the Macau government for an additional two years [8] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 487 billion RMB, maintaining the interest rate at 1.4% [9] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in mainland China are projected to reach 1.25 million units in September, with a penetration rate of 58.1% [9] - The Shanghai Municipal Government is set to issue the first round of home appliance replacement subsidy vouchers starting September 20 [9] International Relations - The US and China are expected to have a significant phone call on September 19, focusing on trade issues and the future of TikTok [10] - The EU is planning to propose a new round of sanctions against Russia, targeting the cryptocurrency, banking, and energy sectors [10]
信达国际港股晨报快-20250915
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-09-15 02:13
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces resistance at 26,822 points, with recent developments indicating a temporary easing of trade tensions between China and the US, as both sides agreed to extend a 90-day tariff truce [2] - The US Federal Reserve's Chairman Powell suggested potential adjustments to policy stance due to changing risk balances, alongside weaker employment data raising expectations for interest rate cuts [5] - Hong Kong's market remains active with a positive risk appetite, as capital rotates across different sectors [2] Company News - Tencent Holdings (0700) updates its global medium-term note program to $30 billion [4] - Alibaba's Qwen3-Next model training costs have decreased by 90% [4] - Meituan (3690) has launched its first AI agent for public testing, allowing users to order food using simple language commands [4] - Zijin Mining International and Botai Car Networking have uploaded their post-hearing information sets [4] - Bafang Group (1263) has submitted a delisting application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [4] Economic Indicators - The US Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in July, citing a slowdown in economic activity and high uncertainty, while the labor market remains stable [5] - In August, non-farm payroll growth was significantly below expectations, leading to market predictions of a 0.25% rate cut in September and two additional cuts later in the year [5] - China's new loans in August were lower than expected, with total new loans for the first eight months reaching 13.46 trillion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 6.8% [9] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 600 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system [9] Sector Focus - The automotive sector is set to see a sales target of approximately 32.3 million vehicles in 2025, with a focus on increasing the sales of new energy vehicles by about 20% [10] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a plan to stabilize growth in the automotive industry, emphasizing the need for improved supply quality and expanded domestic consumption [10] - The Chinese government is taking measures to support private investment, focusing on easing entry barriers and enhancing market competition [10]
【華虹突破在即】半導體股蓄勢待發
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-13 07:29
牛熊證選擇上,看好可玩摩通牛證(65060),收回價41.5元,實際槓桿4.4倍,溢價最低。 華虹半導體(01347)週五早盤展現強勢格局,股價交投活躍,10點26分,股價報51.95元,升幅有3.49%。從技術分析來看,華虹RSI處於55,屬於健康的多頭區域, 移動平均線呈現多頭排列,MA10(48.9元)、MA30(48.16元)與MA60(42.16元)形成有力支撐,顯示中短期趨勢明確向好。技術指標總結信號雖然顯示"賣出", 但多個震盪指標呈現積極信號,動量震盪指標顯示超跌可能築底併發出買入信號,MACD同樣支持看多觀點。 支持位與阻力位分析顯示,最近支持位在44.9元,第二支持位在41.2元。上方最近阻力位在55.1元,若突破則下一目標看59.2元。當前股價正逐步接近關鍵阻 力位,突破與否將成為短期走勢的重要分水嶺。特別值得注意的是,華虹5日振幅達11.1%,顯示該股具備較高的波動性,為短線交易提供充足機會。 回顧近期衍生產品表現,9月8日當華虹股價上漲1.87%時,相關衍生產品表現穩健。匯豐牛證(64623)錄得13%的漲幅,瑞銀牛證(64939)和中銀認購證 (19312)分別獲得9%和6%的回報 ...
【資金流向】近期2000萬資金流入中芯好倉
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-11 15:31
Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - Semiconductor sector in Hong Kong showed strong performance, with SMIC (00981) stock price at 58.8 HKD, up 1.03% as of 10:43 AM [1] - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend for SMIC, with RSI at 56 indicating room for upward movement, and MACD showing buy signals [1] - Current support levels are at 53.8 HKD and 50.2 HKD, while resistance levels are at 63.5 HKD and 68.5 HKD [1] Group 2: Product Review and Derivative Performance - As of September 4, SMIC-related derivatives performed well, with UBS bull certificates rising 24% and HSBC bull certificates increasing by 19% [3] - Call options such as Societe Generale's and HSBC's recorded returns of 10% and 11%, respectively, indicating significant leverage during SMIC's stock price increase [3] Group 3: Market Insights and Investor Behavior - SMIC's stock price has risen from around 20 HKD at the beginning of the year to recent highs near 65 HKD, attracting market capital and retail investors [5] - Recent inflows into SMIC's bullish instruments totaled 20 million HKD over the past five trading days, ranking fourth among individual stocks [5] - The preference for call options over put options reflects investor sentiment, with many investors favoring bullish strategies [7] Group 4: Investment Products and Strategies - Investors bullish on SMIC can consider options like the Bank of China call option (19343) with a strike price of 69.04 HKD and a leverage of approximately 2.7 times [8] - Bearish investors may look at put options such as Bank of China (19573) or HSBC's, both with strike prices around 49.8 HKD and leverage of about 2.2-2.3 times [8] - For bull certificates, UBS's (68925) and Societe Generale's (55424) options are highlighted for their low premiums and high leverage [10]
9月5日【港股Podcast】恆指、華虹、美團、比亞迪、神華、舜宇
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-05 20:08
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors remain optimistic about the Hang Seng Index, expecting it to challenge 26,000 next week, with a buyback price of 24,800 for bull certificates [1] - Short-term technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with bearish signals prevailing; support at 25,000 and resistance at 25,700 and 26,100 [1] - Cautious investors are advised to choose products with a buyback price below the second support level of 24,733 [1] Group 2: Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) - The stock price closed at 47.58, with investors holding call options with an exercise price of 48; short-term signals indicate a "buy" [7] - Resistance levels are identified at 52.8 and 56.6, with a recommendation to consider options with an exercise price of 50, which is slightly out of the money [7] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - The stock price has been trading between 98 and 104 for two weeks, with a closing price of 103; the recommendation is a "buy" [9] - Resistance levels are at 118.9 and 119.1; caution is advised for investors holding options with an exercise price of 158, as it is significantly out of the money [9] Group 4: BYD Company (01211.HK) - The stock is viewed as a strong buy, with potential for a rebound; support levels are at 102.3 and 95.9 [14] - Investors are considering bullish certificates with a target of 100 [14] Group 5: China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) - The stock has closed above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, but the overall signal is a "sell" [18] - Support levels are at 35.2 and 34.5, which investors should consider [18] Group 6: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - The stock is below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands; the recommendation is a "buy" [24] - Resistance levels are at 83.4 and 87.6, with short-term support at 75.9 and 71.2 [24]
濠賭股靜待突破!銀娛關鍵技術位爭奪戰打響
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-04 04:23
Core Viewpoint - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is currently experiencing volatility in its stock price, trading between 41 and 42 HKD, with a trading volume of 139 million HKD, indicating a critical battle between bulls and bears as the market focuses on potential breakout directions [1][6]. Technical Analysis - The current support levels for Galaxy Entertainment are at 39.8 HKD (Support 1) and 38.9 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 42.8 HKD (Resistance 1) and 43.6 HKD (Resistance 2) [1]. - The stock price is slightly above the 10-day moving average of 40.99 HKD and has clearly surpassed the 30-day (39.73 HKD) and 60-day (37.71 HKD) moving averages, indicating a positive medium-term trend [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 63, approaching the overbought zone, with several oscillators showing neutral to bullish signals, and momentum oscillators indicating a buy signal, reflecting a moderate upward trend [1]. Market Sentiment and Investment Flow - There has been a notable increase in the issuance of call warrants related to Galaxy Entertainment, with approximately 27 million warrants in circulation, reflecting strong investor interest [3]. - The stock has seen a rise from the low 20s to the recent 40s, driven by positive data from mainland tourists and Macau's gaming revenue growth, alongside tourism promotions and new hotel openings [3]. - The latest call warrant issued by the company has a strike price of 51.88 HKD, expiring in January next year, with a leverage of around 6 times, indicating strong investor engagement [3][4].
永金证券晨会纪要-20250903
永丰金证券· 2025-09-03 11:25
Market Overview - US stock market is under pressure due to rising long-term bond yields, with the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching 4.3043% and the UK 30-year yield hitting 5.72% [8][10] - Gold prices have increased for six consecutive days, reaching a new high of $3,539 per ounce, driven by heightened risk aversion [8] - A-shares are experiencing active financing, with margin trading balances rising to 2.29 trillion RMB, indicating an increased willingness to allocate assets in China [8][12] Company Focus - Three Life Pharmaceuticals reported a revenue of 4.36 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a slight decrease of 0.8% year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 24.6% to 1.36 billion RMB, reflecting significant improvement in profitability [21] - China Bank's mid-year results showed a revenue growth of 3.6% year-on-year, with total assets reaching 36.79 trillion RMB, a 4.93% increase from the end of last year, making it a defensive investment choice in the Hong Kong banking sector [21] - Li Jin Technology, a leader in die-casting and injection molding, is expected to benefit from the automation and smart manufacturing market due to its partnerships with several new energy vehicle manufacturers [21] Economic Data - The US ISM manufacturing index for August slightly rose to 48.7, remaining below the neutral level of 50 for six consecutive months, indicating ongoing contraction in manufacturing activity [10] - China's economic data showed weakness, with July industrial output, retail sales, and fixed asset investment all underperforming expectations, leading to predictions of further economic slowdown in August [12] Investment Strategy - Recommended investments include gold ETFs like GLD or IAU due to strong demand for safe-haven assets [8] - A-shares ETFs such as CSI300 or Shanghai-Shenzhen 300 index ETFs are suggested for exposure to the recovering Chinese market [8] - The report highlights ASE Technology Holding Co., which holds over 30% market share in the global semiconductor packaging and testing market, benefiting from the surge in AI chip demand [23]
恒指升78點,滬指升14點,標普500跌41點
宝通证券· 2025-09-01 02:53
Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index opened 96 points higher and closed 78 points or 0.3% up at 25,077 points, with a daily trading volume of HK$335.601 billion. The H-share Index rose 30 points or 0.35% to 8,947 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index climbed 30 points or 0.5% to 5,674 points [1]. - A-share major indices advanced, with the ChiNext performing strongly, rising over 2%. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,857 points, up 14 points or 0.4%, with a trading volume of RMB 1.22 trillion. The Shenzhen Component Index ended at 12,696 points, up 124 points or 1%, with a turnover of RMB 1.58 trillion. The ChiNext Index finished at 2,890 points, up 62 points or 2.2%, with a trading volume of RMB 763.8 billion [1]. - US stocks fell on Friday as investors took profits ahead of the US Labor Day long - weekend. The S&P 500 Index dropped 41 points or 0.6% to 6,460 points, the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 249 points or 1.2% to 21,455 points, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 92 points or 0.2% lower at 45,544 points [2]. Macroeconomic Data - The PBOC conducted 782.9 billion yuan of seven - day reverse repurchase operations on the 29th, with an unchanged operating rate of 1.4%. With 361.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net injection for the day was 421.7 billion yuan. The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was raised by 33 points to 7.1030, and the PBOC raised the RMB central parity rate by 0.65% in August, the largest increase since September last year [1]. - Japan's S&P Manufacturing PMI final value for August was revised down to 49.7, slightly lower than the initial value of 49.9 but better than July's 48.9 [2]. - The US Washington, D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled 7 - 4 that the reciprocal tariffs and multiple tariffs against China, Canada, and Mexico introduced by US President Trump in April were illegal [2]. - China's manufacturing PMI in August rose to 49.4, up 0.1 percentage point month - on - month, slightly lower than the market expectation of 49.5, and remained in the contraction zone for five consecutive months [3]. - In August, the average price of new homes in 100 cities was RMB 16,910 per square meter, up 0.20% month - on - month and 2.73% year - on - year. The average price of second - hand homes in 100 cities was RMB 13,481 per square meter, down 0.76% month - on - month and 7.34% year - on - year [3]. Company News Acquisition and Business Expansion - Huahong Semiconductor (01347.HK) plans to acquire the remaining 97.4988% equity of Shanghai Huali Microelectronics' 12 - inch integrated circuit wafer foundry service business from Huahong Group, Shanghai Integrated Circuit Fund, National Integrated Circuit Industry Fund II, and Guotou Leading Fund to achieve full ownership. The consideration includes cash and the issuance of consideration shares at an issue price of RMB 43.34, a 44.79% discount to the pre - suspension closing price of A - shares [3]. - SMIC (00981.HK) is planning to acquire a 49% stake in its subsidiary SMIC North through the issuance of A - shares. The company's A - shares will be suspended from trading starting September 1, 2025, with an expected suspension period of no more than 10 trading days [6]. Financial Results - Giant Group Legend (06683.HK) reported a six - month interim revenue of RMB 355 million for the period ended June, a 33% year - on - year increase. New consumer business revenue was RMB 211 million, up 91.5%. Gross profit was RMB 156 million, up 16.3%. Net profit was RMB 10.27 million, down 58.9% mainly due to a fair - value loss of RMB 19.5 million on Hong Kong - listed equity securities investments [4]. - Agricultural Bank of China (01288.HK) reported a net profit of RMB 139.51 billion for the six - month period ended June, a 2.7% year - on - year increase. Earnings per share were 0.37 yuan, and an interim dividend of 0.1195 yuan per share was declared [4]. - CR Beverage (02460.HK) reported a six - month revenue of RMB 6.206 billion for the period ended June, a 18.5% year - on - year decrease. Gross profit was RMB 2.896 billion, down 22.8%. Net profit was RMB 805 million, down 28.6%. Earnings per share were 0.34 yuan, and an interim dividend of 0.118 yuan per share was declared [4]. - China Shenhua (01088.HK) reported a six - month revenue of RMB 138.109 billion for the period ended June, an 18.3% year - on - year decrease mainly due to a decline in coal sales volume and average selling price, achieving 43.2% of the annual target. Net profit was RMB 26.706 billion, down 14.8%. Earnings per share were 1.344 yuan, and an interim dividend of 0.98 yuan per share was declared [5]. - Midea Group (00300.HK) reported a six - month revenue of RMB 252.331 billion for the period ended June, a 15.7% year - on - year increase. Net profit was RMB 26.014 billion, up 25%. Earnings per share were 3.41 yuan, and an interim dividend of RMB 5 per 10 shares was declared [6]. - BYD Co., Ltd. (01211.HK) reported a six - month turnover of RMB 371.281 billion for the period ended June, a 23.3% year - on - year increase, mainly benefiting from the growth of the new - energy vehicle business. Net profit was RMB 15.511 billion, up 13.8%. Earnings per share were 1.71 yuan, and no dividend was declared [6]. - China Railway Construction Corporation Limited (01186.HK) reported a turnover of RMB 489.199 billion for the six - month period ended June, a 5.2% year - on - year decrease. Net profit was RMB 10.701 billion, down 10.1%. Earnings per share were 0.7 yuan, and no dividend was declared [6]. - Alibaba - W (09988.HK) (BABA.US) reported a first - quarter revenue of RMB 247.652 billion for the period ended June 30, 2025, a 1.8% year - on - year increase. Excluding the disposed businesses of Sun Art Retail Group (06808.HK) and Intime, the revenue on a comparable basis increased 10% year - on - year [7]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (01398.HK) reported a net profit of RMB 168.103 billion for the six - month period ended June, a 1.4% year - on - year decrease. Earnings per share were 0.46 yuan, and a dividend of RMB 1.414 per 10 shares was declared, a 1.4% decrease compared to last year's interim dividend of RMB 1.434 per 10 shares [7]. Policy Impact - The US Trump administration announced the revocation of the technology - use exemptions for Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Intel's subsidiaries in China, which will significantly weaken their manufacturing capabilities in China and may disrupt the global supply chain [2][3].