Core Viewpoint - The national voluntary greenhouse gas emission reduction trading market has successfully registered 31 projects and 15.04 million tons of CCER, with a cumulative transaction volume of 3.25 million tons and a transaction value of 270 million yuan, indicating a rapid development phase for the market [1][4]. Group 1: Market Development - The market has achieved its initial construction goals since its launch in January last year, with active trading of emission reductions and improved participation from market entities [3]. - The market's operational framework has been established across three dimensions: management systems, technical methods, and infrastructure, ensuring the integrity and standardization of voluntary reduction projects and emission reductions [3][4]. - The market has expanded its support to six types of projects, including afforestation carbon sinks and offshore wind power, and has opened a long-term suggestion window for methodology collection from various sectors [3][4]. Group 2: Future Plans - The market aims to accelerate the expansion of supported areas and construct a high-standard methodology system for voluntary emission reduction trading, encouraging exploration of advanced low-carbon technologies [4]. - There is a focus on improving the regulatory mechanism for data quality, enhancing the information technology and intelligence level of data quality supervision, and building the capacity of market entities to provide high-quality carbon credit products [5]. - The market intends to deepen international exchanges and cooperation, aligning with international carbon markets to enhance China's carbon market's global influence [6].

Core Viewpoint - The document outlines the importance of enhancing the national carbon market to achieve China's new round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) targets, emphasizing the need for systematic integration and improved regulatory frameworks to facilitate effective carbon market operations [1]. Group 1: Legal and Regulatory Framework - Strengthening legal frameworks is essential for establishing a solid foundation for the carbon market, with recommendations to expedite the introduction of the Carbon Emission Trading Management Regulations to clarify its relationship with existing environmental laws [2]. - The current regulations are deemed insufficient to meet the comprehensive emission reduction requirements set by the new NDC targets, necessitating a higher legal standing and clearer applicability [2]. Group 2: Technical Standards and Data Integration - A unified carbon emission accounting, monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) system is recommended to enhance data consistency across departments, which is crucial for efficient quota allocation and trading [3]. - The integration of advanced technologies like blockchain and IoT is suggested to ensure real-time data collection and integrity, alongside mandatory disclosure of carbon emission intensities for key industries [3]. Group 3: Quota Distribution and Economic Incentives - The document advocates for a gradual increase in the proportion of paid quota distribution to better reflect industry differences and reduce emissions costs, linking quota allocation to national emission reduction goals [4]. - Establishing a mechanism for quota reserves and borrowing is proposed to mitigate market price volatility and enhance coordination with monetary policy tools [4]. Group 4: Policy Tool Integration - The integration of energy and financial policies is crucial for unlocking the carbon market's potential, with suggestions to align carbon costs with electricity pricing and promote the development of carbon-related financial products [5][6]. - The establishment of a unified carbon asset evaluation method and regulatory framework is emphasized to facilitate the financialization of carbon assets [6]. Group 5: Ecological Compensation and Market Value - The document highlights the need for synergy between carbon markets and ecological compensation mechanisms to enhance the monetization of carbon sink values [7]. - Proposals include allowing emissions units to offset quotas through verified carbon sink projects and linking local ecological compensation funds with carbon market revenues [7]. Group 6: Cross-Regional and Cross-Market Coordination - Strengthening cross-regional coordination is essential to eliminate market fragmentation, with recommendations for unified MRV standards and quota allocation methods across pilot and national markets [8][9]. - The establishment of a national market coordination mechanism is suggested to ensure policy alignment and effective resource allocation across different markets [9]. Group 7: International Linkages - The document stresses the importance of enhancing international connections in carbon markets to bolster global emission reduction efforts, with a focus on aligning with established markets like the EU [10]. - Initiatives to develop a regional carbon trading network and establish a framework for cross-border capital flow management are proposed to mitigate financial risks and enhance China's role in global carbon governance [10].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Suzhou Carbon Inclusive System has provided innovative solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises to participate in the carbon market, contributing to global climate governance and carbon neutrality efforts [1][2]. Group 1: Carbon Market Development - The Suzhou Carbon Inclusive System has served nearly 500 enterprises over two years, issuing 350,000 tons of carbon reduction credits, equivalent to planting 2.3 million trees, and completing transactions of 140,000 tons, equivalent to planting 900,000 trees [1]. - The system is a significant supplement to China's multi-layered carbon market, quantifying low-carbon behaviors of individuals and enterprises into tradable carbon assets [1][2]. - The National Grid Corporation has actively promoted the carbon inclusive market, creating a full-chain service model that includes verification, reduction, trading, certification, and finance, covering six major reduction scenarios [2]. Group 2: Cross-Regional Cooperation and Technology - The Suzhou platform has facilitated cross-provincial cooperation, with entities from Zhejiang, Anhui, Shandong, and Sichuan participating, utilizing blockchain technology to ensure traceability of carbon assets throughout the process [2]. - In July, the Liaocheng Transportation Group completed its first cross-provincial transaction through the Suzhou platform, quantifying low-carbon behaviors into 904 tons of carbon assets, with 200 tons sold at a price of 20 yuan per ton, generating a revenue of 4,000 yuan [2]. Group 3: International Recognition - The innovative experience of the Suzhou Carbon Inclusive System has been included in the United Nations Global Compact's 25th Anniversary Case Library, highlighting its role in bridging the gap between carbon reduction supply and demand [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The carbon market construction has entered an expansion and development period. In March 2025, the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries were included in the national carbon market, and in May 2025, four specific measures were proposed to strengthen carbon market construction [3]. - As of October 20, 2025, the cumulative trading volume of the national carbon market was 742 million tons, with a turnover of 50.461 billion yuan. Trading volume increases near the annual compliance period, and bulk trading is the main method. Carbon price declined in 2025, and the 2023 - year quota settlement was completed with a significant drop in emission intensity [3]. - Among the pilot carbon markets, Guangdong has the most regulated enterprises and is the most active in terms of trading volume. Except for Tianjin, carbon prices in other pilot areas have declined [3]. - Pilot carbon markets have innovative mechanisms. Hubei established the first provincial "electricity - carbon - finance" linkage market; Beijing refined quota repurchase principles; Chongqing realized the "carbon market - carbon offset - carbon inclusive" linkage mechanism [3][4]. - The Guangzhou Carbon Exchange promotes low - carbon development in the Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macao Greater Bay Area. It has a policy framework of government guidance, market operation, and public participation, develops 5 carbon financial products, tightens the proportion of free carbon quotas, and promotes the construction of the Greater Bay Area carbon market [4]. - The "Qin Carbon Star" in the Hengqin - Macao Cooperation Zone is an innovative product that encourages individuals to participate in low - carbon activities through carbon credits [4]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Carbon Market Construction: Entered the Expansion and Development Period - **National Carbon Market Expansion and Policy Issuance**: Since 2024, a series of carbon footprint management policies have been issued, and the national carbon market has expanded to cover steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries. The government has set goals for the future expansion of the carbon market, aiming to basically cover major industrial emission industries by 2027 and build a complete carbon market by 2030 [6][7]. - **Revisions of Pilot Carbon Market Management Measures**: Starting from May 2024, relevant regulations required pilot areas to improve carbon market management systems. Each pilot area has successively formulated carbon emission and trading management measures [12][13]. - **Development Stages of the Carbon Market**: From 2011 - 2013, China launched carbon emission trading pilot projects; from 2014 - 2019, it established the overall framework of the national carbon market; since 2020, the national unified carbon market has been officially launched, and in March 2025, the market expanded for the first time [15]. 3.2 National + Pilot Carbon Markets: Guangdong is the Most Active - **Trading Volume and Turnover**: As of October 20, 2025, the cumulative trading volume of the national carbon market was 742 million tons, with a turnover of 50.461 billion yuan. Trading volume increases near the annual compliance period, and bulk trading is the main method [26]. - **Carbon Price**: In 2024, the carbon price rose, with an average of 91.82 yuan/ton. In 2025 (from January 1 to October 20), the carbon price declined, with an average of 76.73 yuan/ton [28][29]. - **Achievements**: The 2023 - year quota settlement was completed, and the carbon emission intensity decreased significantly. The carbon market has achieved good emission reduction results [33]. - **Pilot Areas**: In 2024, Guangdong had the most regulated enterprises. Except for Tianjin, carbon prices in other pilot areas declined, and Guangdong was the most active in terms of trading volume [38][40]. 3.3 Carbon Market Innovation Mechanisms: Stimulate Market Vitality - **Hubei's "Electricity - Carbon - Finance" Linkage Market**: In May 2024, relevant parties in Hubei signed a coordinated agreement. The background was that the carbon emissions of regulated enterprises were calculated without deducting the green electricity part. This mechanism allows regulated enterprises to obtain low - interest loans to buy green electricity, reducing compliance costs [47][50]. - **Beijing's Refined Quota Repurchase Principles**: In 2024, Beijing issued relevant management measures to regulate market supply and demand through measures such as quota repurchase, aiming to address carbon price fluctuations and supply - demand imbalances [52][53]. - **Chongqing's "Carbon Market - Carbon Offset - Carbon Inclusive" Linkage Mechanism**: In 2024, Chongqing established the "Carbon - Friendly" voluntary emission reduction system and platform. By May 2025, it had attracted over 3.7 million participants, with more than 30 low - carbon application scenarios for residents and over 208 registered enterprise users [47][56]. 3.4 Guangzhou Carbon Exchange: Promote Low - Carbon Development in the Greater Bay Area - **Development History**: The Guangzhou Carbon Exchange has a long - standing development history, from the initial establishment to the launch of various platforms and business expansions [59]. - **Policy Framework**: It follows a policy framework of government guidance, market operation, and public participation, and has established a multi - industry quota trading system and innovative carbon financial tools [60]. - **Transaction Volume and Carbon Price**: The trading volume and carbon price in the Guangdong carbon market have been affected by factors such as the postponement of compliance time and the expansion of the national carbon market [67][71]. - **Carbon Financial Products**: The Guangzhou Carbon Exchange has developed 5 carbon financial products, with carbon quota repurchase having the highest trading volume and turnover [72][73]. - **Promotion of the Greater Bay Area Carbon Market**: The Guangzhou Carbon Exchange actively promotes the construction of the Greater Bay Area carbon market, conducts cooperation and exchanges with Hong Kong and Macao, and participates in relevant research projects [76][77]. - **Carbon Inclusive Mechanism**: The "Qin Carbon Star" in the Hengqin - Macao Cooperation Zone encourages individuals to participate in low - carbon activities through carbon credits and has attracted the participation of many low - carbon businesses [81][83].

Core Insights - The article discusses the development and significance of China's carbon market, which has become the largest in the world, covering over 60% of the country's carbon emissions [2][24] - It highlights the transition from pilot programs in select cities to a national market, emphasizing the importance of regulatory frameworks and technological integration [4][7][10] Summary by Sections Development of Carbon Market - China initiated its carbon market with pilot programs in 2011 in cities like Beijing and Shanghai, which later provided valuable insights for the national market [4][5] - The national carbon market officially launched on July 16, 2021, initially including 2,162 power generation companies, covering approximately 4.5 billion tons of carbon emissions [5][7] Market Expansion and Performance - By 2025, the market is expected to expand to include steel, cement, and aluminum industries, adding around 2.5 billion tons of emissions to its coverage [7] - As of August 2025, the carbon market has traded nearly 700 million tons of allowances, with a transaction value exceeding 47.4 billion [8][10] Pricing and Impact on Emissions - The average carbon price in 2024 has increased significantly compared to 2021, with reduced volatility indicating growing confidence in the market [10] - Companies within the carbon market have shown a notable reduction in emission intensity, with their carbon emissions per unit of GDP being lower than non-participating firms [10] Future Goals and Regulatory Framework - The central government has set clear targets for the carbon market, aiming for comprehensive coverage of major industrial sectors by 2027 and a mixed allocation system by 2030 [13][14] - The transition from intensity-based allocation to total emissions control is planned, with a gradual increase in auctioned allowances [16][17] Challenges and Areas for Improvement - Current issues include excessive administrative intervention in allowance distribution, lack of financial instruments like carbon futures, and inconsistent data standards across regions [21][22] - Effective regulation requires collaboration among various departments to ensure funds are directed towards green initiatives and to prevent market manipulation [22] Future Developments - Plans for introducing carbon futures and establishing market makers are in place, with potential for alignment with the EU carbon market [24] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding and participating in the carbon market for all stakeholders, as it plays a crucial role in achieving carbon neutrality goals [25][27]

Core Insights - The rapid development of the green finance market has led to an increase in relevant information and data, with a focus on the latest trends and practices in the field [1] Group 1: Sustainable Finance Initiatives - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has launched the second phase of public consultation for the "Hong Kong Sustainable Finance Classification Directory," expanding the coverage from 4 to 6 industries and from 12 to 25 economic activities, introducing definitions for "transformation" and "climate change adaptation" [2] - The Central Securities Depository has released a revised disclosure indicator system for green finance, enhancing the compatibility of environmental benefit disclosure standards for green bonds and loans, and providing a unified basis for market application [3] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission reported that the disclosure rate of sustainable reports among listed companies is expected to reach 34.7% in 2024, with mandatory disclosures starting in 2026 for certain companies [4] Group 2: Market Developments and Innovations - A seminar on the innovative application of the Common Green Taxonomy (CGT) reached consensus on expanding the taxonomy to include low-carbon mining and green shipping, and promoting the visibility and investability of green products [5][6] - The national carbon market saw a price fluctuation with a peak of 58.20 yuan/ton and a total trading volume of 11,808,565 tons last week, indicating active market engagement [7] - Gansu Province has launched its first biodiversity loan product, "Borrowing for Pasture," aimed at supporting ecological protection and restoration, marking an innovative financial practice in biodiversity finance [8] - The Macau International Carbon Emission Trading Exchange has officially launched its new green asset trading platform, enhancing the efficiency and transparency of carbon asset transactions [9]

Core Viewpoint - The recent expansion of CCER methodologies by the Ministry of Ecology and Environment is expected to have significant impacts on companies involved in carbon asset development, particularly in terms of performance, business upgrades, and strategic restructuring [1] Group 1: CCER Methodology Expansion - The fifth batch of six CCER methodologies has been released, increasing the total from four to thirteen in 2023, and extending coverage from renewable sectors like wind power and afforestation to areas such as building energy efficiency and agricultural waste management [1] - The expansion of methodologies is seen as a move towards facilitating the transition from high carbon to low carbon practices [1] Group 2: Impact on Companies - Companies like Yueyang Forest and Paper are experiencing tangible impacts from the methodology expansion, including accelerated monetization of carbon assets from existing forestry carbon sinks and biomass power generation projects, leading to new profit growth points [1] - The integration of traditional business with carbon asset development is expected to enhance overall project returns [1] - The CCER mechanism is prompting companies to reassess the carbon value of their business lines, driving resources towards areas with high emission reduction potential, which lays the groundwork for future participation in carbon finance and innovative business models [1] Group 3: International Market Considerations - Experts suggest that participation in the international carbon market may still be premature for China, as the overall development of the international carbon market imposes high requirements for methodologies, project audits, and risk management [1] - The European CBAM framework has heightened awareness of "greenwashing" issues, leading to increased scrutiny of both product-level and investment financing behaviors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market in China has become a crucial policy tool for addressing climate change and promoting green transformation, with significant growth in trading volume and market participation since its inception four years ago [1][2]. Market Development - The national carbon market has achieved a cumulative trading volume of 728 million tons and a total transaction value of 49.83 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025 [1]. - The trading volume has increased by 40% compared to the same period last year, indicating a rise in market activity and participant engagement [3]. - The number of trading accounts opened by newly included key emission units reached 1,277 by the end of August 2025, expanding the market's participant base [2]. Industry Inclusion and Impact - The carbon market has expanded to include four major industries: power generation, steel, aluminum smelting, and building materials, enhancing market diversity and trading opportunities [2][3]. - The structural changes in market participants have led to increased trading opportunities due to varying judgments on market transactions among different enterprises [2]. Local Market Role - Local carbon markets, such as Shanghai's, are expected to continue supporting local "dual carbon" goals and green development, even as they face challenges from the national market's expansion [6]. - Shanghai's carbon market has over 2,200 registered entities, including around 400 regulated enterprises and numerous investment and financial institutions, contributing to its trading volume and activity [5]. Future Directions - The carbon market is set to transition towards a model of "paid allocation + total control" during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on policy coordination and the establishment of a total control mechanism for carbon emissions [11]. - Shanghai plans to further diversify its market participants and explore innovative environmental rights, including water rights and pollution rights trading, to enhance market functionality [7][10].

Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market in China has become the largest in the world, effectively managing over 60% of the country's carbon dioxide emissions, with significant growth in trading volume and market participation observed in 2023 [1][2]. Market Development - The national carbon market has been operational for four years, with a cumulative trading volume of 728 million tons and a total transaction value of 49.83 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025 [1]. - The trading volume in 2023 has increased by 40% compared to the same period last year, indicating a rise in market activity and participant engagement [4]. - The number of key emission units that have opened trading accounts has reached 1,277, contributing to a more diverse market structure [2][3]. Market Structure and Participants - The expansion of the carbon market to include industries such as steel, aluminum smelting, and building materials has diversified the market, enhancing the richness and variety of market participants [3]. - The quality of market participants has improved, with many companies establishing dedicated carbon asset management departments, leading to a more proactive approach to carbon management [4]. Local Market Dynamics - Local carbon markets, such as Shanghai's, are expected to continue playing a crucial role in supporting local carbon reduction goals and green development, despite a reduction in quota coverage due to the national market's expansion [5][7]. - Shanghai's carbon market has over 2,200 registered entities, including around 400 key emission enterprises, which contributes to its high trading activity [6]. Future Directions - The carbon market is set to transition towards a model of "paid allocation + total control" during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on policy coordination between industrial and carbon market policies [10]. - Plans are in place to include all major industrial emission sectors in the carbon market by 2027, with ongoing research into paid allocation mechanisms to enhance market efficiency [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - The national carbon market in China has become the largest in the world, effectively managing over 60% of the country's carbon dioxide emissions, and is evolving towards a model of "paid allocation + total control" during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][10]. Market Development - The national carbon market has been operational for four years, with a cumulative trading volume of 728 million tons and a total transaction value of 49.83 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025 [1]. - The trading volume in the carbon market has increased significantly, with a 40% growth compared to the same period last year, and trading activity has improved with a 75% increase in transaction volume, number of trading enterprises, and transaction counts in the first half of 2025 compared to 2024 [2][3]. Market Structure and Participants - The inclusion of new key emission units has expanded the market's participant base to 1,277 entities, enhancing market diversity and creating more trading opportunities [2]. - The market now covers four major industries: power generation, steel, aluminum smelting, and building materials, which has diversified the market structure and improved trading dynamics [2]. Local Market Role - Local carbon markets, such as Shanghai's, are expected to continue supporting local "dual carbon" goals and green development, even as they face challenges from the national market's expansion [4][6]. - Shanghai's carbon market has over 2,200 registered entities, including around 400 regulated enterprises and 1,800 investment and financial institutions, contributing to high trading activity [5]. Future Directions - The Shanghai Environmental Energy Exchange is focusing on expanding industry coverage, researching paid allocation mechanisms, and promoting market participant diversification [8][9]. - The transition to a "paid allocation + total control" model is a key focus for the 14th Five-Year Plan, with an emphasis on policy coordination between industrial and carbon market policies [10].