Group 1: AI and Technology Stocks - Wall Street strategists are currently dismissing concerns about an AI bubble, with predictions that technology stocks will lead the market until 2030, potentially pushing the S&P 500 index to between 10,000 and 13,000 points by then [1] - UBS strategists forecast the S&P 500 index to rise to 7,700 points by the end of next year, attributing market growth to earnings rather than valuation bubbles [1] - Ed Yardeni, founder of Yardeni Research, also predicts the S&P 500 will reach 7,700 points next year, citing factors such as the recently passed tax reform and the AI boom [1] Group 2: AI Sector Volatility - The AI sector is expected to experience increased volatility by 2026, as major tech companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple approach valuation ceilings, raising market expectations for performance and growth [2] - A few leading tech companies now account for 30-40% of the Nasdaq's market value, which is significant compared to the US annual GDP, indicating structural concentration risks [2] - Despite short-term pressures, long-term capital investment in AI across computing power, software, and applications is expected to continue, with market dynamics heavily influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [2] Group 3: Silver Market Dynamics - The silver market experienced significant volatility, with prices rising by 6% to nearly $84 per ounce before dropping over 3%, influenced by rumors of a major bank facing margin calls [3] - Analysts suggest that the recent surge in silver prices was driven more by sentiment and leveraged trading rather than fundamental changes, indicating a potential end to the recent rally [3] - The overall precious metals market is entering a high-volatility phase, with a shift from a "buy the dip" mentality to a focus on risk and market revaluation [3] Group 4: Copper Price Surge - International copper prices reached a historic high of $12,960 per ton, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 41%, driven by supply-demand dynamics and supportive monetary policy [5] - Major copper producers are lowering production forecasts due to mine accidents and declining ore grades, while demand is surging from energy transitions and AI-driven data center construction [5] - By 2050, demand for copper in AI data center electrical wiring is projected to increase sixfold, reaching approximately 3 million tons annually [5] Group 5: Industry Outlook - The copper market is expected to enter a long-term bullish phase due to ongoing demand from AI servers, electric vehicles, and high-speed communications, while supply constraints persist [6] - The focus in the copper industry is shifting from cost competition to performance and technology, with leading companies likely to maintain profitability and benefit from electronic industry upgrades [6] - Global economic recovery expectations are identified as a primary driver for rising copper prices, although excessive price increases could negatively impact global industrial development [7]

12月29日，金安国纪涨2.03%，成交额6.10亿元。两融数据显示，当日金安国纪获融资买入额7889.11万 元，融资偿还7179.74万元，融资净买入709.37万元。截至12月29日，金安国纪融资融券余额合计3.85亿 元。 融资方面，金安国纪当日融资买入7889.11万元。当前融资余额3.85亿元，占流通市值的3.01%，融资余 额超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，金安国纪12月29日融券偿还0.00股，融券卖出9300.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 16.32万元；融券余量2.24万股，融券余额39.31万元，超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 截至9月30日，金安国纪股东户数6.19万，较上期增加39.65%；人均流通股11704股，较上期减少 28.39%。2025年1月-9月，金安国纪实现营业收入32.51亿元，同比增长10.28%；归母净利润1.73亿元， 同比增长73.90%。 分红方面，金安国纪A股上市后累计派现3.37亿元。近三年，累计派现1.67亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，金安国纪十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股 ...

6 点评报告 2025 年 12 月 29 日 晨会纪要 证书编号：S1080525070001 第一创业证券研究所 分析师：刘笑瑜 电话：0755-23838239 邮箱：liuxiaoyu@fcsc.com 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、宏观经济组： 事件： 12 月 27 日（星期六）国家统计局公布 11 月中国工业企业利润数据。 评论： 1-11 月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额 6.63 万亿元，同比增长 0.1%，比 1-10 月回落 1.8 个百分点，连续两个月回落；其中，1-11 月制造业同比增长 5.0%， 较 1-10 月回落 2.7 个百分点。11 月份，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长-13.1%， 而 10 月同比增速为-5.5%；这主要 是因为 PPI 的上涨主要集中在上游，并未向下游 传导。1-11 月，全国规模以上工业企业营业收入利润率为 5.29%（其中制造业为 4.62%），1-10 月为 5.25%（其中制造业为 4.57%）；11 月末产成品库存同比 4.6%， 较 10 月回升 0.9 个百分点; 资产负债率为 58.1%,10 月末为 58%。 从 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market has seen a continuous rise, indicating the gradual initiation of a year-end rally, with global risk assets recovering amid easing liquidity tightening expectations [3][12] - The market is shifting focus from a single narrative around AI to a broader range of themes, including domestic demand, price increase chains, and new industrial themes like commercial aerospace [3][12] - The current market rally is characterized by industry rotation and the emergence of new investment themes for 2026, driven by the interplay between AI investment and global manufacturing recovery [3][12] Group 2 - Recent price increases across various industries have become a focal point, with raw material price hikes being a primary driver, leading to passive price increases in many sectors [4][17] - The effects of anti-involution policies are becoming evident, as some companies opt for voluntary production cuts and joint price increases to maintain competitive order amid rising upstream costs and downstream price pressures [4][17] - The sustainability of price increases varies by sector, with strong demand in some areas like lithium battery and wafer manufacturing, while sectors with weaker demand, such as titanium dioxide, may face challenges in sustaining price hikes [4][24] Group 3 - A new cycle of RMB appreciation is emerging, primarily driven by the weakening dollar and seasonal capital inflows, with medium-term support from improved China-U.S. relations and resilient export performance [5][33] - Historical trends indicate that during RMB appreciation periods, companies with high overseas exposure often experience a temporary increase in sales margins, followed by a decline, suggesting a complex relationship between currency strength and export competitiveness [5][34] - The current RMB appreciation is expected to alleviate cost pressures from rising prices of commodities and integrated circuits, benefiting sectors such as communication equipment, environmental governance, and lithium batteries [5][40] Group 4 - The new investment themes for 2026 are beginning to manifest across commodity markets, real industry chains, and foreign exchange markets, with a focus on industrial resource products that resonate with AI investment and global manufacturing recovery [6][12] - Recommended sectors include industrial resource products like copper, aluminum, and lithium, as well as equipment export chains with global comparative advantages, and consumer sectors benefiting from inbound recovery and rising household income [6][12]

A股市场上，覆铜板指数最近走势也颇为亮眼，近25个交易日内已涨超18%。12月26日，覆 铜板厂商生益科技（600183,SH）、南亚新材（688519.SH）分别涨5.4%、13.59%。 作者丨叶映橙 见习记者林健民 编辑丨张楠 12月26日，沪铜期货价格强势攀升，一举突破99000元/吨大关，再创历史新高。 同日，全球最大覆铜板（CCL）生产商之一的建滔积层板（01888.HK）宣布， 因铜价暴涨 及玻璃布供应紧张，即日起对公司所有材料价格统一上调10%。 这是该公司12月以来第二 次宣布涨价，值得注意的是，建滔积层板最近3个交易日股价涨超7%。此前，另一覆铜板巨 头南亚塑胶在11月也发布涨价函。 此外，鹏鼎控股也回应，称公司目前原材料价格较为稳定，暂未看到铜价上涨带来的影响。 该公司此前在半年度业绩说明会上指出，公司主要以进口高端覆铜板材料为主，此类材料的 市场价格波动相对较小，因此对公司整体成本的影响也较为有限。公司积极与上游原材料厂 商加强合作与沟通，及时调整原材料库存，保证原材料的供应稳定，同时通过技术升级，不 断优化产品结构，开发高附加值产品，以降低原材料价格上涨给公司利润带来的压力。 彼时鹏 ...

12月26日，沪铜期货价格强势攀升，一举突破99000元/吨大关，再创历史新高。 同日，全球最大覆铜板(CCL)生产商之一的建滔积层板(01888.HK)宣布，因铜价暴涨及玻璃布供应紧张，即日起对公司所有材料 价格统一上调10%。这是该公司12月以来第二次宣布涨价，值得注意的是，建滔积层板最近3个交易日股价涨超7%。此前，另一 覆铜板巨头南亚塑胶在11月也发布涨价函。 A股市场上，覆铜板指数最近走势也颇为亮眼，近25个交易日内已涨超18%。12月26日，覆铜板厂商生益科技（600183） (600183,SH)、南亚新材(688519.SH)分别涨5.4%、13.59%。 PCB龙头东山精密（002384）向以投资者身份致电的21财经.南财快讯记者表示："我们这块的话有做过商品套保，所以对于上游 原材料涨价的影响应该也可控。" 此外，鹏鼎控股（002938）也回应，称公司目前原材料价格较为稳定，暂未看到铜价上涨带来的影响。该公司此前在半年度业 绩说明会上指出，公司主要以进口高端覆铜板材料为主，此类材料的市场价格波动相对较小，因此对公司整体成本的影响也较 为有限。公司积极与上游原材料厂商加强合作与沟通，及时调整 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通证券发布研究报告称，上周热点主题日均成交额平均6.75亿元，日均换手 率3.07%，整体均显著回落。内需消费与科技主题呈轮动特征，乳业/零售/食品加工/航空等内需主题大 涨，有色金属部分品种获得资金净流入，商业航天主题波动加大，算力/光通信/覆铜板等AI相关主题转 跌，海南板块有所走弱。近期美联储降息、日本央行加息等外部扰动因素逐步落地，市场风险偏好有望 企稳回升。国内扩大内需政策预期持续强化，内需成为接力科技主题轮动的重要方向。跨年行情资金从 再平衡转向再配置，看好AI应用/商业航天/海南自贸/内需消费。 主题四：内需消费。中央提出深入实施提振消费专项行动，制定实施城乡居民增收计划。新需求引领新 供给，新供给创造新需求，我国体育赛事/冰雪旅游/演出文旅等新消费场景不断兴起。"苏超"溢出效应 显著，已带动江苏全域多场景消费超380亿元;辽宁省委提出办好"东北超"，努力打造具有全国影响力的 足球赛事品牌;2024-2025冰雪季，我国冰雪运动消费规模超1875亿元，同比增长25%。推荐：1、新场景 新需求涌现的赛事经济/冰雪旅游;2、受益促消费举措加码的旅游/免税/酒店;3、游戏/潮 ...

证券日报网讯12月17日，同宇新材（301630）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司主要客户包括建 滔集团、生益科技（600183）、南亚新材、华正新材（603186）、金宝电子、超声电子（000823）等全 球覆铜板行业知名厂商。公司母公司产能利用率近年来持续保持较高水平，江西同宇产能仍处于爬坡 期。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Continuous investment in R&D is essential for companies in technology-intensive industries like copper-clad laminates to advance into high-end markets and avoid being eliminated by industry reshuffling [2][26]. Group 1: R&D Investment - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's R&D expenses reached 1.014 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, significantly surpassing five competitors' combined R&D expenses of 694 million yuan [3][20]. - The company has consistently focused on copper-clad laminates since its establishment in 1985, with this segment generating 8.364 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, accounting for 67.34% of its main business revenue [7][10]. - R&D expenses are primarily allocated to employee salaries (202 million yuan), stock incentives (104 million yuan), and direct investments (308 million yuan), which together account for 95.5% of total R&D spending [16][18]. Group 2: Market Position and Performance - The company has established itself as a pioneer in the high-end copper-clad laminate sector, having begun research on advanced materials as early as 2004 and achieving industrialization of high-frequency laminates in 2017 [14][19]. - By the first half of 2025, the company held 534 valid patents, with 18 patents granted in that period alone, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [18][19]. - The company achieved revenues of 20.614 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.443 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 39.8% and 78.04%, respectively [20][23]. Group 3: Industry Context - The copper-clad laminate industry is characterized by high technical barriers, with key formulations and processes often monopolized by foreign leaders, making entry challenging for domestic players [13][14]. - The demand for high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminates is driven by advancements in terminal products, particularly in AI computing and server technology, which require improved signal transmission and lower loss [11][12]. - The company has successfully captured approximately 3% of the global high-end copper-clad laminate market, becoming the only Chinese mainland enterprise to enter the global top ten in this sector [19][20].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the price increase of copper-clad laminate products due to rising copper prices and tight supply of glass fabric, with specific increases of 5% for CEM-1/22F/V0/HB products and 10% for FR-4 and PP products [1] - The current high raw material prices and high operating rates of downstream PCB manufacturers suggest that the trend of price adjustments for copper-clad laminate products is likely to continue [1] - The growth potential is expected to increase significantly next year as new platform products from the GPU and ASIC camps begin to adopt M8.5+ materials, which will enhance the value of copper-clad laminate products [1] Group 2 - The HKPCA Show 2025 is set to take place on December 3 at the Shenzhen International Convention and Exhibition Center, where Kingboard Laminates will showcase high-end solutions that align with the demands of AI and automotive electronics [1] - Kingboard Laminates will prominently feature innovative solutions covering AI servers, IC substrates, and automotive electronics, all backed by clear technical support and market validation [1]