Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on sectors driven by domestic AI development such as servers and IDC, as well as sectors benefiting from overseas AI development like servers and optical modules [4]. Core Insights - Nvidia's H20 sales resumption in China has positively impacted the data center sector, leading to a surge in related stocks, indicating improved market sentiment regarding computing power supply [1][2]. - ASML and TSMC reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings, driven by strong AI demand, with ASML's net sales reaching €7.7 billion, up 23.2% year-on-year, and TSMC's revenue at NT$933.8 billion, up 38.6% year-on-year [1][59]. - The release of new AI models is accelerating technological iterations, with increased demand for inference and agent computing power [1]. - Companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng have reported Q2 2025 earnings that exceeded market expectations, reflecting positive trends in the downstream industry [1][9]. Summary by Sections Server Sector - The server index increased by 4.59% this week and 3.96% this month, driven by accelerated AI computing investments from North American cloud providers like Google and Meta, which plan to invest $25 billion and hundreds of billions respectively in AI infrastructure [2][6]. - TSMC's optimistic forecast for 2025, expecting a 30% year-on-year sales growth, further validates strong downstream AI demand [6][59]. Optical Module Sector - The optical module index rose by 9.17% this week and 10.33% this month, with North American cloud providers driving demand for 800G optical modules [9]. - Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng are key suppliers in this sector, with projected net profits showing significant year-on-year growth [9]. IDC Sector - The IDC index increased by 5.28% this week and 4.31% this month, with the resumption of H20 supply alleviating previous chip shortages, indicating a potential turning point for the AIDC industry [12]. - The report anticipates continued growth in capital expenditures from domestic internet giants in the second half of 2025, supporting the domestic computing power chain [12].

Summary of IDC Industry Update and Company Recommendations Industry Overview - The IDC industry is shifting its core competitiveness from energy consumption metrics to scale effects and first-mover advantages in the AI era, with ultra-large IDC clusters, especially high-power clusters, becoming crucial. The power demand per cabinet has increased to over 100 kilowatts [1][4][6]. Key Points and Arguments - Long-term trends in computing power investment remain unchanged, although short-term adjustments may occur due to chip procurement and deployment rhythms. The growth in TOKEN volume and model iteration value continues to support ongoing investments, altering industry logic [1][5]. - The IDC sector has previously faced demand concerns, chip bans, and regulatory guidance, but the outlook is improving. The demand for computing power for AI model training is rapidly increasing, with major overseas companies accelerating data center construction [1][2][9]. - The chip ban previously led to a significant inventory write-down for NVIDIA's H20 servers, affecting approximately 390,000 server sales, corresponding to 160-200 megawatts of IT capacity. NVIDIA plans to launch the RTX Pro GPU, and domestic GPUs will also be delivered, alleviating tender and listing issues [1][10][11]. - Regulatory guidance has extended the approval time for energy consumption metrics, limiting local capacity oversupply, which benefits leading companies. The first batch of energy consumption metrics is expected to be approved in the third quarter [1][12]. Company-Specific Insights - Runze Technology has resumed its IDC renovation and is expected to achieve an 80%-90% listing rate by year-end, with a projected quarter-on-quarter performance increase. The company anticipates selling 200 megawatts of projects and delivering 220 megawatts of new projects, with a successful public REITs issuance expected to yield over 2 billion in investment returns [3][13][14]. - The company has a robust cash reserve of over 5 billion and plans to utilize public REITs for light asset operations, aiming to acquire related companies in the IDC industry [15]. - Runze Technology's energy consumption metrics have increased by 130% by the end of 2024, with all projects having the necessary metrics, laying a solid foundation for long-term growth [16]. Investment Opportunities and Risks - Despite recent pressures, the IDC sector is showing signs of recovery, with demand for high-power cabinets increasing. Short-term adjustments may present investment opportunities, particularly in companies with high-quality existing resources and listing rates [7][8]. - Recommended companies for further attention include: - GDS Holdings - Century Internet - Huayun Data - David Technology - Aofei Data - Data Port These companies have received high recognition in the market for their public REITs offerings and have various development highlights [17]. Overall Industry Outlook - The IDC sector's previous stock price suppression factors are improving, leading to a more optimistic outlook for future development. Runze Technology is the primary recommendation, with continued attention on other listed companies [18].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing significant growth in sectors such as optical modules, AI computing power, and IDC computing power leasing, with the AI-focused ETF, Huaxia (159381), rising nearly 3% [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang, a leading optical module company, forecasts a net profit of 3.6 billion to 4.4 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.64% to 86.57% [1] - The company attributes its growth to strong capital expenditures from CSP customers and increasing demand for 400G and 800G optical modules driven by AI infrastructure and ASIC chips [1] Group 2 - The computing power sector shows high visibility in performance, strong industry sentiment, and significant capital attention, indicating potential for repeated activity [2] - The Huaxia AI ETF tracks the AI index of the ChiNext board, with over 33% weight in optical modules, and includes major companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication among its top holdings [2] - The ETF has a low management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee rate of 0.05%, making it competitive among similar funds [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a significant rise in sectors related to optical modules, optical communication, and the Nvidia supply chain, with the AI ETF tracking the ChiNext index increasing by 5.52% [1] - Key stocks in the AI ETF include leading optical module companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Tianfu Communication, with the top ten holdings also featuring major players in chip design and cloud computing [1] - The ETF has a low annual management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee rate of 0.05%, making it one of the most cost-effective options in its category [2] Group 2 - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang is scheduled to attend the China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo on July 16, marking his third visit to China this year [2] - The demand for high-performance chips like GPUs is expected to drive a surge in related equipment needs, benefiting domestic leading manufacturers who have advantages in market share and technology [2] - The industry is anticipated to experience high growth, with leading companies likely to capture more market share due to their established positions and technological expertise [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market continues its recovery trend, with active sectors including lithium mining, central enterprise banks, and ultra-high voltage, while the TMT sector is preparing for a pullback [1] - The AI ETF on the ChiNext, Huaxia (159381), shows active buying interest, with funds being subscribed during trading [1] - Demand for high-performance chips like GPUs is expected to drive the demand for related equipment such as optical modules, PCBs, and switches, benefiting leading domestic manufacturers [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext AI ETF Huaxia (159381) tracks the ChiNext AI Index, selecting AI-focused companies listed on the ChiNext, with a daily price fluctuation limit of ±20% [2] - The optical module CPO concept stocks account for over 33% of the ETF's weight, with the top three constituent stocks being NewEase, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication [2] - The management fee rate is currently 0.15%, and the custody fee rate is 0.05%, making the overall fee rate the lowest among comparable funds [2]

Market Overview - The three major indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.04% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.04% [1] - The iron ore, memory storage, and fiberglass sectors showed the highest gains, while the China Shipbuilding sector, AI corpus, and Kuaishou concept sectors experienced the largest declines [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 3,474.63, up 0.04%, with 845 gainers and 889 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 10,431.78, down 0.04%, with 1,073 gainers and 1,203 losers [2] - Northbound 50 Index: 1,403.84, up 0.14%, with 133 gainers and 100 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 2,129.49, down 0.03%, with 546 gainers and 620 losers [2] U.S. Market Performance - U.S. stock markets opened lower and closed with the worst single-day performance since mid-June, with the Dow Jones down 0.94%, S&P 500 down 0.79%, and Nasdaq down 0.92% [3] - Notable movements in Chinese concept stocks included Bilibili up 7.66% and Alibaba down 2.24% [3] Institutional Insights - CICC reported that the active trading volume is a crucial indicator of capital market depth, suggesting a significant change in the asset and funding structure of the Hong Kong stock market, which may enhance long-term growth potential [4] - Huatai Securities indicated that the IDC sector is expected to benefit from the growing demand for intelligent computing centers, marking a potential turning point for the industry [5] - CITIC Securities maintained a "stronger than market" rating for the beauty industry, highlighting a 10%+ GMV growth during the recent 618 shopping festival [6] - Huatai Securities noted that domestic leading companies are likely to benefit from improved fertilizer demand and profitability due to global planting area growth and limited new industry capacity [7]

通信 需求仍强劲，国产链再出发 20250624 摘要 AI 驱动算力需求激增，光模块用量环比增长 30%，AI 工具调用占比提 升至 30%，云厂商通过囤货和租赁保障算力，预计三季度后或有新的采 购方案，为国内产业链带来机遇。 国内光模块产业链受益于云厂商需求，如阿里巴巴大规模招标和 H 公司 增加高光模块配比订单，二线云厂商需求增加，自动驾驶等应用场景驱 动算力需求，预计下半年云厂商持续招标，国产厂商通过海外布局扩大 市场份额。 IDC 行业存量资产预计短期内消化，国产产业链超预期或改善行业情绪， CSP 大客户占比高及传统机柜无法满足需求加速 IDC 去化，IDC 运营行 业价格接近历史低点，供需结构失衡问题凸显，关注润泽科技等规模大、 贝塔属性强的标的。 算力租赁市场迎来布局时机，国内需求与产业紧密度相关，大厂资本开 支保持高位，AI 端侧需求增加将释放推理算力需求，Blackwell 芯片推 理能力更强，算力租赁成为大厂获取高端算力的重要途径，推荐具有稳 定芯片获取渠道公司。 Q&A 当前国内算力产业链的核心观点是什么？ 国内算力产业链在 2025 年第二季度的需求情况仍然非常强劲，相关主要公司 的 ...

Core Viewpoint - Century Internet is positioning itself as a platform company that aims to facilitate the transition into the world of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) through innovative infrastructure and collaborative intelligence [1][4] Group 1: Strategic Vision - The founder of Century Internet, Chen Sheng, emphasizes the importance of creating a platform that serves as a gateway to the AI world, likening it to the magical 9th platform in Harry Potter [1] - The company aims to evolve from merely being a service provider to becoming an integral part of the collaborative intelligence ecosystem, participating actively in the development of new AI paradigms [2][4] Group 2: Technological Innovations - The company is focusing on upgrading its cloud computing platform to incorporate a comprehensive software virtualization that aligns with the emerging cloud-native technologies [3] - Chen Sheng highlights the need for advanced packaging of AI infrastructure, which is essential for delivering integrated hardware and software solutions to clients [3] Group 3: Infrastructure Development - Century Internet is committed to engineering innovation, with each infrastructure project being treated as a product that undergoes continuous iteration to achieve high quality and performance [4] - The company aims to create a seamless connection between clients and data centers, utilizing advanced protocols like RDMA to enhance performance [4] Group 4: Collaborative Intelligence Roadmap - The company has outlined a roadmap for developing a new generation of collective intelligence, starting with the private deployment of open-source large models and progressing towards decentralized networks [5] - The goal is to achieve significant milestones in collective intelligence through collaboration and shared success among stakeholders [5]

Group 1 - The A-share index opened lower but showed volatility, with active performance in sectors such as lithium batteries, Chinese language corpus, and optical module CPO concepts [1] - The AI computing power demand continues to rise, driven by accelerated shipments of Nvidia's GB200 and upcoming GB300 chips, alongside strong demand from major US cloud service providers [1][2] - Companies in the supply chain are expected to benefit from the expanding AI-driven computing power demand, with optimistic revenue guidance from firms like Broadcom and New Yisheng [2] Group 2 - The Huaxia AI ETF (159381) tracks the AI index of the ChiNext board, focusing on AI-related companies listed on the ChiNext, with a daily price fluctuation limit of ±20% [2] - The index covers the entire AI industry chain, emphasizing hardware, software, and applications, with a significant focus on leading companies in communication equipment and optical modules [2] - The top five constituent stocks include leading optical module companies New Yisheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication, while the top ten also feature chip design firms and industry leaders in IDC, cloud computing, and data centers [2]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive investment outlook for the communication sector, particularly focusing on sub-sectors like optical communication and smart cards, which have shown better performance recently [1][10]. Core Insights - The communication industry is experiencing a downturn, with the overall index down by 0.78%, while specific sub-sectors like smart cards and optical devices have seen gains of 3.88% and 3.51% respectively [1][10]. - The integration of 5G and AI is expected to enhance profitability, with approximately 70% of the constituents in the 5G communication theme index having business related to 5G and about 76% related to AI [2][43]. - The report highlights a significant growth in revenue and net profit for the 5G communication theme index constituents, projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue in the range of 10% to 30% over the next three years [2][45]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Performance - The communication sector index declined by 0.78%, while the overall market indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite down by 0.25% and the ChiNext up by 0.22% [1][10]. - Sub-sectors such as smart cards and optical devices performed well, with respective gains of 3.88% and 3.51% [1][10]. 2. Industry Development and Key Events - The global data center market is driven by AI, digitalization, and policy support, with the top ten data center service providers holding 59.5% of the total global resource capacity [24][26]. - The report notes a rapid increase in the proportion of large and super-large data centers in China, which are expected to dominate new constructions [26][30]. 3. 5G and AI Integration - The report emphasizes the high correlation between 5G and AI businesses, with a stable recovery in profitability observed [2][43]. - The constituents of the 5G communication theme index are projected to achieve a total revenue of CNY 1,788.51 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.4% [2][45]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality stocks in sub-sectors with improving market conditions, particularly in optical communication and data centers [3][41]. - Specific companies to watch include Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Tianfu Communication, among others [3][41].