Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [1][40]. Core Insights - Nvidia's GTC event provided a significant CAPEX guidance of $500 billion for the Blackwell-Rubin series, with North American CSPs showing a clear upward trend in capital expenditures for Q3 2025 [4][16]. - The report highlights a strong growth trend in AI infrastructure investments, with North American CSPs' capital expenditures reaching a total of $113.3 billion in Q3, marking a 75% year-on-year increase [5][17]. - The A-share communication industry is experiencing high growth in AI computing performance, although there is a mismatch between high short-term expectations and actual performance releases [5][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Nvidia's guidance for North American CSPs suggests CAPEX could reach $443 billion, $549 billion, and $632 billion from 2025 to 2027, with GPU shipments expected to total 20 million units [4][16]. - The report emphasizes the stability of capital markets regarding concerns over "AI bubble" investments, with Nvidia's roadmap enhancing investment certainty in areas like 1.6T optical modules and quantum computing [4][16]. A-Share Communication Industry Overview - The report notes that leading companies in optical modules, such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology, continue to expand production, with stable gross margin trends despite short-term performance fluctuations [5][17]. - The bottleneck effects in core materials like optical chips are becoming more pronounced, with domestic chip manufacturers expected to gain market share as overseas giants slow down production [5][17]. Market Performance - The overall market showed mixed performance during the week of October 27 to October 31, 2025, with the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.67% and the communication index declining by 3.59% [11][20]. - The report identifies cloud computing as the leading sector with a weekly increase of 22.48%, followed by IDC and equipment manufacturers [11][20]. Recommended Companies - The report suggests focusing on companies in various segments, including optical devices (e.g., Guangke Technology, Shijia Photon) and AIOT solutions (e.g., Rockchip, Yiyuan Communication) [20].

Group 1 - A-shares indices opened higher, with the ChiNext 50 ETF (159367) rising by 0.7%, driven by strong performances from stocks like Jiangbolong, which increased over 5%, and Zhongji Xuchuang, which rose over 3% [1] - NVIDIA's recent GTC conference highlighted that its Blackwell and Rubin architecture GPUs are expected to generate over $500 billion in revenue from 2025 to 2026, with an anticipated shipment of 20 million units, five times the revenue of the Hopper architecture from 2023 to 2025 [1] - The demand for optical modules is expected to benefit significantly from the increasing GPU shipments, as the ratio of Rubin platform GPUs to optical modules improves [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs noted that the upgrade cycle for optical module speeds from 800G to 1.6T, 3.2T, and 6.4T has shortened to 1-2 years, leading to continuous improvements in average selling price (ASP) and profit margins [1] - The transition from copper to optical interconnects in data centers is anticipated to start in 2027, potentially opening a new market worth hundreds of billions [1] - The ChiNext 50 Index selects the top 50 stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the ChiNext Index, representing leading companies with strong growth potential across sectors like batteries, securities, and communication equipment [1]

Group 1: AI Hard Technology Sector - Zhaoyi Innovation is positioned in the HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) industry chain, benefiting from the rising prices of HBM and the recovery of the storage chip market, with revenue growth driven by AI server storage demand [3][4] - Zhongji Xuchuang leads in optical modules for computing, with strong order volumes from overseas clients and a focus on the ramp-up of 1.6T optical modules, indicating strong future performance [4] - Sungrow Power Supply, a leader in energy storage and power equipment, is capitalizing on the growing demand for energy storage driven by AI, with a high global market share and stable cash flow from its photovoltaic inverter business [5] - Industrial Fulian is the largest AI server foundry globally, supplying major clients like NVIDIA and Microsoft, with over 30% of global AI server shipments, benefiting from increased capacity utilization [6] Group 2: Export Beneficiary Sector - Midea Group, a leader in home appliance exports, benefits from over 40% overseas revenue and a well-established factory layout in Southeast Asia and Europe, positively impacted by US-China tariff adjustments [7] - Fuyao Glass, a leader in automotive glass exports, holds over 25% global market share, with reduced export costs due to tariff relief and increasing demand for high-end glass from the growing penetration of electric vehicles [8][9] - Kuka Home, a leader in light industry exports, has nearly 50% overseas revenue, primarily from the US and Europe, with tariff reductions enhancing net profits and rapid expansion of cross-border e-commerce [10] Group 3: High Dividend Core Assets - Kweichow Moutai, an industry leader with strong brand barriers, shows stable revenue and profit growth, with a high cash dividend rate exceeding 3%, demonstrating strong risk resilience [11] - Yangtze Power, the largest publicly listed hydropower company globally, has stable and predictable cash flow, with a dividend rate exceeding 60% over the past decade, aligning with clean energy policies [12] - China Shenhua Energy, with a strong integrated layout in coal, electricity, and transportation, maintains a high dividend rate above 70% over the past five years, ensuring profitability amid stable coal prices [13]

11月6日，创业板人工智能大反攻，光模块龙头领涨。截至发稿，中际旭创、新易盛涨超4%，太辰光、 长芯博创、锐捷网络、天孚通信等跟涨超2%。热门ETF方面，重仓光模块的创业板人工智能ETF （159363）盘中猛攻超3%，收复10日均线，实时成交额超3.4亿元，放量明显。 第一上海表示，OpenAI等海外AI大厂商业化加速，推动AI应用的广泛落地，算力硬件需求维持高景 气。短期业绩波动不改明后年算力硬件的高景气趋势，建议淡化短期业绩波动，抓住核心变量——算力 CAPEX、Token消耗量、ARR等指标。高切低，赛道拥挤度等交易面因素可能影响短期市场情绪，但是 不改算力基本面的高景气。 全市场首只创业板人工智能ETF（159363）及场外联接（023407），标的指数重点布局光模块龙头"易 中天"，光模块含量超54%。从赛道分布来看，逾七成仓位布局算力，超两成仓位布局AI应用，能够高 效捕捉AI主题行情。同类比较看，截至10月31日，创业板人工智能ETF（159363）最新规模超35亿元， 近1个月日均成交额超7亿元，规模、交投在跟踪创业板人工智能指数的7只ETF中高居第一。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 北美四大 ...

消息面，英伟达CEO黄仁勋接受采访时表示："中国将赢得人工智能竞赛。"受消息催化，光模块占比超50%的通信ETF（515880）开盘拉升超3%，资金 布局踊跃，连续5日净流入超13亿元，近10日净流入超27亿元。 今年以来通信ETF（515880）在A股表现优异，在基本面确定性支撑+AI发展叙事的双击下，截至写稿年内涨幅超100%，居全市场ETF涨幅第一。 英伟达CEO黄仁勋：中国将赢得人工智能竞赛，光模块受催化 消息面，英伟达CEO黄仁勋接受采访时表示："中国将赢得人工智能竞赛。"他将中国的潜在胜利归功于更有利的监管环境和更低的能源成本。同时他还 批评了西方的做法，称这是阻碍进步的"犬儒主义"。他提到美国各州的AI新规可能产生"50条新规范"，这可能会扼杀AI创新和竞争。 基本面看，人工智能行业空间巨大，目前产业化正在加速，国内方面，国产GPU放量加速，国产算力持续强势。 光模块持续受到算力主线催化。一方面受惠于计算放量，配套的光模块出货量水涨船高，另一方面光模块800G/1.6T技术升级明确，渗透率或持续提 高。总体上处于量价齐升状态，市场规模迅速扩容，增速明年或比今年更高。据长江证券测算，25/26/2 ...

截至2025年11月6日 10:51，创业板指数强势上涨1.75%，成分股胜宏科技上涨5.16%，锐捷网络上涨5.14%，协创数据上涨4.99%，江波龙，长川科技等个股 跟涨。创业板ETF博时(159908)上涨1.70%，最新价报2.99元。拉长时间看，截至2025年11月5日，创业板ETF博时近2周累计上涨3.45%。 流动性方面，创业板ETF博时盘中换手1.68%，成交2096.73万元。拉长时间看，截至11月5日，创业板ETF博时近1周日均成交5018.01万元。 今日开盘，A股拉升，创业板指涨超1%，重回3200点上方；沪指涨0.27%，深成指涨0.91%。存储芯片、SOFC等方向涨幅居前，沪深京三市上涨个股近2200 只。 消息面上，GPU出货大增，光模块需求持续向好。产业趋势方面，英伟达在近期GTC大会上指出，其Blackwell与Rubin架构GPU在2025至2026年期间有望贡 献超过5000亿美元收入，预计出货量达2000万颗，为Hopper架构23-25年收入的5倍。随着Rubin平台GPU与光模块配比进一步提升，高端光模块产业链有望 深度受益。 高盛指出，光模块速率从800G向1.6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The computing power sector is experiencing a surge due to rising prices of HBM4 chips supplied by SK Hynix to Nvidia, indicating a broader trend of price increases in global memory chips, which is positively impacting cloud computing ETFs [1][10]. Group 1: Market Trends - The cloud computing ETF Huatai (159273) saw an increase of over 2% in early trading, with its latest scale exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, leading its peers [1][4]. - SK Hynix reported a 119% year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3 2025, with NAND ASP rising by 10%-15% and DRAM ASP increasing by 4%-6% [10][11]. Group 2: Company Performance - New Yi Sheng reported a Q3 2025 revenue of 6.07 billion yuan, a 5% decrease quarter-on-quarter, attributed to the rhythm of customer orders [3][7]. - Zhongji Xuchuang achieved a gross margin of 42.79% and a net margin of 32.57% in Q3 2025, benefiting from the ramp-up of silicon photonic modules and the release of 1.6T high-speed optical modules [7][9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The demand for high-speed optical modules is expected to rise significantly due to increased capital expenditures in AI by global CSP manufacturers and accelerated iterations of overseas optical communication solutions [3][9]. - The AI server market is projected to grow by over 30% annually by 2026, driven by strong demand from CSPs and sovereign clouds, with AI server shipments expected to increase by over 20% annually [10][11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [7][12]. Core Insights - The company reported strong growth in Q3, with revenue reaching RMB 250.0 billion, a year-over-year increase of 44.4%, and a net profit of RMB 71.3 billion, up 90.0% year-over-year [8]. - The company is positioned as a global leader in the optical module sector, with significant advancements in 1.6T and silicon photonics technologies, which are expected to drive future revenue growth [10]. - The report anticipates continued high growth in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with projected figures of RMB 112.63 billion, RMB 201.26 billion, and RMB 280.23 billion respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 117.8%, 78.7%, and 39.23% [10]. Company Overview - The company operates in the communication industry and has a current A-share price of RMB 477.01 as of November 5, 2025, with a target price set at RMB 550 [2][8]. - The company has a market capitalization of RMB 527.34 billion and a total share count of 1,111.12 million [2]. - The major shareholder is Shandong Zhongji Investment Holding Co., Ltd., holding 11.42% of the shares [2]. Financial Performance - For Q3, the company achieved a single-quarter revenue of RMB 102.2 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 56.8%, and a net profit of RMB 31.4 billion, up 125.0% year-over-year [8]. - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 42.79%, with a net profit margin of 32.57%, indicating improved profitability [10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the forecasted years are projected to be RMB 10.14, RMB 18.11, and RMB 25.22 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9]. Market Position - The company is recognized as the top player in the optical module market, maintaining its leading position according to LightCounting's 2023 rankings [10]. - The demand for the company's products is driven by the global growth in computing power, with the 1.6T products expected to see large-scale shipments soon [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant rally in the artificial intelligence sector within the ChiNext market, particularly driven by leading optical module companies [1] - Key optical module stocks such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng have seen gains exceeding 4%, while other companies like Taichengguang and Changxin Bochuang have also experienced increases of over 2% [1] - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363), which heavily invests in optical modules, surged over 3% during trading, recovering its 10-day moving average with a notable trading volume exceeding 150 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Lumentum, an overseas optical device supplier, reported its Q1 fiscal year 2026 earnings, projecting sales between 630 million to 670 million USD and non-GAAP earnings per share between 1.3 to 1.5 USD, indicating a robust outlook for the optical module industry [2] - The North American cloud service providers (MAMG) reported a 68% year-on-year increase in capital expenditures for Q3 2025, totaling 96.4 billion USD, with expectations for 2025 capital expenditures to reach 363.3 billion USD, reflecting a strong investment trend in AI infrastructure [3] - The optical communication industry is expected to maintain high demand in the AI era, with leading companies benefiting from technological innovations and pre-research on next-generation technologies [3] Group 3 - The first ChiNext AI ETF (159363) focuses on key opportunities in optical modules, with over 54% of its holdings in leading optical module companies, and more than 70% of its portfolio allocated to computing power [4] - As of October 31, 2025, the ChiNext AI ETF (159363) has a total size exceeding 3.5 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of over 700 million yuan, leading among similar ETFs tracking the ChiNext AI index [4]

Core Viewpoint - The optical module (CPO) index has shown a strong upward trend, with several companies experiencing significant stock price increases. Group 1: Company Performance - Yuanjie Technology saw a stock price increase of 8.22% [1] - Shijia Photon experienced a rise of 5.34% [1] - Dongshan Precision's stock rose by 4.36% [1] - Guangku Technology's stock increased by 4.04% [1] - Dekeli's stock price went up by 3.91% [1]