Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating The document does not provide a specific industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The improvement of industrial enterprise profits in August 2025 is the result of anti - involution and the low - base effect, with high - end equipment manufacturing being an important support [5]. - Bonds will not enter a trend - like bear market. With the stabilization of earnings, bond yields are expected to enter a low - level oscillation state. For equities, the current market is mainly supported by risk appetite, which has basically recovered. In the future, risk appetite and earnings will oscillate within a range [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Price and Profit Margin - From the perspective of volume, price, and profit margin, there is a decline in volume, an increase in price, and a rise in the revenue profit margin. In August, the national industrial added - value of large - scale industries increased by 5.2% year - on - year, with a month - on - month decline of 0.5 percentage points. The year - on - year decline of PPIRM and PPI narrowed, ending the five - month trend of expanding decline. Affected by pork prices, CPI fell below 0. The monthly revenue profit margin of the whole industry in August was 5.8%, a significant year - on - year increase of 0.85 percentage points [2]. 3.2 Industry Differentiation - Upstream industries have improved comprehensively supported by anti - involution and price increases. The decline of coal mining and dressing has narrowed, and the growth rate of the non - ferrous industry has increased significantly. The equipment manufacturing industry is the most powerful driving sector, especially in technology - intensive industries such as railway, ship, aerospace, electrical machinery, special equipment, and computer and communication electronic equipment, where the profit growth rate leads. In August, the profit decline of the consumer goods manufacturing industry was generally around 10%, with obvious improvements in the food and paper industries [3]. 3.3 Inventory and Leverage - In terms of inventory, the growth rate of finished product inventory continued the downward trend since July last year, but the decline narrowed. In terms of scale, the liability growth rate of industrial enterprises rebounded, reaching 5.4% in August (the previous value was 5.1%), and the asset - liability ratio of industrial enterprises continued to rise to 58% [4].

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is implementing a new policy financial tool with a total scale of 500 billion yuan aimed at supplementing project capital, promoting effective investment, and ensuring stable economic development [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - In August, key economic indicators showed fluctuations, but overall, the economy remained stable with high-quality development being advanced [1] - The added value of major industries such as equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing grew by 8.1% and 9.3% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth rate [2] - The profit growth of industrial enterprises improved significantly, with profits turning from a decline of 1.7% in the first seven months to a growth of 0.9% from January to August, and a monthly growth of 20.4% in August [2] Group 2: Demand Side Analysis - The effectiveness of policies is evident, showcasing resilience and pressure resistance, with retail sales of old-for-new products maintaining rapid growth [3] - The retail volume of new energy vehicles increased by over 20% year-on-year in the first eight months, while service retail sales grew by 5.1% [3] - Manufacturing investment rose by 5.1% in the first eight months, with significant growth in information services and aerospace manufacturing investments [3] Group 3: External Trade - In August, the total import and export volume increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with exports to countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative growing by 12.8% [3] - The diversification of trade continues to show positive results, indicating a robust external trade environment [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The NDRC plans to continue implementing macro policies and enhance economic monitoring and forecasting to adapt to changing circumstances [3] - There is confidence in maintaining stable and healthy economic development and achieving annual targets as policy effects are fully realized [3]

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasizes that the current economic operation faces numerous risks and challenges, and the foundation for economic recovery needs further consolidation. The NDRC plans to strengthen macro policies and enhance economic monitoring and forecasting [1]. Group 1: Economic Performance - In August, the overall economic operation remained stable, driven by continuous macro policy efforts. Key sectors such as manufacturing and services showed positive growth [1]. - The value added of high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing increased by 9.3% and 8.1% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth rate by 4.1 and 2.9 percentage points [3]. Group 2: Smart Technology Development - The NDRC aims to promote the application and popularization of new-generation smart terminals and intelligent systems by creating a supportive policy environment, advancing technological innovation, and expanding market capacity [2][4]. - The NDRC will support private enterprises in participating in the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, highlighting their role as pioneers in applying AI in production processes [5]. Group 3: Financial Tools and Support - A new type of policy financial tool has been established with a total scale of 500 billion yuan, aimed at supplementing project capital. The NDRC is working to allocate these funds to specific projects promptly [6][7].

2025年9月29日，国家发改委举行例行新闻发布会，国家发改委政策研究室副主任、新闻发言人李超表示，当前经济运 行当中依然面临着不少的风险和挑战，国家发改委将持续发力，适时加力实施宏观政策。 新华社记者提问称，8月份部分经济指标出现了波动，在消费增速放缓、投资增长乏力、出口面临不确定性的情况下， 全年经济增长目标能否按计划实现？ 对此，李超介绍，国家发改委密切跟踪分析各项经济指标变化和整体经济运行情况，从全局全貌看，尽管面临外部压 力，但在宏观政策持续发力等因素带动下，我国经济运行总体平稳，高质量发展扎实推进。 据介绍，从供给侧看，生产平稳增长，制造业、服务业的重点领域增势良好。8月份，规模以上装备制造业、高技术制 造业增加值同比分别增长8.1%、9.3%，比工业增加值整体增速快2.9个、4.1个百分点，集成电路、航空航天设备、工业 机器人、民用无人机、新能源汽车等领域保持快速增长。服务业生产指数同比增长5.6%，住宿餐饮业生产指数增速比 上月加快，信息传输软件和信息技术服务等现代服务业增势良好。 针对设立新型政策性金融工具的进展情况，李超介绍，为贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，促进金融更好服务实体经 济，推 ...

智通财经APP获悉，9月29日，国家发展改革委召开9月份新闻发布会。国家发展改革委政策研究室副主 任、新闻发言人李超表示，8月份，在宏观政策持续发力等因素的带动之下，我国经济运行总体平稳。 从供给侧看，生产平稳增长，制造业、服务业的重点领域增势良好。从需求侧看，政策效能持续显现， 展现出较强的韧性和抗压能力。下一步，国家发展改革委将深入贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署，持 续发力、适时加力实施宏观政策。同时，将持续加强经济监测预测预警，做好政策预研储备，根据形势 变化及时推出。随着各项政策效应充分释放，有信心继续保持经济平稳健康发展，有信心实现全年目标 任务。 第一，9月12日，国家发展改革委办公厅印发《关于进一步做好基础设施领域不动产投资信托基金 (REITs)常态化申报推荐工作的通知》。《通知》要求加快成熟资产类型项目常态化申报，积极推动新 资产类型的推荐发行，积极支持民间投资项目发行上市。同时，优化扩募机制，简化新购入项目申报流 程，拓宽新购入项目的资产范围，切实推动基础设施REITs高质量发展。 第二，在上海合作组织天津峰会期间，国家发展改革委推动成立中国—上海合作组织绿色产业、数字经 济、能源三大合作 ...

Core Insights - The total R&D expenditure in China for 2024 is projected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, marking an 8.9% increase from the previous year, indicating a stable growth trend in R&D investment [2] - China's R&D expenditure intensity is expected to reach 2.69% of GDP in 2024, up by 0.11 percentage points from the previous year, reflecting a faster increase compared to the average growth rate since the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] R&D Expenditure Growth - R&D expenditure from enterprises, government research institutions, and higher education institutions for 2024 is projected at 28,211.6 million yuan, 4,231.6 million yuan, and 3,065.5 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 8.8%, 9.7%, and 11.3% [3] - Enterprises contribute over 75% of total R&D funding, with a contribution rate of 77.1%, making them the primary driver of R&D growth in China [3] Basic Research Investment - Basic research funding is expected to reach 250.09 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 10.7%, and its share of total R&D expenditure has reached a historical high of 6.88% [4] - Government research institutions and higher education institutions are the main contributors to basic research funding, accounting for 52.0% and 40.0% of the growth respectively [4] Fiscal Support for R&D - National fiscal expenditure on science and technology is projected to be 12,629.2 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 5.3% from the previous year, focusing on basic research and scientific research plans [5] - Tax incentives for R&D have shown effectiveness, with the number of enterprises benefiting from R&D expense deductions increasing by 16.7% compared to 2021 [5] Regional Development and Innovation - R&D expenditure in various regions, including East, Central, West, and Northeast China, is expected to grow at rates of 9.0%, 8.4%, 9.2%, and 8.6% respectively in 2024 [7] - Key regions such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong are leading in R&D expenditure, with Guangdong surpassing 500 billion yuan [7][8]

Core Insights - The total R&D expenditure in China for 2024 is projected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, reaching 36,326.8 billion yuan, marking an 8.9% increase from the previous year, indicating a stable growth trend [1] - China's R&D expenditure intensity is 2.69% of GDP, up by 0.11 percentage points from last year, reflecting a faster increase compared to the average growth rate since the 14th Five-Year Plan [1] Group 1: R&D Expenditure Growth - R&D expenditure from enterprises, government research institutions, and higher education institutions for 2024 is 28,211.6 billion yuan, 4,231.6 billion yuan, and 3,065.5 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 8.8%, 9.7%, and 11.3% [2] - Enterprises contribute over 75% of total R&D funding, accounting for 77.1% of the overall growth, making them the primary driver of R&D expenditure in China [2] Group 2: Basic Research Investment - Basic research funding reached 2500.9 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 10.7%, with its share of total R&D expenditure rising to 6.88%, the highest in history [3] - Government research institutions and higher education contribute 52.0% and 40.0% to the growth of basic research funding respectively [3] Group 3: Fiscal Support and Tax Incentives - National fiscal science and technology expenditure for 2024 is 12,629.2 billion yuan, an increase of 633.3 billion yuan or 5.3% from the previous year, focusing on basic research and scientific facilities [4] - Tax incentives for R&D have led to a 16.7% increase in the number of enterprises benefiting from R&D expense deductions compared to 2021 [4] Group 4: Regional Development - R&D expenditure in eastern, central, western, and northeastern regions for 2024 is 23,773.0 billion yuan, 6,582.1 billion yuan, 4,759.8 billion yuan, and 1,211.9 billion yuan respectively, with all regions showing rapid growth [5] - Key regions like Beijing and the Yangtze River Delta are leading in R&D expenditure, with significant contributions to national innovation [5] Group 5: Overall R&D Landscape - In 2024, 12 provinces have R&D expenditures exceeding 100 billion yuan, with 6 provinces surpassing 200 billion yuan, maintaining the previous year's figures [6] - Seven provinces exceed the national average R&D expenditure intensity, collectively accounting for 55.7% of the national total [6]

Core Insights - The total investment in research and development (R&D) in China is projected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan in 2024, reaching 36,326.8 billion yuan, which represents an 8.9% increase from the previous year, indicating a stable growth trend [3][4] - China ranks second globally in R&D expenditure, only behind the United States, and is 3.5 times that of Japan and 3.7 times that of Germany [3] Group 1: R&D Investment Growth - R&D expenditure in China has shown a consistent annual growth rate of 10.5% over the first four years of the 14th Five-Year Plan, surpassing the planned target [3] - The R&D investment intensity (R&D expenditure as a percentage of GDP) for 2024 is 2.69%, an increase of 0.11 percentage points from the previous year, reflecting a faster growth rate than the average of 0.03 percentage points since the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] Group 2: Contribution by Different Sectors - Enterprises, government research institutions, and higher education institutions are the three main entities executing R&D activities in China, with their respective R&D expenditures in 2024 being 28,211.6 billion yuan, 4,231.6 billion yuan, and 3,065.5 billion yuan, showing growth rates of 8.8%, 9.7%, and 11.3% respectively [4] - Enterprises contribute over 75% of the total R&D funding, accounting for 77.1% of the overall growth in R&D expenditure, making them the primary driver of R&D growth in China [4] Group 3: Basic Research Investment - In 2024, basic research funding is expected to reach 2,500.9 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.7%, which is higher than the overall R&D expenditure growth rate [5] - The contribution rates to basic research funding from government research institutions and higher education institutions are 52.0% and 40.0% respectively, indicating their significant role in advancing basic research [5] Group 4: Fiscal Support and Tax Incentives - National fiscal expenditure on science and technology is projected to be 12,629.2 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 5.3% from the previous year, focusing on basic research and scientific research facilities [7] - Tax incentives for R&D have been implemented, with the number of enterprises benefiting from R&D expense deductions increasing by 16.7% and the amount of expenses by 25.5% compared to 2021, effectively encouraging enterprises to increase R&D investments [7] Group 5: Regional Development and Innovation - R&D expenditure in various regions of China, including East, Central, West, and Northeast, has shown significant growth, with East China leading at 23,773.0 billion yuan, a 9.0% increase from the previous year [8] - Key regions such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong have R&D expenditures exceeding 5,000 billion yuan, highlighting their role as innovation hubs [8]

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong continues to rank first in the national innovation capability evaluation for nine consecutive years, showcasing strong performance in enterprise innovation and innovation environment, but faces challenges in maintaining its leading edge as other provinces catch up [1][3][7]. Summary by Sections Overall Performance - Guangdong ranks first in overall innovation capability, with enterprise innovation and innovation environment both at the top, knowledge creation at second, knowledge acquisition at fourth, and innovation performance at second [3][4]. Innovation Metrics - In 2023, Guangdong's R&D expenditure from large industrial enterprises reached 342.664 billion yuan, accounting for 16.34% of the national total, maintaining the top position [4][9]. - The province has a high number of patent applications and authorizations, with 143,141 invention patents granted and 164,853 applications filed, both ranking first nationally [4][9]. Industrial Strength - Guangdong's advanced manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors are projected to increase their value-added shares to 56.7% and 31.6% respectively by 2024, with significant contributions from sectors like new energy vehicles and industrial robots [4][5]. Supportive Ecosystem - Approximately 77,000 high-tech enterprises form a robust support system, with a significant portion of R&D resources and patent applications originating from private enterprises [5][9]. - The province is enhancing its innovation infrastructure, with major investments in basic research and the establishment of key laboratories [9][10]. Future Directions - To transition from a "leader" to a "long-term frontrunner," Guangdong must improve its growth rate and address declining efficiency and potential [7][8]. - Recommendations include strengthening supply chains, improving market conditions for private enterprises, and enhancing talent acquisition strategies [8][10].

Economic Overview - The city's economy has shown stable recovery and continuous improvement from January to August, with a more pronounced upward trend [1] - Industrial production remains steady, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 7.7% year-on-year [1] Industrial Performance - The manufacturing sector leads the growth, with an added value increase of 8.5%, contributing 6.7 percentage points to the overall industrial growth [1] - Among 37 industrial categories, 27 reported year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 73.0% [1] - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods manufacturing saw added value increases of 9.3%, 8.9%, and 8.8% respectively [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in the city grew by 3.7% year-on-year, with significant growth in the secondary industry at 22.9% [2] - Industrial investment increased by 22.8%, with manufacturing investment rising by 20.0% [2] - New momentum investments, including "Four New" investments and high-tech industry investments, grew by 11.0% and 24.2% respectively [2] Consumer Market - The retail market accelerated recovery, with retail sales of above-limit units reaching 36.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.5% [2] - Categories such as home appliances and audio-visual equipment, grain and oil products, and petroleum products saw significant retail sales growth of 48.7%, 18.3%, and 16.6% respectively [2] Service Sector - The revenue of large-scale service enterprises increased by 11.6% year-on-year, with 19 out of 29 industry categories showing growth [3] - Key sectors like scientific research, information technology services, and cultural and entertainment services experienced double-digit growth [3] Financial Indicators - The city's general public budget revenue reached 18.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [3] - By the end of August, the balance of deposits in financial institutions was 738.65 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [3] Energy Consumption - Total electricity consumption reached 20.65 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, with industrial and tertiary sector electricity consumption growing by 3.0% and 8.8% respectively [3] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 99.6, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%, with five categories of goods and services experiencing price increases [3]