Economic Overview - The city's economy has shown stable recovery and continuous improvement from January to August, with a more pronounced upward trend [1] - Industrial production remains steady, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 7.7% year-on-year [1] Industrial Performance - The manufacturing sector leads the growth, with an added value increase of 8.5%, contributing 6.7 percentage points to the overall industrial growth [1] - Among 37 industrial categories, 27 reported year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 73.0% [1] - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods manufacturing saw added value increases of 9.3%, 8.9%, and 8.8% respectively [1] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in the city grew by 3.7% year-on-year, with significant growth in the secondary industry at 22.9% [2] - Industrial investment increased by 22.8%, with manufacturing investment rising by 20.0% [2] - New momentum investments, including "Four New" investments and high-tech industry investments, grew by 11.0% and 24.2% respectively [2] Consumer Market - The retail market accelerated recovery, with retail sales of above-limit units reaching 36.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.5% [2] - Categories such as home appliances and audio-visual equipment, grain and oil products, and petroleum products saw significant retail sales growth of 48.7%, 18.3%, and 16.6% respectively [2] Service Sector - The revenue of large-scale service enterprises increased by 11.6% year-on-year, with 19 out of 29 industry categories showing growth [3] - Key sectors like scientific research, information technology services, and cultural and entertainment services experienced double-digit growth [3] Financial Indicators - The city's general public budget revenue reached 18.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [3] - By the end of August, the balance of deposits in financial institutions was 738.65 billion yuan, up 11.0% year-on-year [3] Energy Consumption - Total electricity consumption reached 20.65 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, with industrial and tertiary sector electricity consumption growing by 3.0% and 8.8% respectively [3] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 99.6, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%, with five categories of goods and services experiencing price increases [3]

Group 1 - From January to August, private fixed asset investment decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline rate expanding compared to the previous seven months [1] - The decline in private investment growth is primarily due to a 16.7% drop in real estate development investment, which lowered the overall private investment growth rate by 4.5 percentage points [1] - Excluding real estate development, private project investment grew by 3% year-on-year, indicating strong investment willingness and capability in the real economy [1] Group 2 - Private investment in the manufacturing sector increased by 4.2% in the first eight months, with over half of the 31 manufacturing categories achieving double-digit growth [1] - The automotive manufacturing sector saw a remarkable investment growth rate of 22.6%, while investment in railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment manufacturing grew by 16.2% [1] - Private capital is actively aligning with industrial upgrading trends, increasing innovation investments, and integrating into the modern industrial system [1] Group 3 - Private capital participation in major infrastructure construction is expanding, with a 7.5% year-on-year increase in private investment in infrastructure [2] - The accommodation and catering industry experienced a 17% growth in private investment, while the cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors saw a 7% increase, reflecting the trend of service consumption expansion and quality improvement [2] - Despite challenges faced by some private enterprises, the long-term positive fundamentals of the economy remain unchanged, providing ample space for private investment [2] Group 4 - Future trends in private investment include a shift towards high-quality development sectors, increased capital flow into new productivity, emerging services, and new infrastructure [3] - Investment models are becoming more diversified, with improved government and social capital cooperation, and the normalization of infrastructure REITs to further stimulate private investment [3] - The investment ecosystem is evolving with large private enterprises leading innovation and small and medium-sized enterprises focusing on niche markets, creating complementary advantages [3] Group 5 - To further stimulate private investment, coordinated efforts are needed across multiple dimensions to ensure that private capital can invest effectively and efficiently [3] - The State Council's recent meeting emphasized addressing key concerns of enterprises and implementing practical measures to expand access and enhance support [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission is working on policies to promote private investment development and establish mechanisms for private participation in major national projects [3]

作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 封图 | AI生成 民间投资增速已连续3个月负增长，且降幅不断扩大。 来源：第一财经 2025.09.15 本文字数：1557，阅读时长大约3分钟 付凌晖表示，尽管当前国内外环境深刻复杂变化，部分民营企业生产经营困难，民间投资面临一定压力，但从未来发展看，我国经济发展空间广阔，民间 投资增长有支撑。 他介绍，一是高质量发展扎实推进，民间投资增长有空间。民营企业是创新发展中的中坚力量，是推动高质量发展的重要动力源。随着我国高质量发展扎 实推进，民营企业大力推动新能源汽车、光伏、锂电池等绿色产业发展，积极布局人工智能、具身机器人等未来产业，这将进一步拓展民间投资发展空 间。 二是民营企业韧性强活力足，民间投资增长有基础。广大民营企业敢闯敢拼，对市场需求和技术前沿嗅觉灵敏、反应迅速，具有高度的灵活性和适应性。 今年以来，面对外部冲击，广大民营企业迎难而上、灵活应变，积极拓市场、稳生产，展现出较强发展韧性和创新的活力。 国家统计局9月15日发布的数据显示，1-8月份全国固定资产投资（不含农户）同比增长0.5%。其中，民间固定资产投资同比下降2.3%。 民间投资中，房地产开发投资占比较大，受 ...

封图 | AI生成 民间投资增速已连续3个月负增长，且降幅不断扩大。 国家统计局9月15日发布的数据显示，1-8月份全国固定资产投资（不含农户）同比增长0.5%。其中，民 间固定资产投资同比下降2.3%。 2025.09. 15 本文字数：1557，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 他介绍，一是高质量发展扎实推进，民间投资增长有空间。民营企业是创新发展中的中坚力量，是推动高 质量发展的重要动力源。随着我国高质量发展扎实推进，民营企业大力推动新能源汽车、光伏、锂电池等 绿色产业发展，积极布局人工智能、具身机器人等未来产业，这将进一步拓展民间投资发展空间。 二是民营企业韧性强活力足，民间投资增长有基础。广大民营企业敢闯敢拼，对市场需求和技术前沿嗅觉 灵敏、反应迅速，具有高度的灵活性和适应性。今年以来，面对外部冲击，广大民营企业迎难而上、灵活 应变，积极拓市场、稳生产，展现出较强发展韧性和创新的活力。 三是政策支持有力，民间投资增长有保障。《民营经济促进法》正式实施，释放了促进民营经济发展的强 烈信号。各地区各部门积极健全政府投资带动社会投资体制机制，民间投资准入环境持续优化，资金和要 素保障不断强化 ...

Core Viewpoint - China's private investment has slowed down due to changes in the international environment and adjustments in the real estate market, but investment excluding real estate development remains stable, indicating potential for future growth [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Private fixed asset investment decreased by 2.3% year-on-year from January to August, primarily due to a 16.7% decline in real estate development investment, which pulled down the overall growth rate by 4.5 percentage points [1]. - Excluding real estate development, private project investment grew by 3% year-on-year during the same period, outpacing overall investment growth [1]. Group 2: Manufacturing and Innovation - Manufacturing private investment showed a positive trend, increasing by 4.2% year-on-year from January to August, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the growth of private project investment [2]. - In the manufacturing sector, 16 out of 31 industries experienced double-digit growth, with notable increases in automotive manufacturing (22.6%) and transportation equipment manufacturing (16.2%) [2]. - Private investment in high-tech industries, particularly in information services, surged by 26.7%, while professional technical services saw a 17.6% increase [2]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Policy Support - Private investment in infrastructure rose by 7.5% year-on-year, exceeding the overall infrastructure investment growth by 5.5 percentage points, with significant growth in the electricity, gas, and water supply sectors (23.5%) [3]. - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" has provided strong signals for the development of the private economy, enhancing the investment environment and ensuring support for private investment growth [4].

Core Insights - Shandong's economy has shown overall stability in the first five months of the year, with coordinated efforts leading to improved supply and demand dynamics [2] Economic Performance - Industrial production remains stable, with a 7.8% year-on-year increase in the added value of industrial enterprises above a designated size, with 85.4% of 41 industries reporting positive growth [2] - The added value of equipment manufacturing increased by 13.6%, contributing 3.3 percentage points to overall industrial growth [2] - The service sector also experienced steady growth, with a 6.2% increase in revenue from large-scale service enterprises from January to April, achieving positive growth across all ten major industry categories [2] Market Demand - Fixed asset investment in Shandong rose by 1.3% year-on-year in the first five months, with significant growth in the primary (6.5%) and secondary (16.4%) industries [3] - Manufacturing investment increased by 11.7%, outpacing overall investment growth by 10.4 percentage points [3] - Social retail sales totaled 1,654.13 billion yuan, marking a 5.8% increase, with retail sales above a designated size growing by 7.4% [3] - The province's total import and export volume reached 1,424.11 billion yuan, a 7.7% increase, with exports and imports growing by 7.2% and 8.3%, respectively [3] Emerging Industries - The added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 11.1%, exceeding the overall industrial growth rate by 3.3 percentage points [3] - Investment in new industries is accelerating, with "four new" investments growing by 2.1% and high-tech industry investments increasing by 7.8% [3] - Retail through public networks reached 88.48 billion yuan, growing by 17.5%, significantly higher than the overall retail growth rate [3] Financial and Fiscal Health - Public budget revenue reached 355.82 billion yuan, a 1.7% year-on-year increase, while expenditures grew by 5.6% to 506.76 billion yuan [4] - Financial institutions' loans increased by 9.4%, with corporate loans rising by 12.9% [4] - The private economy remains active, with the added value of private industrial enterprises growing by 10.3% [4] Employment and Consumer Prices - Urban employment increased by 519,000 in the first five months, while consumer prices saw a slight decline of 0.1% [4] - Investment in the service and healthcare sectors grew significantly, with the former increasing by 22.4% [4]