俄方愿继续与也门当局，以及俄罗斯在该地区的伙伴，特别是沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋，开展建设性接触， 以推动阿拉伯半岛南部局势实现持续正常化，推进全面政治解决地区局势进程。 【最新伦敦银行情解析】 伦敦银盘中大跳水，并不能断定多头结束。还是关注近期强调的5和10日线，这是多头的关键。只要银 价保持在30-50美元的积累区间之上，更广泛的看涨观点就不会动摇。支撑74.5-75和5及10日均线，压力 79.5-80美元和81.5及84美元。 今日周一(12月29日)亚盘时段，伦敦银目前交投于76.86一线上方，今日开盘于81.33元/盎司，截至发 稿，伦敦银暂报77.81美元/盎司，下跌1.64%，最高触及83.62美元/盎司，最低下探76.14美元/盎司，目 前来看，伦敦银盘内短线偏向看跌走势。 【要闻速递】 俄外交部网站26日消息，俄外交部发言人扎哈罗娃当日表示，俄罗斯对也门军事和政治局势升级表示关 切，呼吁各方保持克制。 扎哈罗娃表示，俄方呼吁相关各方保持克制，并在也门内部建设性对话框架内寻求各方都能接受的协调 方案，以解决现有问题和分歧。扎哈罗娃说，俄方欢迎沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋为迅速缓解也门南部紧张局 势、稳定局面做 ...

今日周一(12月29日)亚盘时段，国际白银目前交投于76.86一线上方，今日开盘于81.33美元/盎司，截至 发稿，国际白银暂报78.29美元/盎司，下跌1.04%，最高触及83.62美元/盎司，最低下探76.14美元/盎 司，目前来看，国际白银盘内短线偏向看涨走势。 【要闻速递】 白银供给侧继续恶化，而中国处于这一转变的中心。上海期货交易所仓库的白银库存已降至715吨。这 是自2016年7月以来的最低水平。这标志着从2020年峰值下降了86%。 【最新国际白银行情解析】 国际白银在创下历史新高后，正进行必要的技术性整理。只要银价保持在30-50美元的积累区间之上， 更广泛的看涨观点就不会动摇。银价果断跌破30美元将挑战看涨观点。然而，这一背景有利于银价在 2026年继续上涨，目标为100美元。突破100美元将打开通往250-300美元的大门。短期，市场很可能围 绕73至75.6美元的宽幅区间进行震荡整理。 另外，美联储降息和地缘政治风险将继续是2026年贵金属价格的主要驱动力，但高价格可能抑制实物需 求，尤其是在印度等关键市场。 此外，元旦假期可能导致交投清淡，市场波动性加剧。投资者应密切关注美联储政策动向 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant surge in silver prices, with COMEX silver futures rising over 11% and spot silver increasing by more than 10%, reaching a historical high and a year-to-date increase of 175% [1] - China Silver Group (00815) saw its stock price increase by 7.04%, trading at 0.76 HKD with a transaction volume of 63.01 million HKD [1] - The rise in silver prices is attributed to a return of its financial properties and a surge in industrial demand, along with a rapid mean reversion of the gold-silver ratio [1] Group 2 - After reaching a high of 84 USD per ounce, spot silver experienced a pullback, currently trading at 78.78 USD per ounce [1] - Short-term risks include the potential for profit-taking by investors, which could impact silver prices [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant surge in silver prices, with COMEX silver futures rising over 11% and spot silver increasing by more than 10%, reaching a historical high and a year-to-date increase of 175%, outpacing gold [1] - China Silver Group (00815) saw its stock price increase by over 7%, trading at 0.76 HKD with a transaction volume of 63.01 million HKD [1] - The rise in silver prices is attributed to a return of its financial properties and a surge in industrial demand, along with a rapid mean reversion of the gold-silver ratio [1] Group 2 - Spot silver reached a high of 84 USD per ounce before experiencing a pullback, currently trading at 78.78 USD per ounce [1] - Short-term risks include the potential for profit-taking by investors, which could impact silver prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The silver market has entered a "high volatility mode," driven by supply shortages supporting prices while speculative sentiment amplifies risks [1]. Group 1: Price Movements - On Monday, spot silver surged nearly 6% during Asian trading, approaching $84 per ounce, but later experienced a sharp decline, with intraday losses exceeding 5%, resulting in a total fluctuation of over 10% [1]. - As of the report, the spot silver price retreated to around $78 [1]. - The highest price recorded was $83.971, while the lowest was $75.073 [2]. Group 2: Yearly Performance - Silver has shown remarkable performance this year, starting at $29 per ounce and achieving a maximum cumulative increase of approximately 180%, significantly outpacing gold [3]. - Last week alone, spot silver saw a weekly increase close to 18% [3]. Group 3: Market Reactions - The domestic futures market mirrored international trends, with the main Shanghai silver contract rising over 7% at one point, reaching a new high [3]. - The A-share market reacted positively, with the non-ferrous metal sector becoming active, including significant gains for silver-related companies [3]. Group 4: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in silver prices is attributed to a severe imbalance in supply and demand, with global silver demand projected to reach 1.24 billion ounces by 2025, while supply is only expected to be 1.01 billion ounces, creating a shortfall of 100 to 250 million ounces [6]. - The market has been in a "structural deficit" for five consecutive years, driven by increasing consumption in industries such as photovoltaics, electric vehicles, and data centers, alongside declining physical inventories [6]. Group 5: Expert Opinions - Economists like Peter Schiff suggest that a silver price of $100 by 2026 is a "very realistic target," while more aggressive forecasts predict prices could reach $200 [6]. - Contrarily, some analysts express skepticism, with pessimistic views suggesting that prices have risen to levels difficult to justify based on fundamentals, predicting a potential drop to around $42 by next year [7]. - UBS warns that the current price surge is largely based on insufficient market liquidity, indicating a risk of rapid declines [7]. Group 6: Historical Context and Future Uncertainty - The recent price of silver has surpassed that of a barrel of U.S. crude oil, a situation not seen since April 2020 during the pandemic [7]. - The volatility in silver prices is closely linked to expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy, with upcoming announcements expected to reveal internal divisions within the Fed [7].

Group 1: Market Overview - The global precious metals market is experiencing a historic rally, with gold and silver prices reaching all-time highs on December 26, 2025, with London gold spot hitting $4549.9 per ounce and silver peaking at $79.4 per ounce, marking an annual increase of over 174% for silver [1] - Since the beginning of 2025, gold has led the precious metals market, while silver has shown significant gains, with COMEX silver futures rising over 172% [1] - The domestic precious metals market has also seen substantial increases, with Shanghai gold futures up 62% and silver futures up over 157% year-to-date [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The Shanghai Futures Exchange announced adjustments to trading parameters for gold and silver futures due to market volatility, including a 15% limit on price fluctuations and changes in margin requirements [2] - Silver has been listed as a "critical mineral" by the U.S. Geological Survey, indicating potential inclusion in tariff discussions, which may introduce new trade risks [2] - The silver market has been in a state of supply-demand imbalance, with global inventories at a ten-year low, further supporting price increases [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that gold prices will continue to benefit from liquidity conditions resulting from Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, with global gold ETF inflows expected to be a significant buying force [3] - The demand for silver is increasingly driven by industrial applications, particularly in green energy and AI infrastructure, which is expected to provide a solid long-term upward basis for silver prices [3] - The market may experience increased volatility as gold prices detach from fundamental indicators, with future trends likely influenced by Federal Reserve policies and U.S. economic movements [4] Group 4: Related Companies - Zijin Mining (02899) is projected to have a CAGR of 12% in gold production from 2020 to 2024, with strong growth in copper and gold production planned for 2024-2028 [5] - Jiangxi Copper (00358) is a significant silver producer in China, with stable production and international competitiveness, which may benefit from rising silver prices [6] - Shandong Gold (01787) has a rich resource base and ongoing projects, with expected net profits of 30.30 billion, 50.83 billion, and 59.38 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026 [6] - China Silver Group (00815) is a professional silver producer with comprehensive operations, although it reported a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024 [6]

智通财经APP获悉，2025年的交易临近收官，全球贵金属市场再度迎来历史性行情。12月26日，国际金 银价格同步创下历史新高，其中伦敦金现货最高触及4549.9美元/盎司；白银表现更为迅猛，盘中最高 触及79.4美元/盎司，年内涨幅超174%。 2025年以来，黄金领涨贵金属市场，白银后来居上。贵金属市场全年的行情先后经历关税驱动、震荡调 整、降息预期主导以及技术回调几个主要阶段，就在市场认为行情将在高位震荡收官之际，新一轮涨势 再起，并再创历史新高。 具体来看，12月26日，伦敦金现货价格突破4500美元/盎司整数关口。截至目前，COMEX黄金期货和伦 敦金现货价格年内涨幅均超过70%。 白银表现更为亮眼。COMEX白银价格从12月19日至26日连续五个交易日大涨，价格从开盘65.44美元， 涨至最高79.7美元。2025年以来COMEX白银期货累计涨逾172%。 国内贵金属市场跟涨，沪金期货年内涨62%，最高触及1024元/克，沪银期货年内涨逾157%，最高触及 19215元/千克。 面对剧烈波动，上海期货交易所于12月26日发布通知，自12月30日收盘结算时起，对黄金、白银期货合 约的交易参数进行调整。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The price of silver is approaching $80 per ounce, driven by a structural deficit in the global market, plummeting inventories, and a disconnection between paper trading and physical supply, which poses significant challenges to modern industrial chains [1][2][5]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global silver market has been in a structural deficit for five consecutive years, with physical inventories rapidly depleting and major exchange stock levels significantly declining [5][8]. - By 2025, global silver demand is projected to reach 1.24 billion ounces, while supply is only expected to be 1.01 billion ounces, resulting in a supply gap of 100 to 250 million ounces [8]. - The primary cause of this supply issue is the rigidity of mining supply, as silver is often a byproduct of copper and zinc mining, and new mines typically take over 10 years to develop [8]. Group 2: Inventory and Market Imbalance - Since 2020, COMEX silver inventories have decreased by 70%, and London vault stocks have fallen by 40%, with some regions' available silver inventories only able to sustain demand for 30 to 45 days [8]. - There is a significant imbalance between "paper silver" and physical silver, with an estimated ratio of 356:1, meaning each ounce of physical silver corresponds to hundreds of paper claims [9]. - This disconnection heightens market vulnerability, as even a small number of buyers requesting physical delivery could risk system collapse, contributing to the recent sharp price increases [9]. Group 3: Industrial Demand and Implications - Silver is not only a precious metal investment but also a critical raw material for solar panels, electric vehicles, electronic products, and medical devices, with industrial demand accounting for 50% to 60% of total demand [7]. - The lack of effective substitutes in many applications makes industrial buyers less sensitive to price fluctuations, but they are extremely vulnerable in the face of supply shortages [9]. - Elon Musk's concerns highlight the essential role of silver in modern industry, emphasizing that price volatility poses a serious challenge for industries reliant on these key materials [3][9].

展望下阶段，中信证券报告认为，2026年金价有望继续受益于美联储降息带来的流动性宽松氛围，全球 黄金ETF流入将作为黄金的重要买盘。潜在的地缘政治风险和贸易冲突引发的避险情绪将继续支撑金 价，去美元化、央行购金等长期趋势构成金价上涨的坚实基础，预计2026年金价将再创新高，但考虑到 2025年金价涨幅显著，且上述因素已部分在金价中兑现，预计2026年金价涨幅或收窄至10%-15%，全年 价格或冲击5000美元/盎司。 南开大学金融学教授田利辉28日对记者表示，当下普通投资者应"回归本质，保持敬畏"。首先，必须从 根本上区分自身是作为"配置者"还是"交易者"。对于配置者，黄金是家庭金融资产的"压舱石"之一，其 意义在于风险对冲而非博取收益，建议采用定投方式平滑成本，并严格控制整体仓位比例。对于交易 者，则必须清醒认识到，当前价格已极度超前反映预期，市场脆弱性上升，应恪守止损纪律，尤其白银 波动性是黄金的数倍，非专业投资者不宜深涉。其次，建议所有投资者审视自身的投资组合，金银的仓 位不应挤压对成长性资产的长期布局。 央广网北京12月28日消息（记者 宓迪）国际金银价格近期成为市场焦点。Wind数据显示，截至记者发 ...