Market Overview - On September 1, the real estate service sector rose by 0.81% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhongtian Service leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.53, up 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12828.95, up 1.05% [1] Stock Performance - Zhongtian Service (002188) closed at 5.89, with a significant increase of 10.09%, trading volume of 229,400 shares and a turnover of 130 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Zhujiang Shares (600684) at 5.14, up 3.84%, with a turnover of 247 million yuan [1] - Nandu Property (603506) at 13.81, up 2.14%, with a turnover of approximately 90.61 million yuan [1] - TeFa Service (300917) at 47.83, up 1.70%, with a turnover of 373 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The real estate service sector saw a net inflow of 5.1555 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 16.6452 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow for individual stocks showed varied results, with Zhongtian Service experiencing a net inflow of 12.3241 million yuan from institutional investors [3] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Key stocks and their capital flow: - Zhongtian Service: Institutional net inflow of 12.3241 million yuan, retail net outflow of 12.6140 million yuan [3] - Zhujiang Shares: Institutional net inflow of 9.4859 million yuan, retail net outflow of 3.8449 million yuan [3] - Nandu Property: Retail net inflow of 1.9831 million yuan, but institutional net outflow of 2.3390 million yuan [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided text does not mention the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The A-share market showed strong performance on August 28, with over 2800 stocks rising and the trading volume exceeding 3 trillion yuan for two consecutive days. The market is in a bullish trend in the medium term, but short-term fluctuations are inevitable due to the accumulation of risks and the need to digest profit-taking chips. [2][3] - Different commodities have different market trends and investment suggestions. For example, aluminum prices may maintain high-level consolidation; coking coal and coke may fluctuate repeatedly; urea may continue to consolidate within a certain range; steel prices may continue to oscillate at the bottom; egg futures can be shorted on rebounds; live pig prices may maintain range-bound fluctuations; and cotton may be slightly bearish in the short term but bullish in the medium to long term. [3][4][5] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Options - On August 28, the three major A-share indexes strengthened collectively. The trading volume of A-shares exceeded 3 trillion yuan for two consecutive days, reaching 3.0004 trillion yuan. Most industry sectors rose, with semiconductor, communication equipment, and other sectors leading the gains, while automobile service, real estate service, and brewing industries declined. [2] - The IF weighted index of CSI 300 stock index futures increased in volume and price, with the basis of the current-month contract widening and the basis of the next-month contract narrowing. The trading volume PCR and option holding volume PCR of two 300ETF options both increased, and the weighted implied volatility rose. [2] - The IH weighted index of SSE 50 stock index futures decreased in position and increased in volume. The current-month contract changed to a discount to the underlying, and the next-month contract changed to a premium to the current-month contract. The trading volume PCR and option holding volume PCR of CFFEX SSE 50 stock index options decreased, while those of Huaxia 50ETF increased, and the weighted implied volatility rose. [2] - The IM weighted index of CSI 1000 stock index futures increased in position and volume. The basis of the current-month contract and the next-month contract both widened, the trading volume PCR increased, the option trading volume PCR decreased but remained above 1.09, and the weighted implied volatility rose. The option MO holding volume reached a new high since listing. [2] - Trend investors are advised to focus on the strength and weakness arbitrage opportunities between varieties, and volatility investors are advised to go long on volatility when the underlying index rises and short on volatility when it falls. [2] Stock Index - On August 28, the three major A-share indexes closed higher. Concept sectors such as copper cable high-speed connection, CPO, lithography machine, and storage chips were active, while grain concept, animal vaccine, and weight-loss drug sectors performed poorly. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.25%, and the ChiNext Index rose 3.82%. [3] - On Thursday, most European and American stock markets closed higher, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indexes hitting new closing highs. Technology stocks mostly rose, and the US GDP growth rate in the second quarter was revised up to 3.3%, exceeding expectations, which boosted market sentiment. [3] - The market showed a rebound and repair trend on Thursday. The short-term fluctuations of the market are due to the accumulation of risks after the rapid rise of the index and the need to digest profit-taking chips, but the overall strong pattern remains unchanged. [3] - It is recommended to reduce positions on rallies for previous profit-taking positions and use the 10-day moving average as the mid-term trend watershed. [3] Aluminum - The market continues to bet on the Fed's interest rate cut expectation in September. Fundamentally, due to the release of supply increments and the off-season of consumption, the expectation of inventory accumulation is still strong. Aluminum prices may maintain high-level consolidation in the short term, with a reference range of 20,000 - 21,000 yuan/ton. [3] Coking Coal and Coke - The weekly average daily output of raw coal was 188,600 tons, a decrease of 2,600 tons compared with the previous week, and the raw coal inventory was 472,600 tons, an increase of 1,000 tons. The average daily output of clean coal was 75,300 tons, a decrease of 1,800 tons, and the clean coal inventory was 283,600 tons, an increase of 8,000 tons. [4] - Due to stricter safety inspections in mines and the supply contraction of downstream coke enterprises and steel mills, the short-term raw material support still exists, and coking coal and coke prices may fluctuate repeatedly. [4] Urea - The domestic urea spot market price remained stable over the weekend, with the mainstream ex-factory quotation at around 1,670 - 1,680 yuan/ton. Recently, many urea enterprises have overhauled their equipment, resulting in a significant decrease in daily output, but the overall supply is still relatively sufficient. [4] - Affected by the weak downstream demand, the inventory of upstream urea enterprises continued to accumulate. The operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises decreased slightly, but the downstream pick-up improved gradually. The UR2601 contract may continue to consolidate within the range of 1,700 - 1,820 yuan/ton, and the subsequent focus is on the Indian tender opening. [4] Steel (Rebar and Hot Rolled Coil) - The five major steel products continued to accumulate inventory in the off-season. Rebar production and demand both increased, and the apparent demand rebounded slightly faster. The total inventory increase slowed down, the factory inventory decreased, and the social inventory continued to increase, indicating an accelerated transfer from factory inventory to social inventory. Terminal procurement was relatively cautious due to the off-season. [4] - Hot-rolled coil production and demand both decreased slightly, and the total inventory continued to rise slightly. The overall inventory accumulation pressure was not large, with the factory inventory at a historical low and the social inventory lower than the same period last year. The spot market trading was weak over the weekend, and the quotation was partially reduced by 10 - 30 yuan/ton. The basis was at a high level, and the manufacturing PMI in August rebounded slightly by 0.1 to 49.4%. Steel prices may continue to oscillate at the bottom in the short term. [4] Eggs - The national egg spot price fell steadily last week and stabilized again over the weekend. The current spot price at the benchmark location is 2.6 yuan/jin, a weekly decline of 0.08 yuan/jin. After the callback in the north, the price tried to rise slightly but failed, and the high-price area in the south began to decline. The出库 of cold storage eggs suppressed the market, and the supply of large-sized eggs was short, while the supply of medium and small-sized eggs was relatively sufficient. The terminal's acceptance of the rapid rise in egg prices was limited, and the sales slowed down. It is expected that the spot price is unlikely to fall significantly further due to the support of Mid-Autumn Festival stocking. Egg futures can be shorted on rebounds. [4] Live Pigs - The live pig spot price remained stable last week, with the national average price at 14.00 yuan/kg. The overall supply is sufficient, and the demand is constantly recovering, so the price is stable. Although the存栏 of medium and large pigs has decreased, the actual supply is still sufficient. With the decrease of high-temperature weather, the demand has rebounded, and the acquisition enthusiasm of slaughtering enterprises has increased, which further supports the price. The futures market showed general performance, maintaining a volatile trend, and the current discount is slight, with limited room for a deep decline. The near-term contract reflects the reality of oversupply, while the far-term contract reflects the expectation of capacity reduction. Live pig prices may maintain range-bound fluctuations, with a weak near-term and a strong far-term, and it is advisable to conduct reverse arbitrage. [5] Cotton - In the previous trading session, ICE cotton rebounded significantly, with the December contract closing at 67.3 cents/pound, up 62 points, or 0.93%. Zhengzhou cotton rose sharply on Friday. Internationally, India extended the duty-free period for cotton imports until December 31, 2025, which boosted market sentiment. However, currently, US cotton exports to India only account for about 1.5% of its total exports, so the overall positive impact is limited. [5] - The main drivers of Zhengzhou cotton's rise are the rise of ICE cotton, the tight supply of cotton commercial inventory as of August 22, and the market's expectation of the start of orders during the "Golden September and Silver October" period. However, from the fundamental perspective, the cotton destocking speed and the operating rates of spinning and weaving mills have not improved significantly compared with the previous two weeks, and the increase in downstream cotton yarn prices is limited, indicating that the terminal demand is still weak. Overall, Zhengzhou cotton may be slightly bearish in the short term, with an expected decline next week, and the focus is on the range of 14,000 - 14,500 yuan/ton, but it may be bullish in the medium to long term. [5]

撰文丨李兴 房地产市场逐步止跌回稳，贝壳交出一份稳健的成绩单。 8月26日，贝壳公布财报，第二季度，总交易额（GTV）为8787亿元，同比增长4.7%；净收入260亿元，净利润13.07亿元。 经纪业务是贝壳基本盘，也是运营提效最紧迫的主阵地。 过去，贝壳主要依托ACN和真房源，构成"好资产"和"交易安全"的稀缺性价值。截至6月末，平台活跃门店已达5.87万家，拥有49.15万活跃经纪人。 当行业增速放缓，买方市场到来，交易周期变长，经纪人获客转化挑战加大。同时，市场需求发生巨大变化。 消费者选择变多，需要专业建议、辅助决策；业主为了提升房子曝光度和竞争力，需要有人操盘营销；AI时代，人们更重视情感链接，渴望服务者提供情 绪价值。 彭永东认为，随着中国地产市场变革，新的稀缺性体现在，"买对房的认知""卖好房的操盘能力"和"共情客户带来的情绪价值"。贝壳的任务，是为这些价值 创造清晰的实现路径，塑造增长新范式。 存量时代下，房地产进入买方市场，购房者选择变多，话语权提升，对平台的要求提高。 "我们处在一个重要的转折点，规模与效率的平衡、消费者需求的变化、以及技术的迅猛发展，都是必须面对的课题。"贝壳联合创始人、 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a 11% year-on-year revenue growth in Q2 2025, primarily driven by the growth in its secondary business segments [1] - The total transaction value (GTV) reached 878.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4% [1] - Adjusted net profit decreased by 32% year-on-year but improved by 30% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a mixed performance in profitability [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue contributions from various segments are as follows: existing housing (26%), new housing (33%), home decoration and furnishing (18%), rental services (22%), and emerging businesses (2%) [1] - The existing housing business saw a transaction total of 583.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1% [2] - The new housing business outperformed the market with a transaction total of 255.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% [2] Profitability Metrics - The adjusted net profit margin was 7.0%, down 4.5 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.0 percentage point quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross profit margin was 21.9%, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.0 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2 percentage points [1] - The contribution profit margin for the existing housing business improved to 39.9%, up 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Business Performance - The company had 61,000 stores and 558,000 agents by the end of Q2 2025, with active store and agent ratios of 97% and 88%, respectively [2] - The home decoration and furnishing business generated 4.6 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13% [2] - The rental services segment saw a significant revenue increase of 78% year-on-year, totaling 5.7 billion yuan [2] Future Outlook - The company slightly adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2026, expecting adjusted net profits of 6.3 billion yuan and 7.1 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The expected earnings per share for 2025 and 2026 are 1.77 yuan and 2.00 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 23.9 and 21.2 times [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's housing transaction business is a cornerstone of its performance, with revenue growth and improved profitability. In H1 2025, the total housing transaction amount reached 137.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, while operating revenue was 5.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% [1][2][9] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 38.4 million yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31%, with a net profit margin of 0.7%, up 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [1][9] - The asset management business is developing steadily, with operational efficiency remaining good. The revenue from this segment was 2.7 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, primarily due to the new product "Xiangyu Preferred" adopting a net method for revenue recognition [3][48] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a total housing transaction amount of 137.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 10%. The revenue from brokerage, new housing, and asset management businesses accounted for 36%, 8%, and 48% of total revenue, respectively [1][2][9] - The company operated 2,626 stores by the end of H1 2025, with 81% being direct-operated stores and 31,000 brokers [2][28] Business Segments - Brokerage business transaction amount was 110.8 billion yuan, up 10% year-on-year, with revenue of 2 billion yuan, an increase of 14% year-on-year. The gross margin for this segment was 23%, showing slight improvement [2][28] - The asset management business had a revenue of 2.7 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year, with a negative gross margin due to new leasing standards. However, if adjusted, the actual gross margin would be 14.1%, up 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [3][48] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 13.2 billion yuan and 13.8 billion yuan, respectively, down from previous estimates of 13.7 billion yuan and 14.6 billion yuan. The net profit forecasts for the same years are now 230 million yuan and 270 million yuan, down from 300 million yuan and 380 million yuan [3][56]

Email：youzp@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740523080001 Email：houxd@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 3,149.80 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 3,149.80 | | 市价(港元) | 4.93 | | 市值(百万港元) | 15,528.50 | | 流通市值(百万港 | 15,528.50 | | 元) | | 房地产服务 执业证书编号：S0740523020005 1、《业绩高增长，盈利能力改善》 2025-04-03 2、《收入业绩高增长，业务结构持 续优化》2024-09-05 绿城服务（02869.HK） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 29 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：由子沛 | | 营业收入（ ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is selling a property to address its financial difficulties and repay urgent loans, despite incurring a loss from the sale [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The company’s indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Bayju, has entered into an agreement to sell the Bayju property to Shanghai Urban Construction Investment for a total consideration of RMB 384 million [1] - The Bayju property is located at 50, Lane 1688, Guoquan North Road, Yangpu District, Shanghai, covering an area of approximately 216,400 square meters with a total floor area of about 28,700 square meters [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - The net proceeds from the sale amount to RMB 365 million, with RMB 261 million allocated to repay the first loan (including interest), RMB 28.31 million for the second loan (including interest), and the remaining RMB 75.92 million for other bank loans and payables [1] - The company is facing ongoing financial difficulties, particularly the urgent need to repay the first and second loans due in December 2024 [1] - The sale proceeds will also enable the company to repay RMB 79.5 million in principal and RMB 7 million in interest for another bank loan in the first half of 2025 [1]

（原标题：健康体重管理年专题行动走进北京CBD 助力健康职场新实践） 2025年8月28日，由广东省二十一世纪教育基金会、第一太平戴维斯（Savills）共同主办，三星大厦协 办的"体重管好 健康更好"健康体重管理年专题行动之走进企业科普健康教育活动在北京落地。此次活 动面向北京CBD核心区职场人士，通过科学科普教育推广体重管理知识，倡导健康生活方式，助力健 康楼宇建设的同时服务每一位职场工作者，活动吸引北京CBD核心区数百名职场人士参与，现场气氛 热烈。 健康体重管理年专题行动在三星大厦举办 沉浸式科普助力健康意识提升 世界肥胖联合会最新发布的《2025世界肥胖地图》显示，2025年中国18岁以上成年人41%体重超标（按 BMI≥25kg/㎡），9%的成年人伴有肥胖（按BMI≥30kg/㎡）。预测至2030年，中国成人超重/肥胖人数 将达到5.1504亿。2024年6月国家卫健委联合16个部门共同发布了《"体重管理年"活动实施方案》，旨 在应对居民超重肥胖引发的慢性病问题，倡导建立体重管理的支持性环境。"体重管好 健康更好"健康 体重管理年专题行动应运而生，在中国健康教育中心的指导下，社会各界积极携手将健康 ...

Core Insights - The real estate market is transitioning to a new phase where consumer trust and product quality are prioritized over immediate ownership, marking 2025 as the "Year of Good Housing" [1] - Companies in the real estate sector must adapt to survive, focusing on product quality, service, and operational efficiency as the marginal returns of scale diminish [1] Company Performance - Beike's total transaction volume reached 1.7224 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.3%, with existing home transactions accounting for 67.57% [4] - Beike's net revenue for the first half of 2025 was 49.3 billion yuan, a significant increase of 24.1% compared to the same period in 2024 [5] - The revenue breakdown shows that existing home business generated 13.6 billion yuan, new home business 16.7 billion yuan, home decoration and furnishing business 7.5 billion yuan, and rental services exceeded 10.8 billion yuan, growing by 50 million yuan year-on-year [5] Business Strategy - Beike's new business initiatives have become the main engine for revenue growth, with non-real estate transaction services accounting for 41% of net revenue in Q2 2025, a historical high [6] - The company is evolving from a transaction-focused model to a comprehensive "Good Living" service provider, enhancing consumer touchpoints and connections [10] - Beike is implementing a community-focused strategy in its home decoration business, aiming to deepen its relationship with consumers and transform one-time clients into long-term community users [10] Market Trends - The real estate market is shifting from an incremental to a stock-based structure, emphasizing efficiency and collaboration over mere resource accumulation [9] - Consumer decision-making and experience are becoming increasingly valuable, necessitating companies to build connections with consumers [9] Financial Metrics - Beike's gross profit for the first half of 2025 was 10.5 billion yuan, a slight decrease from the previous year, with a gross margin of 21.3% compared to 26.8% in 2024 [14] - The decline in profit margins is attributed to the structural change in revenue sources, with new home transactions having lower margins than existing home transactions [14] - Administrative expenses decreased by 3.5%, while R&D expenses increased by 20%, indicating a commitment to innovation and efficiency [15]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002188 | 中天服务 | 5.35 | -1.83% | 14.10万 | 7556.38万 | | 600724 | 宁波富达 | 4.73 | -1.05% | 9.53万 | 4518.54万 | | 300917 | 特发服务 | 47.03 | -0.84% | 9.06万 | 4.33 亿 | | 002285 | 世联行 | 2.42 | -0.82% | 40.02万 | 9709.04万 | | 600684 | 珠江股份 | 4.95 | -0.60% | 27.66万 | 1.38亿 | | 001914 | 招商积余 | 12.45 | -0.40% | 11.26万 | 1.41亿 | | 000560 | 我筹找家 | 3.07 | 0.00% | 128.50万 | 3.96 Z | | 002968 | 新大正 | 10.70 | 0.09% | 3.58万 | 3815.03万 | | 603506 | 南都 ...