甲级写字楼
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2025年第三季度:深圳写字楼市场
Cushman & Wakefield· 2025-11-18 05:39
Group 1: Market Key Indicators - As of the end of Q3 2025, the stock of Grade A office buildings in Shenzhen reached 8.879 million square meters, with a vacancy rate of 29.0% and an average rent of RMB 153.4 per square meter per month [2][3][9] - In 2025, Shenzhen's GDP is expected to grow by 5.1%, the tertiary industry by 6.1%, CPI by 0.1%, and real estate development investment to decline by 15.1% [2] Group 2: Supply - Side Analysis - New supply in Q3 2025 was concentrated in the Qianhai area, which promoted the business atmosphere but also intensified the imbalance between supply and demand, raising the vacancy rate by 1.2 percentage points [3] - The average rent dropped by 4.2% quarter - on - quarter and 11.2% year - on - year, and the net absorption reached 92,000 square meters, a quarterly high since 2024 [3] - Owners are exploring diversified ways to attract customers, such as transforming the cooperation model with office building operators from a traditional rental relationship to a partnership [3] Group 3: Demand - Side Analysis - In the first three quarters, leasing demand was mainly concentrated in TMT, finance, professional services, and retail trade. In Q3, some niche technology companies entered the market [4] - Professional services and finance sectors saw a recovery in leasing demand in Q3, and companies in hotel, circular economy, new consumption, and logistics sectors also had large - area leasing transactions [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The large amount of upcoming supply will increase the pressure on the Grade A office building market, which may drive more innovative exploration in office building operation [5] Group 5: Regional Market Data - In different regions of Shenzhen, Luohu has a vacancy rate of 36.5%, Futian 20.7%, Nanshan 28.7%, Qianhai 42.4%, and Bao'an 26.0% as of 2025 [9] - The average rent in different regions ranges from RMB 124.04 in Qianhai to RMB 169.14 in Futian [9] Group 6: Transaction and Construction Information - In Q3 2025, major leasing transactions included Point Cat Technology leasing 9,800 square meters in China State - owned Capital Venture Capital Building in Qianhai [10] - Major ongoing construction projects include China Merchants Bank Global Headquarters Building in Shenzhen Bay Super Headquarters Base, expected to be delivered in 2026 [11]
从“增量竞争”转向“存量博弈”,商业地产进入深度洗牌期
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-11-14 02:35
Core Insights - The commercial real estate sector is undergoing a significant reshuffling due to a large inventory and low efficiency, with both new construction and project completions increasing sharply [1] - The market is experiencing high vacancy rates and declining rental prices, particularly in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai [2] - The industry is witnessing a trend of consolidation, with smaller developers facing challenges and larger firms expanding through mergers and acquisitions [3][4] Group 1: Market Conditions - The total new construction area for office buildings in the first three quarters of 2025 was 11.22 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 22.3%, while the completed area was 11 million square meters, up 16.5% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, 89 centralized commercial projects opened nationwide, covering approximately 6.93 million square meters, with significant contributions from cities like Shanghai [1] - The average rental price in eight key cities from January to September 2025 was 2.73 yuan per square meter per day, down 11.9% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Vacancy Rates and Rental Trends - As of Q3 2025, the vacancy rate for Grade A office buildings in Beijing and Shanghai showed slight improvements, while Guangzhou and Shenzhen experienced increases in vacancy rates [2] - The average rental price for major commercial streets in the first half of 2025 was 24.16 yuan per square meter per day, with a slight decrease of 0.35% compared to the previous half [2] Group 3: Industry Consolidation - The commercial real estate market is shifting from "incremental competition" to "stock game," with resources increasingly concentrating among leading firms [5] - In the first three quarters of 2025, there were 42 transactions of office assets in mainland China, totaling approximately 39.8 billion yuan, with over 60% of transactions occurring in Shanghai and Beijing [3] - The number of companies with revenues exceeding 5 billion yuan accounted for only 8% of the total but held 42% of the market share, indicating a significant concentration of market power [5] Group 4: Emerging Trends and Opportunities - The industry is moving towards customized and refined operations, with a focus on meeting new consumer demands through innovative business models [5] - Sectors such as pet economy, silver economy, and health economy are expected to grow at rates exceeding 10% in 2025, indicating new opportunities for commercial real estate [5] - High-quality assets are essential for weathering market cycles, and companies are encouraged to focus on asset value creation and sustainable growth paths [5]
高力:料香港甲级写字楼年底空置率将升至约19% 全年租金下跌约7%
智通财经网· 2025-10-13 08:32
Group 1: Office Market Outlook - The vacancy rate for Grade A office buildings in Hong Kong is expected to rise to approximately 19% by the end of 2025, as new project completions outpace new leasing demand despite ongoing market absorption improvements [1] - Overall Grade A office rents in Hong Kong are projected to decline by about 7% for the year [1] - Owners are adopting more flexible leasing strategies to enhance competitiveness in response to the supply-demand imbalance [1] Group 2: Retail Market Insights - Core area street shops are expected to experience steady growth, primarily benefiting from stable leasing demand from diverse tenants, including the food and beverage sector [1] - The government's active promotion of specialty tourism is anticipated to attract high-spending travelers, further driving retail market recovery and growth [1] Group 3: Industrial Market Trends - Industrial rents are forecasted to decrease by approximately 10% by the end of 2025 due to weak demand and increasing vacancy pressures [1] - The market is undergoing structural changes, and policy-driven revitalization measures will take time to have a substantial impact on supply [1] Group 4: Investment Climate - The optimization measures of the Capital Investment Entrant Scheme (CIES) announced in the Policy Address are expected to boost investor confidence and attract capital inflows into the Hong Kong real estate market [2] - High-end residential properties, subdivided offices, and street shops are anticipated to benefit from these developments, with student accommodations and redevelopment projects also becoming market focal points [2] - Transaction volumes in the real estate market are expected to remain stable [2]
戴德梁行:三季度深圳商办市场冷热交替 写字楼租赁需求有微调
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-10 04:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the recent developments in Shenzhen's retail and office markets, highlighting the opening of new shopping centers and the dynamics of supply and demand in these sectors [1][2][3]. Retail Market Overview - Shenzhen's retail market continues to see strong supply, with approximately 280,000 square meters of new premium shopping center space added in Q3, bringing the total stock to 7.757 million square meters [2]. - New projects include Shenzhen Dayuecheng, Qianhai Ice and Snow World, and Shenzhen Bay MixC Phase II, each with unique positioning and brand offerings [2]. - Shenzhen Dayuecheng has achieved an average daily footfall of 150,000 and total sales nearing 370 million yuan within two months of opening [2]. - The retail sector's total social consumer goods retail sales growth rate has recovered to 3.6% in the first seven months, with merchandise retail growth at 3.8%, outpacing the restaurant sector [3]. Office Market Dynamics - The total stock of Grade A office space in Shenzhen has reached 8.879 million square meters, with significant new supply concentrated in the Qianhai area [5]. - The vacancy rate for Grade A offices has increased by 1.2 percentage points to 29.0%, driven by the influx of new supply [5]. - Average rental rates for Grade A offices have decreased to 153.4 yuan per square meter per month, reflecting a 4.2% quarter-on-quarter decline and an 11.2% year-on-year decline [5]. - The net absorption of office space reached 92,000 square meters in Q3, marking the highest quarterly figure since 2024 [5]. Trends and Innovations - There is a trend towards smaller retail spaces in mature projects as businesses seek to control costs and reduce risks [4]. - The collaboration between property owners and office service operators is evolving from traditional leasing to partnership models, enhancing risk-sharing and revenue-sharing mechanisms [6]. - The demand for office space is primarily driven by the TMT, financial, professional services, and retail sectors, with notable activity in niche technology companies entering the market [6][7].
三季度北京甲级写字楼空置率下降,科创发力,中关村租金或率先止跌企稳
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 03:25
Core Insights - The demand for Grade A office space in Beijing has significantly increased in Q3, with a net absorption of 125,000 square meters, marking a new high for the year [3][6] - The vacancy rate for Grade A office space in Beijing has decreased to 19.3%, a nearly 1 percentage point drop from the previous quarter, indicating a short-term alleviation of vacancy pressure [3][4] - Despite improvements, the overall market remains under pressure, with a strategy of "trading price for volume" being the primary method for market de-leveraging [4][6] Market Dynamics - The demand for office space is closely linked to the development of industries, particularly influenced by the needs of technology innovation enterprises [2][5] - The market is experiencing structural recovery and regional differentiation, with demand concentrated in specific sub-markets, particularly in Zhongguancun [4][6] - The average effective rent has decreased by 3.5% to 227.3 yuan per square meter per month, indicating ongoing downward pressure on rental prices [6] Zhongguancun Sub-Market - Zhongguancun has shown significant improvement, with a net absorption of over 63,000 square meters in Q3, marking the second consecutive quarter of net absorption exceeding 60,000 square meters [6][8] - The vacancy rate in Zhongguancun has dropped to 15.1%, with a 3.9 percentage point decrease from the previous quarter and a 5.9 percentage point decrease compared to two years ago [6][7] - There are indications that Zhongguancun may be the first sub-market in Beijing to stabilize and potentially increase rental prices due to sustained demand from technology innovation [8]
大行评级|瑞银:香港写字楼市场或迎来拐点 甲厦租金跌幅将收窄
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-26 02:57
Group 1 - UBS reports improvement in net absorption of office space in Hong Kong due to better hiring conditions in the financial sector [1] - The number of licenses is expected to increase by approximately 1,300 by June 2025, attributed to strong stock market performance this year [1] - Financial sector tenants account for 57% of office space users, indicating a potential stabilization in the commercial property market [1] Group 2 - UBS predicts that the rental decline for Grade A office space in Central will narrow to 5% this year, compared to a 12% decline last year [1] - For the next two years, Grade A office rents across Hong Kong are expected to decrease by 3% to 5%, an improvement from last year's 9% decline [1] - UBS assigns a "Buy" rating to Swire Properties, while giving a "Neutral" rating to Swire Pacific and Hongkong Land [1]
上海三季度甲级写字楼出租率小幅回升
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 04:50
Core Insights - The Shanghai Grade A office market is experiencing a slight decrease in vacancy rates and continued downward pressure on rents due to the interplay of new supply and demand changes, with professional services, finance, and TMT sectors being the main demand drivers [1][2] Market Supply and Demand - In Q3 2025, four new Grade A office projects were delivered in Shanghai, adding 222,400 square meters of quality office space to the market [1] - The net absorption recorded in the quarter was 89,000 square meters, representing a 3.9% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] - The overall vacancy rate for Grade A offices decreased slightly to 23.5% [1] - Average transaction rents fell by 3.6%, with the average monthly rent at 205 RMB per square meter [1] Year-on-Year Trends - Year-on-year, the vacancy rate has decreased, but the total stock has increased, while rents continue to decline [1] - The market is expected to see three more projects completed in Q4, adding a total of 260,000 square meters of supply, which would push the total stock of Grade A offices in Shanghai to over 18 million square meters [2] Sector Performance - The professional services sector accounted for 26.7% of leasing demand, with incubators and co-working spaces favoring areas like Xuhui Riverside and Yangpu [2] - The finance sector, primarily consisting of securities, investment, and fund companies, represented 20.8% of leasing demand [2] - The TMT sector accounted for 14.9% of demand, driven by strong needs from data, AI, and high-tech companies [2] - Other sectors such as retail trade, cultural entertainment, and accommodation and dining also contributed to leasing demand, with respective shares of 8.2%, 5.9%, and 5.0% [2] - Sectors like construction and real estate, transportation logistics, and healthcare had relatively low demand, each below 5% [2] Supply and Demand Trends - From 2020 to Q3 2025, the Shanghai Grade A office market has shown fluctuating trends in new supply and net absorption, with 2023 witnessing the highest discrepancy between the two [2] - The supply pressure continues to impact the market, despite a return to relatively stable levels of new supply and net absorption in the first three quarters of 2025 [2]
戴德梁行:2025年大中华区写字楼供应需求前沿趋势报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 02:06
Core Insights - The report by Cushman & Wakefield highlights the differentiated development trends in the office market across various cities in Greater China, focusing on supply, demand, vacancy rates, and rental changes as of Q2 2025 [1][2][34]. Supply Overview - The total stock of Grade A office space in 20 major cities in Greater China reached approximately 72.13 million square meters by Q2 2025, with significant disparities in stock levels among cities [11][32]. - Future supply projections indicate that Suzhou will have a high future supply of 4,622,455 square meters, followed closely by Shenzhen at 5,412,263 square meters, while Shenyang has a notably low future supply of only 120,582 square meters [1][2]. Demand Dynamics - Net absorption rates show clear differentiation, with cities like Nanjing, Wuhan, and Changsha demonstrating positive net absorption figures, while some unnamed cities face negative net absorption, indicating weak demand [2][32]. - The overall vacancy rate across major cities in Greater China was reported at 24.9% in Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.7 percentage points, with cities like Nanning experiencing the highest vacancy rate at 41.3% [2][32]. Rental Trends - Rental prices have generally declined across most cities, with some cities experiencing declines exceeding 10%. Notably, Guangzhou saw a rental increase of 13.3%, showcasing its resilience in the market [2][32]. - The average rental price for Grade A office space in major core areas was recorded at 164.2 yuan per square meter per month, representing a year-on-year decrease of 13.8% [32]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates a peak in supply over the next 2-3 years, which may exert additional pressure on the market, particularly in terms of rental rates and vacancy levels [34]. - The ongoing trend of "cost control" among tenants is leading to a shift in the structure of leased areas, with smaller tenants becoming more prevalent, indicating potential challenges for landlords [39].
嘉华国际盘中最高价触及2.490港元,创近一年新高
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-12 09:13
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent stock performance of K Wah International Holdings Limited, with a closing price of HKD 2.440, down 0.81% from the previous trading day, and reaching a one-year high of HKD 2.490 during the day [1] - K Wah International is a flagship real estate business under K Wah Group, established in Hong Kong, and has developed into a comprehensive developer and investor with strategic bases in Hong Kong, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Pearl River Delta [2] - The company specializes in developing high-quality properties, including large residential communities, integrated urban development projects, premium residential buildings, Grade A office buildings, hotels, serviced apartments, and specialty shops, all recognized for their quality and design [2] Group 2 - K Wah International aims to create an ideal and harmonious living environment, focusing on innovation while maintaining the quality brand essence of "K Wah" [2] - The company leverages its extensive experience and strong financial strength to adopt a prudent and proactive strategy in identifying potential land opportunities, aiming to provide quality living spaces for customers and deliver long-term sustainable returns to shareholders [2]
上海陆家嘴金融贸易区开发股份有限公司2025年半年度报告摘要
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-07-29 17:44
Core Viewpoint - The company has released its 2025 semi-annual report, highlighting its financial performance and operational status, with a focus on significant changes and ongoing projects [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company is Shanghai Lujiazui Financial Trade Zone Development Co., Ltd., primarily engaged in real estate development and management [2]. - The report includes key financial data and shareholder information, although specific figures are not detailed in the provided text [2]. Group 2: Important Events - The company has faced issues related to soil pollution at a subsidiary, Green Shore Company, leading to a suspension of development activities since April 2022. Remediation efforts have been completed, and the company is monitoring the situation closely [3]. - The board of directors and supervisory board have confirmed the accuracy and completeness of the semi-annual report, which has been approved without any dissenting votes [4][6][14]. Group 3: Financial Performance - As of the end of Q2 2025, the company holds a total building area of 3.96 million square meters across various property types, including 2.45 million square meters of Grade A office space [16]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a rental cash inflow of 1.854 billion yuan, a decrease of 14% year-on-year, while residential property sales saw a significant increase, with a contract sales amount of 4.769 billion yuan, up 111% year-on-year [16][17]. - The company completed projects totaling 410,200 square meters in the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in residential sales cash inflow to 5.548 billion yuan, also up 105% year-on-year [18].