Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that China Galaxy has given a "recommended" rating to Xinbao Co., Ltd. (002705.SZ) based on its performance in various product categories and market conditions [1] - Kitchen appliances and other products have seen a year-on-year decline, while home appliances have achieved double-digit growth [1] - Domestic sales continue to show weak performance, but the performance of Baishengtai is relatively strong [1] Group 2 - In Q2, exports were affected by tariffs, prompting the company to actively build overseas production capacity [1] - The tariff advantages of Indonesian production capacity are significant, leading to an optimistic outlook for the company's future market share increase [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaoxiong Electric Co., Ltd. reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 2.535 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.94% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 205 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 27.32% [1]. Business Strategy and Market Position - Xiaoxiong Electric, established in March 2006, focuses on the research, design, production, and sales of small home appliances under its own brand [2]. - The company capitalized on policy incentives, leading to a 9.3% year-on-year increase in the overall retail sales of kitchen small appliances in China, which reached 31.9 billion yuan [2]. - The kitchen small appliance segment generated revenue of 1.673 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5.02% year-on-year [2]. Product Development and Innovation - The company increased investment in research and development for maternal and infant small appliances, launching a series of popular products and achieving a comprehensive product upgrade [2]. - The maternal and infant small appliance segment reported revenue of 145 million yuan, with a remarkable year-on-year growth of 40.54% [2]. Subsidiary Performance - The subsidiary, Guangdong Roman Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., advanced its major client strategy, enhancing business collaboration with key partners and improving customer structure [3]. - Roman Intelligent achieved revenue of 286 million yuan in the first half of the year [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue in Q2 2025 faced pressure due to tariffs, but profit margins remained stable. The revenue for Q1 and Q2 2025 was 3.83 billion and 3.97 billion yuan respectively, showing a year-on-year change of +10.4% and -6.6%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 250 million and 300 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +43% and +9.8% [4][5] - Despite short-term challenges in external sales, the company expects gradual improvement in revenue as overseas production capacity ramps up. The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.145 billion, 1.256 billion, and 1.368 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.41, 1.55, and 1.68 yuan [4][5] Revenue Analysis - For Q1 and Q2 2025, domestic sales revenue was 910 million and 890 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -5% and -3%. External sales revenue was 2.97 billion and 3.1 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of +16% and -8%. The decline in external sales was primarily due to reduced order deliveries impacted by tariffs [5][6] - The company is actively cooperating with downstream clients to shift production capacity, which is expected to enhance external sales growth in the coming quarters [5] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for Q1 and Q2 2025 was 22.4% and 21.8%, with year-on-year increases of +0.5 and +0.1 percentage points. The net profit margin for Q1 and Q2 was 6.4% and 7.5%, reflecting year-on-year increases of +1.5 and +1.1 percentage points [6][8] - The company maintained stable expense ratios due to internal cost reduction measures, with total expense ratios for Q1 and Q2 at 12.5% and 12.1% [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company's projected revenue for 2025 is 18.061 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%. The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.145 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [8][10] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 11.9, 10.9, and 10.0 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 59.00 [7][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 2.60% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a total revenue of RMB 81.68 billion and a net profit of RMB 20.60 billion, down 8.00% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of RMB 42.46 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.37% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.24% [1][2]. - The traditional business is facing growth challenges due to the bottoming out of new home sales, while the company is actively cultivating new energy business and exploring incremental business opportunities [1][2]. - The company’s gross margin for H1 2025 was 42.33%, a decrease of 0.61 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to fluctuations in raw material prices and changes in product mix [3]. - The company is focusing on high-end branding and exploring international markets, with overseas revenue reaching RMB 1.4 billion in the first half of the year [4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the company's revenue from electrical connection business was RMB 36.62 billion, down 5.37% year-on-year, while the smart electrical lighting business generated RMB 40.94 billion, down 2.78% year-on-year. The new energy business, however, saw a revenue increase of 33.52% year-on-year, reaching RMB 3.86 billion [2]. - The company’s net profit margin for H1 2025 was 25.22%, a decrease of 1.48 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Investment Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards by 5.43%, 8.78%, and 11.90% respectively, projecting net profits of RMB 42.71 billion, RMB 44.04 billion, and RMB 47.15 billion for those years. The corresponding EPS is expected to be RMB 2.36, RMB 2.43, and RMB 2.61 [5]. - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 59.00 based on a 25x PE ratio for 2025, indicating a clear long-term growth path despite short-term performance pressures [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 2.535 billion RMB for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.94%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 205 million RMB, up 27.32% year-on-year. Q2 2025 saw revenue growth of 29.58% and net profit growth of 641.5% year-on-year. The revenue recovery is attributed to a low base effect, the consolidation of Roman Smart, and the growth of emerging categories such as maternal and infant products. The company is focusing on improving profitability quality, which is being realized [1][8][6] - The traditional business (excluding Roman Smart) saw a revenue increase of 5.5% in H1 2025, with kitchen small appliances, lifestyle small appliances, and maternal and infant small appliances growing by 5%, -13.2%, and 40.5% respectively. The company is leveraging the growth of popular maternal and infant products and the recovery in kitchen small appliance demand to achieve stable growth [2] - Roman Smart's net profit for H1 2025 reached 33.92 million RMB, exceeding the annual performance commitment of 25 million RMB, demonstrating the synergy effects of the acquisition. Future profitability contributions are expected to continue to enhance as scale effects and customer expansion deepen [3] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 37.19%, an increase of 0.49 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin improved due to the rapid growth of high-margin maternal and infant categories (46.3% gross margin) and enhanced cost control capabilities in the supply chain [4] - The overall expense ratio for H1 2025 decreased by 2.86 percentage points year-on-year, with the sales expense ratio down 1.69 percentage points. The company’s net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 52.5%, indicating continuous improvement in operational quality and strong profitability recovery [5] - The company has raised its net profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 402.1 million RMB, 451 million RMB, and 483 million RMB respectively, reflecting increases of 14.98%, 17.86%, and 16.05%. The target price is set at 71.68 RMB, based on a 28x PE for 2025 [6][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 2025 performance exceeded market expectations, with H1 2025 revenue of 2.535 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 205 million yuan, up 27% [4][7] - The kitchen small appliance market is recovering due to national subsidies, and the consolidation of Roman Smart is contributing to revenue growth [7] - The company's profitability has improved year-on-year, with a gross margin of 37.60% in Q2 2025, an increase of 3.21 percentage points [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 401 million, 448 million, and 505 million yuan respectively, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 21, 19, and 17 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.535 billion yuan, with a net profit of 205 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 187 million yuan, showing significant growth rates of 19%, 27%, and 52% respectively [4][7] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 5.332 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.1% [6] - The expected gross margin for 2025 is 35.7%, with a return on equity (ROE) of 13.4% [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 11.48 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.94 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year [1] - The core product categories showed steady growth, with domestic and international sales reaching 7.76 billion yuan and 3.72 billion yuan respectively in H1 2025, reflecting increases of 3.4% and 7.6% year-on-year [1] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.29 billion yuan, 2.44 billion yuan, and 2.60 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 2.0%, 6.7%, and 6.3% [2] Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 gross margin was 23.6%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2 2025 gross margin was 23.3%, down 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company’s operating expenses for H1 2025 included a sales expense ratio of 10.0%, a management expense ratio of 1.7%, a research and development expense ratio of 1.8%, and a financial expense ratio of -0.1% [2] - The projected revenue for 2025 is 23.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.2% [4]

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