智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，预期阿里健康(00241)明年3月底止现财年业绩将超越市场共 识。该行上调公司现财年收入增长预测4个百分点至14%，经调整净利润增长预测上调10个百分点至 30%。该行上调阿里健康现财年及下财年经调整净利润预测8%，2024财年至2031财年预期自由现金流 年复合年增长率由42%上调至45%。对阿里健康目标价从5.5港元上调至6.56港元，重申"买入"评级。 该行指，阿里健康超预期业绩增长关键驱动因素包括618销售表现良好，母公司阿里巴巴-W(09988)在快 电商的投资加速淘宝天猫的流量并惠及阿里健康，包括年轻用户群流量增加、B2C电商交叉销售及更多 商家的广告支出。该行亦指，药品销售线上渗透率增加、商家及药品品牌广告支出上升并提振阿里健康 利润率，亦为业绩增长驱动因素。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities expects Alibaba Health (00241) to exceed market consensus for the fiscal year ending March 2024, with significant upward revisions to revenue and profit forecasts [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth forecast for the current fiscal year has been increased by 4 percentage points to 14% [1] - Adjusted net profit growth forecast has been raised by 10 percentage points to 30% [1] - Adjusted net profit predictions for the current and next fiscal years have been increased by 8% [1] - Projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for free cash flow from fiscal year 2024 to 2031 has been revised from 42% to 45% [1] Target Price and Rating - Target price for Alibaba Health has been raised from HKD 5.5 to HKD 6.56 [1] - The rating remains "Buy" [1] Growth Drivers - Key drivers for the better-than-expected performance include strong sales during the 618 shopping festival [1] - Increased investment from parent company Alibaba Group (09988) in fast e-commerce has enhanced traffic to Taobao and Tmall, benefiting Alibaba Health [1] - Growth in younger user traffic, B2C e-commerce cross-selling, and increased advertising spending from more merchants have contributed to performance [1] - Rising online penetration of pharmaceutical sales and increased advertising spending from merchants and pharmaceutical brands have also boosted Alibaba Health's profit margins [1]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC is optimistic about JD Health due to strong growth in its pharmaceutical and health supplement businesses, particularly in innovative drugs, which account for approximately 30% of prescription drug sales and benefit from hospital patient flow migration [2][3]. Group 1: Business Growth - JD Health is leveraging two core business drivers: pharmaceuticals and health supplements, with a projected revenue growth of about 20% year-on-year in the second half of 2025 [3]. - The innovative drug segment is highlighted as a key growth area, benefiting from the trend of hospital prescriptions moving online [3]. Group 2: AI Implementation - The application of AI technology has resulted in a 10% improvement in cost efficiency and conversion rates for JD Health [6]. - The company utilizes vast amounts of real user dialogue data to train its AI models, enhancing their precision and effectiveness [6]. Group 3: Profitability and Investment - JD Health is actively expanding its offline presence, planning to open 200 self-operated pharmacies within the year, which is impacting its profit margins [8]. - The adjusted net profit margin for JD Health is expected to remain between 8-10% in the short term, with a forecasted drop to around 6% in the second half of 2025 [8][9]. - The company is implementing stricter cost controls to mitigate the impact on profit margins [9]. Group 4: Analyst Rating and Price Target - HSBC maintains a "buy" rating for JD Health and has slightly raised its target price from HKD 65.00 to HKD 66.00, indicating a potential upside of 7.4% [9].

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities expects Alibaba Health's performance for the fiscal year ending March 2024 to exceed market consensus, leading to upward revisions in revenue and profit forecasts [1] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The company raised its revenue growth forecast for the current fiscal year by 4 percentage points to 14% [1] - Adjusted net profit growth forecast was increased by 10 percentage points to 30% [1] - Adjusted net profit predictions for the current and next fiscal years were raised by 8% [1] Cash Flow Projections - The expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for free cash flow from fiscal year 2024 to 2031 was increased from 42% to 45% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Alibaba Health was raised from HKD 5.5 to HKD 6.56, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Key Growth Drivers - Key drivers for Alibaba Health's better-than-expected performance include strong sales during the 618 shopping festival [1] - Investments by the parent company Alibaba in fast e-commerce are accelerating traffic to Taobao and Tmall, benefiting Alibaba Health through increased young user traffic, B2C e-commerce cross-selling, and higher advertising spending from more merchants [1] - Increased online penetration of drug sales and rising advertising expenditures from merchants and drug brands are also contributing to Alibaba Health's profit margin and overall performance growth [1]

美银证券发表报告指，京东健康上半年业绩大幅优于预期，该行预期其下半年业绩将持续超越市场预 期。据此该行将京东健康2025全年收入增长预测从20%上修至22%，调整后营业利润增长预测从32%上 修至40%。该行预期京东健康下半年毛利率将实现按年扩张，同时下修下半年营业费用率预测，因预期 O2O门店亏损将减少，但维持年终门店总数目标不变。基于更乐观的增长前景，该行将京东健康2025至 2027年调整后净利润预测上调3%，并将现金流折现目标价从68港元上调至71港元，重申"买入"评级。 相关事件 大行评级丨美银：预计京东健康下半年业绩将持续超越市场预期 目标价上调至71港元 研报掘金丨中 金：预测京东健康第三季基本面或延续强劲增长态势 目标价上调至67.4港元 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that JD Health is expected to maintain a strong performance in Q3 2023, with an anticipated revenue growth rate of approximately 25% year-on-year [1] - The company is projected to achieve a non-IFRS net profit growth at a double-digit level year-on-year for Q3 2023, driven by ongoing investments in its omnichannel system [1] - Due to better-than-expected contributions from pharmaceutical partnerships and manageable future investments, the profit forecasts for JD Health's non-IFRS net profit for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 5% and 4% respectively, reaching 5.72 billion and 6.31 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The ongoing development of the omnichannel system is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness, leading to an upward adjustment of the target price by 11.2% to 67.4 HKD [1] - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for JD Health, indicating confidence in the company's ability to sustain strong growth in its fundamentals for Q3 [1]

Core Insights - JD Health is leveraging two main growth engines: innovative drugs and AI technology, aiming to reshape its growth narrative beyond traditional e-commerce [1] - The report from HSBC predicts a revenue growth of approximately 20% year-on-year in the second half of 2025, driven by the dual support of its core businesses [1] Innovative Drug Business - The innovative drug segment is highlighted as a key growth area, currently accounting for about 30% of JD Health's total prescription drug sales [1] - The growth rate of this segment is expected to continue increasing, primarily due to the shift of hospital prescriptions to online platforms [1] AI Technology Impact - AI technology has shown tangible results, improving cost efficiency and conversion rates by 10 percentage points [2] - The company utilizes vast amounts of real user dialogue data to train its AI models, enhancing their precision and efficiency [2] - Future investments in AI are planned to be "controllable" in scale [2] Offline Expansion and Profitability - JD Health is actively expanding offline, planning to open 200 self-operated pharmacies within the year, which is impacting short-term profit margins [3] - The adjusted net profit margin for the first half of 2025 is projected at 10%, but is expected to remain between 8-10% in the short term [3] - The report forecasts a Non-IFRS net profit margin of about 8% in Q3 2025, potentially dropping to around 6% in the second half of 2025 [3] - The company is implementing stricter cost control measures to buffer profit margins [3] Investment Rating - HSBC maintains a "buy" rating for JD Health, raising the target price from 65.00 HKD to 66.00 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 7.4% as of the report's publication date [3]

Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period marks a significant transformation in China's industrial landscape, with a focus on upgrading traditional industries and fostering emerging sectors [1] Digital Infrastructure Development - By mid-2025, the number of 5G base stations reached 4.55 million, a fivefold increase compared to 2020 [4] - Gigabit broadband users grew 34 times to 226 million [4] Data Industry Growth - The data industry scale reached 5.86 trillion yuan, reflecting a 117% increase during the "13th Five-Year Plan" [5] - By 2024, the number of data enterprises exceeded 400,000, with over 35,000 high-quality data sets constructed, totaling over 400 petabytes [6] Intelligent Manufacturing - Over 10,000 smart factories have been established, covering more than 80% of major manufacturing sectors [8] E-commerce Expansion - Online retail sales reached 15.5 trillion yuan in 2024, a 31.4% increase from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan," maintaining China's position as the largest online retail market globally for 12 consecutive years [12] Telemedicine Services - By the end of 2024, the number of internet medical users reached 418 million, nearly doubling since the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan," with over 3,300 internet hospitals established [14] Artificial Intelligence Growth - Daily token consumption surged from 100 billion at the beginning of 2024 to over 30 trillion by mid-2025, marking a growth of over 300 times [17] International E-commerce Partnerships - The number of "Silk Road e-commerce" partner countries increased to 36 by 2024 [18]

石榴云医说自己签了二十一万多医生，服务了七十万病人，肝病这块号称全国第一，八成肝病医生都在他们平台，慢性病专科医师资源覆盖六成，这数字一 摆出来，听着唬人，其实行业里头都知道，医生注册不等于活跃，病人数量也分新老，很多人只是挂个号，真要说线上能治好多少，那还得看天吃饭，政策 一变，平台日子能不能过下去还两说。 员工才一百五十来号人，前台小吴吐槽说，上市前天天加班，工资一拖再拖，绩效考核像挤牙膏，搞得人心惶惶，内部群里天天有人问"上市了钱啥时候到 账"，高层只会说"再坚持坚持"，谁都知道这公司这几年赚的都是营收，净利润年年亏，2022年亏一亿二，2023年亏一亿四，今年还在亏，越上市越亏，老 员工都在琢磨，上市到底是为了圈钱还是图个名声。 早上六点，广州荔湾菜市场外头一碗肠粉下肚，老王边骂边刷手机，隔壁张姨递根油条，说石榴云医上市了，刚上市就差点破发，这事你说气不气，去年还 说小厂子，转眼就赶着上纳斯达克，员工才一百五十来号人，街坊们都说，这坑我熟人也能踩，看着是光鲜，其实水有多深只有自己知道。 石榴云医这家公司，十几年前谁认识啊，老板石振洋，早些年在村里当医生，后来家里人生病，治不起，跑到广州，揣着几千块钱， ...

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that JD Health (6618.HK) is expected to significantly outperform earnings expectations in the first half of 2025, with continued strong performance anticipated in the second half of the year [1] Financial Performance - The revenue growth forecast for JD Health in 2025 has been revised upward from 20% to 22% [1] - The adjusted operating profit growth forecast for 2025 has been increased from 32% to 40% [1] Profitability and Valuation - The net profit forecast for JD Health for the years 2025 to 2027 has been raised by 3% based on a more optimistic growth outlook [1] - The discounted cash flow target price for JD Health has been increased from HKD 68 to HKD 71, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]