公司新增订单连续六个季度同比回升，AI服务器与国内需求共振带动SMT加速复苏，SEMI随HBM扩产 进入新一轮上行周期。先进封装占比提升、SMT结构改善及费用优化带来毛利率与盈利拐点，2025– 2027年业绩弹性充分。 地缘政治+国产替代共振，中国市场份额预期提升 在美国出口管制与国产化替代加速背景下，国内封测厂资本开支保持高增，公司作为封装设备唯一具备 ECD供应能力的厂商，结合中国深度本地化网络与领先客户资源，将持续受益于供应链自主可控与国产 化政策红利。 财通证券主要观点如下： 先进封装设备放量，全面布局深度受益 全球AI/HPC带动TCB、HybridBonding等先进封装工艺快速渗透，设备需求进入持续放量周期。公司在 先进封装拥有完整的设备矩阵，覆盖沉积、TCB、HB、Fan-out与SiP等核心环节，TCB市占率全球第 一，HB设备完成代际升级并量产交付。随着HBM扩产启动、先进逻辑厂设备采购周期延续，公司有望 在行业结构性扩张中获得最大增量，先进封装收入与全球占有率持续提升。 订单与盈利双拐点，高毛利产品占比提升推动利润修复 财通证券（601108）发布研报称，ASMPT(00522)因AI ...

Core Viewpoint - ASMPT is experiencing accelerated recovery in its SMT business due to the resonance of AI server demand and domestic market needs, while the SEMI sector is entering a new upcycle with the expansion of HBM capacity. The company is rated "Buy" for the first time [1]. Group 1: Advanced Packaging Equipment - The global AI and HPC markets are driving rapid penetration of advanced packaging processes such as TCB and Hybrid Bonding, leading to a sustained increase in equipment demand. The company has a complete equipment matrix in advanced packaging, covering key areas such as deposition, TCB, HB, Fan-out, and SiP, with the highest global market share in TCB. The HB equipment has undergone generational upgrades and is now in mass production. As HBM expansion begins and the equipment procurement cycle for advanced logic continues, the company is expected to gain significant incremental growth during the industry's structural expansion, with increasing revenue and global market share in advanced packaging [2]. Group 2: Orders and Profitability - The company has seen a continuous year-on-year increase in new orders for six consecutive quarters, driven by the resonance of AI server demand and domestic needs, leading to a recovery in SMT. The SEMI sector is also entering a new upcycle with HBM expansion. The increase in the proportion of advanced packaging, improvements in SMT structure, and cost optimization are contributing to a turning point in gross margin and profitability, with significant earnings elasticity expected from 2025 to 2027 [3]. Group 3: Market Share and Geopolitical Factors - In the context of U.S. export controls and accelerated domestic substitution, capital expenditure among domestic packaging and testing companies remains high. As the only packaging equipment manufacturer with ECD supply capabilities, the company is expected to benefit from supply chain autonomy and domestic policy dividends, leveraging its deep local network and leading customer resources [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to benefit from long-term trends in advanced packaging, order recovery, and improvements in profitability structure. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at HKD 141.14 billion, 165.73 billion, and 189.05 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 6.69%, 17.42%, and 14.07%, respectively. The projected net profit attributable to shareholders is HKD 4.19 billion, 11.13 billion, and 17.15 billion, with corresponding PE ratios of 85, 32, and 21 times for 2025-2027. The company is rated "Buy" for the first time [4].

智通财经1月7日讯，今日80股涨停，44股炸板，封板率为65%，胜通能源14连板，锋龙股份9连板，雷 科防务6连板，友邦吊顶5连板，城建发展4连板，美好医疗、志特新材20cm3连板，鲁信创投9天7板， 金风科技8天4板。沪指微涨录得14连阳，创业板指冲高回落。沪深两市成交额2.85万亿，较上一个交易 日放量476亿，成交额连续2个交易日超2.8万亿。盘面上，市场热点快速轮动，全市场超3100只个股下 跌。板块方面，煤炭、半导体设备、可控核聚变、旅游酒店板块涨幅居前；脑机接口、跨境支付、证 券、互联网金融板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指涨0.05%，深成指涨0.06%，创业板指涨0.31%。 后市展望 连板晋级率降至37.20%，昨晚国晟科技、嘉美包装宣布停牌核查，高位股方面表现分化，胜通能源一 字涨停晋级14连板，但此前4连板的南兴股份以及3连板的农心科技均遭遇断板，2进3个股晋级率也降至 仅有三成。此前赚钱效应爆棚的高弹性方向今日遭遇批量瓦解，多只脑机接口概念20厘米人气股断板， 此前2连板的北证脑机概念股倍益康以及智能驾驶概念股汉鑫科技盘中均遭遇深幅调整。在高位股尚未 批量积出现负反馈前，市场仍有望维持热点间 ...

南方财经1月7日电，1月7日，中微公司大宗交易成交94.28万股，成交额3.09亿元，占当日总成交额的 3.54%，成交价327.3元，较市场收盘价352.34元折价7.11%。 ...

| 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) | | 成交金额(万元) 成交量(*) 买入营业部 | | 卖出营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-01-07 | 芯基微装 | 688630 | 130 | 796.42 | 6.13 | 权证分成功官网 | 委員貴 | | 2026-01-07 | 芯基微装 | 688630 | 130 | 299 | 2.3 | 公司南景关党路提 | 公司南 | | 2026-01-07 | 芯基微装 | 688630 | 130 | 299 | 2.3 | 公司江嘉宾公营限 | 公司南京 | | 2026-01-07 | 芯基微装 | 688630 | 130 | 299 | 2.3 | 次曾生存於分 | 公司 | | 2026-01-07 | 芯基微装 | 688630 | 130 | 299 | 2.3 | 公司青田涌潮街证 | 公司南京中山 | | 2026-01-07 | 芯基微装 | 688630 | 130 | 234 | 1.8 | 华泰业空版分有限 | ...

Core Insights - The A-share IPO market in 2025 saw a significant increase in both quantity and quality, with 116 new stocks raising over 130 billion yuan, primarily driven by hard technology and new energy companies [1][5][18] - The efficiency of the IPO review process improved due to regulatory updates, leading to a faster approval timeline for new listings [3][4][15] - CITIC Securities emerged as the leading underwriter, sponsoring 15 IPO projects, which reflects its strong position in the market [16][17] IPO Market Overview - A total of 116 new stocks were issued in 2025, a 16% increase from 100 in 2024 [3][4] - The main exchanges for new listings were the ChiNext and the Beijing Stock Exchange, with 33 and 26 new stocks respectively [3][4] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board also saw increases in new listings, with 23 and 19 new stocks respectively [3][4] Fundraising Performance - The total funds raised through IPOs in 2025 reached 1317.71 billion yuan, nearly doubling from 673.53 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 95.64% increase [5][7] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange led in fundraising with 432.28 billion yuan, followed by the Sci-Tech Innovation Board with 380.61 billion yuan [5][7] - The fundraising growth was attributed to the successful launch of large-scale projects, particularly in the new energy sector [8][18] Sector Analysis - Hard technology and new energy sectors dominated the IPO landscape, with significant contributions from electronics, electric power equipment, and automotive industries [9][10][12] - The electronics sector alone accounted for over 20 new listings, raising 365 billion yuan [10][12] - The automotive sector had 16 new listings, raising 229.25 billion yuan, reflecting the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle market [14] Regulatory Impact - The implementation of the registration system reform and the optimization of review processes significantly shortened the IPO approval timeline [4][15] - New policies allowed for a shift from profit-based to potential-based listing criteria, enhancing the focus on quality over quantity [15][18] Underwriter Performance - CITIC Securities led the underwriting market with 15 IPOs, generating 12.44 billion yuan in underwriting fees [16][17] - Other notable underwriters included Guotai Junan Securities and Huatai United Securities, with 12 and 10 IPOs respectively [17][18]

Market Overview - Semiconductor equipment continues to show strength, closing up 7.5% [1] Factors Driving Upward Movement - On January 6, the Ministry of Commerce announced strengthened export controls on dual-use items to Japan, impacting Japan's semiconductor equipment and materials market, where companies like Tokyo Electron and Advantest are significant players. This move is expected to allow Chinese companies to gradually capture market share from Japanese semiconductor firms [3] - NVIDIA's announcement at CES regarding its storage pooling technology is expected to increase NAND demand, with each GPU corresponding to 16TB capacity. This has led to a strong performance in the storage sector, indicating a favorable outlook for semiconductor equipment [4] Future Outlook Catalyst 1: Storage Sector - DRAM and NAND Flash spot prices have increased by over 300% since September 2025, with Q4 contract prices up 75% year-on-year. The storage price increase is expected to continue into Q1 2026 due to ongoing capacity constraints and accelerating AI demand [5] - AI GPU demand is projected to maintain a steep growth trajectory, with storage capacity constraints becoming a key investment theme through 2026. The trend towards 3D stacking in storage is expected to benefit semiconductor equipment manufacturers [5] Catalyst 2: Lithography Machine Imports - Recent data shows that lithography machine imports reached 4.6 billion yuan in November, with significant volumes imported in the preceding months. This indicates strong expansion demand in the semiconductor sector [6] Investment Thesis - The current narrative around storage and semiconductor equipment is driven by genuine benefits from global AI demand, distinguishing it from previous cycles. The semiconductor equipment ETF is seen as having clear catalysts and relatively low valuations, with a P/E ratio of 94.81x as of January 6, which is below other mainstream semiconductor indices [7]

Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index recorded a slight increase, achieving a 14-day winning streak, while the ChiNext Index experienced a pullback [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.85 trillion yuan, marking a 476 billion yuan increase from the previous trading day, with trading volumes exceeding 2.8 trillion yuan for two consecutive days [1] - Market sentiment showed rapid rotation among sectors, with over 3,100 stocks declining [1] Sector Summaries Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment sector saw a significant surge, with companies like Northern Huachuang and Zhongwei Company reaching historical highs [2] - According to Dongwu Securities, the domestic semiconductor equipment industry is poised for historic growth, with an expected order growth rate exceeding 30% and potentially reaching over 50% by 2026 [2] - The sector is experiencing strong momentum due to continuous capital inflow, although caution is advised regarding the overall market capitalization of key stocks [2] Coal Industry - The coal sector strengthened in the afternoon, with companies such as Dayou Energy and Shanxi Black Cat hitting the daily limit [2] - Guohai Securities forecasts an improvement in the supply-demand relationship in the coal industry by 2026, with expected price increases for thermal and coking coal [2] - The anticipated average price for thermal coal is around 750 yuan, while coking coal is expected to average 1,550 yuan, indicating potential recovery in industry profitability [2] Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The controlled nuclear fusion sector showed strong fluctuations, with companies like China First Heavy Industries and China Nuclear Engineering hitting the daily limit [3] - The recent announcement from Energy Singularity regarding significant progress in nuclear fusion technology has catalyzed interest in this sector [3] - This sector is characterized by speculative trading driven by event catalysts, with potential for continued activity in the market [3] Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace sector faced mixed sentiments, with stocks like China Satellite and Shanghai Hanxun declining over 6% due to the suspension of two major stocks for investigation [6] - Despite the pullback, stocks like Tongyu Communication and Lei Ke Defense maintained strong performance, indicating ongoing interest in the sector [6] - The sector's high popularity continues to attract capital, suggesting resilience as long as there is no significant negative feedback [6] Market Analysis - The market experienced fluctuations throughout the day, with all three major indices closing slightly higher and trading volume increasing [8] - There is a noticeable increase in market divergence, with more stocks declining than rising, indicating potential short-term correction needs [8] - The commercial aerospace sector remains a core focus, alongside semiconductor equipment and AI applications, which are showing positive rotation trends [8]

指数虽然红着，但内在的"体质"出现了一些值得关注的信号。最直观的一点是：今天两市超过3100只个 股是下跌的，上涨的只有一千多家。这意味着，指数这面红旗，是由少数板块奋力扛起来的，而大多数 股票已经跟不上脚步，开始休息甚至掉队了。这种"指数强、个股弱"的分化，是市场经历持续上涨后， 动能开始转换的一个典型征兆。 那么，是谁在奋力扛旗呢？今天的领涨主力非常清晰，集中在两条线上：一条是 "旧能源"的煤炭，午 后突然发力大涨；另一条是贯穿本轮行情的 "硬科技"核心——半导体设备，北方华创、中微公司这些 龙头今天又创出了历史新高。而昨天还热火朝天的脑机接口、大金融（证券）则出现了明显的调整。这 再次印证了我们之前的判断：市场正在进行一场激烈的高低切换和风格再平衡。资金像水流一样，从短 期过热的地方流出，去寻找那些逻辑更硬、位置相对没那么拥挤的洼地。煤炭的上涨，或许有自身的供 需故事，但放在当前时点，它更像是一个"避风港"和"补涨"的角色。 因此，我的核心观点是：十四连阳，是趋势力量强大的证明，但也是市场需要一次像样休整的明确信 号。 行情正在从"雨露均沾"的普涨阶段，正式进入"考验选股能力"的精耕细作阶段。市场的步子 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global economy is expected to show moderate recovery in 2026, supported by ample liquidity and a gradual recovery in inventory and profit cycles, shifting the market narrative from valuation recovery to profit support [1][30]. Group 1: Overseas Macro - The global economy will continue to recover, with K-shaped economic characteristics persisting but narrowing. Major economies are projected to have varied GDP growth rates: the US at 2.4%, Eurozone at 1.0%, Japan at 0.8%, and emerging markets at 4.2% [2][30]. - Global inflation is on a downward trend, with expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates 2-3 times in 2026, leading to a decrease in short-term rates [31][30]. Group 2: Domestic Macro - Fiscal policies are expected to drive investment recovery in major economic provinces, with a focus on infrastructure, manufacturing recovery, and a narrowing decline in real estate sales and investment [8][35]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is anticipated to rise initially before stabilizing, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) may see moderate increases. The profit cycle is gradually recovering, with improvements expected in various sectors [9][35]. Group 3: Liquidity Environment - A clear trend of global liquidity easing is established, with the Federal Reserve leading improvements in overseas liquidity. Domestic monetary policy is expected to align with fiscal measures, potentially leading to interest rate cuts [12][38]. - The supply of funds is likely to be dominated by institutional capital, with private equity funds potentially driving high-net-worth individuals back into equity allocations [14][38]. Group 4: Strategic Allocation Directions - The market is expected to shift from valuation recovery to profit-driven dynamics in 2026, with Chinese assets still having room for valuation recovery [41][42]. - Key sectors to focus on include technology and advanced manufacturing, traditional export chains, and industries with increasing overseas revenue proportions [42][45]. - Future industry themes may include smart manufacturing, next-generation communications, advanced materials, and future energy solutions [47].