国际贸易
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美国霸主地位不在?世贸会议中国的一个行为,让全球对美国说不!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 04:44
Core Viewpoint - The recent WTO meeting in Geneva highlighted a significant shift in global trade dynamics, with countries openly criticizing the United States for its unilateral trade practices and rallying around China's proposals for reforming the multilateral trade system [1][3][25] Group 1: U.S. Trade Practices - The U.S. has been a major contributor to the current global trade chaos, primarily through its unilateral imposition of tariffs and pressure for bilateral agreements that disadvantage other nations [5][9] - The U.S. has utilized tariffs without consulting the WTO, leading to a breakdown in the established multilateral trade order [7][9] - Countries have expressed frustration over the U.S.'s "might makes right" approach, which undermines collective trade agreements and rules [5][10] Group 2: China's Proposals - China proposed three specific recommendations aimed at addressing the trade disorder: enhancing transparency and oversight, reaffirming commitment to a rules-based multilateral trade system, and taking concrete actions to ensure the WTO can effectively resolve trade disputes [10][12][14] - These proposals were well-received because they focus on the collective interests of all nations, rather than favoring any single country [16][25] Group 3: Global Response - Countries, including traditional U.S. allies like the EU, have begun to voice their concerns about the U.S.'s approach, indicating a shift towards supporting a rules-based system [17][19] - Nations such as Australia, New Zealand, and South Korea have expressed the need for oversight on unilateral tariffs and bilateral agreements to protect their interests [19][21] - Developing countries, particularly those affected by U.S. tariffs, have openly criticized U.S. practices and supported China's initiatives as a means to counteract U.S. pressure [22][23]
韩国担心美关税施压引发金融危机
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-06 22:03
Group 1 - The new U.S. government's unilateral and protectionist policies have violated WTO principles, causing significant disruption to global trade and raising concerns among various countries, including South Korea [1] - South Korea's President expressed concerns over potential financial crises similar to the 1997 crisis if the U.S. demands for cash investments are met without a currency swap agreement [1][3] - The proposed $350 billion investment fund by South Korea is equivalent to 20% of its GDP for 2024, highlighting the significant economic implications of the ongoing negotiations with the U.S. [3] Group 2 - South Korea's request for a bilateral currency swap agreement with the U.S. aims to mitigate the impact of foreign investments on the Korean won and enhance its international standing [2] - The historical context of the 1997 financial crisis is a major concern for South Korea, as it faced high short-term debt and limited foreign reserves at that time [3] - The ongoing U.S.-initiated tariff war is disrupting global supply chains and trade order, prompting calls for increased economic cooperation in Asia to address these challenges [3]
东边亮了!美国盟友集体反水,全球贸易版图必将重写...
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 09:40
世界贸易组织3日在瑞士日内瓦召开服务贸易理事会年度第三次会议。中方主动设置议题,揭批美国"对等关税"单边主义和保护主义本质,指出美国限制 措施对全球服务贸易带来负面溢出影响,要求美方切实遵守世贸组织规则,与各方共同促进全球服务贸易健康稳定发展。 "五眼联盟"的裂痕更具标志性。英国商业大臣雷诺兹宣布重启中英经贸联委会,年内访华推动贸易升级,在北海风电和数字丝绸之路项目上与中国签下32 亿英镑大单。要知道,英国2024年对华贸易额达1230亿英镑,占外贸总额14.7%,在脱欧后经济衰退的背景下,中国市场已成其救命稻草。澳大利亚的摇 摆同样戏剧化:在终止中企租约导致千亿澳元蒸发、牛肉出口暴跌40%后,总理阿尔巴尼斯终于公开拒绝美国的"脱钩"要求。毕竟中国吸纳了其38.6%的 出口额,没人愿意和自己的钱包过不去。 除此之外, 中方还要求美方切实遵守世贸组织规则,与各方加强对话与合作,共同维护全球服务贸易繁荣稳定。中方愿与所有成员共同努力,不断深化 服务贸易领域开放水平,为全球服务贸易的健康稳定发展贡献更大力量。 这场没有硝烟的会议,清晰地照出一个事实,美国用霸权筑起的壁垒,正在变成困住自己的牢笼,曾经那些围绕在身边的 ...
加拿大学者建议:把“贸易流氓”踢出WTO,让美沦为“国际弃儿”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-05 05:51
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the United States' role in the World Trade Organization (WTO), highlighting its self-proclaimed status as a founding member while simultaneously undermining the organization's rules when they no longer serve its interests [1][5]. Group 1: U.S. Actions and Criticism - A Canadian scholar labeled the U.S. as a "trade rogue," criticizing its return to protectionist policies reminiscent of the Great Depression, and suggested expelling the U.S. from the WTO [3]. - Since 2018, the U.S. has frequently violated international trade rules, raising tariffs and obstructing the appointment of judges to the WTO's appellate body, effectively paralyzing its dispute resolution mechanism [5]. - The U.S. has threatened to withdraw from the WTO while simultaneously attempting to control its budget and influence personnel appointments, turning the organization into a platform that primarily serves U.S. interests [5][8]. Group 2: Challenges of Expulsion - The possibility of expelling the U.S. from the WTO is virtually impossible due to the lack of a mechanism for collective expulsion, as outlined in the Marrakesh Agreement [6]. - Despite discussions in Congress about potential withdrawal, there has been no definitive outcome, indicating that the U.S. is unlikely to leave the WTO voluntarily [6][9]. - The U.S. remains the largest player in the WTO, making it difficult for other countries to effectively respond to its rule-breaking behavior [9]. Group 3: EU's Response and Future Implications - The EU is developing a "Plan B" to establish a new multilateral dispute resolution mechanism, indicating a growing discontent with the current WTO structure under U.S. influence [8]. - The U.S. has been dismantling key pillars of the WTO, such as the most-favored-nation treatment and the dispute resolution mechanism, which has led to a collapse of these systems [8]. - The U.S.'s imposition of a 50% tariff in 2025 serves as a final ultimatum to other countries, emphasizing its willingness to escalate tensions if its demands are not met [8].
下一个“黑天鹅”,11月5日来袭?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-04 12:14
Core Points - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear a case on November 5 regarding the legality of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which could lead to significant economic and political consequences [1][2] - The case centers around the invocation of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) by the Trump administration to justify tariffs, claiming trade deficits constitute a national emergency [3][4] - The outcome of the case could either validate the administration's broad powers or challenge the legal basis for such unilateral economic measures [5][9] Legal Context - The Trump administration argues that the IEEPA provides the president with extensive powers to impose tariffs in response to national emergencies, with tariffs having raised the effective consumer goods tariff rate to 17.9%, the highest since 1934 [3][4] - However, many legal scholars, including conservatives, believe the administration's legal foundation is weak, citing the "major-questions doctrine" which requires significant economic actions to have clear congressional authorization [5][6] Market Implications - The potential ruling is viewed as a "Damocles sword" over Wall Street, with the outcome likely to influence market pricing and fiscal strategies [7] - If the Supreme Court rules the tariffs illegal, the government may need to refund billions in tariffs, impacting fiscal stability and potentially destabilizing the unilateral economic strategy of the Trump administration [8] - Conversely, a ruling in favor of the administration could expand presidential powers significantly, allowing for unilateral economic decisions without congressional approval, which may lead to market volatility if combined with negative economic indicators [10]
自贸区川南临港片区:剑指“满园满产”,打造泸州开放发展核心引擎
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-10-01 07:48
Core Viewpoint - The China (Sichuan) Free Trade Zone (FTZ) Nanchuan Port Area is actively promoting high-quality economic development through institutional innovation and project signings, aiming to enhance its role as a core engine for the city's open economy [3][4]. Institutional Innovation - The Nanchuan Port Area has developed 540 institutional innovation achievements, including 21 new models since 2025, focusing on customs clearance, administrative approval, and tax management [4][5]. - Nine of these innovations have been promoted nationwide, while 36 have been adopted across Sichuan Province, demonstrating the area's commitment to reform and market vitality [4][5]. Project Signings and Economic Impact - On September 29, 12 projects were signed with various companies, covering areas such as bonded processing, bonded logistics, and cross-border e-commerce, marking a significant step towards achieving the "full garden, full production" goal [3][4]. - The Nanchuan Port Area aims to achieve an annual import and export value of 1 billion yuan from the newly signed projects, particularly in the international trade of imported meat [8]. Logistics and Transportation - The Nanchuan Port Area is enhancing its logistics capabilities by integrating water, rail, and road transport, with a focus on establishing a resource allocation hub for bulk commodities in the Sichuan-Chongqing region [7][8]. - The port has seen a 10.02% year-on-year increase in container throughput, reaching 186,700 TEUs from January to September [7]. Industry Development - The area is transitioning from a logistics channel to an "import + processing" ecosystem, focusing on developing outward-oriented industries, particularly in food and advanced materials [9][10]. - The cross-border e-commerce industry park is projected to achieve a transaction volume of 980 million yuan from January to September, reflecting a 27.77% year-on-year growth [10]. Future Goals - The Nanchuan Port Area aims to complete a foreign trade import and export volume of 14 billion yuan by the end of the year and achieve "full garden, full production" within three years [10][11].
青岛助力企业多元开拓国际市场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 08:59
Core Viewpoint - Qingdao is accelerating its international market expansion strategy by establishing a comprehensive support system for enterprises going abroad, focusing on three main frameworks: a multi-dimensional policy support system, an internal and external service guarantee system, and a professional empowerment state-owned platform service system [1][4]. Group 1: Multi-Dimensional Policy Support System - Qingdao has introduced 25 policy measures to support foreign trade, focusing on stabilizing operations, exploring new markets, and optimizing supply chain layouts [1]. - The city aims to help foreign trade enterprises through a public consultation hotline and a comprehensive policy coverage approach [1]. Group 2: Internal and External Service Guarantee System - Qingdao is developing a "10+8+7" overseas comprehensive service system, which includes 10 overseas service centers and 8 key economic and trade cooperation zones [4]. - The establishment of overseas warehouses in 41 countries and regions, covering over 1 million square meters, aims to enhance logistics and service capabilities for enterprises [4]. - A collaborative mechanism involving business, finance, customs, taxation, foreign exchange, and port services has been established to address operational challenges faced by foreign trade enterprises [4]. Group 3: Professional Empowerment State-Owned Platform Service System - Qingdao emphasizes the role of state-owned platforms in international trade, supporting companies like Qingdao Huato Group and Guoxin Group in various sectors, including cold chain and cross-border e-commerce [5][6]. - The establishment of Qingdao Haifa International Trade aims to integrate shipping logistics and international trade services, enhancing the overall service ecosystem [6]. - The city is focusing on digital transformation and resource integration to support local industries in their international expansion efforts [6]. Group 4: Focus on Specialized Export Clusters - The Shandong Provincial Department of Commerce has launched an initiative to cultivate specialized export clusters in ten key industries, targeting significant export growth by 2026 [7]. - The goal includes creating one trillion-yuan-level and two 500-billion-yuan-level export clusters, along with the addition of over 1,000 specialized export enterprises [7].
老美经济开始衰退!基辛格曾发出预警:若美国倒下,谁也别想好过
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 11:24
Economic Overview - The U.S. economy appears strong on the surface, but underlying issues are significant, with real GDP growth projected to be only 1.5% for the year, down from 2.5% last year [2] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise to 4.5%, indicating potential job losses and reduced consumer spending [2] Inflation and Consumer Confidence - Core inflation remains high at around 3.5%, far from the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, with tariffs contributing to increased import prices [4] - Consumer confidence has plummeted, with the Michigan University index hitting a low not seen since the end of 2023 [4] Industrial Production and Economic Predictions - Industrial production fell by 0.4% month-over-month in July, with manufacturing PMI barely above the threshold, and order volumes declining sharply [4] - Predictions for GDP growth in Q4 are as low as 1.2%, indicating a potential economic slowdown [6] Emerging Markets Impact - Emerging markets are facing challenges as U.S. economic issues ripple globally, with trade growth in these markets dropping to just 1.7% [8] - Countries like Vietnam, Brazil, and Mexico are experiencing reduced orders and production cuts due to their reliance on U.S. imports [8] Geopolitical Risks - Geopolitical tensions are rising, particularly between the U.S. and China, with potential for increased conflict as the U.S. seeks to regain its global leadership [15] - Historical patterns suggest that economic crises often lead to heightened international tensions and conflicts [12] China's Economic Strategy - China is preparing for potential economic downturns, focusing on domestic demand and infrastructure investment to bolster its economy [18] - The Chinese government is emphasizing stability and cooperation in international relations, aiming to avoid isolation [19]
商务发布|“万企出海 鲁贸全球”国际营销体系推进会在济举办
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-09-29 10:30
Core Viewpoint - The "Ten Thousand Enterprises Going Global" international marketing system promotion meeting was successfully held in Jinan, aiming to integrate international trade service resources and enhance overseas comprehensive service systems to assist enterprises in expanding international markets and deepening industrial and trade collaboration [1] Group 1: Action Plan and Objectives - The Shandong Provincial Department of Commerce announced the "Shandong Province Specialized, Refined, Special, and New Foreign Trade Quality Products Cluster Going Global Action," focusing on ten key export product clusters including automotive manufacturing, chemical products, general equipment, textiles and clothing, electronic appliances, building materials, light industrial crafts, food and agricultural products, pharmaceuticals, and specialized equipment [3] - The action plan aims to cultivate 1 trillion-level, 2 five-hundred-billion-level, and 7 hundred-billion-level export industry clusters by 2026, with over 1,000 new specialized and refined export enterprises [3] Group 2: Market Expansion Strategy - The initiative emphasizes a dual-track approach of "one country, one policy" and "one industry, one policy," targeting emerging markets in Africa, the Middle East, Central Asia, South America, Eastern Europe, and ASEAN [3] - A core international marketing network will be constructed based on the "Five Ones," including the establishment of overseas marketing workstations, organization of overseas brand exhibitions, connection with warehousing hubs, establishment of product display centers, and utilization of overseas cooperation parks [3] Group 3: Support Measures and Services - To enhance enterprise support for going global, the Shandong Provincial Department of Commerce, in collaboration with 15 departments, launched 59 specific service measures, including the formation of 85 professional training teams, 11 legal service teams, and 13 policy guidance teams [4] - Seven cooperating financial institutions introduced 27 specialized credit products, while port and train operation companies innovated efficient logistics service models such as "train + ship" joint transport [4] Group 4: Trade Performance - Shandong Province's foreign trade has shown a steady growth trend, with a total import and export value of 2.32 trillion yuan from January to August, ranking fifth nationally, and a year-on-year growth of 5.8%, leading among major foreign trade provinces [4] - The province is building a collaborative, efficient, and open international trade service ecosystem to continuously enhance its foreign trade competitiveness and support high-quality economic development [4]
从中非贸易强劲增长看国际贸易格局之变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 06:11
Core Insights - The strong growth of China-Africa trade is attributed to shared historical experiences and missions, with significant increases in trade volumes and diversification of trade products [1][2][3] - China's imports from Africa's least developed countries reached $39.66 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, highlighting Africa's growing importance in China's overall foreign trade [1] - The shift in Africa's trade focus from traditional partners in Europe to China is seen as a natural evolution due to changing global economic dynamics [2][3] Trade Growth Factors - The deepening political and economic ties between China and Africa have led to a natural increase in trade, with China's stable economic growth further facilitating this process [2][3] - The diversification of Africa's export products, including higher value-added goods, is essential for sustaining trade growth and economic development [4][6] - The introduction of "innovative financing" by China aims to enhance Africa's trade capabilities and promote sustainable development, countering narratives of "debt traps" [4][6] Investment Trends - Chinese investments in Africa have evolved from labor-intensive sectors to high-tech and financial services, reflecting changes in both economies' structures [3][4] - The emphasis on manufacturing cooperation is crucial, as Africa possesses advantages in hosting Chinese manufacturing capabilities, which can drive bilateral trade growth [6][7] Challenges and Opportunities - Africa's reliance on external partners for 84% of its trade underscores the need for enhanced intra-African trade to support growth in trade with China [8][9] - The necessity for skill development in Africa is highlighted, as improving production and processing capabilities can lead to higher value exports and economic stability [9][10] - The impact of geopolitical factors, such as U.S. tariff policies, on global trade dynamics necessitates strategic adjustments and collaboration among Southern countries [12][13] Future Directions - Strengthening trade capacity and negotiation skills in African countries is essential for balancing trade growth with China and enhancing understanding of market demands [10][11] - The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is positioned as a critical element in fostering regional trade and should be integrated into broader China-Africa cooperation frameworks [14][15]