Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the rule of law is the best business environment, with law enforcement agencies actively protecting and supporting enterprises to foster a healthy development environment [1] - The establishment of the "Blue Whale" enterprise protection workstations in Shanghai has led to the resolution of over 2,400 economic crime cases related to enterprises, recovering more than 690 million yuan for over 100 companies [2] - The "Blue Whale" workstations provide close legal services to enterprises, helping them identify and mitigate risks in their management systems [2] Group 2 - In Zhejiang Shaoxing, a mediation team known as "foreign uncles" has been formed to resolve cross-border business disputes, significantly reducing the number of conflicts in the textile market by over 30% [3][4] - The mediation team consists of foreign members fluent in multiple languages, enhancing communication and understanding in international trade disputes [3] - The local police have integrated various departments to create a closed-loop management system for dispute resolution, ensuring efficient handling of conflicts [3][4] Group 3 - In Xiamen, the police have set up a service window at international trade exhibitions to address the urgent needs of businesses, facilitating the processing of entry visas for foreign personnel [5][6] - This initiative reflects the proactive approach of Xiamen's police in optimizing the international business environment and enhancing service efficiency for foreign enterprises [6]

当地时间7月9日，美国总统特朗普在社交媒体平台"真实社交"上发布了致巴西有关加征关税的信函，表 示美国将自2025年8月1日起对所有巴西产品征收50%的关税。(央视新闻) ...

Group 1 - The U.S. will impose new tariffs on products from several countries starting August 1, 2025, with rates of 25% for Brunei and Moldova, 30% for Algeria, Iraq, and Libya, and 20% for the Philippines [1][2] - The Philippines is the only country among the seven mentioned that is in the top 50 U.S. trading partners, exporting approximately $14.1 billion worth of goods to the U.S. last year, including electronics, auto parts, and textiles [2][4] - The total import value from the other six countries combined was less than $15 billion, with Iraq accounting for about half of that amount [4] Group 2 - Following the announcement of new tariffs, the Brazilian real hit a monthly low, with the USD/BRL exchange rate rising to over 5.4960 [6] - Trump indicated that the tariff rates were determined based on common sense, trade deficits, and historical data [5] - The new tariffs will be independent of any industry-specific tariffs, and companies from these countries can avoid tariffs by manufacturing in the U.S. [11]

Group 1 - The trade relationship between Gansu province in Northwest China and ASEAN countries is flourishing, particularly in agricultural products, traditional Chinese medicine, and cultural tourism [1][3] - The 31st China Lanzhou Investment and Trade Fair showcased various products from ASEAN countries, with Indonesian handicrafts and coffee, Thai cooling oil, and Cambodian shrimp chips being popular among consumers [1][3] - Gansu's exports to ASEAN reached 680 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 180%, with citrus exports alone amounting to 7.16 million yuan, also showing significant growth [1][3] Group 2 - Gansu's representative in Malaysia highlighted the potential for Gansu apples, highland summer vegetables, and medicinal herbs in the ASEAN market, with several agricultural trade agreements already established [3] - The establishment of Gansu Traditional Chinese Medicine University in Bangkok is promoting TCM practices in Thailand, with the first batch of 21 Thai students graduating [3][4] - Gansu's inbound tourism saw a 137% increase in 2024, with Malaysian tourists leading the numbers, indicating a growing interest in cultural exchanges [4]

Core Viewpoint - The adoption of stablecoins for cross-border payments is still limited among merchants in key Chinese markets, with many expressing a lack of understanding and concerns about compliance and costs [1][2]. Group 1: Merchant Awareness and Usage - Most merchants in Yiwu and Shenzhen are unaware of stablecoins, with only a few expressing interest in using them for transactions [1][2]. - A small number of merchants indicated they might consider using stablecoins for international payments, but none reported having completed such transactions [2]. - Merchants primarily rely on traditional payment methods like cash and Alipay for foreign transactions, with one merchant mentioning a recent $30,000 transfer via Alipay [2]. Group 2: Stablecoin Characteristics and Market Dynamics - Stablecoins, such as USDT, are pegged to fiat currencies, providing a more stable alternative compared to other cryptocurrencies [1][4]. - The market for stablecoins has gained traction globally, particularly following legislative progress in the US and Hong Kong [1]. - The exchange process for stablecoins involves "U merchants" who facilitate the conversion between stablecoins and fiat currencies, often charging fees and setting minimum transaction amounts [3]. Group 3: Regulatory and Compliance Issues - The use of stablecoins for cross-border payments in China faces significant regulatory challenges, as current laws prohibit the use of virtual currencies for such transactions [4][5]. - Legal experts emphasize that while personal trading of virtual currencies may be permissible, using them for business transactions is fraught with compliance risks [5].

Group 1 - The EU is working to reach a trade agreement with the US by the end of the month, while President Trump plans to announce further tariffs on unspecified countries [1][2] - Trump announced a 50% tariff on imported copper and plans to implement tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, escalating trade tensions and impacting global economic outlook [1] - The US has seen its effective tariff rate rise to 17.6%, the highest level in nearly 90 years, following Trump's announcement of increased tariffs on imports from 14 countries [3] Group 2 - The US Treasury has reported approximately $100 billion in tariff revenue so far, with an expectation of an additional $300 billion by the end of the year [6] - Historically, the US has generated around $8 billion annually from tariffs, but recent measures have significantly increased this revenue [6] - Despite promises of reaching 90 agreements within 90 days, only two agreements have been made with the UK and Vietnam, with negotiations with India nearing completion [7]

Core Viewpoint - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has revised its global trade outlook from an expected expansion to a downward adjustment due to increasing trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties [1][3]. Group 1: Global Trade Assessment - The WTO's latest report indicates that global trade policy activities have increased, with rising tensions among major trading partners contributing to a more volatile and unpredictable trade environment [1]. - The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) forecasts a $300 billion increase in global trade for the first half of the year, but warns of significant obstacles in the second half due to U.S. trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical tensions [1][4]. Group 2: Trade Barriers and Policy Recommendations - The WTO calls for countries to reduce tariffs and other trade barriers to promote trade liberalization and economic growth, emphasizing the need for transparency in trade policies [2]. - The report highlights that retaliatory measures, such as those taken by Canada and the EU against U.S. trade policies, are likely to exacerbate trade tensions and lead to a decline in global trade volume [2]. Group 3: Trade Growth Projections - Earlier projections for global trade growth in 2025 and 2026 have been significantly downgraded due to U.S. tariff policies, with expectations for merchandise trade growth now revised downward [3]. - The WTO's Goods Trade Barometer indicates a slight increase in the global goods trade index, but a decline in new export orders suggests a slowdown in trade growth later this year [4]. Group 4: Trade Imbalances and Risks - The report notes an increase in global trade imbalances, particularly with the U.S. experiencing a widening trade deficit over the past four quarters [5]. - The potential for further unilateral actions by the U.S. could escalate trade tensions and disrupt global supply chains, increasing the risk of trade fragmentation [5].

Group 1 - The latest delay in the implementation of US tariffs provides an opportunity for further negotiations, with 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, facing tariffs ranging from 25% to 40% [1] - Vietnam recently reached a trade agreement with the US, avoiding an initially proposed 46% tariff, with many goods now subject to a 20% tariff, while transshipped goods will incur a 40% tariff [1] - Japan and South Korea are the largest exporters to the US among the countries receiving tariff notifications, with export totals of $148 billion and $131.5 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - Emerging markets are significantly influenced by the dollar in their export or import pricing, with most investment inflows in these markets being dollar-based [2] - If the US imposes higher tariffs on Asian countries, the Asia-Pacific region appears more capable of withstanding the resulting economic pressure [2] - A weaker dollar should provide greater flexibility for Asian central banks to ease policies to support their economies without excessive concern over currency depreciation [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Trump's tariffs have lost their market impact, and the delay in tariff deadlines is seen as a negotiation tactic rather than a genuine policy change [1][2][3] - Analysts suggest that the market is becoming numb to the erratic policies of the Trump administration, leading to a potential oversight of the risks associated with industry tariffs [1][3] - The extension of the tariff deadline until August 1 has led traders to believe that the likelihood of sudden tariff imposition is decreasing, reinforcing the view that Trump is committed to reaching a trade agreement [1][3] Group 2 - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has paralyzed decision-making for companies trying to adapt to the changing tariff landscape, as executives are working to adjust supply chains and cost structures to avoid price increases [3] - Market sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing uncertainty, with analysts indicating that the market may become more volatile leading up to August 1 due to increased trade-related headlines [3]

主题问题方面，仅约10%的受访者表示美国加征关税对其业务造成实质直接影响。值得注意的是，关税 暂缓及豁免措施在一定程度上减轻了冲击，可见维持中美贸易休战十分重要，也凸显了在第三季度迅速 敲定其他双边贸易协议的必要性。 在营商影响方面，41%的受访者表示因美国加征关税，将延迟落实业务计划。其他主要影响包括"物流 或海关流程严重受阻，变数太多难以应对"（35%），以及"生意流失，客户转投其他较少受关税影响的 市场"（30%）。同时，32%的受访者表示会增加内销，是最常见应对美国关税冲击及相关不确定性的 方式。 智通财经APP获悉，渣打银行与香港贸易发展局联合公布最新的渣打大湾区营商景气指数（GBAI）， 显示大湾区企业当前的营商表现在美国"解放日"关税冲击后仍具韧性，主要受惠于提前安排的订单及生 产活动。同时，企业在季内对未来展望持审慎态度，整体预期有所放缓但仍属正面。 香港贸发局研究总监范婉儿表示："虽然调查是在4月美国'解放日'对全球多国提高关税后不久进行，并 未涵盖近期的所有发展，但调查结果显示，大湾区企业具备韧性，可应对美国关税措施带来的影响。约 75%至80%的大湾区企业表示受到美国关税的负面影响，主要 ...