Core Viewpoint - He Feng Co., Ltd. experienced a slight decline in stock price, closing at 7.98 yuan, with a notable large transaction occurring on September 30, involving 2.99 million shares valued at approximately 21.62 million yuan, indicating a negative premium rate of -9.40% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - On September 30, He Feng Co., Ltd. closed down by 0.62% at a price of 7.98 yuan [1] - The stock has seen a cumulative decline of 0.87% over the last five trading days [1] Group 2: Large Transactions - A significant large transaction occurred, with the first trade priced at 7.23 yuan for 2.99 million shares, totaling 21.62 million yuan [1] - In the last three months, the stock has recorded five large transactions, with a total transaction value of 90.91 million yuan [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The net inflow of main funds for the stock amounted to 108,800 yuan [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that He Feng Co., Ltd. executed a block trade of 2.99 million shares on September 30, with a transaction value of 21.6177 million yuan, accounting for 38.48% of the total transaction volume for that day [1] - The transaction price was 7.23 yuan, which represents a discount of 9.4% compared to the market closing price of 7.98 yuan on the same day [1]

Market Overview - The feed sector increased by 0.5% on September 30, with Petty Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Petty Co. (300673) closed at 17.86, up 3.30% with a trading volume of 101,000 shares and a turnover of 179 million [1] - Other notable gainers include: - Zhongchong Co. (002891) at 53.21, up 2.48% [1] - Boen Group (001366) at 12.63, up 1.61% [1] - Guibao Pet (301498) at 93.93, up 1.47% [1] - Decliners in the feed sector included: - Aonong Bio (603363) at 4.80, down 1.44% [2] - Tiankang Bio (002100) at 7.37, down 1.21% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The feed sector experienced a net outflow of 55.0035 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 45.5314 million [2] - The capital flow for key stocks includes: - Zhongchong Co. had a net inflow of 21.3411 million from institutional investors [3] - Haida Group (002311) saw a net inflow of 5.0677 million from institutional investors [3] - Aonong Bio had a net outflow of 1.444 million from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company has undergone significant changes in its financial performance, with a notable increase in revenue and a substantial turnaround in net profit, driven by improvements in various business segments and strategic operational adjustments [2][6][7]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 17.407 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.27% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 233 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround from losses in the previous year, with a year-on-year increase of 784.44% [6][7]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was -512 million yuan, indicating a substantial increase in cash outflow compared to the previous year [15]. Business Segments - The main business segments include feed and feed raw material trading, poultry, and pig farming, with no major changes in the core business structure [4][6]. - The feed raw material trading segment achieved a net profit of 62 million yuan, contributing positively to the overall profitability [8][12]. - The pig farming segment saw a significant increase in output, with 840,000 pigs sold, a 42.37% increase year-on-year, leading to improved profitability [13]. Operational Adjustments - The company has optimized its procurement strategies, enhancing its ability to capitalize on market opportunities and improve profit margins [9][10]. - Sales structure improvements have been made by expanding customer bases and enhancing sales quality, which has positively impacted overall revenue [10][11]. Investment Income - The company reported investment income of 104 million yuan, an increase of 77 million yuan compared to the previous year, primarily due to significant profit growth from associated companies [14]. Cash Flow and Borrowing - The company experienced a significant increase in short-term borrowings, rising by 239.51% to 1.925 billion yuan, primarily due to business expansion and acquisitions [38]. - The increase in cash outflow from operating activities was attributed to rapid business growth and changes in procurement and sales credit policies [15][40]. Inventory Management - The company's inventory reached 4.414 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 61.21%, largely due to acquisitions in the poultry business [42].

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a slight decline of 0.16% on September 29, with Aonong Biological leading the drop. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.9% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 2.05% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's overall performance showed a mixed trend, with Aonong Biological closing at 4.87, down by 2.60%, while Tianma Technology saw a significant increase of 6.31%, closing at 16.01 [1][2]. - The trading volume for Tianma Technology reached 287,700 shares, with a transaction value of 454 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - On the same day, the feed sector experienced a net outflow of 115 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 62.91 million yuan [2][3]. - The capital flow data indicates that Dabeinong had a net outflow of 19.27 million yuan from retail investors, despite a net inflow of 15.67 million yuan from institutional investors [3].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Changjiang Securities indicates that Haida Group is expected to see a significant recovery in domestic aquaculture profits and seedling volume by 2025, with continuous year-on-year growth in aquaculture feed sales since the second quarter, driven by improved product structure and price increases in the aquaculture feed industry [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Haida Group's feed business is anticipated to achieve simultaneous growth in volume and profit in the third quarter [1] - The company has set a mid-term target of at least 7.2 million tons in overseas feed sales by 2030, corresponding to a compound annual growth rate of at least 20% for overseas sales [1] Group 2: Market Expansion - The company is exploring broader opportunities for feed exports, particularly in the Pan-Vietnam market, East Africa, Central Africa, and South American markets such as Brazil and Chile [1] - The long-term plan to recreate another Haida Group by 2030 is considered highly probable, supported by the expansion into more overseas regions [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Tianma Technology's stock has seen a significant increase, with a rise of 5.11% to 15.83 CNY per share, and a total market capitalization of 7.953 billion CNY [1] - Tianma Technology, established on December 13, 2005, and listed on January 17, 2017, specializes in the research, production, and sales of special aquatic feed [1] - The revenue composition of Tianma Technology includes: 57.62% from livestock and poultry feed sales, 28.94% from special aquatic feed, 18.70% from breeding sales, 7.20% from food sales, 1.86% from raw material sales, 0.36% from other sources, and 0.12% from animal health products [1] Group 2 - The Guotai Fund's Guotai Zhongzheng Livestock Breeding ETF (159865) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Tianma Technology, having increased its holdings by 872,700 shares in the second quarter, totaling 5,004,800 shares, which represents 1% of the circulating shares [2] - The Guotai Zhongzheng Livestock Breeding ETF has a current scale of 3.574 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 14.74% and a one-year return of 22.15% [2] Group 3 - The Guotai Zhongzheng 2000 ETF (561370) also holds a significant position in Tianma Technology, with 2,120 shares held in the second quarter, accounting for 0.29% of the fund's net value [4] - The Guotai Zhongzheng 2000 ETF has a current scale of 9.7484 million CNY, with a year-to-date return of 31.29% and a one-year return of 64.53% [4]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [8] Core Views - The pig farming sector has entered a loss phase, with a focus on the negative expectations for the sector. The average price of pigs has dropped to 12.76 CNY/kg, a decrease of 1.39% from the previous week, leading to a loss of 54 CNY per head for self-breeding and self-raising operations [2][11]. - The dairy and beef sectors are experiencing a potential new cycle, with a significant reduction in dairy cow inventory by nearly 8%. The price of raw milk is expected to bottom out, while beef prices may see an upward trend [3][13]. - The pet industry is witnessing the rise of domestic brands, with a notable increase in pet food exports, indicating a robust growth in the pet economy [4][14]. - The poultry sector is facing challenges with breeding imports and consumer demand, particularly for white and yellow chickens, while egg-laying enterprises are achieving record profits [5][20]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - The industry is currently in a loss phase, with the average pig price at 12.76 CNY/kg and a loss of 54 CNY per head for self-breeding operations. The average weight of pigs at slaughter is at a historical high [2][11]. - The market is expected to see a reduction in production capacity due to ongoing low prices and policy guidance [12]. Beef and Dairy Sector - The price of live cattle is 27.14 CNY/kg, with a year-on-year increase of 11.3%. The raw milk price is stable at 3.03 CNY/kg, with expectations for a recovery in prices as production capacity clears [3][13]. - Companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [13]. Pet Industry - The domestic pet food market is growing rapidly, with significant sales increases noted in both cat and dog food categories. Exports of pet food have also risen, reflecting a healthy market [4][14]. - Key companies to watch include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [4][14]. Poultry Sector - The white chicken sector is facing uncertainties in breeding imports, with a 26.9% year-on-year decrease in breeding stock updates. The yellow chicken market is sensitive to demand changes, with expectations for price improvements in the latter half of the year [5][19]. - Leading companies in the poultry sector include Shengnong Development and Yisheng Co. [17][19]. Seed and Agricultural Sector - The seed industry is poised for a turnaround, with a focus on biotechnology and transgenic crops to enhance production efficiency. Key companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [6][22]. - The agricultural sector is expected to benefit from policies aimed at increasing crop yields and improving food security [22]. Feed and Animal Health Sector - The feed sector is recommended for investment, particularly Haida Group, which is expected to gain market share as smaller competitors exit the market [7][23]. - The animal health sector is focusing on innovative products to break through market saturation, with a growing demand in the pet health market [7][24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The pig farming sector is expected to see a long-term performance improvement due to ongoing capacity reduction driven by both policy and market forces, with key companies continuing to show profitability and increasing dividend rates [3][46] - The current prices for fat pigs and piglets have dropped significantly, leading to widespread losses in the industry, which may trigger a market-driven capacity reduction [3][12] - The planting sector is showing positive fundamentals with an established upward trend in grain prices, highlighting significant investment opportunities [3][46] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Fundamentals - Pig prices continue to decline, with the average price for fat pigs at 12.45 yuan/kg, down 1.81% week-on-week, and piglet prices at 21.29 yuan/kg, down 4.81% week-on-week [12][54] - The average weight of pigs at slaughter is stabilizing, but the pressure from capacity release continues, leading to a sustained decline in prices [12] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, highlighting companies such as Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) as key investment targets [3][46] - For the post-cycle sector, rising pig inventory is expected to boost demand for feed and animal health products, with companies like Haida Group (002311) and Reap Bio (300119) identified as potential beneficiaries [3][46] - In the planting chain, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development (601952) and Beidahuang (600598) are noted for their favorable investment outlook due to rising grain prices [3][46] - The pet food sector is also highlighted for its growth potential, with companies like Guibao Pet (301498) and Zhongchong Co. (002891) recommended for investment [3][46] Market Performance - The agriculture sector underperformed the market, with the agricultural index down 1.97% during the week, compared to a 0.21% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [48][49] - Key sub-sectors such as feed, animal health, and livestock farming all experienced declines, with livestock farming down 2.14% [48]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The logic of breeding sow reduction is strengthening, and beef and milk are expected to achieve upward linkage in 2026. As of September 26, 2025, the average price of live pigs in China is 12.50 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.20 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 5.51% [11][16] - The investment logic for live pigs is marginally improving, driven by both fundamental and policy factors. The price of live pigs is expected to rise in the second half of 2025 due to strong support from previous breeding sow reductions and winter piglet losses [29][32] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The logic of breeding sow reduction is strengthening, and beef and milk are expected to achieve upward linkage in 2026. The average price of live pigs is 12.50 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.20 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 5.51% [11][16] - The average price of beef is 66.27 yuan/kg, with a month-on-month increase of 2.10% and a year-on-year increase of 7.74% [23] Weekly Market Performance (September 22-26) - The agricultural index underperformed the market by 2.18 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.21% and the agricultural index falling by 1.97% [34][36] - Leading stocks include ST Jinggu (+15.68%), Huaying Agriculture (+5.76%), and Biological Shares (+3.78%) [34][40] Price Tracking (September 22-26) - The average price of live pigs is 12.45 yuan/kg, down 1.81% from the previous week. The average price of piglets is 21.29 yuan/kg, down 4.87% [46] - The average price of beef is 65.90 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.30 yuan/kg [54] Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the pig sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Juxing Agriculture [20][29] - In the feed sector, recommended stocks include Haida Group and New Hope [29] - In the pet food sector, recommended stocks include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Shares, and Petty Shares [32]