Group 1 - Guoshu Technology, a company invested by Caijin Xinrong, won the Shandong Province Science and Technology Progress First Prize for 2024, highlighting its achievements in marine communication and detection technologies [5] - Established in September 2014, Guoshu Technology is recognized as a "Gazelle" enterprise in Shandong and has been included in the national "specialized and innovative" small giant list in 2022 and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's key small giant list in 2024 [5] - The company has developed multiple high-end equipment products with independent intellectual property rights, supported by a robust R&D system [5] Group 2 - Caijin Capital has invested in 14 companies that collectively won 14 awards, including 1 Shandong Province Youth Science and Technology Award, 2 Shandong Province Technology Invention Awards, and 11 Shandong Province Science and Technology Progress Awards for 2024 [7] - The award-winning Zhi Zhen Precision Instrument developed China's first industrial-grade wafer magneto-optical Kerr measurement instrument, breaking the monopoly of American companies and enabling domestic production of optical detection equipment for magnetic chips [7] - Caijin Capital invested 23 million yuan from provincial fiscal equity to support Zhi Zhen, which attracted an additional 25 million yuan from market-oriented institutions, facilitating new product development, production line expansion, and market exploration [7] - The group plans to focus on its "1145" development strategy, emphasizing finance, industry, and investment, while enhancing support for the "ten strong" industries and strategic emerging industries to boost economic vitality in the province [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent Central Financial and Economic Commission meeting emphasized the cultivation and development of leading marine technology enterprises and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, highlighting their crucial role in achieving national strategic goals and promoting high-quality development in the marine industry [1] Group 1: Marine Technology Enterprises - Leading marine technology enterprises are essential components of national strategic technological strength, with clear innovation missions and strong original innovation capabilities [1] - These enterprises play a vital role in breaking through key core technologies and driving technological upgrades in the industrial chain [1] - An innovation consortium was established in July 2024, consisting of 10 leading marine engineering central enterprises, Tsinghua University, and other institutions, aimed at creating a source of original technology and ensuring core technology autonomy [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements and Applications - Marine technology enterprises are emerging in various fields, including deep-sea exploration technology, marine equipment manufacturing, marine information technology, and marine biopharmaceuticals [2] - Companies like BaoTi Co., Ltd. and Zhongke Hai Xun are leading advancements in deep-sea technology, providing critical support for deep-sea equipment and ensuring safety for deep-sea activities [2] Group 3: Policy Support and Ecosystem Development - A series of favorable policies have been introduced to activate the innovation vitality and application capabilities of marine technology enterprises, focusing on the integration of innovation and industrial chains [3] - The government aims to create a conducive policy environment for basic research, encouraging enterprises to invest in key technology research in deep-sea fields [3] - The establishment of a systematic mechanism for the transformation of scientific and technological achievements is emphasized, promoting deep cooperation between marine technology enterprises and academic institutions [4] Group 4: Collaborative Innovation and Ecosystem - The government is encouraged to play a coordinating role in addressing "bottleneck" technology issues within the industrial chain, promoting collaboration among leading enterprises and their upstream and downstream partners [4] - Leading enterprises are urged to take the lead in adopting new technologies and products, fostering a collaborative ecosystem that integrates data sharing, resource consolidation, and value co-creation [4]

Core Insights - The "Deep Blue Intelligent i3 Voyage" led by the Southern University of Science and Technology's Marine Advanced Research Institute has commenced, focusing on technological breakthroughs, innovative models, and strategic rehearsals for future oceanic research missions [1][6] Group 1: Technological Breakthroughs - The voyage aims to achieve large-scale collaborative operations of "air-sea-submarine" unmanned systems, marking a significant advancement in multi-disciplinary investigations in the South China Sea [2][3] - The research team is utilizing the "Xiangyanghong 10" research vessel, integrating advanced unmanned aerial vehicles, unmanned surface vehicles, and new intelligent unmanned submersibles for comprehensive observations from the atmosphere to the seabed [3] Group 2: Innovative Models - The "Deep Blue Intelligent i3 Voyage" exemplifies close collaboration between cutting-edge technology and high-tech enterprises, involving a diverse team of scientists and engineers from over ten disciplines [4] - The scientific team includes academicians, professors, young scientists, and specialized operators of unmanned systems, showcasing a youthful and interdisciplinary approach [4] Group 3: Strategic Rehearsals - The voyage marks the beginning of the "Deep Blue Dream 2035" decade-long global oceanic research initiative, which will span major oceans worldwide, including the Pacific, Southern, Atlantic, and Indian Oceans [6] - The initiative aims to create an international marine cooperation platform that integrates science, industry, and public engagement, responding to the United Nations' "Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development" [6]

2025 年 07 月 05 日 深海科技——贯穿下半年的强主题机会 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 | 韦冀星（分析师） | 耿驰政（联系人） | 曹晋（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | weijixing@kysec.cn | gengchizheng@kysec.cn | caojin1@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790524030002 | 证书编号：S0790125050007 | 证书编号：S0790124080011 | 深海科技是"底线思维"下政策确定性的交集 "集中精力办好自己的事"和"底线思维"是本轮政策应对"外部冲击"的核 心思路，而"深海科技"正是"底线思维"下政策确定性的交集。 什么是"底线思维"？假设对美出口全面归零，对应的，我们需要有类似级别的对 冲，这对冲可以由三个维度提供：（1）国内扩大内需以及财政刺激等政策；（2）科 技创新下的全要素生产力提振、（3）对其他国家的出口和出海。而这三个维度其实 就是"办好自己的事"，它们也刚好就对应了接下来确定性最高的方向。而在今年政 府工作报告当中被首次提及的"深海科技"，正是这三大确定性的交集。在当前 ...

Group 1: Strategic Importance of Marine Economy - The Central Financial Committee emphasized the marine economy's role in China's modernization, advocating for high-quality development along a "marine strong" path[5] - The meeting reiterated the importance of the marine economy following previous significant discussions, including the 20th Party Congress and the 2024 Central Economic Work Conference[7] - Five guiding principles were established to drive marine economic development: innovation, efficient collaboration, industrial upgrading, harmony between humans and the sea, and win-win cooperation[9] Group 2: Policy Framework and Focus Areas - Six key focus areas were identified for policy coordination: policy support, technological innovation, strengthening marine industries, planning for marine development, ecological protection, and global cooperation[10] - The marine economy's contribution to China's GDP is significant, with the marine service industry accounting for approximately 60% of the marine production value in 2024, which reached 10.54 trillion yuan, a 5.9% increase year-on-year[14][23] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Opportunities - The global marine economy is characterized by differentiated competition, with countries like the US, Japan, and the EU leading in various sectors such as marine fisheries and renewable energy[16] - China's marine economy shows strong momentum, with the marine second industry accounting for 35% of the marine production value, and the marine engineering equipment manufacturing sector maintaining a global market share for seven consecutive years[23][24] - Investment opportunities are identified in marine technology, renewable energy, marine biology and medicine, and marine cultural tourism, with a focus on deep-sea materials and equipment[27][29] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - Risks include inadequate understanding of domestic and international policies and potential shortcomings in policy implementation[30]

Group 1: US Economic Outlook - Morgan Stanley indicates that the upcoming non-farm payroll report may reignite concerns about US economic growth, with expectations of a 110,000 increase in employment for June, down from 139,000 in May, and an anticipated rise in the unemployment rate from 4.2% to 4.3% [1] - UBS notes that the 20% tariffs imposed by the US on Vietnamese goods are at the lower end of expectations, and the details of the trade agreement will be crucial for assessing its economic impact on Vietnam [2] - DBS Bank suggests that while the US-Vietnam trade agreement reduces risks for Vietnam's economic growth, it may not prevent a slowdown in the coming quarters due to a lack of details in the agreement [2] Group 2: Currency and Inflation - ING predicts that the dollar may experience a temporary rebound as tariffs drive inflation, potentially delaying interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - The report anticipates that the euro to dollar exchange rate may briefly fall to the 1.13-1.15 range, and the yen to dollar rate may drop to 145-150, indicating a decline of about 4% for both currencies [3] Group 3: US Debt and Interest Rates - Capital Economics forecasts challenges for US Treasury bonds for the remainder of the year, despite recent strong performance, as the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts may hinder further gains [4] - The report highlights that Fed Chair Powell's comments suggest a reluctance to cut rates until there is clear evidence of economic stability [4] Group 4: European Economic Policy - ANZ Bank expects the European Central Bank to be close to the bottom of its interest rate cycle, predicting a 25 basis point cut in September [5] - The ECB has reduced rates by 200 basis points over the past year, and the current neutral policy rate range is estimated to be between 1.50% and 2.50% [5] Group 5: Chinese Market Insights - Guotai Junan Securities believes that the Chinese stock market has upward potential due to domestic innovation and a decrease in risk-free rates, with a shift in the RMB's depreciation expectations to stability or slight appreciation [6] - CITIC Securities reports a significant divergence in the monetary policy stance among the 12 voting members of the Federal Reserve, which may influence future policy decisions [7] Group 6: Nuclear Power and Technology - CITIC Securities anticipates a new wave of nuclear power construction globally, driven by the need for stable clean energy and the recovery of the nuclear industry [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of nuclear power in energy transition and carbon neutrality efforts, with China leading in newly approved nuclear units [8] Group 7: Investment Opportunities in Technology - CITIC Securities recommends focusing on AI-related investment opportunities, particularly in AI agents and computing power sectors, as the computer industry is expected to see steady growth [9] - The report highlights the potential for structural opportunities in various technology sectors, including cross-border payments and industrial software [9]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese government is actively promoting the development of the marine economy, with "deep-sea technology" becoming a key focus area in national policies [2][3] - The marine economy is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating that by 2025, the marine production value could exceed 13 trillion yuan, with deep-sea technology-related industries accounting for over 25% of this total [4] Group 2: Company Developments - Hengtong Optic-Electric plans to expand its marine communication industry chain, focusing on the development and industrialization of products related to offshore oil and gas, underwater special cables, and marine equipment [1][5] - Zhongke Haixun is leveraging its advantages in sonar equipment, promoting its HX-A200 core processing chip specifically designed for underwater acoustic equipment, with plans for mass orders by 2025 [1][6] - Qifan Cable has developed the capability to produce long-length submarine cables and has applied these products in offshore wind power projects, with ongoing investments in R&D to enhance competitiveness in high-performance cable manufacturing [1][6] - Chengyi Pharmaceutical is investing 670 million yuan in a marine biomedicine manufacturing project, focusing on the production of 1,000 tons of super fish oil EPA, aligning with national marine strategies [1][7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant market movements in the steel and photovoltaic sectors, driven by news of production cuts and environmental regulations in Tangshan, as well as collective production reductions in the photovoltaic glass industry [1][7][13]. Steel Sector - The steel sector experienced a substantial surge, with stocks like Shengde Xintai rising by 17% and several others reaching their daily limit [4][5]. - The market is reacting to reports of increased environmental production cuts in Tangshan, with approximately half of the steel mills indicating they received notifications regarding these measures [7]. - If the production cut policies are strictly enforced, the capacity utilization rate could drop from 83% to 70%, leading to a daily reduction of 30,000 tons in sintering ore production [7]. - The China Iron and Steel Association is set to hold a meeting to discuss the industry's progress and challenges, indicating a focus on future strategies [7]. Marine Economy - The marine economy sector saw strong performance, with stocks like Kelaite and Deepwater Haina hitting their daily limits [9][10]. - A recent meeting emphasized the importance of high-quality development in the marine economy, focusing on innovation, policy support, and the involvement of social capital [11]. - The deep-sea technology industry is identified as a key area for growth, with increasing demand for deep-sea materials and equipment [12]. Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic industry saw a notable rise, with stocks like Xiuchang and Daye Intelligent reaching their daily limits [14][15]. - Reports indicate that leading photovoltaic glass companies plan to collectively reduce production by 30%, which is expected to support sustainable industry development [16]. - The industry is currently facing pressure with prices falling below cash cost lines, prompting a need for supply-side reforms [16].

Core Insights - Shenzhen aims to establish itself as a "global marine center city," targeting a marine production value of 540.9 billion yuan by 2024, accounting for 14.7% of its GDP [3][5] Group 1: Marine Economy Development - Qianhai, as a key area for Shenzhen's marine economy, features 68 kilometers of coastline, 600 square kilometers of sea area, and 13 islands, with plans for marine new towns and tourism resources [3][5] - Unlike traditional marine cities, Qianhai focuses on marine technology and modern marine service industries rather than heavy industries like shipbuilding [3][5] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Shenzhen Zhongyuan Shipping Digital Technology Co., Ltd. aims to create a "high-tech map" for maritime navigation, enhancing shipping technology through data, communication, and software [4][5] - The Dalan Bay Terminal is implementing smart port technologies, including AI for logistics optimization and testing of unmanned trucks, improving efficiency and reducing emissions [5] Group 3: Marine Tourism Growth - The Shekou Cruise Homeport is expected to receive 4.45 million passengers in 2024, with cruise passengers increasing by 323% to 89,000, and new domestic and international routes being established [7][8] - The Shenzhen Bay Yacht Club serves as a hub for yacht tourism, facilitating 259 visits from Hong Kong and Macau, and is the first yacht bonded area in the country, supporting around 100 related businesses [9] Group 4: Strategic Collaborations - Qianhai has attracted industry leaders and established high-level research institutions, fostering collaboration and innovation in marine technology and services [4][5] - The region is actively seeking partnerships with high-tech enterprises to explore new opportunities in the marine sector [5]

Group 1 - The marine economy concept saw significant stock price increases, with notable gains in companies such as Klete rising over 20%, Deepwater Haina hitting a 20% limit up, and Zhongke Haixun increasing by over 13% [1] - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized the importance of high-quality development in the marine economy, focusing on innovation, efficient collaboration, industrial upgrades, harmonious human-sea relationships, and win-win cooperation [1] - Key strategies include enhancing top-level design, increasing policy support, encouraging social capital participation, and improving independent innovation capabilities in marine technology [1] Group 2 - Zheshang Securities highlighted the growing strategic importance of marine power, indicating that the development of deep-sea technology is crucial for building a marine power nation, with expectations for upcoming industry policies and funding support [2] - Tianfeng Securities outlined the deep-sea technology industry chain, which includes deep-sea materials, deep-sea equipment, and deep-sea digitalization, noting that deep-sea materials are foundational and involve high-performance steel and titanium alloys [2] - The demand for deep-sea equipment is rapidly increasing, with a focus on underwater detection, construction operations, oil and gas production, and mineral development, indicating an upward cycle in the shipbuilding and marine engineering equipment industry [2]