Core Viewpoint - The core challenge facing the industry is the pressure on profitability due to oversupply in the market [1] Industry Challenges - The industry is experiencing deep losses due to oversupply, which many participants find unsustainable [1] - There is a need to strictly control new production capacity to stabilize the overall supply [1] - Inefficient production capacity, especially in restricted areas and those failing to meet environmental standards, should be eliminated [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. has shown a mixed performance in recent trading sessions, with a year-to-date increase of 13.73% but a slight decline over the past 20 days, indicating potential volatility in the market [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Wens Foodstuff reported a revenue of 75.817 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.53%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17.98% to 5.256 billion yuan [2]. - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 30.11 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.935 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Wens Foodstuff decreased by 10.94% to 81,100, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 12.11% to 73,543 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 144 million shares, an increase of 5.5013 million shares compared to the previous period, while E Fund's ChiNext ETF reduced its holdings by 19.091 million shares to 113 million shares [3]. Stock Performance - On November 3, the stock price of Wens Foodstuff rose by 2.02% to 18.21 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 311 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.29%. The total market capitalization reached 121.168 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has experienced a 0.17% increase over the last five trading days, a 1.94% decline over the past 20 days, and a 7.05% increase over the last 60 days [1].

资金流向方面，主力资金净流入4701.35万元，特大单买入1.01亿元，占比16.80%，卖出5174.42万元， 占比8.61%；大单买入1.46亿元，占比24.25%，卖出1.48亿元，占比24.61%。 11月3日，牧原股份盘中上涨2.03%，截至09:57，报51.32元/股，成交6.01亿元，换手率0.31%，总市值 2803.49亿元。 牧原股份今年以来股价涨38.85%，近5个交易日涨2.13%，近20日跌0.45%，近60日涨14.31%。 资料显示，牧原食品股份有限公司位于河南省南阳市卧龙区龙升工业园区,香港铜锣湾希慎道33号利园1 期19楼1920室，成立日期2000年7月13日，上市日期2014年1月28日，公司主营业务涉及生猪的养殖销 售、生猪屠宰。主营业务收入构成为：生猪98.68%，屠宰、肉食产品25.30%，饲料原料1.63%，其他 0.49%。 牧原股份所属申万行业为：农林牧渔-养殖业-生猪养殖。所属概念板块包括：猪肉概念、生态农业、合 成生物、乡村振兴、融资融券等。 分红方面，牧原股份A股上市后累计派现265.76亿元。近三年，累计派现165.94亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2 ...

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,954.79, down 0.81% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index and the CSI 300 also experienced declines of 1.14% and 1.47% respectively [2] Agricultural Sector - The company "Juxing Agriculture" reported a continuous increase in pig output, with a total of 293,000 pigs sold in the first three quarters of 2025, generating sales revenue of 5.153 billion [6] - The company aims to control breeding costs through various efficiency measures, despite a decline in pig prices leading to a drop in profitability in Q3 [6] New Materials Sector - "Jundingda" achieved a revenue of 728 million in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 23.43% [5] - The company reported a net profit of 137 million, up 18.82%, with a gross margin of 40.38% and a net margin of 18.86% [5] Military Industry - "Inner Mongolia Yijian" reported a revenue of 7.894 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.07% [10] - The net profit reached 386 million, up 6.18%, driven by improvements in profit margins and growth in unmanned and military trade sectors [10][11] Technology Sector - "Dameng Data" reported a revenue of 2.167 billion in Q3 2025, a decrease of 6.59% year-on-year, but with an improved gross margin of 14.77% [16] - The company is focusing on expanding its military trade market and enhancing its position in high-tech weaponry [16] Energy Sector - "Baofeng Energy" achieved a revenue of 35.54 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46.4% [27] - The net profit reached 8.95 billion, up 97.3%, driven by capacity release and steady progress on ongoing projects [27] Chemical Sector - "Zanyu Technology" reported a revenue of 9.676 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 27.92% [20] - The net profit for the same period was 151 million, reflecting a 24.96% increase, attributed to the recovery in palm oil prices [20] Textile and Apparel Sector - "Weixing Co." reported a revenue of 36.33 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 1.46% [24] - The net profit was 5.83 billion, down 6.46%, but the company is optimistic about future growth due to new factory efficiencies [24] Clinical Data Update - The clinical data for HLX43 shows promising safety advantages and potential as a cornerstone drug for tumors, with an overall response rate of 47.4% in specific patient groups [33][35]

Core Viewpoint - The ability of Muyuan Foods ("牧原股份") to withstand cyclical risks remains to be improved, as indicated by its financial performance in the first three quarters of 2025, which shows revenue growth but a significant decline in profit in the third quarter [2][5]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 111.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 14.8 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [3][4]. - The revenue and profit growth rates have slowed compared to the same period last year, where the net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 was approximately 10.5 billion yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 668.90% [2][5]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 35.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of about 11%, and a net profit of approximately 4.2 billion yuan, down about 56% year-on-year [2][4]. Price Fluctuations - The significant decline in profit in the third quarter is directly related to the drop in pig sales prices, with the average selling price in September 2025 being 12.88 yuan per kilogram, down from over 14 yuan per kilogram in the first seven months of 2025 [2][5]. Operational Metrics - The company sold 57.32 million pigs in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27% [6]. - The company has adjusted its expected piglet sales for the full year 2025 from a range of 8 million to 12 million to a new range of 12 million to 14.5 million [6]. Cost Management - Despite a slight increase in feed prices, the overall production cost of pig farming has been decreasing, reaching 11.6 yuan per kilogram in September, down 1.5 yuan from January [8]. - The company has achieved a historic profitability in its slaughtering business, with a total of 19.16 million pigs slaughtered in the first nine months of 2025, a 140% increase year-on-year, and a capacity utilization rate of 88% [9]. Debt Management - The company has reduced its total liabilities by approximately 9.8 billion yuan since the beginning of the year, achieving its annual debt reduction target ahead of schedule [13]. - As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the company's total liabilities stood at 100.32 billion yuan, down from 110.11 billion yuan at the beginning of the year [13]. - The company aims to lower its debt-to-asset ratio to below 50% in the long term [13].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [11] Core Views - The agricultural sector is experiencing a mixed performance with significant opportunities in various sub-sectors, particularly in pig farming, cattle, pets, poultry, and planting industries. The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong profitability and market positioning [3][4][5][6][8][26]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Pig Farming Sector - The decline in pig prices has led to a divergence in profitability among companies, highlighting the need to focus on expected differences in the pig farming sector. The average selling price of pigs in Q3 2025 was between 13-14 CNY/kg, down from 14-15 CNY/kg in H1 2025 [3][15]. - Key companies to watch include leading players like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff, with valuations at historical low levels [3][16]. 2. Cattle Sector - The raw milk price is stabilizing, while the beef cattle sector may be entering a super cycle. The average price for beef cattle in Q3 2025 was 25.88 CNY/kg, up 2.34% from the previous quarter [4][17]. - Companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [4][18]. 3. Pet Sector - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly rising. Major pet food companies reported revenues of 4.737 billion CNY for Guibao Pet and 3.860 billion CNY for Zhongchong Co., with growth rates of 29% and 21% respectively [5][19]. - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [5][20]. 4. Poultry Sector - The white chicken segment is under pressure, with a focus on the need for improved breeding practices. The average price for white chicken was reported to be 3.5 CNY/kg, with a slight increase [6][21]. - The yellow chicken market is expected to see price recovery due to seasonal demand, with companies like Lihua and Wens showing improved performance [6][23]. 5. Planting Sector - The seed industry is anticipated to recover, with a focus on the commercialization of genetically modified corn. Leading companies in the seed sector include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [8][26]. - The report emphasizes the importance of agricultural technology and innovation in enhancing competitiveness [8][27]. 6. Feed and Animal Health Sectors - The feed sector has shown revenue and profit growth among leading companies, with Haida Group reporting a revenue increase of 13.24% [8][28]. - The animal health sector is facing challenges due to competition, but there are opportunities for innovation in vaccine development [8][32].

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in pig farming, despite ongoing losses in the industry [1][3] - The report highlights a potential acceleration in capacity reduction due to supply pressures and policy guidance [6][19] Group 1: Pig Farming - The number of breeding sows decreased by 0.20% month-on-month in September, with a total of 40.35 million sows reported [20][21] - Pig prices have been on the rise, with the average price for market pigs reaching 12.22 CNY/kg on October 30, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 7.10% [29][30] - The profitability of pig farming remains negative, with losses of 89.33 CNY per head for self-bred pigs and 179.72 CNY per head for purchased piglets as of October 31 [35][37] Group 2: Poultry Farming - The average price for white feather broilers increased to 7.09 CNY/kg on October 31, marking a week-on-week rise of 3.05% [39][42] - The report notes a significant increase in the number of breeding stock, with a 143.18% month-on-month rise in the number of grandparent stock updated in October [39][40] Group 3: Animal Health - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by a recovery in breeding cycles and an increase in livestock numbers [48] - The report mentions that several companies are actively developing new products, which may enhance growth prospects for the sector [48] Group 4: Seed Industry - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have increased, with wheat and soybean meal rising by 0.9% and 1.3% respectively as of October 31 [52][53] - The report emphasizes the importance of food security and the promotion of biotechnology in the seed industry [52][56] Group 5: Pet Industry - Pet food exports amounted to 823 million CNY in September, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.8% [57][60] - Domestic sales of pet food have continued to grow, with a combined growth rate of 3% across major e-commerce platforms in September [60]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a contraction in breeding profits and a stabilization in planting, indicating a potential recovery in the agricultural sector [2] - The breeding sector is expected to benefit from policy and market forces driving capacity reduction, which will enhance long-term performance [3] - The planting sector is showing positive fundamentals with an upward trend in grain prices, presenting significant investment opportunities [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Breeding Sector - The pig breeding industry is experiencing a significant reduction in capacity, with current pig prices nearing 12 yuan/kg and a decline in weaned pig prices by approximately 150 yuan/head [8] - In Q3 2025, the revenue of listed pig companies reached 307.845 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.25%, while net profit was 21.929 billion yuan, up 11.36% [12] - The industry is facing a mid-term supply pressure, with inventory levels rising slightly to approximately 93.374 billion yuan, reflecting an increase in pig stocks [29] Feed and Veterinary Sectors - The feed sector is benefiting from a recovery in livestock numbers, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 215.297 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.17% [40] - The veterinary sector has shown significant growth, with revenue of 14.614 billion yuan in Q3 2025, up 24.76% year-on-year, and net profit increasing by 98.94% [40] Planting Sector - The planting sector's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 70.967 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.19%, with net profit rising by 62.05% [67] - The seed sector continues to face high inventory levels, impacting overall performance, with the average inventory turnover days reaching 318.68 days, the highest since Q1 2020 [67] Pet Sector - The pet food industry is in a growth phase, with domestic brands gaining recognition and market share, although competition is intensifying [3]

Core Viewpoint - The pig price experienced a rise in late October, returning to the 6 yuan era, but has since shown signs of stagnation and slight decline as of November, indicating a potential oversupply in the market [2][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - As of the end of Q3 2025, the national breeding sow inventory stands at 40.35 million heads, which is above the normal holding level of 39 million heads, suggesting an oversupply in the pig industry [2]. - The total pig inventory reached 437 million heads by the end of Q3, reflecting a 2.9% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 2.3% increase year-on-year, indicating that the supply of pigs is increasing rather than decreasing [2]. - Cumulative pig slaughter in the first three quarters was approximately 530 million heads, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.8%, further emphasizing the supply pressure in the market [2][4]. Seasonal Trends - The fourth quarter is typically a peak season for pork consumption, which also correlates with increased slaughter rates. Even maintaining the current growth rate, the total pig slaughter for 2025 could reach 710 million heads, just below the 726 million heads in 2023 [4]. Market Sentiment and Price Support - The previous rise in pig prices was largely driven by secondary fattening, but the current market expectations are low, leading to decreased enthusiasm for this practice due to rising costs [6]. - Two main factors currently support pig prices: the ongoing large pig market and market sentiment. As long as the price difference between large and standard pigs remains profitable, there will be some incentive for secondary fattening [7]. - Market sentiment remains stable due to upcoming consumption peaks in the fourth quarter, such as for preserved meats and holiday celebrations, which may prevent immediate price drops despite the lack of upward momentum [9].

Core Points - The article highlights the trend of cash dividends among A-share companies, with a total proposed cash dividend of 466.19 billion yuan for the third quarter of 2025, indicating a high level of dividend distribution activity [2] - Leading companies in various industries are actively returning profits to shareholders through substantial dividend plans, showcasing their profitability and commitment to investors [3] Group 1: Dividend Distribution Overview - A total of 218 A-share companies have announced profit distribution plans, maintaining a high number of both companies and total dividend amounts [2] - The industries with significant dividend distributions include food and beverage, pharmaceutical and biological, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery [2] - Approximately 100 companies are participating in dividend distribution for the first time, while many others consistently distribute dividends multiple times a year [2][8] Group 2: Major Companies and Their Dividends - Wuliangye, a leading liquor company, plans to distribute a cash dividend of 100.07 billion yuan, despite a decline in revenue and net profit [3] - Gree Electric Appliances continues its high dividend trend with a proposed cash dividend of 55.85 billion yuan, having distributed over 177.6 billion yuan since its listing [3] - Yili Group reported a revenue of 905.64 billion yuan, with a net profit of 101.03 billion yuan, proposing a cash dividend of 30.36 billion yuan [4][5] Group 3: Performance and Dividend Correlation - Companies with stable operating performance are the backbone of high dividend proposals, with over 60% of the 218 companies reporting a year-on-year increase in net profit [6] - Shengnong Development reported a significant increase in net profit by 202.82%, proposing a cash dividend of 3.71 billion yuan [6] - The ChiNext board saw over 30% of its dividend companies actively participating in dividend distribution, with notable performances from companies like DingTai High-Tech and JiaoCheng Ultrasound [7][9] Group 4: New Entrants in Dividend Distribution - Approximately 100 companies are debuting in the third-quarter dividend distribution, including Yanqing Beer, which announced its first quarterly dividend after over 20 years of listing [8] - Luxshare Precision also made its first quarterly dividend announcement, with a proposed cash dividend of 11.65 billion yuan [9] - Companies like Longbai Group have established a tradition of quarterly dividends, reflecting a commitment to regular shareholder returns [9]