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科技2026展望:算力高景气延续,关注端侧AI创新机遇
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-12-11 05:30
Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the technology sector, particularly focusing on AI computing infrastructure and end-side AI innovations [1][24]. Core Insights - The global technology industry is expected to experience a dual trend of differentiated terminal demand and accelerated AI innovation by 2026, driven by rapid iterations of AI large models [1][24]. - The report highlights two main investment themes: 1) AI computing infrastructure, where VR/ASIC architecture upgrades will drive growth in ODM and component suppliers; 2) End-side AI innovations, particularly in AI smartphones, PCs, and glasses, with companies like Luxshare Precision, Hontai Precision, BYD Electronics, Sunny Optical, AAC Technologies, and Xiaomi Group being key players [1][24]. Summary by Sections Server Market - The global server market is projected to be dominated by AI infrastructure investments, with AI server shipments expected to grow by 50% year-on-year to 2.32 million units in 2026 [2][25]. - The market will see a "GPU/ASIC dual-drive" pattern, with VR/ASIC architecture reshaping value and driving demand for connectors, cables, and power supply components [2][25]. Smartphone Market - Global smartphone shipments are anticipated to decline by 5% year-on-year to 1.18 billion units in 2026, primarily affecting low-end models due to macro uncertainties and rising storage costs [2][25]. - However, the high-end market remains resilient, with Apple expected to launch innovative products, including the first foldable iPhone and AI-driven devices [2][25]. AR/VR Market - The report forecasts that global AI glasses shipments will exceed 10 million units by 2026, marking a significant growth in the wearable technology sector [2][25]. - Major tech companies are accelerating their investments in AR/VR, with advancements in optical technologies expected to unlock further potential in the coming years [2][25]. PC and Automotive Electronics - The global PC market is expected to face challenges, with a projected 2% decline in shipments to 275 million units in 2026, influenced by the end of the Windows 11 upgrade cycle and rising storage costs [2][25]. - AI PCs are expected to penetrate the market significantly, with projections indicating that they will account for over 50% of shipments by 2026 [2][25]. Memory Price Impact - The report discusses the impact of rising memory prices on the technology supply chain, predicting that short-term pressures will affect mid-to-low-end consumer markets while high-end products may buffer the cost increases [27][30].
蓝思科技收购PMG 或切入英伟达供应链
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-12-11 05:11
中经记者 陈佳岚 广州报道 值得注意的是,公告还提到,吕松寿承诺,元拾科技已具备开展服务器机柜业务所需的完整要素,这些 要素将在交割后至少三年内持续有效。 《中国经营报》记者从多位产业链人士处获悉,目前元拾科技已进入英伟达供应链体系。 记者留意到,2025年,英伟达对外披露的散热模组及组件合作厂商名单中,品达科技位列其中,这标志 着其在全球AI供应链中的重要地位。品达科技是元拾科技少数股东,元拾科技亦为品达科技提供算力 机柜等硬件支撑,形成"散热模组+算力机柜"的垂直整合能力。 如果蓝思科技收购PMG成功,也就意味着其将间接获得元拾科技持有的英伟达RVL认证(参考供应商 清单认证,是英伟达对其供应链中散热及液冷相关企业的综合能力评估体系),成为英伟达的核心供应 商。 通过收购,消费电子龙头蓝思科技(300433.SZ)有机会快速切入服务器机柜与液冷赛道,获取AI算力 赛道"入场券"。 12月10日晚,蓝思科技公告,拟战略收购PMG International Co.,LTD.(裴美高国际有限公司)100%股 权,进而获得元拾科技(浙江)有限公司(以下简称"元拾科技")95.11645%股权。 公告显示,标的公 ...
广电运通:子公司广电五舟部分服务器产品已集成摩尔线程显卡,目前该业务对公司经营业绩整体影响还很小
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-11 05:07
Core Viewpoint - The company has integrated some of its server products with Moore Threads graphics cards, but this collaboration currently has a minimal impact on overall business performance [1]. Group 1 - The company, Guangdian Yuntong, confirmed its collaboration with Moore Threads through its subsidiary Guangdian Wuzhou [1]. - The integration of Moore Threads graphics cards into the company's server products is a strategic move to stay aligned with market trends [1]. - The company is actively monitoring market dynamics to seize potential opportunities in the future [1].
凌晨重磅,美联储降息!美股已集体拉升!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 23:28
(来源:价值研学社) 周三,大盘指数继续震荡调整,尾盘被房地产拉了回来:量能较昨日萎缩1254亿,沪深两市共成交1.78 万亿;个股涨跌家数基本持平 。 短线情绪退朝明显,市场热点快速轮动,轮动行情,冲高回落为主,涨停炸板率高达33%,大幅回撤个 股高达9只,亏钱效应明显。 热点方面,今天涨停个股数量最多的板块分别是:大消费,海南自贸,房地产,AI硬件。 接下来,如果缩量行情,无论情绪还是趋势都只能看抱团。 今天凌晨3点,美联储宣布降息25个基点,符合市场预期的"鹰派降息"判断。不过此次会议罕见出现三 张 "反对票",暴露出美联储的内部分歧。美联储点阵图显示,2026年利率预测中值还是3.375%,这意 味着市场此前预期的"2026年将有更多次降息"的可能性被大大降低。 鲍师傅的讲话温和偏鸽,表示美联储将逐次会议做出决定,货币政策并不存在预定的路径。国债购买规 模或将在未来数月维持高位。 来源:市场资讯 受鲍师傅"鸽派"发言刺激,美股三大指数集体收涨。其中,道指涨1.05%,纳指涨0.33%,标普500指数 涨0.67%。美国大型科技股多数上涨,中概股多数上涨,黄金白银整体走高,这对大A开盘算是一个小 小的利 ...
慎防AI光环掩盖下的重组风险
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-10 18:49
Group 1 - The merger between domestic computing power giants Zhongke Shuguang and Haiguang Information has been terminated, leading to a significant drop in Zhongke Shuguang's stock price and a slight decline in Haiguang Information's stock [1] - The merger was intended to create a vertically integrated "computing power aircraft carrier" by combining chip design, hardware manufacturing, and software services, aiming to enhance competitiveness in AI and high-performance computing [1] - Following the announcement of the merger, there were mixed investor reactions, with concerns about the undervaluation of Zhongke Shuguang's shares in Haiguang Information, leading to a significant increase in stock prices and market valuations [1] Group 2 - Despite the initial optimism, the companies announced the termination of the merger on December 9, citing significant changes in market conditions and the complexity of the transaction as reasons for the decision [2] - Company executives denied any abrupt changes in strategy, emphasizing ongoing efforts until the last moment and the challenges posed by the large scale of the transaction and multiple stakeholders involved [2] - The increase in merger and acquisition activities among listed companies this year highlights the need for investors to adopt a more comprehensive and objective view of restructuring risks, rather than assuming that all mergers will lead to stock price increases [2]
千亿重组戛然而止!中科曙光市值一日蒸发近150亿
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-10 13:12
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 备受市场关注的千亿级重组突然宣告终止。 12月10日,在宣布终止与科创板芯片龙头海光信息(688041.SH)的千亿级合并计划后,服务器制造商中科曙光(603019.SH)开盘即封死一字跌停板, 最终以90.12元的价格收盘,总市值应声缩水至1319亿元,单日市值蒸发约146亿元。 相比之下,本次合并计划的另一方海光信息,当日股价虽一度下探跌超5%,但随后跌幅收窄,最终收报218.5元,总市值依旧站稳5000亿元关口。 值得注意的是,作为交易双方,海光信息与中科曙光的关系颇为特殊,二者同属"中科院系" 阵营——海光信息的第一大股东为中科曙光,而中科曙光的 控股股东则是中科院计算所。也正因如此,这场罕见的 "以子并母" 式资本运作,从筹划之初就备受资本市场的关注。 从时间节点来看,海光信息、中科曙光的合并计划开始于今年上半年。5月下旬,海光信息和中科曙光双双发布公告称,二者正在筹划由海光信息通过向 中科曙光全体A股换股股东发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并中科曙光,并发行A股股票募集配套资金。两家公司A股股票于5月26日起开始停牌。停牌 前,海光信息与中科曙光的市值 ...
【行业观察】H200若放开如何影响算力格局?光模块强势,云计算ETF(159890)接连4日上涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 01:17
一、计算侧:英伟达系列算力服务器需求或重启,AI服务器、超节点服务器、服务器电源板块需求有 望提升; 据报道,英伟达或将被允许向中国出口H200人工智能芯片。受此消息提振,12月10日,算力产业链全 天表现强势,光模块环节大涨,中际旭创、新易盛等接连走强,"CPO双雄"含量超30%的云计算ETF (159890)收涨1.31%、日K录得四连阳。 业内分析指出,若H200对华出口放开,预计将从三方面产生影响:一是直接利好英伟达产业链,包括 光模块、PCB等环节;二是若带动国内算力建设投入提升,有望推动国产服务器厂商受益;三是对国产 算力芯片或有短期情绪影响,但自主可控仍是长期主线。 云计算ETF(159890)跟踪中证云计算与大数据主题指数,权重股覆盖中际旭创、新易盛两大光模块龙 头,中科曙光、浪潮信息等电子终端及组件龙头,以及科大讯飞、金山办公等软件开发龙头等,从上游 AI基建到下游AI应用均有布局,较为全面。 目前市场对光模块等高位成长板块信心较强,表现为板块估值持续上修。云计算ETF(159890)近日连 续上涨,也反映市场对算力基础设施方向的持续关注。整体来看,H200芯片若放开,或将进一步催化 国内A ...
突发!688041、603019,宣布终止重大资产重组
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-12-10 00:57
Core Viewpoint - The major asset restructuring plan between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang has been officially terminated due to changes in market conditions and the complexity of the transaction, which was deemed not mature enough for implementation [5][6]. Group 1: Termination of Restructuring - Both companies announced the termination of the major asset restructuring plan on December 9, 2025, with Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang holding board meetings to approve the decision [1][3]. - The termination was based on extensive discussions and research, with both companies emphasizing that the decision was made in the interest of maintaining long-term benefits for the companies and their investors [5][6]. Group 2: Background of the Restructuring - The restructuring plan began in May 2025, with Haiguang Information suspending trading on May 26 and resuming on June 10, during which time they disclosed progress updates [5]. - The original plan involved Haiguang Information issuing A-shares to all A-share shareholders of Zhongke Shuguang at a swap ratio of 0.5525:1, with the intention of absorbing Zhongke Shuguang and raising additional funds [6]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Plans - Prior to the termination, Haiguang Information had a market capitalization of 315.8 billion yuan, while Zhongke Shuguang was valued at approximately 90.3 billion yuan, totaling over 400 billion yuan [6]. - Following the announcement of the merger, both companies experienced significant increases in market capitalization, with Haiguang Information reaching 509.7 billion yuan and Zhongke Shuguang 146.5 billion yuan, leading to a combined market value of 656.2 billion yuan [7]. - Both companies have committed to not planning any major asset restructuring for at least one month following the termination announcement and will hold an investor briefing on December 10, 2025, to address market concerns [5].
海光信息、中科曙光,突然宣布终止重大资产重组
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-09 22:55
Core Viewpoint - The major asset restructuring between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang has been officially terminated due to changes in market conditions and the complexity of the transaction [1][4][5] Group 1: Termination of Major Asset Restructuring - Haiguang Information announced the termination of the major asset restructuring plan to absorb Zhongke Shuguang through a share exchange, which was approved by the board with 8 votes in favor [4] - The termination was attributed to the large scale of the transaction, involvement of multiple parties, and significant changes in the market environment since the initial planning [4][5] - Both companies emphasized that the termination does not affect their ongoing collaboration and will continue to focus on high-end chip products and AI solutions [4][5] Group 2: Financial Performance and Dividends - Both companies have announced a mid-term cash dividend plan for 2025, which has been approved by their boards and will be submitted for shareholder approval [12] - Haiguang Information plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.90 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 209 million yuan, which represents 10.64% of its net profit attributable to shareholders [12] - Zhongke Shuguang intends to distribute a cash dividend of 0.70 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 102 million yuan, which accounts for 10.60% of its net profit attributable to shareholders [12] Group 3: Historical Context and Market Impact - The restructuring plan began in May 2025, with Haiguang Information's shares suspended from trading on May 26 and resumed on June 10, during which due diligence and other preparatory work were conducted [7] - The initial merger aimed to integrate the supply chain and enhance efficiency, leveraging Haiguang's strengths in high-end chip design and Zhongke's capabilities in hardware and cloud computing solutions [8] - Following the announcement of the merger, both companies experienced a significant increase in market capitalization, with Haiguang reaching 509.7 billion yuan and Zhongke 146.5 billion yuan, totaling 656.2 billion yuan [8]
华宝基金科技热评:英伟达H200芯片解禁难撼长期竞争格局,短期催化重点关注创业板人工智能ETF、信创ETF基金
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 09:59
近期,我们已明确表达,从空间角度看,市场已经达到"低吸"的较好"击球点"。自11月25日至12月9 日,我们看到市场整体呈现出:(1)以光模块为代表的高位板块,强者恒强,估值持续上修,整体板 块基本都达到新高。(2)非强势板块多数标的,在上涨遇到压力位后,遇阻快速回调后不破新低。这 种情势其实就是市场上涨诉求仍存,但底部板块逻辑不够强,难以吸引相对高位板块资金;市场哑铃形 态突出,一面是以机构为代表的景气度抱团,一面是以量化为代表的动量刺激抱团。 本周四凌晨,美联储将公布12月议息会议结果,中性预期为"本次降息25BP且2026年Q1或不降息",这 意味着全球市场对此次会议保持"偏鹰"观点。因此,即使降息节奏进一步不及预期,或对全球市场的风 险偏好影响相对有限。受到Marvell收购光互连公司Celestial的影响,市场对于OIO、CPO等光连接技术 呈现出更强的信心,这使得以光模块为代表的创业板人工智能ETF华宝(159363)表现强势,近日来迭 创新高。 关于英伟达H200芯片解禁:H200是美国前一代际的主流训练芯片,是目前海外主流模型的基石,其算 力性能弱于B30,但存储带宽强于B30。H200的解 ...