Core Viewpoint - The Chilean President is awaiting official communication from the United States regarding copper tariffs and whether they will include cathode copper [1] Group 1 - The Chilean government is closely monitoring the situation concerning U.S. copper tariffs, indicating potential implications for the copper industry [1] - The outcome of the U.S. decision on tariffs could significantly impact Chile's copper exports, which are vital to its economy [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of President Trump's announcement to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports, which has led to a significant spike in copper prices and trading volumes, indicating a major shift in the copper market dynamics [3][7]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Market Reaction - Trump's decision to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports caused copper prices to soar to historical highs, marking the largest single-day increase ever recorded [3]. - The trading volume on the COMEX during the announcement window was 54% higher than any period since Trump's election, with the Sep/Dec price spread trading at three times its historical high [5]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The U.S. is a major copper importer, with 2024 imports expected to account for approximately 53% of total demand, while domestic production is around 850,000 tons, with imports exceeding 1.4 million tons [7]. - The tariff announcement came earlier than market expectations, as the investigation under Section 232 could have extended until late November [9]. Group 3: Inventory and Price Mechanism - Despite the tariff, U.S. copper inventories have accumulated significantly, leading to a supply surplus that may mitigate immediate price impacts [12]. - The COMEX price reflects the total cost of importing copper into the U.S., and the current supply situation suggests that short-term import shocks can be absorbed [11]. Group 4: Future Market Implications - The timing of the tariff's implementation is crucial; if enacted within three weeks, it may not significantly pressure overseas markets due to existing shipments [20]. - The potential for exemptions on certain copper products, such as scrap copper, remains uncertain, which could affect market structure and pricing [16]. Group 5: Long-term Considerations - Once the tariff is in effect, additional buying may decrease, and U.S. import levels could drop below normal as existing inventories are prioritized for use [17]. - The preemptive stockpiling of copper suggests that the market's reaction to the tariff may be delayed until domestic inventories are significantly reduced [20][21].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a 50% tariff on all copper imports to the U.S. by President Trump has led to a significant initial spike in copper prices, followed by a notable decline, indicating market volatility and concerns over potential demand suppression due to increased tariffs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reactions - COMEX copper prices surged nearly 10% before experiencing a drop of over 2% following the tariff announcement, reflecting market uncertainty and the potential impact on demand [2]. - High U.S. copper inventories are raising concerns that the tariffs could exacerbate inventory surpluses, leading to further price adjustments [1][2]. - The strong U.S. dollar and the lack of macroeconomic support for the recent price surge are contributing to the downward pressure on copper prices [2][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The current tight supply of copper, coupled with low inventory levels, is expected to provide some support for copper prices despite the tariff-induced volatility [4]. - The price differential between U.S. and European copper futures has widened significantly, indicating a shift in trade flows and potential supply constraints in non-U.S. markets [3]. - The expectation of increased copper premiums in China suggests that domestic prices may exhibit resilience against downward pressures from tariffs [3][4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The market is closely monitoring the potential for unexpected economic data or policy changes that could mitigate the downward pressure on copper prices from tariffs [5]. - The ongoing tightness in global copper supply, particularly from overseas mines and scrap copper, is likely to support prices in the medium term, despite the initial impact of tariffs [4].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing trade dispute between the EU and the US is primarily focused on tariffs in specific industries, particularly steel, automobiles, copper, and potentially pharmaceuticals [1] Group 1: Trade Dispute Details - The EU exports mainly pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and machinery, highlighting the urgency for a trade agreement with the US to achieve clear outcomes [1] - The US has not committed to lowering tariffs or accepted the EU's proposal for a "freeze clause," which would prevent new trade restrictions before a final agreement is reached [1] - The EU is prepared to implement countermeasures, with the first phase set to automatically take effect on July 14 [1] Group 2: Political Context - The current US administration, under President Trump, is perceived as lacking sincerity in negotiations, focusing more on "language of power" rather than fostering a partnership [1] - Trump announced a new 50% tariff on all copper imports to the US, although the specific effective date for this tariff has not been disclosed [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by President Trump regarding potential high tariffs on copper and pharmaceuticals has led to a decline in Hong Kong's stock market, with the Hang Seng Index falling below 24,000 points, reflecting increased macroeconomic risks and impacting market sentiment [1][4]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.06% at 23,892.32 points, with a total trading volume of 233.88 billion HKD. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 1.28%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped 1.76% [1]. - Major blue-chip stocks experienced significant movements, with Henderson Land Development leading the decline, down 8.64% at 25.9 HKD, while China Biologic Products rose 10.06% to 5.91 HKD [2]. Sector Analysis - The technology sector saw a collective decline, with Alibaba down nearly 4% and Tencent over 1%. The copper sector was negatively impacted by Trump's tariff threats, leading to a drop in copper-related stocks [3][6]. - The innovative drug sector performed well, with Hengrui Medicine surging 15.61% to 69.6 HKD, indicating resilience amid broader market declines [3][4]. Specific Stock Movements - Macau's gaming sector showed strong performance, with Wynn Macau up 6.33% and Melco Resorts up 2.12%, driven by robust gaming revenue growth [4][5]. - Copper stocks faced significant declines, with Luoyang Molybdenum down 4.74% and Jiangxi Copper down 3.46%, reflecting market reactions to tariff announcements [5][6]. Commodity Prices - International gold prices fell below 3,300 USD per ounce, influenced by reduced safe-haven demand amid tariff uncertainties. Analysts expect gold prices to remain volatile within a range of 3,000 to 3,500 USD per ounce [7].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper by President Trump is expected to significantly impact the copper market and related stocks, with immediate reactions observed in stock prices and futures trading [4][10]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Copper-related stocks in the A-share market experienced volatility, with Northern Copper rising over 5% before turning negative, while Zijin Mining and Pengxin Resources fell by over 3% and 2%, respectively [1]. - In the Hong Kong market, China Daye Nonferrous Metals saw a rise of over 13%, and Jiangxi Copper rose by over 3% at one point [2]. Group 2: Tariff Announcement Details - Trump announced plans to raise copper tariffs to 50%, which is earlier and higher than industry expectations, although the effective date remains unspecified [4][5]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce confirmed the completion of an investigation into the proposed tariffs, aligning copper tariffs with those already imposed on steel and aluminum [5]. Group 3: Impact on Copper Prices - Following the tariff announcement, New York copper futures surged by 17% at one point, closing with a 13.12% increase, marking the largest single-day gain since 1989 [10]. - Analysts predict that the clarity of the tariff implementation timeline will significantly affect non-U.S. market pricing, potentially leading to a decrease in copper prices in non-U.S. regions [12]. - The 50% tariff is expected to add approximately $5,000 per ton or $2.25 per pound to U.S. copper prices, which may lead to demand destruction risks due to the current high price levels [12].

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-09 特朗普声称将会对铜加征50%关税 市场要闻与重要数据 期货行情： 2025-07-08，沪铜主力合约开于 79370元/吨，收于 79620元/吨，较前一交易日收盘0.44%，昨日夜盘沪铜主力合约 开于 79,590元/吨，收于 80,300 元/吨，较昨日午后收盘上涨0.69%。 现货情况： 据 SMM 讯，昨日电解铜现货市场延续弱势运行。SMM1#电解铜报价79,660-79,930元/吨，当月合约升水40-130元 /吨，均价85元/吨，较前日收窄10元。沪铜07合约早盘下探79,570元/吨后反弹，但未能站稳79,800元关口，最终收 于79,750元/吨。市场呈现三个显著特征：一是月差持续收敛（250→190元/吨），二是区域分化加剧（常州平水下方 成交），三是品牌价差扩大（好铜升水100-120元/吨全数成交，而进口货源贴水20-30元/吨）。随着交割日临近，在 月差维持200元/吨以上的背景下，预计持货商仍将积极调降升水以促成交易，现货溢价或进一步承压。 重要资讯汇总： 宏观与地缘方面，特朗普称，关税将于8月1日开始征收，不会给予任何延期，将对进口 ...

特朗普，将"关税大棒"对准特定行业！ 当地时间7月8日，美国总统特朗普表示，将对所有进口到美国的铜征收50%的新关税。他还透露，美国政府正 打算对药品、半导体以及其他多个特定行业征收新的关税。其中，对药品征收的新关税可能高达200%，但不 会在短期内生效。 在特朗普发出上述关税威胁后，当地时间8日盘中，纽约期铜一度飙升超17%，最高触及5.8955美元/磅。截至 当天收盘时，纽约期铜涨幅仍接近10%。9日亚市早盘，纽约期铜下跌近3%。 在8日当天的白宫内阁会议上，特朗普再次表示，美联储主席鲍威尔应立即辞职。特朗普还威胁对俄罗斯追加 制裁。他还表示，韩国应该自行支付军事防卫费用。 来看详细报道！ 特朗普威胁对铜和药品征收高额关税 美国总统特朗普当地时间7月8日表示，将对所有进口到美国的铜征收50%的新关税，但他没有透露新关税生效 具体时间。不过，据美媒报道，在内阁会议结束后，美国商务部长卢特尼克说，商务部已完成对铜进口状况的 调查，他预计新关税"可能在7月底或8月1日实施"。 特朗普当天在白宫召开内阁会议时说："我认为我们将把铜的关税提高到50%。"他还说，美国政府正打算对药 品、半导体以及其他多个特定行业征收 ...

据央视及新华社报道证实，7月8日特朗普政府表示，将对所有进口到美国的铜征收50%的新关税，而据 美国消费者新闻与商业频道报道，在特朗普内阁会议结束后，美国商务部长卢特尼克最新说，美国商务 部已完成对铜进口状况的调查，他预计新关税"可能在7月底或8月1日实施"。 尽管特朗普政府的贸易政策反复多变，但由于事发突然且已点燃金融资本的逐利冲动。风口浪尖的铜市 场金融定价掀起巨浪，冲击中美欧贸易稳定性与金融定价！ 8日当日纽约铜价单日暴涨逾10%，因美国瞬间涌现多头逼空及大量空头回补潮，美国铜期货正上演单 日突破历史高位记录的逼空大戏，与此同时伦敦铜价高位巨震日内回落近2%，而我国铜期货价格8日夜 盘结束仍以微涨收盘，但预计9日开盘交易后预计沪铜将小幅调整回落后跟跌伦敦铜。 但由于铜资源卡脖子问题突出，预计全球铜价经历了短期割裂之后，中国铜现货将依赖"上游资金极紧 缺，可交割铜库存极低，下游反内卷回暖"等结构性强势因素，中长期预计维持抗跌坚挺，下半年或将 朝向年内新高！ 从铜市本轮结构变化来看，目前美国铜期货市场上演逼空行情后，现货升水升至极端历史高位水平，而 伦敦LME铜价则因跨大西洋贸易流断裂担忧承压下行，美国与欧 ...

Report's Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Report's Core View - Amid the traditional consumption off - season in China, the total global electrolytic copper inventory has been continuously accumulating. However, due to the US imposing tariffs on imported copper leading to inter - market arbitrage trading and disruptions in overseas copper mine production or transportation, copper prices may fluctuate strongly. It is recommended that investors close their previous short positions at low prices and lightly test long positions on the main contract. Pay attention to the support and resistance levels of Shanghai copper, London copper, and US copper [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data - **Shanghai Copper Futures**: On July 8, 2025, the closing price of the active contract was 79,620, up 350 from the previous day; trading volume was 61,263 hands, down 14,051; open interest was 207,382 hands, up 2,876; inventory was 19,109 tons, down 2,573. The average price of SMN 1 electrolytic copper was 79,795, down 90 [2]. - **London Copper**: On July 8, 2025, the closing price of the LME 3 - month copper futures (electronic trading) was 9,665, down 119; the total inventory of registered and cancelled warrants decreased by 102,500. The LME copper futures 0 - 3 - month contract spread was 51.31, down 28.49; the 3 - 15 - month contract spread was - 10.76, down 16.61. The Shanghai - London copper price ratio was 8.2380, up 0.14 [2]. - **COMEX Copper**: On July 8, 2025, the closing price of the active copper futures contract was 5.51, up 0.37; the total inventory was 221,788, up 834 [2]. Important Information - **Macro**: The US Senate - version "bill" was passed, planning to raise the debt ceiling to $5 trillion, with the fiscal deficit expected to expand by over $3 trillion. The Trump administration's tariff policy has not significantly affected consumption. The US ADP employment number in August was - 33,000, lower than expected and the previous value, reducing the probability of the Fed not cutting interest rates in July, but the expected interest - rate cut time is still September/October/December [3][4]. - **Upstream**: China's copper concentrate import index is negative but rising compared to last week. The departure (arrival) volume of copper concentrate at ports in the world (China) has decreased (increased). High - quality European scrap copper exports are restricted, and due to Sino - US trade disputes, traders are reluctant to accept US scrap copper. However, the positive price difference between domestic electrolytic copper and bright and aged scrap copper may increase the economic viability of scrap copper, and the scrap copper import window is open. Some copper smelters are affected by supply shortages and have stopped production. Domestic electrolytic copper production in July may increase month - on - month, while imports may be restricted, and the total inventory has increased [4]. - **Downstream**: Some copper processing enterprises plan to reduce production and inventory in July. The capacity utilization rate of various copper product enterprises has generally declined month - on - month. Affected by Sino - US tariffs and the traditional consumption off - season, the capacity utilization rate, production, import, and export volume of domestic steel enterprises in July may decline, except for copper foil whose capacity utilization rate may increase [4]. Company News - Northern Copper Industry (000737) stated that its produced rolled copper foil is an upstream product of the PCB business chain, with a current production capacity of 5,000 tons per year [2]. - The Indonesian Minister of the Interior requested the relaxation of the copper concentrate export ban on Amman Mineral International due to its impact on the local economy [2].