2、碳纤维 | 据上证报报道，全球碳纤维行业巨头日本东丽株式会社宣布，自2026年1月起，其王牌产品——碳纤维"东丽卡"及其中间加工品(如预浸料、织 物、层压板)的全球售价将上调10%至20%。 点评：研究机构认为，目前碳纤维行业正处于周期底部复苏阶段，经过前期价格深度调整与产能出清，行业供需格局逐步修复，价格已呈现筑底企稳迹象。 随着"反内卷"政策推动行业供给收缩与集中度提升,行业景气度有望持续改善。需求方面，呈现结构性回暖，风电领域增长强劲，航空航天持续复苏，低空 经济(如eVTOL、无人机)成为新的增长点。 明日主题前瞻 1、磷酸铁锂 | 据新浪财经报道，自12月上旬开始,新能源产业链迎来价格波动,其中磷酸铁锂正极材料生产厂商掀起集体提价潮。从多个渠道了解到,在即将迎 来2026年之际,多家磷酸铁锂企业开始和客户商谈价格,一些头部企业提出了提价诉求,涨幅集中在2000元-3000元/吨之间。部分企业甚至表示，涨价趋势预计 将持续至2026年第四季度。 点评：卓创资讯富宝锂电分析师苗敏表示,当前磷酸铁锂企业订单已排至2026年一季度，部分企业甚至暂停接单，其中高压实等高端产品供需结构持续偏 紧。供给端来看 ...

随着人口老龄化进程加速，银发群体已成为推动经济发展的重要力量，银发经济正迎来蓬勃发展的黄金期。而体育作为老年群体追求健康生活的核心需求， 与银发经济的融合正催生全新的发展机遇。从适老化体育产品的研发到个性化健身服务的供给，从老年体育赛事的运营到"体育+康养"模式的创新，体育不 仅为银发群体的晚年生活注入活力，更激活了千亿级的银发消费市场，成为推动银发经济高质量发展的重要引擎。 体育精准适配银发需求，激活消费市场潜力。老年群体对健康的需求日益迫切，体育消费已成为银发消费的重要增长点。针对老年群体的身体特点，适老化 体育产品不断涌现：轻量化的健身器材、防滑耐磨的运动服饰、具备健康监测功能的智能运动装备，精准匹配了老年群体的健身需求；个性化的体育服务持 续升级，社区老年健身指导、居家体育康复训练、老年体育兴趣班等服务，让老年群体无需远行就能享受专业的体育服务；特色老年体育赛事遍地开花，门 球联赛、柔力球锦标赛、老年健步走大会等赛事，不仅丰富了老年群体的精神生活，更带动了赛事周边、交通住宿等相关消费。体育与银发需求的精准对 接，让银发体育消费从"潜在需求"转化为"实际购买力"。 "体育+康养"深度融合，创新银发经济业 ...

最近，商务部、央行、金融监管总局联合发布了一份重磅文件：《关于加强商务和金融协同，更大力度 提振消费的通知》。 一句话概括这份文件的核心思路就是：金融，要更直接、更主动地为"多花钱"这件事服务。这对金融市 场，尤其是A股，意味着什么？我们慢慢拆。 这份《通知》里，一共提出了3个方面、11条措施，内容很多，但如果从金融视角来看，其实逻辑非常 清楚：想尽一切办法，把消费信心、消费能力和消费场景重新激活。 而金融系统，是这次发力的"关键工具人"。 第一条主线：商品消费，要花得动钱，这次文件里，对商品消费的支持给得非常细、也非常直接。比 如：大宗耐用品、数码产品，汽车以旧换新等等，核心就一件事：让消费者买东西时，金融跟得上、撑 得住、成本更低。 政策明确要求：消费贷款额度更灵活，期限可以拉长，利率要更差异化，甚至连提前还车贷的违约金， 都可以适当减免。 政策明确提出，要让金融产品更贴近消费场景，而不是只停留在给贷款。 比如：服务消费专项贷款，养老再贷款，知识产权、科技成果等"无形资产"也能融资，商业保险、健康 险、年金险配套跟上。 这其实是在为服务业修复、就业稳定打基础。而这，对整个经济和资本市场都是正反馈。 第三条 ...

Core Viewpoint - The joint issuance of the "Notice" by the Ministry of Commerce, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Administration aims to strengthen the collaboration between commerce and finance to boost consumption, with a focus on precise policies and innovative mechanisms to support sustained growth in consumer spending [4][17]. Group 1: Policy Framework - The "Notice" outlines a three-pronged approach with 11 specific measures to create a collaborative system for boosting consumption, emphasizing the importance of consumer spending as a driver of endogenous growth [4][5]. - A full-chain collaborative system is established to address the previous disconnect between commerce and financial institutions, transforming isolated efforts into a unified approach [5][6]. Group 2: Mechanism Innovation - Local commerce and financial management departments are required to establish a regular coordination mechanism, encouraging regions to develop specialized work plans [6]. - A shared project list system in the consumption sector is proposed to facilitate precise matching between project needs and financial resources, addressing issues of information asymmetry and delayed policy implementation [6][7]. Group 3: Policy Synergy - The "Notice" encourages the use of financing guarantees and loan interest subsidies to create a synergistic effect between fiscal and financial resources, particularly in the automotive sector [7]. - The combination of subsidies and financial incentives is expected to amplify the impact of consumption-boosting policies, as evidenced by the success of the "old-for-new" vehicle replacement program [7]. Group 4: Technological Integration - The introduction of digital RMB and smart contract red envelopes aims to enhance the efficiency of subsidy distribution and ensure targeted use of funds, improving the effectiveness of consumption policies [8]. - This integration of technology and policy is projected to increase the efficiency of consumption promotion measures by over 30% in pilot regions [8]. Group 5: Targeted Financial Support - The "Notice" outlines differentiated support strategies for five key consumption areas, including durable goods, service consumption, and new consumption models, to ensure precise allocation of financial resources [9][10][11][12]. - Specific measures include enhancing installment payment options and credit card services for durable goods, as well as expanding financing for service sectors like home services and tourism [10][11]. Group 6: Rural and Urban Market Development - The "Notice" proposes tailored loan products for rural markets and initiatives to enhance inbound consumption, aiming to stimulate growth in both urban and rural areas [14]. - The integration of local consumption activities with financial support is intended to empower rural economies and improve the sales of local agricultural products [14]. Group 7: Execution and Implementation - A robust execution framework is established to ensure that policy benefits reach businesses and consumers effectively, focusing on activity coordination, information sharing, and promotional efforts [15][16]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to actively participate in local consumption promotion activities, creating exclusive products and offers to stimulate consumer spending [15]. Group 8: Long-term Vision - The "Notice" signifies a shift towards a more precise and collaborative approach to consumption stimulation, addressing structural imbalances in the market and fostering a sustainable consumption ecosystem [17][18]. - The emphasis on long-term mechanisms, such as credit system development and new consumption cultivation, aims to ensure the continuous release of consumption potential [18].

Core Insights - The Shandong Province Service Consumption New Brand Launch Conference will take place on December 15, supported by the Shandong Provincial Department of Commerce and organized by Shandong Digital Culture Group, aiming to showcase innovative achievements in service consumption and establish a new brand alliance for high-quality industrial development [1][2] Group 1: Event Overview - The conference theme is "New Services, New Dynamics, New Future," focusing on service innovation practices and identifying industry benchmarks [1] - The event will feature the establishment of the Shandong Service Consumption New Brand Alliance, which aims to create an ecosystem for resource sharing, experience exchange, and collaborative innovation [2][3] Group 2: Brand Selection Process - The first batch of "New Service Consumption Brands" was cultivated with participation from 239 enterprises across 16 cities, covering key sectors such as entertainment, tourism, dining, housekeeping, elderly care, health consumption, and sports [3] - After a comprehensive selection process, 66 enterprises were recognized for their outstanding innovation capabilities and market reputation [3] Group 3: Brand Alliance Objectives - The alliance aims to break down information barriers and development bottlenecks among enterprises, facilitating efficient resource flow within the industry [2] - It will organize regular communication activities and build cooperation bridges to help enterprises grasp industry trends and tackle common challenges in service upgrades [2] Group 4: Conference Activities - Representatives from the newly recognized brands will share their innovative paths and successful experiences in quality enhancement, scenario construction, and model upgrading [4] - An interactive experience area will be set up at the conference to showcase the unique services and core products of the recognized enterprises, fostering direct communication between businesses and consumers/investors [4] Group 5: Economic Impact - The launch of the new brand alliance and the emergence of quality new brands are expected to inject strong momentum into Shandong's economic growth, revitalizing the service consumption market [4]

朋友们，我是帮主郑重！站在2025年的尾巴上往2026年看，是不是觉得市场热点轮动快得让人眼花缭 乱，手里的钱不知道往哪儿投才稳妥？别急，作为跑了20年财经线、只做中长线的老炮，见惯了风口起 起落落，今天就掏心窝子跟大家唠唠——迷雾之中，主线其实早就藏不住了！刚刚结束的中央经济工作 会议，还有国内外顶尖机构的2026展望，都齐刷刷指向了这几个方向，这可不是短炒的概念，而是决定 未来五到十年国运和财富的超级赛道。 第二个风口，是"新能源与电力体系"的全面升级。这可不是以前单纯的光伏风电了，现在AI数据中心 爆发式增长，全球都可能面临"电力短缺"，这既可能推高能源价格，也让整个电力系统必须变得更强 大、更智能。从储能（现在政策允许储能当独立主体参与电力交易，赚钱效应越来越明显）到特高压电 网，再到支撑清洁能源的铜、稀土等有色金属，供需缺口摆在那儿，长期逻辑特别硬。 首先，以"AI+"和"高端制造"为长期核心仓，这是新质生产力的脊梁，波动中要敢于坚守；其次，关 注"再通胀"背景下的周期机遇，全球电力紧张可能给能源、有色金属带来阶段性双击；最后，在喧嚣中 保持冷静，2026年市场会更看重实打实的盈利，不是飘在空中的故 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of leveraging existing assets to drive economic growth and improve development quality during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][4][11] Group 1: Economic Development Strategies - Tianjin Bohai Light Industry Investment Group (Bohai Light Group) focuses on "three new" and "three quality" strategies to promote high-quality development, integrating into the city's overall framework [2] - The group achieved a leasing income of 585 million yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan," supporting its reform and development initiatives [2] - Bohai Light Group has successfully revitalized old factories by introducing high-quality industries and advanced business models, such as a fully automated wear-resistant steel ball production line with an annual output value of 350 million yuan [4] Group 2: Community and Cultural Services - The group has transformed old industrial sites into community service hubs, such as the "Golden Rooster Ming Garden" project, which serves around 50,000 residents [5] - Collaborations with local enterprises have led to the establishment of a one-stop service platform for ride-hailing operators and a medical health industry park [4][5] - Bohai Light Group is committed to preserving historical and cultural assets, exemplified by the renovation of the Tianjin Dagong Newspaper site into a cultural experience space [7] Group 3: Urban Renewal Initiatives - The group actively participates in urban renewal projects, with successful integration of old industrial areas into city improvement plans, enhancing urban functionality and quality [11] - The group has facilitated the establishment of a health and elderly care service system, supporting the national strategy to address population aging [11] - Looking ahead to the "15th Five-Year Plan," Bohai Light Group aims to shift from property-focused to industry-focused operations, promoting diverse business models and creating "small but beautiful" projects [11]

Group 1: Investment in Physical Capital - China's capital stock is the largest in the world, yet there remains significant growth potential, particularly in physical investments aimed at the real economy and infrastructure [3][7] - The "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of combining investments in physical and human capital to stimulate domestic demand and enhance economic growth [3][8] - Historical investments in infrastructure and physical assets have been crucial for building China's industrial framework and improving development conditions [4][6] Group 2: Investment in Human Capital - Investment in human capital is increasingly recognized as essential for economic growth, focusing on areas such as education, healthcare, and social security [16][17] - The government aims to increase the proportion of public investment directed towards improving living standards, which includes enhancing education and healthcare systems [16][24] - The "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" highlights the need for a shift from capital-intensive growth to a focus on human capital development to create a "human capital dividend" [24][28] Group 3: Policy Directions and Future Outlook - The government plans to prioritize new industrialization, information technology, and urbanization as key growth drivers during the "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" period [11][12] - There is a strong emphasis on developing strategic emerging industries and future industries, such as quantum technology and biotechnology, to drive economic growth [14][15] - The investment landscape is expected to focus on digital economy, artificial intelligence, and urban renewal projects, aligning with national strategic goals [10][12]

Emerging Fields - The release of five national standards related to cybersecurity aims to strengthen national cybersecurity defenses and promote healthy development of the digital economy [1] - Seven national standards in information technology will ensure interoperability and security of information systems through unified technical application specifications [1] - Three national standards for artificial intelligence social experiments support the healthy and orderly development of intelligent societies [1] - Seven national standards for nanotechnology will assist in unifying relevant technical characterization and testing specifications [1] Transportation and Environmental Protection - A total of 44 national standards covering automotive steering systems, vehicle brake fluids, railway construction machinery, rail transit vehicles, shore power for ships, containers, and aerospace components will aid in building a strong transportation nation [1] - Ten energy-saving and environmental protection standards related to industrial boiler economic operation, meat processing, food processing, alcoholic beverages, and lead-zinc will contribute to pollution prevention efforts [1] Safety Production - National standards for assessing combustible dust explosion risks and guidelines for gas protection station construction in chemical parks will enhance safety management in hazardous chemical production [2] - Five emergency management national standards, including guidelines for emergency drills and scenario construction methods, will improve emergency response capabilities [2] - Eleven mandatory national standards for fire trucks will ensure technological advancement in fire truck products and enhance the operational capabilities of firefighting teams [2] Public Services - Three national standards for educational service management and seven guidelines for standardized education course construction in logistics, elderly care, automation, and the Internet of Things will lay the foundation for cultivating versatile talents and promoting education integration [2] - Guidelines for the usability of home health care products and services will support the development of an age-friendly society [2] - Four national standards related to digital asset management, including digital maturity and cultural digital asset valuation, will enhance the digitalization level of asset management and improve transparency and security in digital asset transactions [2] Daily Life - National standards for smart textiles will guide the standardized development of smart textile products [3] - The introduction of national standards for biodegradable plastic shopping bags will promote resource recycling [3] - Two national standards for testing methods related to formaldehyde content in leather and short-chain chlorinated paraffins will improve detection of harmful substance limits [3] - Eight national standards for surgical implants and sterilization of medical products will enhance the quality and safety of medical devices [3] - Additional national standards were released for rice, navel oranges, rural toilets, and oil drilling equipment [3]

Group 1: Consumer Market Dynamics - The tax data from the State Taxation Administration indicates a positive shift in China's consumer market, driven by various consumption-boosting policies and new consumption scenarios [1][2] - The "old-for-new" policy has significantly stimulated consumer demand, with retail sales of communication devices and daily household appliances increasing by 20.3% and 26.5% year-on-year, respectively, from January to November [1] - The sales revenue of new energy passenger vehicles also showed strong growth, with a year-on-year increase of 19.1% during the same period [1] Group 2: Sports and Health Consumption - The sports and health sectors are experiencing heightened activity, with sports event-related economic output increasing significantly, leading to a multiplier effect on consumption [2] - From January to November, the retail sales of sports exhibition services and sports goods grew by 29.7% and 6.6% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Health-related consumption is also on the rise, with sales of health auxiliary treatment equipment and health consulting services increasing by 14.1% and 11.9% year-on-year [2] Group 3: Cultural and Tourism Consumption - The cultural and tourism sectors are witnessing a surge in new business models and scenarios, enhancing consumer vitality [2] - Sales revenue from artistic creation and performance, as well as film screenings, increased by 15.6% and 19.1% year-on-year, respectively, from January to November [2] - The integration of tourism with cultural activities has led to significant growth in related services, with travel agency services, scenic spots, and leisure activities seeing year-on-year increases of 10.8%, 29.4%, and 16.6%, respectively [2] Group 4: Demographic Consumption Trends - The elderly and young consumer groups are showing substantial consumption potential, with the elderly market projected to exceed 100 trillion yuan by 2050 [3] - From January to November, spending on elderly care services, social assistance, and nursing home services grew by 33.6%, 9.6%, and 14.6% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Among younger consumers, spending on digital cultural services, particularly those related to emotional value and social attributes, increased by 16.5% year-on-year [3] Group 5: Future Policy Directions - The State Taxation Administration plans to continue implementing tax and fee policies that support consumption, aiming to optimize tax payment services and stimulate domestic demand [3]