Core Viewpoint - The impressive performance growth forecast for StarNet Ruijie (002396.SZ) and Ruijie Network (301165.SZ) has generated significant attention in the A-share market, largely attributed to founder Huang Yihua's vision and leadership [1][3]. Company Overview - Huang Yihua, born in 1961 in a tech family, founded Fujian Shida Computer Co., Ltd. in 1988 with 15 partners, achieving rapid growth from 16 people to 1.6 billion [4][5]. - The company transitioned to network equipment in 2000, rebranding as StarNet Ruijie in 2003, and successfully listed on the A-share market in 2010 [5][6]. - StarNet Ruijie invests heavily in R&D, with expenditures exceeding 10% of revenue annually from 2018 to 2021, totaling 53.52 million yuan in 2021 [6][7]. Market Performance - As of April 11, 2023, the combined market capitalization of StarNet Ruijie and Ruijie Network reached 49 billion yuan, with Ruijie Network valued at 38.199 billion yuan and StarNet Ruijie at 10.819 billion yuan [7][8]. - In 2023, StarNet Ruijie's net profit decreased by 26.36%, while revenue grew by 5.35%, with a further decline in net profit of 4.76% expected in 2024 [8][9]. Future Outlook - StarNet Ruijie anticipates a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2024, projecting a growth of 211.64% to 298.20% year-on-year, driven by the demand for AI computing and the growth of the internet data center market [8][9]. - Ruijie Network expects a substantial increase in net profit for Q1 2025, with projections indicating a year-on-year growth of 4142.15% to 5310.90% [9][10].

野村东方国际 以史为鉴：思科启示录下的英伟达坐标审视 20250312 摘要 Q&A 当前 AI 基建的资本开支情况如何？市场对其未来发展有何担忧？ 目前，AI 基建的资本开支已经持续接近两年。自今年年初以来，市场开始担忧 是否存在泡沫风险，有些人将当前的 AI 投资周期与 2021 年初的互联网泡沫进 行对比。我们研究的初衷是分析思科在互联网泡沫时期从下游暴雷到业绩受到 • 思科在互联网泡沫时期通过并购迅速扩张，成为网络设备市场领导者，但 下游互联网公司业绩暴雷导致需求萎缩，最终波及思科自身业绩，股价大 幅下跌，股价高点早于业绩高点约三个季度，是需求放缓的先行指标。 • 英伟达当前面临 ASIC 解决方案兴起和 DeepSeek 大模型训练样本方案带来 的潜在竞争压力，但其在 GPU 加速计算性能和 CUDA 生态方面仍具有显著优 势，预计中短期内仍将主导 AI 算力基础设施建设。 • 本轮 AI 投资周期由大型科技公司主导，这些公司财务状况稳健，能够支撑 长期资本支出投入，与互联网泡沫时期未盈利科技公司依赖融资不同，英 伟达拥有更高稳定性的客户群体。 • 英伟达 GPU 使用寿命较短，云厂商有动力不断进行 ...