Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the 39% tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on Switzerland, highlighting the potential economic repercussions for the Swiss economy, particularly in its export sectors [4][5]. Group 1: Economic Impact on Switzerland - Switzerland's economy is heavily reliant on trade, with exports projected to reach 283 billion Swiss francs in 2024, a 3% increase from 2023 [6]. - The U.S. is Switzerland's most significant trading partner, accounting for 19% of its total exports, despite a trade deficit of nearly 40 billion francs [6][7]. - The pharmaceutical sector is a major contributor to Swiss exports, with expected exports to the U.S. reaching 35 billion dollars in 2024 [8]. - The high tariffs create a significant disadvantage for Swiss exporters, especially when compared to the 15% tariffs imposed on EU products [7][8]. Group 2: Response to Tariffs - The Swiss government is actively seeking to negotiate with the U.S. to mitigate the impact of the tariffs, with proposals likely to include increased investments in the U.S. as leverage [9][11]. - The Swiss Federal Council has introduced a "partial unemployment" scheme to help businesses cope with reduced demand due to tariffs, allowing for reduced working hours while retaining employees [12][13]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Local Products - Despite the tariffs, Swiss consumers remain loyal to local products, often preferring them over imported goods, which may be affected by the tariffs [17][20]. - The cultural inclination towards local products is reinforced by strict Swiss production standards and a strong sense of community support for local agriculture [20][22].

Core Insights - The demand for luxury watch appraisers in China is rapidly increasing, with a talent gap of at least 100,000 professionals identified in the market [3][5][12] - The establishment of the luxury watch appraiser as a recognized profession marks a significant development in the industry, providing a formal framework for training and certification [3][10][11] Market Demand - Since 2020, global consumer interest in purchasing second-hand luxury watches has doubled, indicating a growing market potential [2] - The second-hand luxury watch market in China has surpassed 100 billion yuan in annual transaction volume, matching the scale of the new watch market [5][6] - The existing stock of high-end watches priced over 10,000 yuan in China has reached over 47 million units, suggesting a long-term demand for appraisal and maintenance services [6] Professional Standards and Training - The luxury watch appraiser profession is officially classified under the "appraisal and evaluation" category, with a specific code assigned [3] - The training for luxury watch appraisers is rigorous, requiring hands-on experience with various watch models and components to develop the necessary skills for authenticity verification [10][11] - The profession is structured into three levels of certification, with the entry-level requiring prior experience, ensuring that only qualified individuals can perform appraisals [8][9] Industry Challenges - The market currently faces issues with counterfeit certification and unregulated training programs, leading to a proliferation of non-credible appraisal services [12][13] - The lack of a unified national standard for luxury watch appraisal creates confusion regarding authenticity and valuation, necessitating the establishment of clear guidelines [11][12] Future Outlook - The luxury watch market is expected to continue growing, particularly for high-end and scarce products, as consumer awareness and demand for reliable appraisal services increase [7][8] - The establishment of a national professional standard for luxury watch appraisers is anticipated to enhance the industry's credibility and support sustainable growth [10][12][13]

Group 1 - The U.S. has announced a 39% tariff on goods imported from Switzerland, significantly higher than the tariffs imposed by the EU (15%) and the UK (10%) [2][3] - Swiss watch companies experienced a 9% drop in stock prices following the announcement of the new tariff [2] - An initial agreement set the tariff rate at 10%, but U.S. President Trump accused Switzerland of "stealing" from the U.S. during a phone call, leading to the unexpected increase [2][5] Group 2 - Swiss officials expressed feelings of betrayal, stating they felt "stabbed in the back" after the U.S. raised the tariff unexpectedly [5][7] - The Swiss government had previously reached an understanding with the U.S. that was believed to be a mere procedural formality [5] - The trade deficit of nearly $40 billion between the U.S. and Switzerland was a major concern for Trump, who demanded solutions to reduce it [7][9] Group 3 - The Swiss National Bank argues that gold, a significant export, should not be included in the trade deficit calculations as it is a special reserve asset [7] - Swiss companies, including major pharmaceutical firms, have created approximately 500,000 jobs in the U.S., highlighting the economic ties between the two countries [7]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 【文/观察者网 王一】据央视新闻报道，美国总统特朗普日前签署行政令，确定了对多个国家和地区征 收的"对等关税"税率，其中对瑞士征收的关税高达39%，冲击该国制表等多个行业。 几天过去了，仍处于举国震惊中的瑞士开始"内部追责"，从瑞士联邦主席凯勒-祖特尔到制药业，他们 想找出到底是谁惹怒了特朗普，导致谈判破裂，让瑞士最终"背上"39%的关税。凯勒-祖特尔被批严重 高估了她与特朗普政府达成协议的可能性，其他批评者则指责是瑞士制药业引发了特朗普的愤怒。 知情人士称，瑞士官员误认为他们与美方的谈判进展顺利，有望达成一项与英国类似、关税为10%的协 议。今年4月，瑞士还宣布将对美投资近1500亿美元，以争取率先达成协议。凯勒-祖特尔7月还自信地 对外公开表示，她成功打通了与特朗普接触的通道。两名消息人士表示，自信满满的瑞士已做好准备接 受10%的税率，联邦政府7月4日还批准以10%的关税为底线进行谈判。 一位前瑞士外交官形容当前瑞士的内讧局面可谓是"刀光剑影"（knives out）。 退休前经常与美国客户打交道的瑞士人卡尔·格施文德（Karl ...

"黑天鹅"突袭，多个市场的"瑞士概念股"全线大跌。 因上周五（8月1日）假期休市，瑞士股市对美国总统特朗普宣布的39%关税的反应要到本周一开盘后才会显现。 在此之前，市场的一致预期是，瑞士有望与欧盟、英国、日本类似，和美国达成一个框架协议，将关税水平维持在 10%至15%之间。 据央视新闻最新消息，美国贸易代表格里尔表示，特朗普上周对多国加征的新一轮关税"基本已定"，不会在当前 谈判中作出调整，包括对从加拿大进口的商品征收35%关税、对巴西征收50%关税、对印度征收25%关税、对瑞士征 收39%关税。格里尔称，部分关税是根据双边贸易盈余与赤字情况设定，"这些税率基本已经固定"。 有分析称，这对瑞士股市而言，无疑是"黑天鹅"事件，对瑞士经济与企业是"毁灭性打击"，将冲击特别依赖出口 的瑞士股市。受此影响，在其他市场交易的"瑞士概念股"8月1日全线大跌，例如，瑞银集团在美股盘中一度大跌近 4%，在英国伦敦交易的瑞士钟表集团大跌6.8%。 在此之前，市场普遍预期是，瑞士有望与欧盟、英国、日本类似，达成一个框架协议，将关税水平维持在10%至 15%之间。 这对瑞士股市而言，无疑是"黑天鹅"事件。瑞士咨询公司Porta ...

Core Viewpoint - The unexpected announcement of a 39% tariff on Swiss goods by President Trump is viewed as a "black swan" event, leading to significant declines in Swiss stocks and raising concerns about the impact on the Swiss economy and export-dependent companies [1][6][9]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Market Reaction - The Swiss stock market's reaction to the tariff announcement was delayed due to the holiday, with significant declines expected upon reopening [1][4]. - The 39% tariff is among the highest globally, second only to Syria's 41%, and is seen as a devastating blow to the Swiss economy and its export-driven market [5][6]. - Major Swiss companies, including UBS and Swatch Group, experienced sharp declines in their stock prices following the announcement [1][8]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Analysts predict that if the 39% tariff remains in place, it could lead to a GDP loss of approximately 0.6% for Switzerland, with further losses possible if additional tariffs on pharmaceuticals are implemented [8]. - The Swiss technology industry and overall exports are expected to face "extremely severe" impacts due to the high tariff rate [7][8]. - The sudden reversal in trade negotiations highlights the unpredictability of Trump's trade policies, even after prior agreements had been reached [9][10]. Group 3: Broader Trade Implications - The new tariff policy is part of a broader trend that could elevate the U.S. actual tariff rate to 17%, marking the highest level since the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1933, which had severe consequences for international trade [11][12]. - Experts describe the day of the tariff announcement as a "dark day" for global trade, indicating long-term challenges for the established trade system [13].

Watches of Switzerland Group PLC 美国总统特朗普宣布对瑞士进口产品征收39%的新关税，导致美国上市瑞士钟表公司的股价应声下跌。 个股中，瑞士历峰集团ADR跌3.08%，使得本周迄今累计跌幅达到8.80%；瑞士钟表集团（Watches of Switzerland Group Plc.）ADR跌7.73%，斯沃琪集团 (Swatches of Switzerland) 的ADR下跌8.7%。 け峰集材 OTCMKTS: CFRUY : 市场概况 > 历峰集团 15.76 USD + 关注 -1.52 (-8.80%) + 过去 5 天 8月1日 GMT-4 上午10:59 · 免责声明 1 天 1 个月 YTD 5天 最大 17.5 17.0 16.5 16.0 15.5 7月30日 7月31日 7月29日 8月1日 开盘 15.74 市值 14.72万亿 ZAR 52 周高点 21.04 最高 15.89 52 周低点 13.06 市盈率 15.58 股息收益率 最低 季度分红金额 Watches of Switzerland Group PLC OTCMKTS: WOSGF ...

瑞士联邦主席凯勒-祖特尔：美国关税将对瑞士经济产生非常不利的影响。尽管制药业未受影响，但美 国关税对瑞士机械和钟表行业非常不利。 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. has imposed a punitive tariff of 39% on Switzerland, significantly higher than tariffs on the EU (20%) and Japan (15%), due to a trade surplus of $38 billion and alleged non-tariff barriers [3][4] - The Swiss economy is heavily impacted, particularly in the luxury watch and chocolate sectors, with companies like Rolex and Patek Philippe facing increased export costs, while the pharmaceutical sector, which constitutes 40% of Swiss GDP, may also be affected despite initial exemptions [3][4] - Small and medium-sized enterprises, which make up 30% of Swiss exports, are at risk of severe financial strain due to the sudden increase in tariffs [3][4] Group 2 - The tariff escalation has disrupted global supply chains, particularly affecting precision manufacturing that relies on international collaboration, leading to layoffs and production cuts among Swiss suppliers [4][5] - The U.S. stands to lose as well, with Swiss companies employing 500,000 people in the U.S. and 90% of precision machine tools in the U.S. being imported from Switzerland, indicating a self-inflicted economic wound [5][6] - The Swiss franc depreciated by 0.8% in a single day, and the Swiss stock market index (SMI) fell below its February low, indicating a loss of investor confidence [6] Group 3 - The trade conflict has escalated the geopolitical dynamics among China, the U.S., and Europe, with Switzerland losing its role as a neutral mediator and potentially leading to closer ties between China and the EU [7] - The situation is prompting a shift in global supply chains, with ASEAN countries like Vietnam and Thailand benefiting from increased orders, and Swiss companies relocating production to Mexico to avoid tariffs [8] - The imposition of tariffs on Switzerland is seen as a threat to the post-World War II global trust system, leading to a potential reconfiguration of investment strategies focusing on cash reserves, growth sectors like AI and biotechnology, and new manufacturing locations [8][9]

Group 1 - The luxury watch market is experiencing a significant downturn, with reports indicating that even high-priced watches are struggling to sell [3][4] - Swatch Group reported a sales decline of 11.2% year-on-year, with net profit plummeting 88% to 17 million Swiss francs [3][4] - The decline in sales is primarily attributed to the Chinese market, which has historically been a key revenue driver for Swatch [4] Group 2 - The changing consumer behavior in China reflects a shift from status-driven purchases to a focus on product quality and craftsmanship [6][7] - The rise of smartwatches has created strong competition for traditional luxury watches, as consumers prefer multifunctional and stylish options [9][10] - Consumers are increasingly viewing luxury watches as investment pieces, leading to a decline in interest for brands like Swatch that lack historical prestige and craftsmanship [12] Group 3 - The luxury watch industry's pricing structure is seen as a barrier for potential buyers, contributing to the market's adjustment [13] - The overall decline in the luxury watch market is viewed as a natural consequence of the maturation of the Chinese consumer market [14] - For international brands to thrive, they must adapt to the evolving characteristics of the Chinese market and embrace changes [16]