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农林牧渔行业报告(2025.9.15-2025.9.21):猪价再创年内新低,“反内卷”再加码
China Post Securities· 2025-09-24 06:14
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The agricultural sector, particularly the pig and poultry markets, is experiencing significant price declines, with the agricultural index dropping 2.70% last week, ranking 27th among 31 primary industries [3][12] - The report highlights concerns regarding the ability to reduce pig production capacity, which has led to market volatility and price pressures [4][14] - The "anti-involution" policy is being reinforced, aiming to stabilize pig prices in the future, with recent meetings indicating stricter measures for production capacity reduction [20][21] Summary by Sections Market Review - The agricultural sector faced a substantial decline, with the agricultural index down 2.70%, while the broader market indices fell less significantly [12][14] - Core agricultural segments, including pigs and poultry, saw notable price drops, raising concerns about production capacity adjustments [14] Livestock Industry Tracking Pigs - As of September 21, the average price of pigs was 12.69 yuan/kg, down 0.66 yuan/kg from the previous week, marking a new low for the year [4][17] - The report indicates that the supply of pigs is expected to increase in the second half of 2025, leading to significant supply pressure, particularly in Q4 [17][20] - The profitability of self-bred pigs has turned to losses, with an average loss of 24 yuan per head, while purchased piglets incur a loss of 199 yuan per head [18] Broilers - The price of white feather broiler chicks has shown a slight rebound, reaching 3.5 yuan/chick, supported by pre-holiday stocking demand [5][28] - The average price of broiler meat remains stable at 3.37 yuan/kg, but overall demand has not improved significantly [28] - The report notes a significant decrease in the number of grandparent stock updated, which could impact future supply dynamics [28] Planting Industry Tracking - Sugar prices have adjusted to 5905 yuan/ton, down 30 yuan/ton [32] - The price of imported Brazilian soybeans stands at 3987 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.4% decrease [32] - Cotton prices have slightly increased to 15300 yuan/ton, while corn prices have decreased to 2325 yuan/ton [32]
遍地金黄皆是喜 一图看全国秋收进程 | 丰收节里看“丰”景
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-24 05:02
Core Insights - The autumn harvest in China has commenced across most regions, with significant progress reported in various provinces [2][3] Harvest Progress - As of September 19, Sichuan has harvested over 70% of its autumn grain, with over 80% of early rice collected. Guizhou has completed over 40% of its autumn grain harvest, while Hubei has harvested 30% of early rice, 80% of corn, and 70% of soybeans. Hunan has also harvested 70% of its early rice, and Xinjiang has harvested over 3 million acres of autumn grain [3] - Major autumn crops such as rice, corn, soybeans, cotton, peanuts, sweet potatoes, and sorghum are entering the maturity and harvesting phase around the autumn equinox [4] Regional Harvest Timing - The national autumn harvest progress map indicates that early rice and late rice are the main focus of the autumn rice harvest. In the southwest, early rice matures in September, while in the northeast, it is harvested in mid to late September. The Yangtze River basin sees early rice harvested from mid-September to early October, with the latest regions, Jiangnan and South China, harvesting late rice from late October to mid-November [6] - Spring-sown corn typically matures between August and late September, with southern regions maturing earlier than those in the northeast, Inner Mongolia, northwest, and north China, which generally mature in late September [6] - Soybean harvesting has strict timing requirements; harvesting too early results in immature seeds with low protein and oil content, while late harvesting can lead to significant losses. The optimal harvest period is from early September to early October [6]
黄、红、青、蓝,五彩斑斓!科技赋能点缀神州大地多彩“丰”景
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-24 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the bountiful harvests across various regions in China during the autumn season, emphasizing the integration of technology in agriculture and the overall improvement in food security. Group 1: Agricultural Achievements - In Jilin Province, the rice planting area exceeds 12 million acres, with a comprehensive mechanization rate of 94.7% for crop farming [5] - In Yunnan's Honghe Prefecture, the use of drones for efficient transportation of rice has transformed traditional harvesting methods, allowing a 40-kilogram bag of rice to be transported in just 3 minutes [7] - The total grain output in China is projected to reach 14.13 trillion jin in 2024, marking an increase of 740 billion jin since 2020, with per capita grain availability surpassing 1,000 jin for the first time [23] Group 2: Diverse Harvests - In Qinghai's Xunhua County, 25,000 acres of chili peppers are being harvested, showcasing a vibrant autumn landscape [10] - In Heilongjiang's Fuyuan, 4,200 acres of cranberries are harvested using a unique "water harvesting" method, contributing to the production of cranberry products [12] - In Jiangxi's Xianjiyan Lake, fishermen are expected to catch 5 million pounds of fish in the autumn of 2025 using large net fishing techniques [14] Group 3: Technological Integration - The rapid development of near-sea aquaculture is evident in Shandong's Yantai, where 40,000 rainbow trout fry are being raised before being transferred to deep-sea cages [17] - The article illustrates a picturesque "autumn harvest painting" in Hubei's Wuhan, where traditional harvesting and drying of crops are celebrated [20] - In Anhui's Yi County, villagers creatively use corn to construct a giant "corn dragon," reflecting the colorful agricultural landscape [21]
安徽天长市:林下一地生“三金”
曾经,金集镇草西村面临着高岗地干旱缺水、产业单一、种植效益低下的困境。2022年春,为破解岗区产业低效问题,市林业局、农业农村局多次前来 岗区旱地调研,推广林下套种旱粮和油料作物模式,实现一地多收。从试种到普及种植,4年过去了,如今这一特色产业在天长林区异军突起,金集镇草 西、马塘等5个岗区村山核桃地里套种粮油的种植户增至1030余户,年产值突破6800万元,2210余名林(农)村民在家门口捧上绿色"金饭碗"。 "我们草西是全市岗区旱地林下套种粮油最早的试点村,经4年来的种植实践,如今已连片迅速扩张,山核桃林下套种玉米、红薯、花生、芝麻等旱地粮 油作物,不仅扩大了种植空间、缓解了旱地生产用水难,而且连年丰产丰收。"金集镇草西村党总支书记陈叶桃开心地说。 张兴美是带头响应第一人,他率先拿出20亩高岗旱地进行试种,现在合作社种植面积达150亩。尝到林下套种甜头的张兴美带领大伙儿一起干,山核桃 林下套种粮油已发展到230多亩。 安徽省天长市实施山核桃林下套种玉米、花生模式,让农民鼓了"钱袋子",稳了"粮袋子",满了"油瓶子" 张兴美(右一)为山核桃林下的花生松土、除杂。资料图片 9月,安徽省天长市金集镇草西村的薄壳 ...
昌江十月田镇举办丰收节庆祝活动
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2025-09-24 01:49
Group 1 - The event celebrated the eighth "Chinese Farmers' Harvest Festival" on September 23, coinciding with the traditional solar term "Autumn Equinox" [2] - The theme of the celebration was "Celebrating Agricultural Harvest and Enjoying a Better Life," featuring representatives from various villages showcasing their unique agricultural products [2] - The agricultural economy of Changjiang County, particularly in October Tian Town, is significant, with planting accounting for 80% of the local economy, focusing on crops like pineapples and bananas [2] Group 2 - A local entrepreneur, Gao Qing, reported a successful harvest of pineapples, with an average yield of 7,000 pounds per acre and a sales revenue of nearly 600,000 yuan [2] - The total planting area for pineapples in October Tian Town is 36,000 acres, generating an annual output value of approximately 250 million yuan, while bananas cover 34,000 acres with an annual output value of about 200 million yuan [2]
深度关注丨共同奔向中国式现代化的美好未来
透过"中国农民丰收节"问候,感悟总书记深情厚望 共同奔向中国式现代化的美好未来 中央纪委国家监委网站 李灵娜 今年9月23日是第八个"中国农民丰收节",各地通过农民丰收巡游、农耕技艺体验、民俗文化展演等活动,同 享秋收喜悦,感受中国乡土的蓬勃生机。图为农民在江西省婺源县篁岭景区进行晒丰收巡游。新华社记者 万 象 摄 "希望广大农民群众充分发挥主动性创造性,社会各界积极支持参与,努力建设宜居宜业和美乡村,共同奔向 中国式现代化的美好未来。"在第八个"中国农民丰收节"到来之际,中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主 席习近平代表党中央,向全国广大农民和工作在"三农"战线上的同志们致以节日祝贺和诚挚问候。 透过连续八年的"中国农民丰收节"节日问候,可以感受到习近平总书记对农业、农村、农民的深情厚望。这 些殷殷关切、深深期望,蕴含着温暖和力量,激励大家把粮食安全的主动权牢牢掌握在自己手中。 关心—— 总书记亲自推动设立"中国农民丰收节",营造全社会关注农业、关心农村、关爱农民的浓厚氛围 "中国农民丰收节"是习近平总书记亲自倡导、亲自推动为农民设立的一个节日。 强国必先强农,农强方能国强。犹记得第一个"中国农民丰收节"刚 ...
各地秋粮收获有序推进
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-24 00:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the successful harvest of autumn grains across various regions in China, driven by improved agricultural practices and technologies [1][2][3][4]. Group 2 - In Heilongjiang, 30 million acres of saline-alkali land have been utilized for rice cultivation, with new salt-tolerant varieties achieving an average yield of over 500 kg per mu, an increase of more than 70 kg compared to traditional varieties [1]. - Anhui province is experiencing a harvest across over 64 million acres of autumn grains, supported by agricultural innovation platforms and the implementation of 48 key agricultural technologies [2]. - Fujian province has initiated a large-scale yield improvement action for grain and oil crops, with field measurements indicating yields generally higher than the previous year, and nearly 20% of the mid-season rice has been harvested [3]. - In Henan's Anyang city, local village committees have signed agreements for comprehensive corn harvesting services, including drying and storage, to streamline the harvest process for farmers [4].
千里沃野奏响丰收“进行曲” “订单种植+良机良法”助力增收增产
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-24 00:11
Group 1: Rice Production in Anhui and Jiangsu - In Anhui's Tongling City, 740,000 acres of rice are entering the critical grain-filling stage, with local agricultural departments providing technical guidance to farmers for pest control and field management [1][2] - In Jiangsu's Taizhou, 5,600 acres of hybrid rice are being harvested, with modern drying facilities ensuring seed quality and preventing moisture-related issues [3][4] Group 2: Rice Production in Fujian - In Fujian's Youxi County, 200,000 acres of medium rice are expected to yield 80,000 tons due to the adoption of new agricultural technologies and high-quality rice varieties [6][7] Group 3: Sorghum Harvest in Sichuan and Guizhou - In Sichuan's Dazhou, 65,000 acres of sorghum are being harvested with a focus on mechanization, allowing for immediate drying post-harvest [8][9] - In Guizhou's Bijie City, a new model of family farms for sorghum cultivation has been implemented, with an estimated average income increase of over 2,500 yuan per household [10][11] Group 4: Soybean Harvest in Heilongjiang - Heilongjiang's Wudalianchi City has over 3 million acres of soybeans ready for harvest, with a focus on sustainable practices and crop rotation to enhance soil fertility [12][14] Group 5: Corn Harvest in Shanxi - In Shanxi's Yicheng County, the "whole village托管" model has been adopted, leading to increased efficiency and higher corn yields through centralized management and advanced agricultural techniques [15][16]
奋力书写农业强省建设新答卷
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-09-23 23:56
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the commitment of Henan province to enhance agricultural productivity, improve rural environments, and increase farmers' incomes, aiming to achieve the goal of becoming an agricultural strong province while ensuring food security and rural revitalization [2][3]. Agricultural Efficiency - Henan's grain production has remained stable at over 130 billion jin for eight consecutive years, contributing significantly to national food security [3]. - The province has implemented the strategy of "storing grain in the ground and technology," leading to the construction of high-standard farmland covering 88.08 million acres, which is about 78% of the total arable land [4]. - By 2025, Henan plans to build and upgrade over 5 million acres of high-standard farmland, ensuring long-term benefits for grain production [4]. - The number of farmer cooperatives and family farms has reached 196,000 and 275,000 respectively, with a cultivated area of 36.65 million acres, accounting for 33.26% of the total [5]. - Henan is a major producer of oilseeds, edible fungi, and vegetables, ranking first in oilseeds and edible fungi production and second in vegetable production nationally [5]. Rural Quality Improvement - The enhancement of rural quality is crucial for Henan's transition from an agricultural province to an agricultural strong province [6]. - Infrastructure improvements have led to better living conditions, with 93.7% of rural households having access to tap water and 5G network coverage in all administrative villages [8]. - The village of Dongyue has transformed from a poor area to a prosperous one, generating an annual income of 13 million yuan from tourism [8]. - Cultural initiatives and community engagement have fostered a sense of responsibility among villagers, promoting cleanliness and neighborly harmony [9]. Farmer Income Increase - The focus on increasing farmers' income is central to the agricultural strong province initiative, with efforts to involve farmers as active participants in rural revitalization [10]. - The promotion of mushroom cultivation in Xixia County exemplifies the successful implementation of the "leading enterprises + cooperatives + farmers" model, enhancing the value of agricultural products [11]. - By 2024, the per capita disposable income of rural residents in Henan is projected to reach 21,330 yuan, a significant increase from 16,107 yuan in 2020 [11]. - Skills training programs are being implemented to help farmers adapt to modern agricultural demands, with 355,000 individuals trained in 2024 [12].
丰收中国铺展美丽画卷
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the celebration of the "Chinese Farmers' Harvest Festival," emphasizing the joy of harvest across various regions in China, showcasing traditional practices, and promoting agricultural products through various events and activities [9][11][18]. Group 1: Harvest Celebrations - The festival is marked by various local activities, including traditional farming techniques and community celebrations, such as the "打八响" (Da Ba Xiang) in Anhui and "卡农欧" (Ka Nong Ou) in Yunnan, which reflect cultural heritage and gratitude for the harvest [10][11]. - In cities like Beijing and Shanghai, events are organized to celebrate the harvest, featuring exhibitions of agricultural products, cultural performances, and interactive experiences for the public [11][12]. Group 2: Agricultural Production and Sales - The article reports on the significant agricultural production across various provinces, including rice, potatoes, and corn, indicating a successful harvest season [13][14]. - The "Golden Autumn Consumption Season" aims to promote agricultural products, with over 500 enterprises participating in trade fairs to connect producers with consumers, showcasing over 10,000 high-quality agricultural products [17][18]. - Digital platforms are being utilized to enhance the sales of local agricultural products, with Zhejiang province reporting a total sales volume of 8.95 billion yuan through its online channels [19].