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大涨!新式茶饮第六股来了,“狂欢”背后行业表现分化……
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-05-08 03:44
Core Viewpoint - The new-style tea beverage brands have been actively entering the capital market this year, with multiple listings leading to increased market interest and stock price appreciation for several brands [1][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - Six new-style tea brands have now listed on the capital market, including the recent listing of "沪上阿姨" on May 8, which saw its stock price surge over 54% [1][11]. - Prior to the listing of "蜜雪冰城" in March, the market was skeptical about new-style tea brands, but its successful debut has since boosted interest and stock prices for other brands like "古茗" and "沪上阿姨" [1][12]. - "沪上阿姨" experienced a significant pre-listing performance, with its dark market price increasing by over 60% and a subscription multiple of 3447.33 times, raising over 940 billion HKD [2][3]. Group 2: Company Expansion and Strategy - "沪上阿姨" has rapidly expanded its store network from 5,307 at the end of 2022 to a projected 9,176 by the end of 2024, primarily through a franchise model [6][8]. - The brand has strategically focused on lower-tier markets, achieving a strong market position among mid-priced tea beverage brands in these areas [9]. - The company has adapted its product offerings to meet consumer demand, transitioning from "五谷奶茶" to fresh fruit tea, which has been well-received [7][9]. Group 3: Financial Performance - "沪上阿姨" reported a slight revenue decline from 3.348 billion RMB in 2023 to 3.285 billion RMB in 2024, attributed to reduced franchise and self-operated store income [9]. - The adjusted profits for "沪上阿姨" were 154 million RMB in 2022, 416 million RMB in 2023, and 418 million RMB in 2024, with profit margins increasing from 7% to 12.7% over the same period [9]. Group 4: Industry Challenges - The competitive landscape for new-style tea brands is intense, with the total number of tea beverage stores in China reaching approximately 464,000 by the end of 2023 [18]. - The industry is facing challenges such as market saturation, declining average store GMV from 1.6 million RMB in 2023 to 1.4 million RMB in 2024, and a decrease in average transaction value [18]. - Companies like "喜茶" have recognized the unsustainable nature of current competition and are shifting strategies to focus on differentiation rather than price competition [19].
大涨!新式茶饮第六股来了,“狂欢”背后行业表现分化……
证券时报· 2025-05-08 03:35
今年以来,新式茶饮品牌密集登陆资本市场。 继2月古茗、3月蜜雪集团赴港上市,4月霸王茶姬赴美上市之后,5月8日,港股市场迎来第5家上市茶饮品牌——沪上阿姨。加上此前已在美股上市的霸王茶姬,新 式茶饮品牌已有6家登陆资本市场。 尤其值得关注的是,在蜜雪冰城上市前,资本市场对新式茶饮品牌一直不太"感冒",甚至还一度萦绕着"破发魔咒"。但随着蜜雪冰城在今年3月正式登陆港股市场, 整个新式茶饮的热度持续拉升,古茗和蜜雪冰城股价不断上涨。 而沪上阿姨仍在持续这一热度,截至证券时报记者发稿,沪上阿姨大涨超54%。 昨晚暗盘即大涨超60% 沪上阿姨的这一市场表现并不让人意外。在沪上阿姨上市前夜,其暗盘涨幅就已超过60%,富途牛牛还显示,其融资申购倍数达到3447.33倍,融资申购额超过940 亿港元。 | 富途证券 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 495.45亿 | | 辉立证券 | | 192.00亿 | | | 信诚证券 | | | | | | 77.00亿 | | | | 老虎国际 | | | | | | 73.03亿 | | | | 耀才证券 | | | | | ...
加盟率99.7% 沪上阿姨轻资产模式能否撑起上市梦?
凤凰网财经· 2025-05-04 14:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming IPO of the tea brand "Hushang Ayi" on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, highlighting its rapid expansion and market positioning in the competitive new-style tea beverage industry [2][3]. Group 1: Market Positioning and Expansion - Hushang Ayi is strategically focusing on the lower-tier markets in China, claiming a strong market position among mid-priced tea brands [3][4]. - The brand plans to expand its store network from 5,307 at the end of 2022 to 9,176 by the end of 2024, with 99.7% of these stores operated by franchisees [2][6]. - As of the end of 2024, Hushang Ayi will have stores in over 300 cities, with 4,629 located in third-tier cities and below [4][3]. Group 2: Franchise Model and Financial Performance - Hushang Ayi relies heavily on a franchise model, with 99.7% of its stores operated by franchisees, which allows for rapid expansion but poses management challenges [6][7]. - The average single-store GMV decreased from RMB 1.6 million in 2023 to RMB 1.4 million in 2024, while total revenue slightly declined by 1.9% from RMB 3.348 billion to RMB 3.285 billion [6][7]. - Franchise income accounted for 96.5% of total revenue in 2024, indicating a strong reliance on franchisee investments [7]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - The new-style tea beverage market is entering a phase of intensified competition, with brands struggling to differentiate themselves [9]. - Hushang Ayi has introduced multiple brand concepts, including "Hushang Ayi," "Hukafe," and a lighter version targeting lower-tier cities, to capture diverse consumer preferences [5][9]. - Analysts predict that 2025 will mark a critical period for the coffee and tea beverage sectors, with significant challenges ahead, but also potential growth opportunities in supply chain management and overseas expansion [8][9].
加盟率99.7% 沪上阿姨轻资产模式能否撑起上市梦?
Core Viewpoint - The new tea beverage brand "Hushang Ayi" is set to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the fifth new tea brand to list after successful IPOs of competitors like Nayuki and Mixue Ice City, with market attention focused on its performance amid previous listing challenges in the sector [1][2]. Expansion Strategy - Hushang Ayi has rapidly expanded its store network from 5,307 at the end of 2022 to an expected 9,176 by the end of 2024, with 99.7% of these stores operated by franchisees, indicating a light-asset operational model that facilitates market penetration [1][6]. - The brand strategically targets lower-tier markets, claiming a strong market position in mid-priced tea beverage stores across over 300 cities in China, with a significant number of stores located in third-tier and below cities [2][3]. Market Dynamics - The tea beverage industry is experiencing a shift towards stock competition, with Hushang Ayi aiming to capture market share through a multi-brand strategy and low-price model, particularly in underdeveloped markets [3][9]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with numerous brands lacking significant differentiation, leading to potential challenges in maintaining market share [9]. Financial Performance - Hushang Ayi's average single-store GMV decreased from RMB 1.6 million in 2023 to RMB 1.4 million in 2024, with total revenue slightly declining by 1.9% to RMB 3.285 billion, attributed to reduced income from franchise-related and self-operated stores [6][8]. - Despite the decline in average GMV, approximately 48.8% of new stores in 2024 were opened by existing franchisees, indicating a strong willingness to reinvest within the franchise system [6]. Franchise Model - The franchise model has allowed Hushang Ayi to expand rapidly, with 96.5% of its revenue coming from franchise operations, but it also poses risks related to quality control and operational oversight [6][7]. - The company mandates that franchisees source most ingredients from its centralized procurement platform, which includes a comprehensive supply chain network [7][8]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that 2025 will mark a critical juncture for the tea and coffee sectors, with increasing competition and a focus on supply chain efficiency and product differentiation becoming essential for sustainable growth [8][9]. - Hushang Ayi has begun exploring international markets, although it currently operates only one overseas store, highlighting the potential for future expansion [8].
羽衣甘蓝里的健康生意经
Xin Hua Ri Bao· 2025-05-01 10:10
Core Insights - The rise of kale as a popular ingredient in health-focused beverages reflects a shift in consumer preferences towards low-calorie and low-fat diets, driven by the trend of "light eating" and weight loss [1][2] - The price of kale has significantly increased from a few cents per pound to 3.5 yuan per pound, indicating its growing market value and demand [1] - The success of kale in the beverage market is attributed to continuous product innovation by tea brands, which have improved its taste and positioned it as a fashionable health product [2] Industry Trends - The health food market is characterized by three main trends: functional demand, scenario-based consumption, and social currency attributes [2] - The popularity of kale beverages exemplifies these trends, as tea brands have effectively addressed the taste issues associated with kale and created products that combine health benefits with trendy appeal [2] - The emergence of large-scale kale cultivation bases in regions like Shandong and Guangxi, utilizing modern greenhouse and organic farming techniques, ensures the stability of raw material quality [2] Market Dynamics - The rise of kale represents a quality revolution in China's consumer market, where consumers are increasingly seeking healthier and higher-quality lifestyles [2] - The innovation across the entire supply chain has led to the development of diverse products such as freeze-dried powder, composite fruit and vegetable juices, and snacks, enhancing product value and catering to various consumption scenarios [2] - Companies that can effectively capture and respond to these evolving consumer demands through continuous innovation are likely to gain a competitive edge in the market [2]
为何港股新消费集体「起飞」了
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-29 00:12
今年以来,部分港股新消费品牌的股价表现都取得了阶段性领先。 近日特朗普「对等关税」冲击波成为影响全球金融市场走势的主线,港股大盘亦不例外,但出乎意料地,一波新消费品牌却逆势跑出。 举例看,截至4月28日,月内新茶饮古茗涨超29%,蜜雪集团涨近16%,潮玩股泡泡玛特累计上涨23%,毛戈平微涨0.7%,黄金首饰股老铺黄金波动微 跌,表现均跑赢大盘。相比之下,期间恒指跌近5%,恒生科技指数跌7.5%。 外围不确定性陡增背景下,内需消费板块成为避险选择之一。一些新消费品牌韧性较强,更获得投资者青睐。 而在关税冲击波之前,部分新消费品牌在港股二级市场的表现就已十分瞩目。一季度,港股市场跑赢全球主要股指,而新消费板块恰是港股市场除科技股 外的另一亮眼板块。在1月中旬至3月下旬阶段高位期间,恒指、恒生科技指数累计涨幅分别为31%、45%;而恒生新消费指数涨幅达近36%、跑赢恒指, 更远超整体消费板块(恒生消费指数:+17.6%)(见图表)。 在一季度积累的涨幅叠加下,截至4月28日今年以来老铺黄金股价涨幅已超过195%,古茗、蜜雪集团较发行价累计涨幅超过140%,泡泡玛特涨112%、毛 戈平涨71%,布鲁可涨逾122%。 ...
上市一年股绩双压,茶百道该反思些什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 11:06
文|铑财研究院 充分选择,才会凸显充分价值。 随着2025年3月蜜雪冰城的上市,新茶饮四巨头终于齐聚港交所,不过各家悲欢似乎并不想通。 以蜜雪冰城为例,发行价202.5港元,上市当日不仅打破"上市即破发"魔咒,还暴涨43.21%,最终收于290港 元。此后整体震荡走强,截至2025年4月25日收于468.8港元,较发行价累增131.5%,市值1780亿港元。古茗也 不遑多让,2025年2月上市、发行价9.94港元,最新收盘价21.6港元,较发行价累涨117.3%,市值513.7亿港元。 玩味的是,相较"后浪"的耀人光芒,"前辈"奈雪的茶、茶百道股价热度逊色了不少。先说"新茶饮第一股"奈雪, 2021年6月上市发行价19.8港元,截至2025年4月25日收盘价0.97港元,较发行价几乎"脚趾斩",市值仅剩16.51亿 港元。据百度股市通,仅2025年内就累跌28.68%。 "第二股"茶百道,2024年4月23日以发行价17.5港元登陆港交所,上市首日即破发,收于12.41港元,较发行价跌 29.09%。此后整体呈震荡下行态势,截至2025年4月25日股价收于8.38港元,较发行价累跌超30%,市值仅剩 123. ...
港股“爱喝茶”!又将诞生一家IPO
近日,新式茶饮品牌沪上阿姨正式通过港交所聆讯,即将登陆港股。沪上阿姨也是继奈雪的茶、茶百 道、古茗、蜜雪冰城后,港股市场上的第5家新式茶饮品牌。 值得注意的是,此前新式茶饮品牌一直有着上市就破发的"魔咒",但随着蜜雪冰城的上市,"魔咒"已不 存在,同时古茗和蜜雪冰城的股价表现都极为抢眼。 因此,沪上阿姨本次的上市表现也备受市场关注。 | | | | 截至12月31日 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2022年 | | 2023年 | | 2024年 | | | 加盟店 . | 5,244 | 98.8% | 7,756 | 99.6% | 9,152 | 99.7% | | 自營店 | 63 | 1.2% | 33 | 0.4% | 24 | 0.3% | | 總計 | 5,307 | 100.0% | 7,789 | 100.0% | 9,176 | 100.0% | 同时,沪上阿姨战略性聚焦于下沉市场,按门店总数计算,沪上阿姨在中国下沉市场的中价现制茶饮店 品牌中拥有强大市场地位。 不过,新式茶饮品牌的竞争之激烈,同样让市场咋 ...
玩场景扮演?茉酸奶首个“牧场奶仓”店型开业
东京烘焙职业人· 2025-04-26 01:35
以下文章来源于茶咖观察 ,作者李彦 茶咖观察 . 壹览商业旗下茶饮咖啡行业研究机构 导读: 茉酸 奶又 又 又 推 子 品 牌 了 。 木鱼 丨 编辑 茶咖观察 丨 出品 茉酸奶又推子品牌了。 2 0 2 5 年 4 月 1 8 日,茉酸奶在上海徐家汇日月光中心广场开设了其首家"牧场奶仓"门店, 新门店采用"谷仓"设计风格,营造出"城市中心牧场"的氛围。 从门店设计看,牧场奶仓的空间设计与茉酸奶此前主打的绿色系装修风格有明显区隔,整体 转向更为温润的原木色调。 门店大量采用谷物与原生态元素进行陈设,例如裸麦束、草编器具等,并在显眼位置摆放了 牛油果等新鲜水果,营造出农场采摘的现场感。价格信息则不再使用标准灯箱,而是以手写 黑板的形式展示,带有轻松、生活化的笔触。 店内设置了开放式厨房,顾客可以看到店员现场切水果、搅拌酸奶的全过程,强调手作、可 见与新鲜的价值观。整个空间氛围更像是一处慢节奏的酸奶工作坊,而非传统饮品店。 茶咖观察发现, "牧场奶仓"在产品方面进行了丰富和创新,茉酸奶本身主打的酸奶奶昔产品 依然在线,除此之外,还新增了酸奶贝果、现制冷萃酸奶、轻酸奶系列等多款零售产品。 李彦 丨 作者 烘焙系列涵 ...
沪上阿姨,申请上市!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-24 07:10
Core Viewpoint - The company "沪上阿姨" has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after opening 7,297 stores in 10 years, becoming the fourth largest fresh tea beverage network in China [1][4]. Company Summary - "沪上阿姨" is preparing for an IPO, following other fresh tea brands like "茶百道" and "古茗控股" [3]. - As of September 30, 2023, the company has 7,297 stores, with 99.3% (7,245 stores) operated by franchisees [4]. - The company reported a profit of 324 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 12.8% [4][5]. - The company has expanded rapidly since its first store opened in 2013, initially selling grain milk tea and later introducing fresh fruit tea in 2019 [4]. - "沪上阿姨" operates under three brands: "沪上阿姨," "沪咖," and "轻享版," offering a variety of healthy beverages made from quality ingredients [4]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 2.535 billion yuan for the first nine months, compared to 1.645 billion yuan in the same period of 2022, marking a significant growth [5]. - The gross profit for the first nine months of 2023 was 790 million yuan, up from 433 million yuan in 2022 [5]. - The company completed a Series B financing round of 230 million yuan in July 2023 and a Series C round of 121.5 million yuan in February 2024 [5]. Industry Overview - The new tea beverage market in China reached a scale of 103.8 billion yuan in 2022, with a growth rate of 3.49% year-on-year [6]. - The market is expected to exceed 200 billion yuan by 2025, indicating significant growth potential [6]. - The number of new tea beverage stores in China has increased to approximately 515,000 as of August 2023, a growth of over 36% since the end of 2020 [7]. - The beverage industry is influenced by consumer spending power, with stable GDP growth and rising disposable income providing a favorable environment for market expansion [7].