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金属行业 2026 年度策略系列报告之能源金属篇:柳暗花明,迈向新周期
Group 1 - The report indicates that 2025 was a year of recovery for energy metals, with lithium, cobalt, and nickel entering an upward cycle after a period of bottoming out [9][15][17] - The lithium sector is expected to see a significant increase in demand driven by energy storage, with projections for global lithium supply reaching 215.9 million tons in 2026, with a growth rate of 26% [25][29] - Cobalt supply is anticipated to tighten due to the implementation of a quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a projected shortage of 3.6 million tons in 2026 [26][12] Group 2 - Nickel prices are expected to stabilize as Indonesia tightens its nickel ore export quotas, with a focus on maintaining high-grade nickel resources [27][12] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Zangge Mining, Zhongmin Resources, and Yongxing Materials in the lithium sector, and Liqin Resources and Huayou Cobalt in the nickel-cobalt sector [12][28] - The overall industry outlook for 2026 is positive, with expectations of a comprehensive price increase across energy metals due to supply constraints and rising demand [12][11]
天齐锂业跌2.05%,成交额27.37亿元,主力资金净流出2.38亿元
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2026-01-14 05:03
天齐锂业所属申万行业为:有色金属-能源金属-锂。所属概念板块包括:锂电池、盐湖提锂、MSCI中 国、大盘、新材料等。 截至9月30日,天齐锂业股东户数31.01万,较上期增加14.52%;人均流通股4759股,较上期减少 12.68%。2025年1月-9月,天齐锂业实现营业收入73.97亿元,同比减少26.50%;归母净利润1.80亿元, 同比增长103.16%。 分红方面,天齐锂业A股上市后累计派现78.68亿元。近三年,累计派现71.37亿元。 1月14日,天齐锂业盘中下跌2.05%,截至13:01,报61.08元/股,成交27.37亿元,换手率2.98%,总市值 1002.44亿元。 资金流向方面,主力资金净流出2.38亿元,特大单买入3.36亿元,占比12.28%,卖出4.43亿元,占比 16.17%;大单买入6.71亿元,占比24.53%,卖出8.03亿元,占比29.33%。 天齐锂业今年以来股价涨10.29%,近5个交易日涨3.11%,近20日涨21.17%,近60日涨34.27%。 资料显示,天齐锂业股份有限公司位于四川省成都市天府新区红梁西一街166号,香港铜锣湾勿地臣街1 号时代广场2座31 ...
【机构策略】本轮行情有望持续推进
(文章来源:证券时报网) 中原证券认为,周二,A股市场震荡整理。盘中医疗器械、游戏、能源金属以及电网设备等行业表现较 好;航天航空、通信设备、船舶制造以及半导体等行业表现较弱,进入1月份以来,市场交投再度活 跃,两融余额同步攀升,增量资金入场迹象明确,为行情延续提供支撑。国内无风险收益率持续下行, 居民存款向权益市场"搬家"的趋势为市场提供了充裕的流动性环境。人民币资产吸引力增强,共同推升 了市场风险偏好。2025年12月CPI同比涨幅微幅扩大,显示内需出现边际改善迹象。在量能有效放大、 政策预期积极、产业催化不断的背景下,预计本轮行情有望持续推进。建议投资者密切关注宏观经济数 据、海外流动性变化以及政策动向。 华龙证券认为,周二,A股市场震荡调整。盘面上,AI应用概念逆势上涨,AI医疗概念反复活跃,电网 设备概念午后走强;商业航天、可控核聚变等板块跌幅居前。上证指数结束17连阳,指数和主线板块目 前看不到顶部结构,暂且认为是分歧。分歧代表着需要等方向选择而不是主观猜测,目前大盘在5日均 线之上,暂时不用过度担心。但分歧考验聚焦能力,需要去弱留强。 财信证券认为,周二,A股大盘表现较弱,三大指数全线收跌,主要 ...
主力板块资金流出前10:能源金属流出13.65亿元、风电设备流出10.86亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-14 04:03
Group 1 - The main market saw a net inflow of 19.18 billion yuan as of January 14 [1] - The top ten sectors with the largest capital outflows included Energy Metals (-1.365 billion yuan), Wind Power Equipment (-1.086 billion yuan), and Communication Equipment (-0.983 billion yuan) [1] - The banking sector experienced a capital outflow of 0.721 billion yuan, while the healthcare services sector saw an outflow of 0.628 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The Energy Metals sector had a slight decline of 0.13% with a net outflow of 1.365 billion yuan, led by the company Greenmei [2] - The Wind Power Equipment sector increased by 1.61% but still faced a net outflow of 1.086 billion yuan, with major outflow attributed to Daikin Heavy Industries [2] - The Communication Equipment sector rose by 4.01% despite a net outflow of 0.983 billion yuan, primarily driven by Galaxy Electronics [2][3]
剑指4200点!沪指午盘收涨1.2%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-14 03:57
北京商报讯(记者 马换换 王蔓蕾)1月14日,A股三大股指开盘集体震荡走高,上证综指剑指4200点。 盘面上,MLOps概念、Kimi概念、拼多多概念等板块涨幅居前,仅银行、保险、航空机场、能源金属 四大板块飘绿。 截至当日午间收盘,上证综指、深证成指、创业板指分别收涨1.2%、1.98%、2.24%,分别报4188.24 点、14449.57点、3396.35点。 ...
ETF盘中资讯|美国CPI意外“爆冷”,美联储降息预期升温!有色ETF华宝(159876)拉升2.4%创新高,近10日连续吸金3.87亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-14 02:16
Market Trends - The MACD indicator has shown a golden cross, indicating a bullish trend with short-term market buying power dominating, and no significant reduction in price increase momentum [1] - The Huabao ETF (159876) has seen a net subscription of 40.2 million units, accumulating a total of 387 million yuan over the past 10 days [1] Industry Performance - The U.S. December CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year, with the core CPI increasing by 2.6%, leading to increased bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [3] - Following the CPI data, the probability of a rate cut in April rose to 42%, up from 38% before the data release [3] Metal Prices Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve's rate cuts will boost the prices of non-ferrous metals due to three main factors: a shift towards holding physical assets, a weaker dollar making metals cheaper, and lower borrowing costs for companies [3] - Citic Futures predicts a dovish monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, likely leading to gradual rate cuts, which will create a favorable environment for the non-ferrous market [4] Investment Opportunities - The Huabao ETF and its linked funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's beta performance [5] - Key stocks in the non-ferrous sector have shown significant gains, with Hunan Silver leading at 6.43%, followed by Huaxi Nonferrous and Xiyang Co. with over 5% increases [6]
美国政府批准向中国出口英伟达H200芯片;五部门出手规范网络招聘秩序丨盘前情报
Market Overview - On January 13, major indices in China experienced collective adjustments, with the Shenzhen Component Index falling over 1% and the ChiNext Index dropping nearly 2%. The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.64%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.37%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.96%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.65 trillion yuan, an increase of 49.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - In the U.S. stock market, the three major indices also declined on January 13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 398.21 points to close at 49,191.99, a decrease of 0.80%. The S&P 500 Index dropped by 13.53 points to 6,963.74, down 0.19%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 24.03 points to 23,709.87, a decline of 0.10% [1] Sector Performance - In the Chinese market, over 3,700 stocks declined, with the AI application concept sector rising against the trend, seeing over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit up. The AI medical concept remained active, while the power grid equipment sector strengthened in the afternoon. The retail sector also showed active performance. Conversely, the commercial aerospace and controllable nuclear fusion sectors experienced significant declines [1] - In the U.S., the performance of major indices reflected a general downward trend, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1] Commodity Prices - International oil prices rose on January 13. The price of light crude oil futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange increased by $1.65 to $61.15 per barrel, a rise of 2.77%. The March delivery Brent crude oil futures price rose by $1.60 to $65.47 per barrel, an increase of 2.51% [2] Policy and Regulatory Updates - The Ministry of Commerce of China announced the continuation of anti-dumping duties on imported solar-grade polysilicon from the U.S. and South Korea, effective from January 14, 2026, for a period of five years [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued an action plan for the high-quality development of industrial internet platforms from 2026 to 2028, aiming for significant progress in platform development and resource connectivity by 2028 [3][4] Company-Specific Developments - The approval of NVIDIA to export its H200 AI chips to China is expected to restart shipments to Chinese customers. This decision will be overseen by the U.S. Department of Commerce, which will also impose a fee of approximately 25% on the related transactions [7]
第一根阴线 | 谈股论金
水皮More· 2026-01-13 09:56
Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index ending a 17-day rally, closing down 0.64% at 4138.76 points, the Shenzhen Component down 1.37% at 14169.40 points, and the ChiNext Index down 1.96% at 3321.89 points [2][4] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 36.991 trillion, an increase of 541 billion from the previous day, marking a historical high [2] Market Dynamics - The market saw a significant divergence after a rapid rise to around 4200 points, which is considered a normal phenomenon [3] - The recent consistent upward trend led to a highly uniform market expectation, making a trend reversal likely when consensus is reached [4] - The financial sector, including major banks and oil companies, provided support to the market, mitigating further declines in the Shanghai Composite Index [4][7] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector, previously very active, saw a full retreat due to mixed performance among stocks and many companies reporting losses [5] - The AI application sector also exhibited significant divergence, with some stocks like Yidian Tianxia seeing a peak increase of 20% before closing at a 10% gain, while others performed poorly [5][6] - Precious metals and energy metals sectors showed resilience with notable rebounds, while the healthcare sector remained strong across various subfields [6] Capital Flow - There was a significant outflow of capital from the market, with a net outflow of 180 billion, affecting stocks like Goldwind Technology and Aerospace Electronic [5][6] - The market did not experience panic selling despite the adjustments, attributed to the financial sector's protective measures [7]
收盘市值锁定万亿!“有色茅”股价历史新高,“万亿俱乐部”扩容,这一方向占比近半
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-13 09:53
智通财经1月13日讯(编辑 梓隆),今日(1月13日),有色金属龙头股紫金矿业再度拉升,收盘涨幅 近2.63%,盘中股价一度冲至38.90元,创历史新高。同时,其全天成交额118.81亿元,较昨日继续放 量,同时也已连续3个交易日成交额维持在百亿规模。 融资余额持续新高,万亿俱乐部添一员 自去年年末以来,紫金矿业股价持续走高,截至今日收盘,其近20个交易日累计共上涨近21%。受连日 攀升提振,紫金矿业的市值规模不断上升,以收盘数据统计,其今日首次站上万亿市值关口,总市值 (证监会算法)达10044亿元,成为"万亿俱乐部"中的一员。其中,紫金矿业A股市值近7878亿元,在 整个A股市场中位居第十位。 注 1:紫金矿业总市值规模变动情况(截至1月13日收盘) 注2:总市值以证监会算法统计(A股股本*A股股价+其他市场股本*其他市场股价*汇率) 以资金面层面统计,紫金矿业近期持续获融资客加仓。截至1月12日数据,其目前融资余额已达91.59亿 元,不仅为首次突破90亿元关口,同时也创历史新高,其年内累计获增持近10.24亿元,增幅近12.6%。 其中,融资客在12月29日(2025年)、1月7日、1月12日大举增持 ...
市场分析:游戏医疗行业领涨,A股小幅震荡
Zhongyuan Securities· 2026-01-13 09:09
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "stronger than the market," indicating an expected relative increase of over 10% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [15]. Core Insights - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with a notable performance in sectors such as medical devices, gaming, energy metals, and electric grid equipment, while aerospace, communication equipment, shipbuilding, and semiconductors lagged behind [2][3]. - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are 17.02 times and 53.91 times, respectively, which are above the median levels of the past three years, suggesting a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [3][14]. - The trading volume on January 13 reached 36,991 billion, indicating a robust trading activity, which is above the median trading volume of the past three years [3][14]. - There is a clear trend of capital moving from savings to equity markets, supported by a declining risk-free interest rate, enhancing the attractiveness of RMB assets and boosting market risk appetite [3][14]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight increase in December 2025, indicating marginal improvements in domestic demand [3][14]. - The report suggests a dual investment strategy focusing on both technological innovation and the recovery of traditional industries, with a positive outlook for the Shanghai Composite Index to maintain a slight upward trend [3][14]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview - On January 13, the A-share market faced resistance after an initial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index encountering resistance around 4,179 points, leading to a day of slight fluctuations [7]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,138.76 points, down 0.64%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14,169.40 points, down 1.37% [8][9]. - Over 60% of stocks in the two markets declined, with sectors like precious metals, medical services, and biopharmaceuticals showing gains, while aerospace and semiconductor sectors faced declines [7][9]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report anticipates that the current market rally may continue, with a recommendation for investors to focus on sectors such as medical devices, gaming, energy metals, and electric grid equipment for short-term investment opportunities [3][14].