证券代码：600661 证券简称：昂立教育 编号：临 2025-021 上海新南洋昂立教育科技股份有限公司 关于 2025 年半年度业绩预盈的公告 公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： ? 经初步测算，上海新南洋昂立教育科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润约 280 万元，实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除 非经常性损益后的净利润约-140 万元。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 （二）业绩预告情况 经财务部门初步测算，预计 2025 年半年度实现营业收入约 63,000 万元，与上年 同期相比，将同比增长 11.42%；预计 2025 年半年度净利润实现扭亏为盈，实现归属 于上市公司股东的净利润约 280 万元，预计实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性 损益的净利润约-140 万元，将同比减亏约 1,577.54 万元。 二、上年同期经营业绩和财务状况 （一）归属于上市公司股东的净利润：-1,712.41 万元。归属于上市公司股东的 扣除非经常性损益的净利 ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Education will continue to open a hotline for college student financial aid in the summer of 2025, particularly for economically disadvantaged new students [1] - Beijing's education commission announced that the enrollment volunteer application period for high school students will be from July 13 to July 17, 2025, with a strict deadline for submission [2] - Beijing's cultural and tourism bureau introduced 10 summer study-themed travel routes, promoting exclusive discounts for students at over 120 cultural and tourism venues [3] - 43 campus museums from 22 universities in Beijing will be open to the public during the summer, providing educational activities for middle and primary school students [4] Group 2 - Beijing Normal University announced three representative achievements in the field of artificial intelligence empowering basic education during a forum [5] Group 3 - ST Dongshi's actual controller, Xu Xiong, was sentenced to six years and six months in prison for manipulating the securities market, along with a fine of 170 million yuan [6] - Dou Shen Education was fined 2.3 million yuan for failing to timely disclose multiple litigation matters, as per the administrative penalty decision from the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau [7]

Group 1 - The company is a leading education training provider in South China, established in 1997 and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2018, focusing on comprehensive growth services for children [1][2] - The company has seen significant growth in net profit, with a projected year-on-year increase of 108.99% and 74.21% for 2023 and 2024 respectively, driven by a strategic shift towards quality education [1] - The K12 education market in Guangdong is expected to grow, with a projected CAGR of 5% for Guangzhou and 7% for Shenzhen from 2025 to 2030, reaching market sizes of 202 billion and 279 billion respectively by 2030 [1] Group 2 - The company has a strong reputation in the education sector, with a summer course renewal rate of nearly 80% in Guangzhou, leveraging its "strong Chinese language" advantage post "double reduction" policy [2] - The introduction of AI programming courses aligns with national trends in education, contributing to the company's competitive edge and expansion opportunities in the Greater Bay Area [2] - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio to 60% and 70% in 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting strong cash flow and enhancing investor confidence [2] Group 3 - Revenue projections for the company are 1.995 billion, 2.381 billion, and 2.811 billion for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 81.0%, 19.3%, and 18.1% respectively [3] - The net profit forecast for the same period is 325 million, 382 million, and 446 million, with growth rates of 68.9%, 17.6%, and 16.8% [3] - The company is currently undervalued with a target price of 6.89 HKD per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 15 for 2025, indicating a potential upside of approximately 26.9% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the overwhelming pressure faced by a high school graduate in choosing a college major, highlighting the conflict between external expectations and personal interests [5][9]. Group 1: External Influences - The student experiences a barrage of opinions from parents, relatives, and a hired counselor, leading to confusion and anxiety about the decision-making process [1][5]. - Parents emphasize the importance of choosing a major based on job market trends and stability, while relatives suggest traditional and popular fields [2][3]. Group 2: Internal Conflict - The student struggles with identifying personal interests and fears making a choice that may lead to dissatisfaction in the future [4][6]. - There is a realization that past decisions were often made to meet others' expectations rather than personal desires, leading to a sense of lost identity [4][9]. Group 3: Decision-Making Strategies - The article suggests exercises to help the student reconnect with their true interests by reflecting on past enjoyable activities and potential career paths without external pressures [5][6]. - It emphasizes the importance of viewing career choices as flexible, allowing for exploration and adjustment rather than a one-time decision [8][9]. Group 4: Communication and Responsibility - The article encourages open communication with parents about the pressure felt from their expectations and the need for personal agency in decision-making [9]. - It highlights the significance of taking responsibility for one's choices, suggesting that true growth comes from navigating discomfort and asserting one's own path [9].

Core Viewpoint - Valuation modeling is an essential skill in the financial industry, applicable across various fields such as primary equity, private placements, and secondary markets like IPOs and mergers and acquisitions [1] Group 1: Issues in Current Valuation Modeling - The existing valuation modeling systems in the market face several practical issues, including: - Logical issues where data presentation is overly complex, making it difficult for company leaders to understand [2] - Problems with the selection and combination of valuation methods, leading to significantly different results from methods like DCF, PE, PB, EV/EBITDA, and others [2] - Deficiencies in assumptions used in DCF calculations, often based on arbitrary reasoning rather than solid evidence [2] Group 2: Training Program Details - A training program titled "DCF Cash Flow Discounting - Rapid Skill Building Guide" will be held on July 19-20, 2025, in Shanghai, organized by Wutong Classroom in collaboration with M&A Academy [2] - The program aims to address the key challenges affecting valuation judgment and decision-making communication [2] Group 3: Instructors' Background - The instructors have extensive experience in industry research and investment, covering various sectors: - Instructor Liu has 10 years of industry research and investment experience, specializing in cash flow discount valuation modeling [7] - Instructor Yu is familiar with valuation methods for innovative drugs and vaccines, having provided training for multiple institutions [7] - Instructor Xue has experience in cyclical and consumer industries, focusing on profit estimation and price-volume decomposition [8] Group 4: Course Structure and Content - The course will cover several modules, including: - Valuation issues and frameworks, including valuation laws and profit forecasting [13][14] - Practical exercises in DCF valuation modeling, including the underlying principles and preparation for modeling [15][18] - Building revenue forecasting tables and case studies using various methods such as market share and comprehensive methods [21][22] - Special valuation methods like EV/EBITDA and NAV, along with practical issues in valuation [24][22] Group 5: Course Outcomes - Participants will gain skills in tracking economic conditions, understanding capital market information pricing mechanisms, and applying safety margin thinking in valuation [28]

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of "AI Smart Study Rooms" has been noted, with over 4,000 such establishments registered in the past year, utilizing intelligent learning systems alongside offline supervision and management services [1] Group 1: Business Model and Operations - AI Smart Study Rooms typically require students to undergo an online test before using the provided learning machines for study, covering educational content from elementary to high school [2][4] - The pricing for services varies, with packages ranging from 100 yuan per session to 18,800 yuan per year, often including a learning machine valued at 5,780 yuan [4][11] - The cost of acquiring the learning machines is approximately 1,500 yuan each, with operators having the flexibility to set their own pricing [5] Group 2: Educational Effectiveness and Parental Feedback - Parents have mixed opinions on the effectiveness of AI Smart Study Rooms, with some reporting improvements in their children's academic performance while others express concerns about the lack of direct teacher interaction [6][10] - The reliance on technology for learning, primarily through repetitive exercises, raises questions about the development of students' independent learning abilities [7] Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Current regulations do not classify AI Smart Study Rooms as formal academic training institutions, allowing them to operate in a gray area of educational services [7][9] - Previous incidents of regulatory scrutiny have highlighted concerns over these establishments potentially engaging in disguised academic training, prompting calls for clearer guidelines [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing issues related to prepaid consumption in various sectors, highlighting the need for regulatory measures to protect consumer rights and ensure a fair market environment [1][3][5]. Group 1: Regulatory Actions - Chengdu's relevant departments, including the Education Bureau and Health Commission, are set to implement action plans to address the issues in prepaid consumption, aiming to establish a long-term regulatory mechanism [1][5]. - A new platform called "Chengdu Prepaid Protection" will be launched to build trust between consumers and businesses, facilitating better oversight of prepaid funds [1][7]. Group 2: Consumer Protection Measures - The Supreme People's Court has issued legal guidelines for handling prepaid consumption disputes, effective from May 1, to provide clarity for consumers and businesses [5]. - The Chengdu government will introduce specific measures targeting various sectors, including education and fitness, to promote sustainable industry development and protect consumer interests [5][9]. Group 3: Market Regulation Strategies - The initiative will involve multiple strategies, including the establishment of a comprehensive service platform for prepaid consumption, enhancing contract regulation, and improving dispute resolution channels [7][9]. - Regular monitoring and early warning systems will be implemented to detect potential risks in the market, along with increased exposure of non-compliant businesses [9].

Core Viewpoint - Dou Xin, the chairman of Dou Shen Education, presents contrasting images to different groups, with parents seeing him as a charismatic educator and investors questioning the company's stability amid legal and financial troubles [1][3] Group 1: Company Performance and Financials - Dou Shen Education's stock price has fluctuated significantly since its transition from the telecommunications sector to education, with a 30% decline from its peak of 13.50 yuan in November 2022 [3] - The company reported net losses of 2.567 billion yuan, 592 million yuan, and 687 million yuan from 2020 to 2022, with total liabilities exceeding 2.6 billion yuan and an asset-liability ratio of 129.7% by 2023 [10] - Following a bankruptcy restructuring in 2023, the company issued 1.198 billion shares at a ratio of 10 shares for 13.8 shares, raising 1.1 billion yuan to alleviate debt [10] Group 2: Regulatory Issues and Governance - On June 27, 2025, Dou Shen Education received a fine of 2.3 million yuan from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for failing to disclose multiple lawsuits and significant omissions in its semi-annual report [4] - Dou Xin was fined 1.1 million yuan and warned for his lack of diligence as the responsible supervisor during the violations [4] Group 3: Consumer Trust and Market Perception - In 2025, complaints against Dou Shen Education surged on the Black Cat Complaints platform, with issues related to refund disputes and false advertising becoming prevalent [7] - The company's AI transformation efforts have been met with skepticism, as AI-related revenue accounted for only 3.6% of total income in 2024, while traditional training and live e-commerce remained the main revenue sources [11] Group 4: Strategic Direction and Challenges - Dou Xin has positioned AI as the core direction for transformation, yet the company's AI products have faced criticism for lacking functionality and accuracy compared to competitors [11] - The company aims to expand its educational offerings beyond language arts, but the success of this strategy remains uncertain amid competition from both traditional education institutions and AI tech firms [12]

Core Insights - The financial performance of Xueda Education shows significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 863.7 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.46%, and net profit attributable to shareholders rising to 73.77 million yuan, up 47.00% [3][4] Financial Overview - As of 2024, Xueda Education reported total assets of 3.828 billion yuan and total liabilities of 3.026 billion yuan, resulting in a high debt-to-asset ratio of 79.05% [4] - The company's debt ratio is among the highest in the A-share listed education companies, only surpassed by *ST Kaiyuan, Angli Education, and Zhonggong Education [4] Management Compensation - The founder and chairman, Jin Xin, experienced significant fluctuations in salary over recent years, with compensation dropping to 406,900 yuan in 2022 but rebounding to 2.567 million yuan in 2024, an increase of 893,000 yuan from the previous year [3] - In 2024, Jin Xin received the highest salary among disclosed executives, surpassing the vice president's compensation by 1.7452 million yuan [3] Investment Activities - Xueda Education has significantly increased its investment in financial products, with the amount rising from 2.5165 million yuan to 106 million yuan by year-end 2024, indicating a healthy cash position and lack of financial distress [4]

Core Viewpoint - The "Beijing Action Plan for Deepening Reform and Boosting Consumption" aims to meet new educational training demands through various initiatives and partnerships [1] Group 1: Educational Initiatives - The plan emphasizes the establishment of diverse and personalized educational services, utilizing venues like youth activity centers and organizing short-term camps [1] - A third-party selection and review mechanism will be implemented to support high-quality after-school services in schools [1] - Higher education institutions are encouraged to open educational resources to the public via platforms like the National Higher Education Smart Education Platform [1] Group 2: International Collaboration - The plan aims to strengthen the "Study in Beijing" brand and support high-level Sino-foreign cooperative education projects [1] - It promotes the establishment of international summer schools and other branded projects by universities [1] - Vocational schools are encouraged to collaborate with renowned foreign enterprises to build training bases and cultivate talent [1]