Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) faces short-term resistance at 25,735 points, with limited corporate profit improvement and a lack of strong economic stimulus from mainland China [2] - The market remains active with a positive risk appetite, as capital rotates among different sectors [2] - The U.S. and China have agreed to extend the 90-day tariff truce, easing trade tensions [2] Sector Focus - Key market focus includes the U.S. MBA mortgage application index, Germany's July CPI, and earnings reports from Tencent, JD.com, Lenovo, and Cheung Kong [3] - The People's Bank of China has introduced a loan interest subsidy scheme for the service industry, with a maximum loan amount of 1 million yuan [7] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has intervened in the currency market, buying over 7 billion HKD to defend the currency peg [7] Corporate News - Galaxy Entertainment reported a mid-term dividend that exceeded expectations, but adjusted EBITDA fell short [4] - Tencent Music's adjusted profit increased by 37% in Q2, surpassing expectations, with total revenue rising by 17.91% [9] - Meituan is expanding its overseas delivery platform Keeta to Middle Eastern cities [9] - China Unicom's half-year profit rose by 5%, meeting expectations, with total revenue increasing by 1.45% [9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. July CPI rose by 2.7%, lower than expected, while core CPI increased by 3.1%, higher than anticipated [7] - The U.S. budget deficit for July increased to 291 billion USD, with customs tariff revenue reaching a record high [8] - OPEC has raised its global oil demand forecast for next year, indicating a tightening market outlook [8]

Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares of 高偉電子 (1415) at a current price of 29.86 HKD, with a short-term target price of 34.10 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 17.6% [7][9] - The company is expected to enter the rear camera module business in the second half of 2024, which is anticipated to drive revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, potentially leading to an earnings surprise [9] - The management's outlook on products in the smart driving and robotics sectors is also seen as a potential catalyst for growth [9] Valuation Insights - The current price corresponds to a forecasted P/E ratio of 17.6x for FY25E and 13.3x for FY26E, with FY26E valuation being 30% lower than the 5-year average [9] - The market expects a compound annual growth rate of 29.8% in revenue and 38.6% in net profit from FY24 to FY27E [9] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index has shown resilience, recovering above the 10-day and 20-day moving averages, closing at 25,081 points with a trading volume of 245.7 billion HKD [5] - The report notes that the overall market sentiment remains positive, with active trading across different sectors despite limited improvement in corporate earnings [5][6] Macro Focus - China's exports in July increased by 7.2%, surpassing expectations, although exports to the U.S. fell by 21.7%, indicating potential challenges ahead [10] - The People's Bank of China is expected to continue implementing liquidity measures to maintain a stable financial environment, including a recent 700 billion RMB reverse repurchase operation [10] Industry Developments - The report highlights the upcoming World Robot Conference and the anticipated launch of Apple's iPhone 17, which may impact the mobile device sector [6] - Companies like 中芯 (0981) and 華虹 (1347) have reported mixed earnings, with 中芯's quarterly profit down by 19.5% and 華虹's profit growth falling short of expectations [11]

Group 1 - The report highlights that the US ISM services index fell to 50.1 in July, indicating a near stagnation in the services sector [9][11] - The report notes that the US trade deficit narrowed to $60.2 billion in June, the lowest level in 2023, with imports decreasing by 3.7% and exports dropping by 0.5% [11] - AMD reported adjusted earnings of $899 million for Q2, which fell short of expectations, although the company anticipates AI revenue to reach at least several billion dollars for the year [11][24] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July was reported at 49.2, indicating a continued deterioration in the business environment, although the rate of decline has slowed [13] - The Chinese services PMI rose to 52.6 in July, the highest in 14 months, surpassing expectations [13] - China Tower's net profit for the first half of the year increased by 8% to 5.8 billion yuan, with revenue rising by 2.8% to 49.6 billion yuan [13] Group 3 - Lenovo is positioned to benefit from a wave of corporate upgrades as Windows 10 support ends in October 2025, with IDC forecasting a 4.3% increase in commercial PC shipments [21] - Alibaba's Hema retail platform is shutting down its membership store business, indicating a strategic shift to focus on its core operations [13] - The report recommends buying shares of Lenovo at a target price of $12.72, citing its leading market share in AI PCs [21]

Key Points - The report highlights a significant surge in Apple's stock price, which has positively influenced the US stock market, particularly the technology sector [8][10] - Approximately 80% of S&P 500 companies exceeded market expectations in terms of EPS and revenue, driven mainly by strong earnings in the financial and communication services sectors [8][10] - The report notes an increase in US Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield rising by 10.2 basis points to 4.298% [8][10] - The report suggests a diversified credit bond strategy to manage interest rate and inflation volatility, with an average maturity of 5 to 8 years [8] - A multi-factor alpha model, sector rotation model, and event-driven model are recommended for stock selection [8] - The report recommends bullish structured products targeting strong stocks like Apple and Nvidia to capture short-term gains [8] Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 81 points or 0.18%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq increased by 0.73% and 1.21%, respectively [10] - The report indicates that the US economy shows signs of slowing down, with traders increasing bets on potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [10] - President Trump signed an executive order imposing a 25% additional tariff on goods from India, raising the total tariff rate to 50% [10] - The report mentions that Apple has committed to investing $100 billion in US manufacturing over the next four years, increasing its total investment to $600 billion [10] Company Focus - XPeng Motors reported a record delivery of 36,717 vehicles in July 2025, a year-on-year increase of 229%, indicating a strong growth trajectory [20] - Nine consecutive months of deliveries exceeding 30,000 units suggest a clear turning point in profitability and valuation recovery for XPeng Motors [20] - Nine Holdings' Q2 2025 results showed a revenue increase of 2.5% in the footwear manufacturing sector, with a shipment volume growth of 4.1% [20] - The report highlights that Vobile Group is a leader in digital content copyright protection and monetization, with expectations of AI-related revenue reaching tens of millions of dollars by 2025 [20] Economic Data - China's exports for July are estimated to grow at an annual rate of 5.6%, while imports are expected to decline by 1% [18] - The trade balance for China in July is projected at $104.8 billion, with foreign exchange reserves at $3.281 trillion [18] - In the US, the non-farm productivity for Q2 is estimated to increase by 2%, with initial jobless claims for the week ending August 2 expected at 222,000 [18]

Market Performance - Hang Seng Index fell by 403 points, or 1.6%, closing at 24,773 points[1] - Shanghai Composite Index dropped by 42 points, or 1.18%, closing at 3,573 points[2] - S&P 500 decreased by 23 points, or 0.4%, closing at 6,339 points, marking the third consecutive day of decline[2] Currency and Economic Indicators - Hong Kong Monetary Authority bought HKD 39.25 billion during New York session due to a weak HKD[1] - People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation of CNY 283.2 billion at a steady rate of 1.4%[2] - July's official manufacturing PMI in China fell to 49.3, below expectations[2] Real Estate and Corporate Performance - Top 100 real estate companies in China reported total sales of CNY 2.07 trillion in the first seven months, a year-on-year decline of 13.3%[4] - Internet and related services companies in China generated revenue of CNY 961.3 billion in H1, a year-on-year growth of 3.1%[4] - Sinopec expects H1 2025 net profit to be between CNY 20.1 billion and CNY 21.6 billion, a year-on-year decline of 39.5% to 43.7%[6] Automotive Sector - XPeng Motors delivered 36,717 smart electric vehicles in July, a year-on-year increase of 229%[7] - Cumulative deliveries exceeded 800,000 units as of July, with a total of 233,906 units delivered in the first seven months, marking a 270% year-on-year growth[7]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces short-term resistance at 25,735 points, with limited corporate profit improvement and a lack of strong economic stimulus from mainland China [2] - Active trading in the Hong Kong market indicates a relatively positive risk appetite, with capital rotating among different sectors [2] - The U.S. and China have initiated a new round of trade negotiations, agreeing to extend the 90-day tariff truce reached in mid-May [2] Macro Focus - China's official manufacturing PMI for July decreased to 49.3, falling short of expectations and indicating contraction for four consecutive months [11] - Hong Kong's GDP for Q2 is estimated to grow by 3.1%, surpassing expectations, while retail sales growth in June was below expectations at 0.7% [12] - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in July, with expectations of two rate cuts this year, totaling 0.5 percentage points [6] Company News - Tencent Holdings (0700) is leveraging gaming as a key driver for breakthroughs in AI technology [5] - Prosus has initiated a reduction of its stake in Meituan (3690), cashing out nearly 2 billion yuan in the past two weeks [5] - XPeng Motors (9868) reported a 2.3-fold increase in July deliveries, setting a new monthly record [5] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (0386) issued a profit warning, expecting a drop of at least 40% in first-half earnings [5] Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,773, down 1.6%, with a year-to-date increase of 23.5% [7] - The average daily trading volume in Hong Kong's stock market increased by 82% year-on-year, reaching 2,402 billion [12] - The number of new IPOs in Hong Kong surged, with 42 new listings raising a total of 107.1 billion, a sevenfold increase compared to the previous year [12]

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows a mixed sentiment with bullish investors expecting a rebound and bearish investors anticipating a drop to the 24,900 heavy load area [1] - Technical analysis indicates a primary buy signal for HSI, with a resistance level at 25,748 and a suggested recovery price for bearish options at 25,688, which is close to the resistance level [1] - For China Petroleum (00857.HK), a strong buy signal is noted, with the first resistance level at 8.18, indicating potential for further upward movement [3] Group 2: Individual Stock Analysis - China Resources Beer (00291.HK) is showing a buy signal with a closing price of 27.25, and resistance at 28.1, suggesting potential for a rebound [6] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) has a buy signal with 14 buy and 5 sell signals, and a resistance level at 560, with support levels at 529 and 510 for potential low-price entry [9] - Meituan-W (03690.HK) has a short-term buy signal with a closing price of 127.4, and support levels at 122.1 and 116.1 [11] - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) is on a strong upward trend with a buy signal, resistance levels at 24.6 and 27, both below the 30 mark [13]

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive market sentiment following the trade agreement between the US and EU, contributing to new record highs in US stock indices [9][11] - The report notes that while US stock indices are reaching new highs, there are warnings from Goldman Sachs about accumulating short-term risks in the market [11] - The report discusses the ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China, emphasizing the importance of outcomes for market stability [11][14] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed up by 173 points (0.7%), while the Hang Seng Tech Index recorded three consecutive declines [14] - The report indicates that Hong Kong's exports have increased for 16 consecutive months, with June's export value reaching HKD 417.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.9% [14] - The report mentions that the MSCI China Index's 12-month target has been raised from 85 to 90 points, indicating an 11% upside potential [14] Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying Kowloon Warehouse Holdings (1997) due to its stable cash flow from core assets in Hong Kong [22] - It suggests that AIA Group (1299) is benefiting from increased demand from mainland visitors and local market recovery, with a notable growth in new business value [22] - Prologis, Inc. (PLD) is highlighted as a leading industrial logistics REIT with a market capitalization exceeding USD 100 billion [24] Economic Data - The report outlines key economic data releases, including US wholesale and retail inventory figures for June, and the FHFA House Price Index for May [21] - It notes that the US Treasury Department estimates a debt issuance of USD 1.007 trillion for the third quarter, an increase of USD 453 billion from previous estimates [11]

（股份代號：6676） 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 本公告僅供參考，並不構成收購、購買或認購本公司證券之邀請或要約。 ZG Group 找鋼產業互聯集團 （於開曼群島註冊成立以不同投票權控制的有限公司，以ZGW之名稱於香港進行業務） 本公司計劃與圓幣集團合作推動區塊鏈及穩定幣技術在國際貿易中的應用。 合作重點將側重於探索基於智能合約的結算、數字貿易融資及供應鏈追蹤， 以提高透明度、降低信用成本及提高跨境貿易效率。此外，其將採用合規的 穩定幣作為結算工具，以降低交易成本及提高流動性，並由圓幣集團提供技 術支持、兌換服務及合規保障。 1 （權證代號：2572） 澄清公告 茲提述找鋼產業互聯集團（「本公司」）於2025年7月28日發表的公告（「該公告」）。 該公告中使用的定義詞語在本公告中具有相同含義。 本公司謹此澄清如下： (i) 「關於圓幣集團」部分應修訂如下： 圓幣創新科技有限公司，RD Holdings的全資子公司，為首批納入香 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is perceived by bullish investors as entering a slow bull market, with all stocks reaching new highs, targeting levels between 25,700 and 26,000 [1] - Bearish investors anticipate a short-term correction to fill the gap below, with a recovery price of 25,900 for overnight bear certificates [1] - Technical analysis indicates a high of 25,735 points, with 15 buy signals and 4 sell signals, suggesting a bullish trend [1] Group 2 - Meituan (03690.HK) is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band at 134.6 HKD, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 137.7 HKD and 147.6 HKD [3] - The closing price is 134 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 178.98 HKD, indicating a potentially high entry point for investors [3] - Investors are advised to consider options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with high exercise prices [3] Group 3 - Pop Mart (09992.HK) shows a weak recent trend, with a closing price near the middle Bollinger Band at 255.8 HKD and a buy signal, though not a strong buy [5] - Resistance levels are identified at 263 HKD and 273 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 225 HKD providing a defensive position for investors [5] - Investors are encouraged to compare the terms of options when selecting products to manage risk effectively [5] Group 4 - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is viewed positively with a strong buy signal, facing a resistance level at 31.1 HKD and 33.3 HKD [8] - Investors are optimistic about the stock's potential to break through the 30 HKD level, with a target price of 46 HKD [8] Group 5 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is under observation for its structural stability, with a target price of 40.6 HKD [11] - The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal, indicating positive sentiment among investors [11] Group 6 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is experiencing a slight downward trend, with the stock price near the upper Bollinger Band at 38.99 HKD [14] - The stock maintains an overall upward trend with 14 buy signals and 6 sell signals, suggesting cautious optimism [14] - Resistance levels are set at 41.7 HKD and 47.3 HKD, while support levels are at 33.7 HKD and 29.9 HKD for put options [14]