Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to lead to significant improvements in the fundamentals of the real estate chain. Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, Weixing New Materials, and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary stocks include Beixin Building Materials [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has issued a special action plan for energy conservation and carbon reduction in the cement industry, aiming to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, with a target of reducing comprehensive energy consumption per unit product by 3.7% compared to 2020 [3] - The "equal tariff" policy is expected to benefit fiberglass leaders with overseas production bases, allowing them to raise prices and consolidate profitability [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index rose by 3.34% in the week from July 7 to July 11, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.52 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index increased by 6.41%, while the construction materials index rose by 6.60%, indicating a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index increased by 15.62%, and the construction materials index rose by 15.80%, also showing a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 11, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 282.89 CNY/ton, a decrease of 3.48% month-on-month. The clinker inventory ratio was 65.89%, down 2.29 percentage points [6][23][24] - The price of cement varied by region, with notable declines in Northeast (-4.76%), North China (-2.33%), East China (-2.98%), South China (-5.74%), Central China (-3.41%), and Southwest (-4.93%) regions [23][29] Glass Sector - The average price of float glass as of July 11, 2025, was 1205.63 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.17%. The average price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 116.02 CNY/weight box [6][71][78] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 970,000 weight boxes nationwide, a decline of 1.66% [73][74] Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4100 CNY/ton, with flexible pricing based on regional differences [6] Consumer Building Materials - As of July 11, 2025, the price of crude oil was 70.63 USD/barrel, down 0.39% week-on-week. The price of asphalt was 4570 CNY/ton, up 1.11% week-on-week [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the construction materials sector, with specific buy and hold recommendations for various companies [9][12]. Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector has shown resilience, with a 3.50% increase in the sector index from June 30 to July 4, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 2.33% [12]. - The central government's focus on stabilizing the real estate market and promoting high-quality development is expected to positively impact demand for construction materials [2][12]. - The cement industry is experiencing a supply-side reform, with increased efforts to reduce overcapacity and stabilize prices [2][3]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of July 4, 2025, the national cement price index is 350.38 CNY/ton, down 1.32% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.76 million tons, also down 1.67% [3][17]. - The construction sector remains a key demand driver for cement, but short-term growth is constrained by weather and funding issues [17]. - The report highlights a significant year-on-year decline of 26.01% in cement output for housing construction, indicating a challenging market environment [6][17]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1201.02 CNY/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.13% from the previous week, while inventory levels have decreased slightly [33]. - Demand remains under pressure, and the report anticipates challenges in maintaining sales momentum due to high production capacity and ongoing order shortages [33][34]. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is experiencing stable pricing, with no significant changes in supply or demand noted in the short term [7]. - The report indicates that demand for wind power fiberglass is relatively strong, providing some support to the market [7]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment is benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with a recommendation to focus on companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials [2][9]. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market is seeing a gradual recovery in downstream demand, with production costs remaining high and profit margins under pressure [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The ongoing "anti-involution" initiative is expected to improve the fundamentals of the construction materials industry, with a focus on enhancing product quality and phasing out outdated production capacity [3] - The report highlights specific companies to watch, including SanKeTree, Dongfang Yuhong, Weixing New Materials, and Jianlang Hardware, as well as beneficiaries like Beixin Building Materials [3] - The cement sector is projected to benefit from energy-saving and carbon reduction initiatives, with a target to control cement clinker capacity to around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025 [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index increased by 3.96% in the week from June 30 to July 4, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.42 percentage points [4][13] - Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index rose by 8.01%, while the construction materials index only increased by 2.47%, indicating a lag of 5.55 percentage points [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index has risen by 16.06%, compared to an 11.69% increase in the construction materials index, resulting in a 4.38 percentage point underperformance [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 4, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement was 293.11 RMB/ton, reflecting a 1.97% decrease from the previous period [6][24] - The clinker inventory ratio nationwide was 68.18%, down by 1.18 percentage points [6][25] - Regional price variations were noted, with the Northeast region remaining stable, while other regions like North China and Southwest saw declines of 4.13% and 6.58%, respectively [6][24] Glass Sector - The average price of float glass was 1201.35 RMB/ton as of July 4, 2025, showing a slight increase of 0.07% [6][74] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 1.17%, with a total of 58.31 million weight boxes reported [6][76] - The price of photovoltaic glass fell by 3.88%, with an average price of 116.02 RMB/weight box [6][81] Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4100 RMB/ton, with variations based on specific product types [6] - The fiberglass sector is expected to benefit from favorable tariffs for companies with overseas production bases [3] Consumer Building Materials - The report indicates that raw material prices for consumer building materials have remained relatively stable with slight fluctuations [6][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector is experiencing a demand season that is not significantly weak, supported by delayed renovations in the second-hand housing market [2] - The glass market is facing a contradiction between supply and demand, with a continuous decline in demand expected post-2025, although there has been marginal improvement since March [2] - The cement industry is in a phase of seeking a bottom, with increased off-peak production efforts by companies, leading to fluctuating prices around unprofitable levels [2] - The fiberglass market has shown signs of bottoming out, with price wars ending and prices beginning to recover, particularly in the wind power sector [2] - Carbon fiber demand is slowly recovering, with growth expected in downstream sectors such as wind power and hydrogen bottles [2] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of June 20, 2025, the national cement price index is 362.67 yuan/ton, down 0.21% from the previous week, with a total cement output of 2.781 million tons, a decrease of 2.88% [3][16] - The cement market is currently in a phase of "weak reality" and "weak expectations," with potential for weak recovery by the end of Q3 if policies are strengthened or the rainy season ends [16] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1209.75 yuan/ton, down 1.64% from the previous week, with inventory levels increasing [32] - The market is expected to experience short-term price fluctuations downward, with ongoing challenges in meeting demand during the seasonal downturn [32] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali roving has shown a stable decline, with demand for high-end products like wind power yarn performing relatively well [6] - The overall price of fiberglass is expected to maintain a weak and stable trend in the short term [6] Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market price remains stable, with a weekly production of 1781 tons and an operating rate of 60.13% [7] - The industry continues to face losses, with a production cost of 106,500 yuan/ton and a negative gross margin [7] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include Beixin Building Materials (Buy), Weixing New Materials (Overweight), and China Jushi (Buy) with respective EPS forecasts for 2024A to 2027E [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The real estate market is showing marginal improvement, with a continued loose policy from both central and local governments. In May, the overall real estate market remained stable, with some indicators showing marginal improvement. Housing prices are experiencing a complex trend of "month-on-month decline, year-on-year decline narrowing." Data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates that the sales prices of commercial and second-hand residential properties in various cities are declining month-on-month but showing a narrowing year-on-year decline. First-tier cities have relatively stable housing prices, with the lowest year-on-year decline in both commercial and second-hand residential prices. The inventory of real estate is slowly decreasing, particularly in first-tier and core second-tier cities, indicating a potential balance in supply and demand in the real estate market [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials index fell by 1.42% in the week from June 16 to June 20, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.97 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index has decreased by 2.18%, while the building materials index has dropped by 6.84%, underperforming by 4.66 percentage points. In the past year, the CSI 300 index has risen by 10.04%, while the building materials index has only increased by 1.99%, underperforming by 8.05 percentage points [4][13][19]. Cement Sector - As of June 20, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 296.97 yuan/ton, a month-on-month decrease of 2.55%. The price trends varied by region, with Northeast China down by 3.01%, North China down by 0.69%, East China down by 3.93%, South China down by 4.12%, Central China down by 0.33%, Southwest China down by 5.66%, and Northwest China remaining unchanged [6][24][25]. Glass Sector - As of June 20, 2025, the spot price of float glass was 1199.00 yuan/ton, down by 19.00 yuan/ton or 1.56% month-on-month. The average price of photovoltaic glass was 125.00 yuan/weight box, down by 2.30 yuan/weight box or 1.81% month-on-month [6][72][79]. Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn is reported at 3400-4100 yuan/ton, with various other fiberglass products showing stable pricing trends. The market for non-alkali fiberglass is generally stable, with average prices holding steady across different product categories [6][15][17]. Consumer Building Materials - As of June 20, 2025, the price of crude oil was 78.40 USD/barrel, showing a week-on-week increase of 6.19%. The price of asphalt remained stable at 4290 yuan/ton, while acrylic acid was priced at 6750 yuan/ton, with a year-to-date decrease of 13.46% [6][19].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6][67] Core Views - The report highlights that the downward trend in cement and glass prices continues, while urban renewal initiatives are actively promoted. The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development reported that 5,679 old urban residential areas were newly started for renovation from January to April, with over 50% opening rates in six regions [2][11] - Central government financial support for urban renewal is expected to exceed 20 billion yuan, with various local governments implementing measures to stimulate real estate market demand [2][11] - Short-term factors include the emphasis on stabilizing the real estate market amid growth pressures and the gradual alleviation of risks associated with major real estate companies, which is beneficial for the building materials sector [2][11] - Long-term factors suggest that the opening of the interest rate reduction channel in Europe and the US may provide more room for monetary and fiscal policies in China, with expectations for policies to stabilize real estate transactions and prices [2][11] Summary by Sections Recent High-Frequency Data - As of June 6, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement in China is 372.6 yuan/ton, down 0.6% week-on-week and down 4.6% year-on-year [3][12] - The average factory price of glass (5.00mm) is 1,205.7 yuan/ton, down 2.0% week-on-week and down 27.3% year-on-year [3][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines for investment: 1. High-quality companies benefiting from stock renovation, such as Weixing New Materials, Beixin Building Materials, and Tubao [4] 2. Undervalued stocks with long-term alpha attributes, such as Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, and Jianlang Hardware [4] 3. Leading cyclical building materials companies with bottoming fundamentals, such as Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, China Jushi, and Qibin Group [4] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1.82%. The building materials index increased by 0.63% [3][55] - Sub-sectors showed varied performance, with fiberglass manufacturing up by 2.08% and cement manufacturing down by 0.97% [3][55]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies such as Beixin Building Materials, Pona, and China Jushi, while recommending "Hold" for Weixing New Materials [8]. Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to experience a "not-so-weak" off-season despite the traditional seasonal downturn, with a slight increase in demand for certain materials [1][2]. - Government debt issuance has increased, which may alleviate fiscal pressure and accelerate municipal engineering projects, benefiting companies like Longquan Co., Qinglong Pipe Industry, and China Liansu [2]. - The glass market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, with a marginal improvement in demand since March 2025, but overall demand is expected to decline post-2025 [2][3]. - The cement industry is still in a demand bottoming process, with companies increasing production cuts to stabilize prices [2][15]. - The fiberglass market shows signs of recovery, particularly in wind power applications, while electronic fiberglass demand remains strong [2][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - From June 3 to June 6, 2025, the construction materials sector (SW) rose by 0.63%, with cement up 0.38%, glass manufacturing up 1.01%, fiberglass up 2.07%, and renovation materials up 0.24% [1][11]. - The net capital inflow for the construction materials sector was -159 million yuan during this period [1]. 2. Cement Industry Tracking - As of June 6, 2025, the national cement price index was 358.88 yuan/ton, down 0.51% from the previous week, with a total cement output of 3.157 million tons, a decrease of 9.81% [15]. - The cement market is characterized by weak demand in infrastructure and residential construction, with a utilization rate of 61.01% for cement clinker production [15][27]. 3. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass was 1250.27 yuan/ton, down 1.63% from the previous week, with inventory levels increasing significantly [3][32]. - The demand for glass is expected to remain weak in June, with prices likely to fluctuate downward [3][34]. 4. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is witnessing a stabilization in prices, with demand from wind power applications supporting growth [2][7]. - The price of non-alkali fiberglass is expected to stabilize, while electronic fiberglass prices remain steady [6][7]. 5. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market is stable, with production rates at 60.69% and a slight increase in inventory levels [7]. - The demand for carbon fiber is anticipated to grow, particularly in wind energy and hydrogen storage applications [7]. 6. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials recommended for investment [2][8].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the real estate market is gradually stabilizing, supported by policies aimed at boosting housing demand and improving purchasing power. This is expected to enhance the overall market sentiment and reduce credit risks for companies in the construction materials sector [5][12] - Short-term pressures for growth have led to renewed emphasis on stabilizing the real estate sector, while medium to long-term monetary and fiscal policy adjustments are anticipated to further support the market [12] - The report highlights that the construction materials sector has limited room for further deterioration compared to the end of 2022, with expectations for both fundamental recovery and valuation improvement [5] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - As of Q1 2025, the balance of real estate loans in RMB reached 53.54 trillion, with a year-on-year increase of 0.04%. Personal housing loans decreased by 0.8% year-on-year, but the growth rate improved by 0.5 percentage points compared to the end of the previous year [12] - Various local governments have introduced measures to stimulate housing consumption and support the real estate market, including tax adjustments and incentives for home purchases [12] 2. Weekly High-Frequency Data - The average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement nationwide is 375 RMB/ton, down 0.6% week-on-week and down 5.7% year-on-year [3][13] - The factory price of glass (5.00mm) is 1230 RMB/ton, down 0.3% week-on-week and down 25.9% year-on-year [3][22] 3. Sector Review - The construction materials index increased by 0.18% this week, while the overall market indices saw slight declines [4][54] - Among sub-sectors, other building materials and cement products showed positive performance, while cement manufacturing and glass manufacturing experienced slight declines [4][54] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from inventory upgrades, undervalued stocks with long-term potential, and leading cyclical building material companies showing signs of bottoming out [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the importance of urban renewal actions initiated by the government, emphasizing the need for existing building renovations and infrastructure improvements, with significant progress expected by 2030 [3][13] - Short-term factors include the pressure for stable growth, the emphasis on stabilizing the real estate market, and the gradual alleviation of risks associated with major real estate companies, which is beneficial for the building materials sector [3][13] - Long-term perspectives suggest that the opening of the interest rate reduction channel in Europe and the U.S. will provide more room for monetary and fiscal policies in China, with expectations for policies to stabilize the real estate market and improve housing loan conditions [3][13] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The report discusses various local government initiatives aimed at improving housing quality and supporting home purchases, including policies in Shenzhen, Nanjing, Wuhan, and other cities [3][13] - The report notes a 28.7% year-on-year increase in residential transactions in Shenzhen in April, indicating a potential recovery in the housing market [3][13] High-Frequency Data - As of May 16, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement in China is 386.2 CNY/ton, showing a 0.8% decrease from the previous week but a 10.2% increase year-on-year [4][14] - The average price of glass (5.00mm) is 1260.0 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.8% decrease from the previous week and a 25.6% decrease year-on-year [4][21] Sector Review - The report indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.76%, while the building materials sector index fell by 0.24% [5][53] - Among sub-sectors, fiberglass manufacturing saw a 3.07% increase, while cement manufacturing experienced a 1.21% decline [5][53] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from stock renovations, undervalued stocks with long-term potential, and leading cyclical building material companies showing signs of bottoming out [6][68]

Industry Overview - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from domestic demand policies aimed at stabilizing the economy, with a focus on post-completion projects and renovation of second-hand homes [1] - As of April 30, the overall PB (Price to Book) for the construction materials sector is at 1.0x, indicating a historical low valuation, while the PE (Price to Earnings) for various segments shows significant differences [1] - In Q1 2025, the transaction volume of second-hand homes in 20 major cities reached 521,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 26.88%, indicating a resilient real estate market [1] Cement Sector - The cement market is experiencing a weak recovery in demand, with a projected year-on-year decline of 1.4% in Q1 2025 production, but municipal infrastructure is providing some support [2] - Central government policies promoting production optimization and price maintenance have improved the profitability of cement companies, with gross and net profit margins expected to rise in 2024 [2] - The overall average price of cement is anticipated to continue its upward trend in 2025, leading to a potential recovery in industry profits [2] Glass Sector - Demand for glass remains resilient, primarily driven by the progress in housing completion projects, although prices are under pressure due to overall weak demand [3] - Seasonal demand is expected to strengthen in the second half of the year, with fewer production lines expected to resume operations, leading to a more stable industry environment [3] - The recommendation for investment focuses on companies like Qibin Group, which are expected to see a reversal in profitability and valuation [3] Consumer Building Materials - Retail business is becoming a key growth driver, with leading companies accelerating their retail development in response to the renovation cycle of second-hand and existing homes [4] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with leading companies increasing their market share, particularly in the waterproofing materials sector [4] - The consumer building materials sector is currently undervalued, with a low allocation in public fund holdings, suggesting potential for growth [4] Glass Fiber Sector - The glass fiber industry is seeing a recovery in prices due to improved demand from wind energy and consumer electronics, with the average price reaching 3,812.5 yuan/ton as of April 18, 2025 [5] - Inventory levels have decreased, indicating a tightening supply-demand balance, which is favorable for long-term industry growth [5] - Leading companies in the glass fiber sector are expected to benefit from valuation and profit recovery opportunities [5]