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开源证券-建筑材料行业周报:政策继续推动行业供给转型,积极布局建材机会-251012
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-12 14:11
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 玻璃纤维:截至10月10日,无碱2400tex直接纱报3400-4000元/吨(个别厂报价较高),无碱2400texSMC纱 报4400-5000元/吨,无碱2400tex喷射纱报5400-6500元/吨,无碱2400tex毡用合股纱报4400-5300元/吨, 无碱2400tex板材纱报4600-5300元/吨,无碱2000tex热塑直接纱(普通级)报4100-4400元/吨。不同区域价 格或有差异,实际成交存灵活空间。 (来源:研报虎) 消费建材:截至2025年10月10日,原油价格为65.05美元/桶,周环比下跌3.59%,较2025年年初下跌 15.22%,同比下跌16.52%;沥青价格为4570元/吨,周环比持平,较2025年年初上涨2.93%,同比上涨 4.58%;丙烯酸价格为6500元/吨,周环比下跌1.14%,较2025年年初下跌16.67%,同比上涨0.78%;钛 白粉价格为13000元/吨,周环比下跌0.38%,较2025年年初下跌9.09%,同比下跌14.19%。 政策继续推动行业供给转型,积极布局建材机会 近日, ...
行业周报:政策继续推动行业供给转型,积极布局建材机会-20251012
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-12 13:42
建筑材料 2025 年 10 月 12 日 政策继续推动行业供给转型,积极布局建材机会 ——行业周报 近日,住建部明确将深化建筑业改革,以工业化、数字化、绿色化为发展路 径,系统打造"中国建造"升级版。此次改革旨在推动建筑业从传统粗放模式 向精细化、智能化转型,核心举措包括大力发展装配式建筑等新型建造方式, 加快建筑机器人等智能建造技术在工程中的应用,并全面推广绿色建材、绿色 建造和绿色建筑。通过这一系列改革,最终目标是推动整个行业实现高质量发 展,全面提升"中国建造"的品质、效率和可持续性。此次以"三化"为核心 的行业深刻变革,将为绿色建材、智能建造等细分领域打开新的增长空间,建 材板块的长期投资价值日益凸显。消费建材板块推荐:三棵树(渠道下沉,零 售扩张)、东方雨虹(防水龙头,经营结构优化)、伟星新材(经营优质,零 售业务占比高)、坚朗五金;受益标的:北新建材(石膏板龙头,多元化扩张 涂料、防水板块业务)等。国家发展改革委等部门印发《水泥行业节能降碳专 项行动计划》要求到 2025 年底,水泥熟料产能控制在 18 亿吨左右,能效标杆 水平以上产能占比达到 30%,能效基准水平以下产能完成技术改造或淘汰,水 ...
建材行业稳增长方案出炉,哪些期货品种将受益? | 观策论市
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-10-03 23:31
随着工业和信息化等部门密集发布有色金属、石化化工、建材等重点行业的稳增长工作方案,一场以"数字化转型+绿色化突 围"为核心的产业变革正加速落地。此轮稳增长方案的本质是,将政策红利精准注入"新质生产力"的毛细血管。本微信公众号特 推出"观策论市"报道,聚焦政策锚点,结合相关产业形势,剖析未来的结构性机会。 编者按: 近日,工业和信息化部等部门联合印发了《建材行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》(下称《方案》),对建材行业发展 提出了新要求。 具体来看,《方案》聚焦建材行业高质量发展,提出"推动绿色建材、先进无机非金属材料发展,并严禁新增水泥、平板玻璃产 能"。 胡鹏介绍,《方案》并未对产能退出做强制性要求,预计玻璃行业出清仍以市场化为主。目前,河北、湖北等地正推动区域内 玻璃企业降低能耗,要求企业的燃料系统从传统的煤炭、石油焦转向煤制气和天然气。若后期这些工作取得积极进展,部分小 产线和落后产能有望出清,玻璃行业平均成本或小幅抬升。不过,预计行业产能出清较为有限,明年浮法玻璃在产日熔量或在 16万吨附近波动。 对纯碱而言,魏朝明表示,纯碱期货标准交割品重碱主要应用于浮法玻璃和光伏玻璃,两者产能规模受政策 ...
建筑材料:建材稳增长方案出台,多地发布好房子标准
Huafu Securities· 2025-09-30 08:47
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [7][56] Core Insights - The "Building Materials Industry Stabilization Work Plan (2025-2026)" was jointly released by six departments, aiming for green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2026, prohibiting new cement and glass production capacity, and promoting the application of green building materials through government procurement [2][10] - The real estate market is expected to stabilize due to various supportive policies, including interest rate cuts and tax reductions, which are anticipated to enhance home buying willingness and ability [2][5] - The construction materials sector is likely to benefit from supply-side reforms and a potential turning point in the production capacity cycle, with expectations of improved demand in the real estate market [2][5] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies in stabilizing the real estate market, including the promotion of "good materials supporting good houses" and local housing support policies [2][10] - The report notes that from January to August, 21,700 old residential communities were newly started or renovated, accounting for 87% of the annual plan [2][10] - The report highlights that the PPI has been in negative growth for 33 consecutive months, indicating a need for supply-side reforms, which could benefit the building materials sector [2][10] Recent High-Frequency Data - As of September 26, 2025, the average market price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement was 348.3 yuan/ton, showing a month-on-month increase of 1.0% but a year-on-year decrease of 8.0% [3][11] - The average ex-factory price of glass (5.00mm) was 1,235.7 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 5.7% and a year-on-year increase of 8.3% [3][16] Sector Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21%, while the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.08%. The building materials index decreased by 2.11% [4][47] - Among sub-sectors, glass manufacturing saw a slight increase of 0.42%, while cement manufacturing experienced a decline of 2.77% [4][47] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines for investment: high-quality companies benefiting from stock renovation, undervalued stocks with long-term alpha attributes, and leading cyclical building materials companies showing signs of bottoming out [5][50]
建材行业稳增长工作方案发布,以质量效益为中心严禁新增产能:建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报(9月20日-9月26日)-20250929
EBSCN· 2025-09-29 10:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-metallic building materials sector and an "Overweight" rating for the construction and engineering sector [5]. Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments issued the "Building Materials Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", focusing on quality and efficiency while prohibiting new capacity [2][3]. - The new plan emphasizes the need for coordinated efforts on both supply and demand sides, aiming to enhance profitability levels effectively [3]. - The plan sets a specific target for 2026, aiming for green building material revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Background - The new plan is introduced against a backdrop of weak market demand and prominent structural issues in the building materials industry, contrasting with the previous plan which was released during the early recovery phase post-pandemic [2]. Overall Requirements - The current plan focuses on quality and efficiency, integrating technological and industrial innovation, and emphasizes strict control over new capacity while promoting traditional material upgrades and advanced inorganic non-metallic materials [2][3]. Main Goals - Unlike the previous plan, which set specific growth targets for industrial added value, the current plan does not set total industry targets but emphasizes improving profitability and achieving specific revenue goals for green materials [2]. Key Measures - The new plan prioritizes strengthening industry management and promoting the survival of the fittest, with a focus on strict capacity control in cement and glass production [2][3]. - It outlines specific development directions for advanced materials, including advanced glass, artificial crystals, and high-performance fibers, while promoting pilot platform construction and application verification [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the new materials sector such as China Jushi, Guoen Co., Puyang Huicheng, Keda Manufacturing, Hongrun Construction, and Jiemai Technology, as well as companies in the infrastructure and real estate chain like China State Construction, Oriental Yuhong, and Anhui Conch Cement [4].
房地产行业第39周周报:本周新房二手房成交同比成交均转弱,上海“好房子”标准细则正式落地-20250929
Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - The new housing transaction volume has shown a mixed trend, with new housing sales area increasing month-on-month but declining year-on-year, while second-hand housing transactions have improved slightly [3][6] - The Shanghai "Good House" standard has been implemented, which is expected to enhance the quality of new housing products and improve living experiences for buyers [3] - The overall market remains under pressure due to declining prices, rising inventory, and weak consumer confidence, despite some signs of recovery in transaction volumes [7] Summary by Sections 1. Key City New Housing Market, Second-hand Housing Market, and Inventory Tracking - In the week of September 20-26, new housing transaction volume in 40 cities was 21,000 units, a month-on-month increase of 11.6% but a year-on-year decrease of 9.0% [16][18] - The new housing sales area was 2.299 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 23.0% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.7% [25][17] - The inventory of new housing in 12 cities was 11,434 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 0.7% and a year-on-year decrease of 12.7% [41][47] 2. Land Market Tracking - The total land transaction area across 100 cities was 1,761.6 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 57.2% and a year-on-year increase of 41.8% [61][67] - The total land transaction price was 44.71 billion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 210.7% and a year-on-year increase of 43.5% [63][67] - The average land price was 2,538.2 yuan per square meter, with a month-on-month increase of 97.6% and a year-on-year increase of 1.2% [62][67] 3. Policy Overview - The report highlights the implementation of new policies aimed at improving housing quality and stabilizing the real estate market, particularly in major cities like Shanghai [3][4] 4. Company Performance Review - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable fundamentals and high market share in core cities, as well as those that have shown significant breakthroughs in sales and land acquisition since 2024 [7]
新行业稳增长工作方案着眼新需求,聚焦供给端优化 | 投研报告
Core Insights - The newly released "Construction Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" emphasizes digitalization, greening, and high standards, while weakening the focus on investment compared to the previous plan [3][4][6]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The new plan is issued by six departments, excluding the National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Finance, and Ministry of Commerce, while including the Ministry of Water Resources and Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs [3][4]. - The section on "expanding effective investment and promoting industry transformation" has been moved to the third part of the plan, indicating a shift in focus [3][4]. Group 2: Supply-Side Optimization - The plan prioritizes the elimination of outdated production capacity, particularly in cement and glass, and aims to control capacity transfers to key pollution areas [4]. - It proposes to enhance effective supply capabilities by developing advanced inorganic non-metallic materials and supporting local pilot projects for key materials [4]. Group 3: Demand-Side Expansion - The plan introduces new green consumption demands and emphasizes the integration of high-end materials, including promoting diamond composite sheets in oil extraction and advanced ceramics in high-end medical equipment [5]. - It marks a significant shift towards the application of new materials, indicating a transition from traditional real estate demand to high-quality development [5]. Group 4: International Cooperation - The plan focuses on enhancing overseas engineering contracting services and promoting the export of construction materials, technology, and standards [6]. - It aims to leverage China's technological advantages in construction equipment to support the development of countries along the "Belt and Road" initiative [6]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - The plan aligns with China's new economic development direction, addressing traditional overcapacity while emphasizing the need for intelligent and green industry practices [6][7]. - Companies in the construction materials sector should focus on the elimination of outdated capacity and the growth potential from new materials and high-tech applications [7].
恒信证券|马可波罗披露招股书拟于近期在深市发行新股并上市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 11:22
Key Points - Marco Polo has filed a prospectus to issue new shares and list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, attracting significant market attention as a well-known building materials company [1][10] - The new share issuance is seen as an important financing channel and a strategic development milestone for the company [1] Group 1: Key Information from the Prospectus - Marco Polo plans to raise funds primarily for capacity expansion, product structure optimization, and working capital supplementation [3] - The exact scale of the issuance has not been finalized, but it is expected to be a highlight in the Shenzhen market if successfully executed [4] Group 2: Industry Background - The building materials industry is closely linked to macroeconomic conditions and the real estate market, exhibiting significant cyclicality [5] - Recent strict regulations in the domestic real estate market have slowed industry growth, posing challenges for traditional building materials companies [5] - However, new market opportunities are emerging, and Marco Polo could leverage capital market resources for transformation and upgrade, potentially gaining a competitive edge [5] Group 3: Use of Raised Funds and Strategic Direction - The funds raised will focus on several key areas, indicating a shift from traditional building materials to a "green + intelligent + branding" approach [6] - Specific initiatives include expanding production capacity with smart production lines, increasing R&D in green building materials, optimizing channel layouts, and enhancing liquidity for daily operations [8] Group 4: Impact on Market and Investors - The listing will provide Marco Polo with a broader financing platform, helping to lower capital costs and optimize capital structure while enhancing brand credibility [8] - If successful in the capital market, Marco Polo could set a precedent for the domestic building materials industry, potentially increasing industry concentration [8] - Investors are particularly focused on the sustainability of the company's profit model, industry cyclicality risks, and the reasonableness of new share pricing [8] Group 5: Future Outlook - Marco Polo has a strong foundation in the tile and building materials sector, and if it can capitalize on the listing opportunity for product innovation and channel upgrades, its growth potential remains promising [9] - Accelerating efforts in green building materials, smart manufacturing, and international market expansion could further enhance market share and profitability [9]
冠通期货早盘速递-20250925
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-09-25 10:20
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - China announces new climate targets, aiming to reduce greenhouse gas net emissions by 7% - 10% from the peak by 2035, increase non - fossil energy consumption to over 30%, and achieve other goals [2] - Six departments jointly issue a work plan for the building materials industry, targeting green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan in 2026 [2] - The US and the EU finalize a tariff agreement, with a 15% tariff on EU cars and parts from August 1st and some EU products on the tariff exemption list from September 1st [2] - Zhengshang Institute and Shangqi Institute adjust trading margin standards and price limit ranges for multiple futures contracts from September 29th [3] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Hot News - China's new climate targets include reducing greenhouse gas emissions, increasing non - fossil energy use, and more by 2035 [2] - The building materials industry work plan aims to boost green building materials revenue and control traditional capacity [2] - The US - EU tariff agreement involves tariffs and exemptions on various products [2] - Futures exchanges adjust trading margins and price limits for multiple contracts [3] Key Focus - Focus on commodities such as urea, Shanghai copper, polysilicon, crude oil, and PP [4] Night - session Performance - Different commodity futures sectors show various night - session performance, with precious metals up 33.25%, non - metallic building materials up 2.66%, etc. [4] Plate Holdings - The chart shows the changes in commodity futures plate holdings in the past five days [5] Major Asset Performance - Different asset classes have different daily, monthly, and annual returns. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index has a daily increase of 0.83%, an annual increase of 14.97%, etc. [7] Main Commodity Trends - The report presents the trends of major commodities through various charts, including the BDI index, WTI crude oil, London spot gold, etc. [9]
建材行业迎政策利好,东方雨虹转型与出海打开成长空间
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the issuance of the "Building Materials Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by six departments, aimed at promoting stable operation and structural optimization in the building materials industry, with a focus on technological innovation and green building materials [1] - The company, Oriental Yuhong, is responding to new industry opportunities through a dual strategy of channel transformation and overseas expansion [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, Oriental Yuhong achieved operating revenue of 13.57 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 560 million yuan, with a significant quarter-on-quarter improvement in the second quarter, where net profit reached 370 million yuan, a 93.4% increase [3] - The company has successfully transformed from a direct sales model focused on large real estate clients to a channel model primarily based on retail and engineering channels, with these channels contributing 11.406 billion yuan, accounting for 84.1% of total revenue, an increase of 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company’s period expense ratio improved to 17.06%, a decrease of 1.54 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective cost control, while net cash inflow from operating activities improved by 932 million yuan compared to the same period last year [3] Group 3 - Oriental Yuhong is accelerating its internationalization strategy, with overseas business revenue growing by 42.16% year-on-year to 576 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [4] - The company has established a global integrated service system covering research, production, supply, sales, and service, with ongoing developments in production bases in Houston, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, and Canada [4] - Recent progress includes the successful trial production of the Malaysian production and logistics base and the commencement of construction for the Canadian and Middle Eastern production bases [4] Group 4 - The company is also expanding its overseas market presence through acquisitions, such as the purchase of Hong Kong Wanchang Wujin, Kangbao Company, and Chile's Construmart S.A., which helps in quickly acquiring local channel resources [6] - The green building materials industry is expected to receive significant policy support, with a target of exceeding 300 billion yuan in revenue by 2026, providing growth opportunities for Oriental Yuhong's green building products [6] - The policy encourages digital transformation in the building materials industry, aligning with Oriental Yuhong's ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency through digital initiatives [6]