美东时间周三，美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一，仅道指飘红小幅上涨，纳指、标普指数、 中概股指数集体下跌。 科技股全线重 挫， 芯片股集体大跌，费城半导体指数一度暴跌超6%，AI算力芯片公司AMD暴跌超17%，"存储四巨头"集体大跌， 闪迪暴跌 超15%，美光科技跌超9%。另外，AI应用股AppLovin、Palantir均跌超10%。 来源：中国经济网微信综合券商中国、21世纪经济报道等 | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 49501.30 | 22904.58 | 6882.72 | | +260.31 +0.53% -350.61 -1.51% | | -35.09 -0.51% | | 美国科技七巨头 | | 中国金龙 | | 64399.36 | 4085.64 | 7461.61 | | -862.73 -1.32% -117.72 -2.80% -148.40 -1.95% | | | 有分析指出，AMD的财报指引不及分析师的高预期是芯片股大跌的"导火索"。另外，软件板块掀起的抛售持续蔓延加剧了市场 担忧情绪。对此，英伟达公司首席执行官黄仁勋 ...

各位朋友早上好，我是帮主。隔夜美股，又给我们上演了一出标准的"人格分裂"大戏。你瞧，道琼斯指 数逆势上涨了0.53%，而代表科技的纳斯达克指数却暴跌了1.51%，标普500也连跌两日。这种分裂背 后，远不止是板块轮动那么简单，而是市场正在对两个核心问题投下严肃的投票：第一，科技股的业 绩"神话"还能持续多久？ 第二，美国经济的"发动机"是不是真的在失速？ 这两个问题，对我们理解全 球资金接下来的流向至关重要。 我们先看第一个问题，关于科技股的"信仰考验"。导火索是明星芯片公司AMD，因为一季度业绩展望 不及预期，股价单日重挫超过17%，并拖累了整个半导体板块。这背后传递出一个关键信号：市场对AI 的热情，正从去年"只要是AI概念就买"的狂热期，进入一个 "严苛筛选期"。就像一位投资主管说 的，"市场开始对人工智能领域的胜负者进行区分"。大家不再为遥远的梦想集体买单，而是瞪大了眼 睛，审视每一份财报里的具体数字：你的AI产品到底带来了多少实际收入？增长能不能持续？任何一 点疑虑，都可能引发剧烈的抛售。这种情绪，已经从软件股蔓延到了硬件股。 但比AMD暴跌更值得关注的，是第二个"经济警报"。昨天公布的美国1月AD ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower today, with the Hang Seng Index starting at 26,627.95 points, down 219.37 points, a decline of 0.82% [2][3] - The Hang Seng Technology Index opened at 5,295.89 points, decreasing by 70.55 points, a drop of 1.31% [2][3] Company Performance - Yum China (HK09987) reported strong annual results for 2025, with operating profit reaching $1.3 billion, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth. The company opened 1,706 new stores, expanding its network to 18,101 locations across over 2,500 towns in China. In Q4 2025, operating profit surged by 25%, with same-store sales increasing for the third consecutive quarter [5][7] - Lee & Man Paper (HK02314) is expected to achieve a profit of approximately HKD 1.88 billion to HKD 2.00 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38% to 47% [7] - ZTO Express (HK02057) anticipates total revenue for 2025 to be between RMB 48.5 billion and RMB 50 billion, indicating a year-on-year growth of about 9.5% to 12.9%, primarily due to an increase in parcel volume [7] - Baidu Group (HK09888) announced a new share buyback plan, allowing for the repurchase of up to $5 billion in shares, effective until December 31, 2028. The board also expects to declare its first dividend in 2026, supported by sustainable funding sources [7] Market Sentiment - The market is currently experiencing a significant style rotation, with a clear "seesaw" effect between the previously strong technology growth sector and dividend value styles. The dividend sector is regaining its appeal due to its high yield and low valuation advantages after a prior correction [9] - The ongoing accommodative monetary policy and emerging cyclical recovery expectations, along with the demand for allocation from long-term funds like insurance, suggest that the Hong Kong stock market's dividend sector has clear investment value. A market style rebalancing combined with fundamental improvements is anticipated to create a "Davis Double Play" effect [9]

港股芯片股持续走低，华虹半导体跌超5%，中芯国际跌近4%，上海复旦跌逾2%。 ...

Alphabet(谷歌母公司)在周三的财报电话会上释放了明确信号：AI军备竞赛远未结束，甚至刚刚进入"深水区"。虽然Q4业绩全线超预期，但市场被 公司给出的2026年1750亿至1850亿美元的资本支出指引所震慑。巨额资本支出带来的折旧压力以及对利润率的潜在侵蚀，也成为投资者心头的阴 云。公司股价盘后小幅下跌。 近日，随着Anthropic推出法律自动化工具，市场对"AI颠覆传统软件商业模式"的恐慌情绪蔓延，导致美股软件板块遭遇血洗。 围绕该话题，分析师Mark Mahaney电话会上提问："市场上有一种信念，认为这些软件公司正在失去席位权(seat power)，失去定价权，这看起来 像是一个非常糟糕的客户群。" 面对投资者的疑虑，CEO桑达尔·皮查伊(Sundar Pichai)和CFO阿纳特·阿什克纳兹(Anat Ashkenazi)详细阐述了高额支出的必要性，AI代理的商业化 前景以及与苹果的重磅合作。同时，还正面回击了近期"AI将杀死软件公司"的市场论调。 回应天量资本支出是为了"着眼于未来" 电话会上最引人注目的焦点无疑是Alphabet对2026年的资本支出预测。首席财务官阿纳特透露，预计202 ...

AI对软件行业的冲击叙事正引发一轮"无差别"抛售，并把以英伟达为代表的AI芯片股一起卷入下跌，但 卖出的逻辑本身存在内在矛盾。 周三英伟达股价下跌3.41%，博通下跌3.83%，美光下跌10%，闪迪跌超15%。与此同时，软件板块抛压 仍在延续，iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF，IGV周三再跌1.8%。 周二，Anthropic为其Claude Cowork推出近十项工具，将AI应用推进到销售、数据分析等更多场景，市 场随即把"AI将击败软件"的叙事进一步内化为估值下调。但软件股的下跌引发了包括AI板块在内的，更 大范围的抛售。 Bank of America分析师Vivek Arya认为，芯片股跟随下挫说不通。他指出，芯片下跌暗示AI投资回报正 在恶化，而软件下跌又暗示AI采用将极度普及，两种结论难以同时成立，当前市场反应过度。 "AI击败软件"的叙事，为何反而拖累AI芯片 Vivek Arya指出，AI相关芯片股下跌隐含的市场判断是，AI投入正在恶化到难以产生理想回报，后续增 长空间受限；但软件股下跌又对应另一种判断，即AI采用将大范围普及且显著提升生产力， ...

Group 1 - Public mutual funds have distributed over 33 billion yuan in dividends this year, with equity funds accounting for nearly 80% of the total [1] - The increase in dividend distribution is attributed to policies, performance, industry transformation, and funding needs, marking a trend towards high-quality development in the industry [1] - The new registration of private MOM products has been halted due to regulatory concerns about potential deviations from active management [1] Group 2 - China's total electricity consumption has historically surpassed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours, equivalent to more than double the annual electricity consumption of the United States [1] - This milestone reflects a nearly doubled growth from approximately 5.5 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2015, indicating robust infrastructure development and a strengthened industrial advantage in the power sector [1] Group 3 - The Chinese AI industry is entering a new phase of commercial validation and large-scale application, with several companies recently listed on the Hong Kong and STAR markets [2] - Domestic chip manufacturers face challenges under Nvidia's ecosystem, prompting a focus on system efficiency and scene adaptability to enhance competitiveness [2] - Collaboration between chip and model companies is deemed crucial for the independent development of domestic AI [2] Group 4 - The production of World Cup-related sports goods in Yiwu has entered a critical phase as the 2026 FIFA World Cup approaches, with significant international demand observed [2] Group 5 - Alphabet, Google's parent company, reported a fourth-quarter net profit of $34.455 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.8%, with total revenue reaching $113.83 billion [4] - Google Cloud revenue grew by 48% year-on-year, indicating strong performance in the cloud segment [4] Group 6 - Texas Instruments announced an agreement to acquire Synaptics for $7.5 billion, with the transaction expected to be completed in the first half of 2027 [5] - The acquisition will provide Synaptics' investors with $231 in cash per share [5] Group 7 - Chang'an Automobile plans to repurchase shares worth between 1 billion and 2 billion yuan, with specific allocations for A-shares and B-shares [8]

Core Viewpoint - AMD's CEO, Lisa Su, emphasized that the demand for AI chips remains strong despite recent stock price fluctuations and a disappointing earnings forecast, which led to a 17.31% drop in stock price, the largest single-day decline since May 2017 [1] Group 1: Company Insights - AMD's data center business has shown significant acceleration from Q4 to Q1, driven by increased enterprise investment in AI applications, leading to an "explosive growth" in demand for AMD's CPUs [1] - The company plans to raise prices of related products by 10% to 15% in 2026, reflecting strong market demand for server CPUs [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Global demand for AI computing power continues to rise, with ongoing investment in industry infrastructure [1] - Google announced a capital expenditure guidance of $175 billion to $185 billion for 2026, doubling its investment compared to 2025, highlighting the commitment to the AI sector [1] - The server CPU market is experiencing tightening supply due to increased demand driven by AI, affecting both Intel and AMD [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on February 5, with the Hang Seng Index down 219.37 points, a decline of 0.82%, closing at 26,627.95 points [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 70.55 points, down 1.31%, to 5,295.89 points [1] - The China Enterprises Index decreased by 69.92 points, a drop of 0.77%, to 8,978.46 points [1] - The Red Chip Index declined by 8.89 points, down 0.2%, to 4,363.4 points [1] - The previous day saw mixed performance among the three major indices, with the Hang Seng Index closing in the green while the Hang Seng Tech Index experienced a drop of over 2% at one point [1] Company Performance - Xinda Biologics (01801.HK) reported a projected total product revenue of approximately RMB 11.9 billion for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 45% [2] - Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (02314.HK) anticipates a profit of approximately HKD 1.88 billion to HKD 2.00 billion for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 38% to 47% [2] - ZTO Express (02057.HK) expects total revenue for 2025 to be between RMB 48.5 billion and RMB 50 billion, with a year-on-year growth of about 9.5% to 12.9% due to increased parcel volume [2] - China Resources Cement (01313.HK) forecasts a year-on-year profit increase of approximately 115% to 135% for 2025, driven by cost reductions and decreased impairment losses [2] - Gemdale Corporation (00535.HK) reported a total contract sales amount of approximately RMB 239 million in January, a year-on-year decrease of 61.82% [3] - Fosun International (00656.HK) plans to subscribe to additional registered capital of Shangan Technology for RMB 105 million, acquiring a 51.0879% stake post-capital increase [3] - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (02607.HK) intends to transfer its 30% stake in Amgen for a minimum listing price of approximately RMB 1.023 billion [3] Corporate Actions - Caocao Travel (02643.HK) completed a placement of 12 million shares at HKD 32.46 per share, raising approximately HKD 383 million [4] - Kingsoft (03888.HK) repurchased 1.0886 million shares for HKD 29.99 million, with repurchase prices ranging from HKD 27.18 to HKD 28 [5] - Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) spent HKD 146 million to repurchase 4.3 million shares at prices between HKD 33.94 and HKD 34.02 [6] - Kingdee International (00268.HK) repurchased 1 million shares for HKD 11.0597 million, with prices between HKD 11.05 and HKD 11.1 [7] Industry Insights - Guosen Securities remains optimistic about the spring market, suggesting a focus on performance-based investments despite potential negative impacts from the rebound of the US dollar index and rising US Treasury yields [8] - CICC noted advancements in global large model technology capabilities, particularly in reasoning and programming, while highlighting ongoing limitations in general capabilities [9] - Xinda Securities pointed out the continuous improvement of regulations in the domestic intelligent connected vehicle sector, with an expected market size of RMB 270 billion for Robo-taxis by 2030 and a projected increase in the logistics vehicle industry value to RMB 594.8 billion by 2030 [9]

AMD大跌17%带崩芯片股，中概指数跌1.95%。港股三大指数低开，恒指跌0.82%，国指跌0.77%，恒生 科技指数跌1.31%。权重科技股多数继续走低，阿里巴巴、快手、美团跌超2%，百度逆势涨2.26%；受 美股AMD大跌影响，半导体芯片股齐跌，兆易创新跌4%，中芯国际跌超2%。另外，光伏股继续上涨涨 势，协鑫科技涨5.56%，2025年销售利润双增，餐饮龙头百胜中国涨超6%。(格隆汇) ...