前十大流通股东累计持有： 396543.52万股，累计占流通股比： 72.13%，较上期变化： 783.05万股。 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本 | 增减情 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 比例(%) | 况(万股) | | 江苏盛虹科技股份有限公司 | 278954.55 | 50.75 | 2132.00 | | 盛虹(苏州)集团有限公司 | 35636.14 | 6.48 | 2154.00 | | Citibank, National Association | 27700.00 | 5.04 | 不变 | | 江苏吴江丝绸集团有限公司 | 12266.22 | 2.23 | 不变 | | 陕西省国际信托股份有限公司-陕国投·东方盛虹（000301）第二 期员工持股集合资金信托计划 | 8252.26 | 1.50 | 不变 | | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 8127.54 | 1.48 | -615.21 | | 苏州市吴江东方国有资本投资经营有限公司 | 6771.94 | 1.23 | -2887.74 | | 陕西省国际信托股份有限公司-陕国 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the chemical industry, specifically recommending Guoguang Co., Shengquan Group, and others as strong investment opportunities [4]. Core Insights - The chemical market is experiencing active trading, with growth stocks presenting favorable allocation opportunities. The report highlights the "Five Tigers" of Minsheng Chemical, which includes Shengquan Group, Guoci Materials, Guoguang Co., Amway Co., and Polymeric Co. [1][4]. - Phosphate fertilizer demand remains stable, with high prices for phosphate rock expected to continue due to increased entry barriers and a delayed supply release from new mines [1]. - The report suggests focusing on large phosphate chemical enterprises with integrated advantages, such as Yuntianhua, Xingfa Group, Chuanheng Co., and Chuanfa Longmang [1]. Summary by Sections Chemical Sector Overview - The basic chemical industry index closed at 3335.36 points, up 2.71% from the previous week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.32% [10]. - Among 462 stocks in the chemical sector, 298 stocks rose (65%), while 148 stocks fell (32%) [16]. Key Chemical Products - The report tracks 380 chemical products, with 59 products seeing price increases and 119 products experiencing declines. Notable price increases were observed in liquid chlorine, sulfuric acid, and MDI [21]. - Liquid chlorine prices surged by 105% to 41 CNY/ton, while sulfuric acid prices rose by 21% to 100 CNY/ton [22]. Subsector Tracking - Polycarbonate (PC) production capacity is expected to grow from 875,000 tons in 2018 to 3,810,000 tons by 2024, with a gradual improvement in supply-demand balance anticipated from 2025 to 2029 [2]. - The organic silicon sector is projected to see a recovery in supply-demand balance, with a compound annual growth rate of 22.4% in production capacity from 2021 to 2024 [2]. Company Profit Forecasts - Guoguang Co. is forecasted to have an EPS of 0.78 CNY in 2024, with a PE ratio of 19, while Shengquan Group is expected to have an EPS of 1.03 CNY with a PE ratio of 24 [4].

调研报告-PTA 华东聚酯产业链下游 | [走Ta势bl评e_级Ra：nk] | | PTA: | | 震荡 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025 | 年 | 4 | 月 | 28 | 日 | [Table_Summary] ★终端五月压力仍存，开工率可能继续向下调整 目前前往美国的的织造订单基本全停，已生产但未发出的货物都 积压在生产企业和贸易商的仓库里。面对关税的冲击，有渠道的 企业尝试拓展其他国家的市场或者转为内销。部分企业找海外代 加工渠道，但能转移的订单量有限。产成品积累的情况下，加弹 厂和织造厂五一期间基本都有 3-7 天放假计划。五月内销也是步入 淡季，内外销综合压力下，五月织造产业可能面临进一步挑战。 能 ★下游阶段性采购下，化纤厂库存高位有所去化 源 化 工 织造企业普遍认为当下原料价格已经是低位，四月底可以看到化 纤厂产销阶段性有明显放量，库存高位去化，聚酯降负预期有所 改善。但本轮补货更多是绝对价格偏低刺激下游刚需补货，如果 终端织造五月负荷继续下调，两环节的矛盾可能会进一步积累。 ★关税博弈可能 ...

一、主要会计数据和财务指标 前十大流通股东累计持有： 100452.73万股，累计占流通股比： 66.45%，较上期变化： -2721.59万股。 | 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本比 | 增减情况 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 例(%) | (万股) | | 庄奎龙 | 33752.18 | 22.33 | 不变 | | 新凤鸣（603225）控股集团有限公司 | 23569.39 | 15.59 | 不变 | | 桐乡市中聚投资有限公司 | 15367.97 | 10.17 | 不变 | | 屈凤琪 | 10171.67 | 6.73 | 不变 | | 上海胜帮私募基金管理有限公司-共青城胜帮凯米投资合 伙企业(有限合伙) | 7295.30 | 4.83 | -980.96 | | 桐乡市尚聚投资有限公司 | 3570.34 | 2.36 | 不变 | | 吴林根 | 2087.41 | 1.38 | 不变 | | 桐乡市诚聚投资有限公司 | 1711.86 | 1.13 | 不变 | | 香港中央结算有限公司 | 1560.32 | 1.03 | -17 ...

| 股票代码：603225 | 股票简称：新凤鸣 | | | 公告编号：2025-049 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113623 | 转债简称：凤 | 21 | 转债 | | 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司 2025 年一季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 新凤鸣集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）根据《上海证券交易所上市 公司自律监管指引第 3 号行业信息披露：第十三号——化工》要求，现将 2025 年一季度主要经营数据披露如下： 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现情况 | 主要产品 | 2025年1-3月 产量（万吨） | 2025年1-3月 销量（万吨） | 2025年1-3月 营业收入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | POY | 129.97 | 97.14 | 620,898.41 | | FDY | 40.22 | 27.08 | 185,414.23 | | DTY | 24.85 | 18 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved an annual revenue of 67.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year [4][6] - In Q4 alone, the company generated revenue of 17.89 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.2%. The net profit for Q4 was 350 million yuan, a significant increase of 77.9% year-on-year and 151.8% quarter-on-quarter [4][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.225 yuan per share, totaling 336 million yuan [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 67.09 billion yuan for 2024, with a gross profit of 3.777 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 5.6% [9] - The net profit margin for the year was 1.6%, showing limited changes compared to the previous year [9] - For Q4, the gross margin improved to 5.7%, with a net profit margin of 2.0%, indicating a year-on-year increase of 1.2 percentage points [9] Industry Outlook - The demand for polyester filament is expected to improve, with a projected growth in apparent consumption in China reaching 42 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 8.7% [9] - The industry is entering a phase of reduced capacity expansion, with a forecasted decline in annual capacity growth of 2.3% for 2024 [9] - The report anticipates that the industry will see a tightening supply-demand balance, leading to an upward trend in market conditions [9] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.43 billion yuan, 1.86 billion yuan, and 2.28 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]

期货研究报告|PX&PTA&PF&PR 周报 2025-04-27 5-9 月差走强，关注五一织造放假情况 策略摘要 基本面方面，特朗普对中国关税态度有所缓和，但问题依旧没有有效解决，直接出口 美国的纺服订单依然处于暂停状态，聚酯减产预期压制市场心态，关注后续中美谈判 情况，PX 和 PTA 依然维持低估值和去库状态，但在汽油弱势和需求预期偏弱的情况下 反弹幅度也有限，近期关注原油和宏观变动。短纤方面，当前美国关税逐步向好发 展，市场心态走稳，但追高意愿不足，五一期间部分纱厂有放假计划，原料囤货意愿 一般，行情维持震荡盘整。PR 方面，关税政策对瓶片自身需求影响较小，但瓶片负荷 回归高位，瓶片工厂加工区间有限，市场价格预计仍跟随原料成本波动。 核心观点 ■ 市场分析 成本端，原油价格先涨后跌。当前供需面多空消息交织，一方面宏观影响油价走势。 美伊及俄乌地缘政治风险降温。同时多个 OPEC+成员国计划在 6 月会议上提议加快增 产速度，原油供应压力持续；不过下半周特朗普表示不会解雇美联储主席鲍威尔，市 场恐慌指数回落，同时也表示将对中国关税大幅下降，宏观情绪改善推动油价反弹。 汽油和芳烃方面，汽油裂解偏弱运行， ...

申银万国期货指出，随着关税逐步来临，纺织布匹订单量减价跌，需求后劲不足。供应方面，PTA检修 较多，据卓创统计检修量在600万吨左右，使得供应压力有所减轻，成本端PX因库存累库，价格上涨乏 力，总体来看，成本支撑不足，需求后续乏力，预计PTA期现价格维持弱势。 宁证期货表示，织造负荷下降，聚酯和织造库存均出高位，PTA库存也高位。目前聚酯工厂开工处于高 位，但涤纶长丝装置已出现减产降负动作，需求端预期承压。PTA跟随原油波动。策略上，短线交易为 佳。 目前来看，PTA行情呈现震荡上行走势，盘面表现偏强。对于PTA后市行情将如何运行，相关机构观点 汇总如下： 华联期货分析称，供应端本周预计福建百宏重启，产量或有所回升，总体供应偏高。需求方面聚酯产量 高位持稳，但终端江浙地区织造开工率继续降低，纺织品受关税问题影响明显，新单下达推进有限。 PTA行业库存继续下降但终端长丝库存明显回升。原油再次受OPEC+增产影响承压。总体看供应高位需 求端不同产品线有分化，库存向下游转移，继续关注原油及外围关税问题影响。操作方面激进型轻仓持 空，期权方面少量看涨期权对冲，2509合约压力位参考4450附近。 周五夜盘，国内期市能 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 23.80 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for 2024, with a forecasted revenue of 1.07 billion RMB, down 14.1% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 9.6% to 320 million RMB [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the downstream demand for PA66 and recycled materials, with industrial AI business anticipated to drive new growth [1][4]. - The gross margin has been improving, reaching 68.4% in Q4 2024, up 28.8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability through technological improvements [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 1.07 billion RMB, with a net profit of 320 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline in revenue but an increase in net profit [1]. - The gross margin for the new materials and synthetic materials segments improved significantly, with gross margins of 48.7%, 39.8%, and 43.1% for different segments, showing a year-on-year increase [2]. - The financial expense ratio decreased due to increased interest from deposits, while operating cash flow saw a decline of 24.9% year-on-year [3]. Growth Prospects - The industrial AI segment is projected to grow, with a revenue increase of 12.4% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in this area [2]. - The company has signed a contract for a nylon project worth 170 million RMB, which is expected to contribute positively to future revenues [4]. - The company’s earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 380 million RMB, 460 million RMB, and 550 million RMB respectively, reflecting a slight downward revision [5]. Valuation - The company is assigned a valuation premium with a target price set at 23.80 RMB based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025, despite a slight reduction from the previous target of 25.20 RMB [5]. - The expected PE ratio for 2025 is 20x, with a projected EPS of 1.19 RMB [5][7].

Group 1 - The company plans to apply for a comprehensive credit limit not exceeding RMB 200 million to meet operational funding needs and optimize financing allocation [1] - The specific credit amount will depend on the actual approval from financial institutions and the company's operational requirements [1] - The board of directors has authorized the management to handle various financing activities within the approved credit limit [1] Group 2 - The company announced the provision for asset impairment due to significant declines in the prices of key raw materials and underperformance of certain subsidiaries [3][5] - The total impact on net profit from the impairment provisions is estimated to be RMB 22.68 million, affecting the equity attributable to shareholders by RMB 22.48 million [4][5] - The board and supervisory committee have approved the asset impairment provisions, ensuring compliance with accounting standards [6][8] Group 3 - The company intends to hire Zhongxinghua Accounting Firm for the 2025 financial report and internal control audit, replacing the previous auditor Tianzhi International [11][12] - The change in auditors is due to the regulations regarding the selection of auditors for state-owned enterprises and listed companies [12][21] - The new auditor has a strong background in auditing listed companies and has no conflicts of interest [18][19] Group 4 - The company plans to provide guarantees for its subsidiaries, with a total guarantee amount not exceeding RMB 110.74 million for 2025 [39][41] - The guarantees are intended to support the subsidiaries' operational funding needs and are subject to shareholder approval [40][42] - The board believes that the guarantees are necessary for the subsidiaries' business operations and do not harm the interests of the company or its shareholders [54][55]