意大利服务业连续第七个月扩张，但增速放缓 金十数据7月3日讯，周四公布的一项调查显示，意大利6月服务业连续第七个月扩张，但增速较前月放 缓，显示这个欧元区第三大经济体的增长将持续疲弱。6月份服务业PMI从5月份的53.2降至52.1，逊于 预期，并向50.0的荣枯分界线进一步滑落，预期为52.7。汉堡商业银行表示："出口需求低迷抑制了整体 新业务，海外新销售以5个月来最快的速度下降。"尽管如此，意大利服务业产出仍略高于历史趋势。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article indicates that Italy's services sector PMI for June is reported at 52.1, which is below the expected 52.7 and lower than the previous value of 53.2 [1] Group 2 - The PMI figure of 52.1 suggests that the services sector is still expanding, but at a slower pace compared to previous months [1] - The decline from the previous value of 53.2 indicates a potential slowdown in growth within the services industry [1] - The expectation of 52.7 was not met, highlighting a possible weakening in economic sentiment among service providers [1]

7月3日消息，西班牙6月服务业PMI为51.9，预期51，前值51.3；6月综合PMI为52.1，预期51.2，前值 51.4。 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the US stock market has rebounded significantly due to signs of easing in the US-China trade war, with the S&P 500 rising approximately 5% year-to-date and the Nasdaq 100 increasing nearly 7% [12][13] - Despite the rebound, the report highlights that the small-cap Russell 2000 index remains down about 1%, indicating a divergence in market performance [12] - The report notes that the global stock indices, excluding the US, have outperformed the US market, with the world index rising 17% year-to-date, driven by a weaker dollar and capital outflows due to de-dollarization [12][13] Group 2 - The report discusses the ongoing US-China trade negotiations, which have shown signs of temporary easing, but structural differences remain significant, leading to uncertainty in future negotiations [13] - It highlights that the US economy experienced a contraction in the first quarter of 2025, with GDP growth at -0.5%, primarily due to a surge in imports and a slowdown in consumer spending [17][18] - The report emphasizes that retail sales data for May fell short of expectations, with a 0.9% month-over-month decline, indicating a cautious consumer sentiment [22][23] Group 3 - The report outlines that the US job market is showing mixed signals, with job vacancies at 7.769 million but a decline in private sector job creation, reflecting a cautious outlook among employers [32][37] - It notes that the US housing market is under pressure, with new home sales dropping significantly, attributed to high prices and mortgage rates, leading to weakened demand [48][49] - The report also mentions that inflationary pressures are emerging, with core consumer price index data indicating a potential rise in inflation, which could complicate monetary policy decisions [58][59] Group 4 - The report suggests that global capital is shifting away from US dollar assets towards non-dollar markets, benefiting Hong Kong stocks and indicating a trend of de-dollarization [79][84] - It highlights that European and Japanese economies are showing signs of recovery, with improving macroeconomic indicators and investor sentiment, although uncertainties remain due to US trade policies [89][90] - The report recommends investors to consider increasing allocations to Hong Kong, European, and Japanese markets, as valuations are relatively lower compared to the US market [90]

印度6月服务业PMI终值 60.4，初值 60.7。 ...

财新：第二季度，中国服务业保持扩张，但经营活动量和新订单量的增速皆较5月份放缓，当中新出口业务量连续第二个月下滑，并且创下2022年12月后最显著降幅。与此同时，用工规模在最近4个月来第三次录得收缩，导致未完成业务量加速积压。对于未来12个月的前景，业界整体保持乐观，但相比历史水平信心仍然低迷。价格方面，6月份平均投入成本涨速放缓，加上竞争压力，服务业企业继续下调销售价格。第二季度，服务业界信心度整体保持乐观。企业预期，经济环境改善，加上业务拓展计划，将有助提振未来12个月的销售，推动经营活动扩张。6月份，企业乐观程度连续第二个月录得上升，但仍远低于长期均值。 ...

🗒️财新方面宣布，自2025年7月起，财新将正式终止对标准普尔中国PMI的冠名。因此，2025年7月初发布的财新中国PMI将作为最后一期在财新冠名下发布的中国PMI。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):中国6月财新服务业PMI录得50.6（2024年10月以来最低），预期50.9，前值51.1。综合PMI录得51.3，前值49.6。财新：受“五一”、端午假期效应减退等因素影响，6月中国服务业扩张速度放缓。 https://t.co/7jj2xvjsy8 ...

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is set to implement multiple economic stabilization measures, including the third batch of funds for consumer goods replacement, which will be issued in July [1][2] - The "Two New" policies are playing a crucial role in stabilizing investment, expanding consumption, and promoting transformation, with sales of related goods exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan this year [2] - In May, the industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year, and the service production index grew by 6.2%, indicating stable economic performance [1][2] Group 2 - The NDRC plans to enhance the management of equipment update projects and accelerate project construction to lower financing costs for businesses [2][3] - There is a significant potential for the development of sports events and cultural tourism industries, as evidenced by the rising popularity of diverse sports events among the public [2][3] - The NDRC aims to expand public fitness spaces and support the development of outdoor sports, targeting the establishment of around 100 high-quality outdoor sports destinations by 2030 [3]

参议院惊险过关共和党内部矛盾显现 当地时间1日上午，美国参议院历经22小时通宵"马拉松"投票，最终以副总统万斯投下决定性一票，以 51票对50票的结果，惊险通过美国总统特朗普力推的"大而美"法案。 肯塔基州参议员兰德·保罗、北卡罗来纳州参议员汤姆·蒂利斯和缅因州参议员苏珊·柯林斯三位共和党人 投下反对票，而此前持保留态度的阿拉斯加州参议员丽莎·穆尔科夫斯基最终选择支持法案。 英国《金融时报》在报道中指出，投票结果显示出共和党内部存在明显分歧。 报告特别指出，法案中关于乡村医院关停的条款可能导致部分地区的医疗服务可及性下降。 法案的争议性还体现在其立法程序上。民主党人提出的多项修正案，包括删除乡村医院关停条款、恢复 食品援助等内容，均被共和党以党派票数否决，这种强硬立场进一步激化了两党对立。 引发美政坛激烈争斗马斯克反对增添变数 另一方面，民主党方面则保持高度团结，该党47名参议员一致反对该法案。 法案通过后，特朗普立即在"真相社交"平台发声，敦促众议院共和党人"无视作秀者"，争取在7月4日独 立日假期前完成表决。他写道："按计划推进——在你们和家人享受7月4日假期前完成它！" 白宫方面对法案前景表示乐观，发言 ...

Core Viewpoints - The current consumer landscape in China shows a positive development trend, with a focus on enhancing consumption as a primary economic task [3][4][16] - The government is implementing policies to stimulate consumption, including financial support and strategic actions to transition from a "manufacturing powerhouse" to a "consumer powerhouse" [1][3] Consumer Development Trends - There is a rapid upgrade in consumer goods, with significant growth in service consumption sectors such as dining, culture, tourism, sports, and health [4][16] - New consumption highlights include inbound consumption, domestic "trendy" products, and digital consumption [4][16] Factors Contributing to Positive Consumer Trends - Increased income levels are releasing potential for service consumption, with a shift from survival-based spending to development and enjoyment-based spending [5][17] - Technological advancements are driving innovation in consumption models [5][17] - Improved supply levels are creating new demand opportunities [5][19] Policy Recommendations for Stimulating Consumption - Enhance consumer capacity by increasing labor remuneration and expanding the middle-income group [9][21] - Optimize the consumption environment through market regulation and consumer rights protection [10][22] - Reduce consumption restrictions in sectors like automotive and housing to promote market activity [11][23] - Improve supply quality by encouraging innovation in product development and service delivery [12][24] - Innovate consumption scenarios to meet diverse consumer needs through technology [13][25] - Strengthen modern circulation systems to enhance urban and rural commercial infrastructure [14][26] Challenges in Consumption Supply - Structural and technical challenges hinder the ability to meet evolving consumer demands [25][27] - There is a mismatch between high-end consumer demand and the supply of quality products [25][27] - Coordination issues within the supply chain affect responsiveness to market changes [25][27] Strategies for Enhancing Supply Efficiency - Focus on demand-driven supply chain reforms to align with consumer preferences for quality and sustainability [26][28] - Leverage digital technologies to improve supply chain transparency and efficiency [27][28] - Optimize the regulatory environment to reduce transaction costs and enhance market vitality [28][29]