Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Ningbo Tongshang Holding Group Co., Ltd. has received an "AAA" rating for its public bond issuance aimed at professional investors, indicating strong creditworthiness [1] - The company is recognized for its significant political and economic position in Ningbo, with strong fiscal strength and support capabilities within the province [1] - The diversified business operations and favorable external environment contribute positively to the overall credit strength of the company [1] Group 2 - Ningbo Tongshang Holding Group was originally established as a state-owned enterprise by the Ningbo Municipal Government's State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission in July 2006 [2] - The company underwent a restructuring process and was renamed from "Ningbo Tongshang Group Co., Ltd." to its current name in June 2023 as part of a state-owned enterprise reform initiative [2] - The company operates in various sectors, including engineering construction, toll bridge operations, natural gas and liquefied gas supply, water supply and sewage treatment, commodity trading, real estate, and investment [2] - The company's revenue for 2023 and the first nine months of 2024 was reported at 71.411 billion yuan and 60.214 billion yuan, respectively [2]

Group 1: Company Overview and Business Development - The Commercial Development Company focuses on three main areas: commercial network construction and operation, trade logistics, and bulk commodity trade, positioning itself as a leader in dual-use civil defense engineering development and operation in China [2] - The "Xingyue Mall" smart commercial project aims to enhance business asset operations and improve the company's network layout in urban and rural dual circulation channels [2] - The company actively implements national strategies such as new urbanization and rural revitalization, focusing on commercial circulation infrastructure construction [2] Group 2: Shareholder Structure and Future Plans - As of the 2024 annual report, Zhonghe Agricultural Credit and its concerted actors hold a total of 4.246 billion shares, accounting for 23.51% of the company's total share capital [2] - The shareholding structure has historical roots, with significant acquisitions occurring in 2016, 2022, and 2024, leading to Zhonghe Agricultural Credit becoming the controlling shareholder [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 1.42372 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.69%, while net profit was -1.38361 billion yuan, a reduction in losses by 45.78% [5] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a net profit of -6.29 million yuan, reflecting a 95.18% reduction in losses compared to the previous year [5] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives for Domestic Circulation - In 2025, the company plans to enhance commercial operations and logistics, focusing on high-quality development and optimizing existing business structures [6] - The company aims to establish a new supply chain model, integrating urban renewal and rural commercial systems, while leveraging digital tools for business model innovation [6] - The logistics network will support the dual circulation of industrial products and agricultural products, enhancing service capabilities across county, township, and village levels [6] Group 5: Trade and Market Expansion - The company will accelerate the integration of e-commerce, wholesale, and supply chain trade, focusing on stable sales channels such as government procurement and large retail platforms [7] - The establishment of a comprehensive trade network will facilitate the transformation and upgrading of commodity trade, particularly in the context of the Hainan Free Trade Port [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% from the current price [6][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 16.75 billion for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 11%, and a net profit of RMB 1.94 billion, down 16% year-on-year, which was below expectations [7]. - The report highlights a marginal improvement in duty-free sales, particularly in Hainan, with a notable recovery in average transaction value [9]. - The company is expected to optimize its product categories, membership services, and supply chain management, leading to projected net profits of RMB 5.26 billion, RMB 5.96 billion, and RMB 6.70 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the retail trade industry and has a current H-share price of HKD 51.85, with a market capitalization of RMB 90.20 billion [2]. - The major shareholder is China Tourism Group, holding 50.3% of the shares [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be RMB 2.54, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 times [9]. Financial Performance - The company’s net profit for 2022 was RMB 5.03 billion, with projections of RMB 6.71 billion for 2023 and RMB 4.27 billion for 2024, reflecting fluctuations in profitability [8]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is RMB 62.93 billion, with a year-on-year growth expectation of 23.3% [15]. - The report indicates a stable cost structure, with a gross margin of 33% and a decrease in financial expenses [9].

报告限于篇幅，目前暂时对22个HS编码商品大类进行了分析。由于每个商品大类由若干两位数HS章节 构成，而每个章节又包含大量六位数HS编码的细分品类(例如，2022—2024年我国第16类机电产品出口 中包括84章和85章，共涉及830个细分品类)，因此，在实际应用中，可根据需要利用对外供应链波动指 数，对特定子行业或细分品类的波动情况进行实时监测。 吴肖乐指出，尽管报告主要聚焦于中国对外商品贸易的波动情况，但该指数体系也可根据需要拓展至其 他国家为分析主体。例如，可以围绕美国的对外供应链波动开展分析，辅助识别美国加征关税后其贸易 格局的变化趋势。此外，海关与供应关系数据包含企业级别信息，亦可将企业作为分析单元，监测特定 企业在不同产品或贸易对象下的供应链波动情况，进一步服务于更精细化的经营决策需求等。 "任何指数模型都无法完全捕捉复杂多变的现实世界。"吴肖乐表示，"我们希望通过持续的研究与迭代 更新，不断完善指数体系并推出系列专题报告，深入分析不同行业、区域与贸易伙伴的差异化表现，为 用户提供更有针对性的观察与理解，使这一工具逐步成为连接中国与全球经济互动的一扇窗口。" 4月14日，复旦大学全球供应链研究中心 ...

公司郑重提醒广大投资者注意二级市场投资风险，理性决策，审慎投资。 一、股票交易异常波动的具体情况 上海宽频科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"本公司"或"上市公司"）股 票于 2025 年 2 月 18 日、2025 年 2 月 19 日、2025 年 2 月 20 日连续三个交易日 内收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达 12%，根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的有关规 定，属于股票交易异常波动的情况。 证券代码：600608 证券简称：ST 沪科 公告编号：临 2025-008 上海宽频科技股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 风险提示： 2024 年度业绩预亏：预计公司 2024 年实现利润总额约-670 万元，归属 于母公司所有者的净利润约-520 万元，归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损 益后的净利润约-520 万元。预计公司 2024 年实现营业收入约 1,730 万元，扣除 与主营业务无关的业务收入和不具备商业实质的收入后的营业收入约 650 万元。 可能被实施退市风险警示 ...