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2025年公募REITs市场8月半月报:整体缩量下跌,较红利股息差升至高位-20250818
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-08-18 10:11
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - From August 1 - 15, 2025, the Shanghai and Shenzhen REITs continued the trend of declining with shrinking volume. The CSI REITs Total Return Index fell 1.9%, underperforming the 300 Index return and the CSI Dividend Total Return Index. The liquidity further contracted, with the average daily turnover rate narrowing by 0.06 percentage points compared to July to 0.5%. All types of REITs declined, with only warehousing logistics (-0.7%) and energy (-0.7%) showing relative resilience [3]. - The valuations of all types of REITs were generally downgraded, and the internal rate of return (IRR) generally increased. The P/NAV of equity - type REITs was at the 58% quantile (down 14 points from the end of July), and the P/FFO of concession - type REITs was at the 62% quantile (down 11 points from the end of July). The IRR quantile values of all types of REITs increased, with energy (+17pcts) and affordable housing (+14pcts) showing significant increases [3]. - The dividend spread of equity - type REITs relative to the CSI Dividend reached the 74% historical high, highlighting the allocation cost - effectiveness. The dividend payout rate quantiles of consumer REITs and industrial park REITs improved significantly [3]. - Two IDC REITs hit the daily limit on their listing days, and the offline new - share subscription yield for REITs in 2025 exceeded 3%. As of August 15, after excluding the extreme value of AVIC Yicang REIT, the offline new - share subscription returns for 0.5 billion/1 billion RMB cash accounts in 2025 totaled 167/334 million RMB, with an offline subscription yield of 3.34% [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Near - half - month Decline with Shrinking Volume Continues, and Dividend Spread Relative to Dividends Reaches a High Again - **Market Performance**: From August 1 - 15, the CSI REITs Total Return Index fell 1.9%, underperforming the 300 Index return by 5.1 percentage points. All types of REITs generally declined, with affordable housing REITs falling 3.4%, consumer REITs having a deep correction of 3.2% (the largest monthly decline in 2025), and industrial park, public utilities, and highway REITs falling 2.5%, 2.4%, and 2.1% respectively, with the decline rates expanding compared to July [3][6]. - **Valuation and Yield**: The valuations of all types of REITs were downgraded. The P/NAV of equity - type REITs was at the 58% quantile (down 14 points from the end of July), and the P/FFO of concession - type REITs was at the 62% quantile (down 11 points from the end of July). The IRR of all types of REITs increased, with energy and affordable housing showing significant increases. The dividend spread of equity - type REITs relative to the CSI Dividend reached the 74% historical high, and the dividend payout rate quantiles of consumer and industrial park REITs improved significantly [3]. 3.2 Digital Infrastructure REITs Financing Approved, Three Newly - Issued REITs to be Unlocked in the Second Half of the Month - **Policy Support**: On August 5, 2025, seven departments including the People's Bank of China issued the "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for New - type Industrialization", supporting the use of real - estate investment trusts (REITs) to expand the sources of funds for digital infrastructure construction [37]. - **Project Status**: As of August 15, there were 10 newly - issued and 4 expansion - offering projects under review at the exchanges, and 1 newly - issued and 1 expansion - offering project had been approved by the CSRC. China Merchants Vipshop Outlet Mall REIT will be publicly offered from August 20 - 21. Recently, five REITs including Bailian Consumer, Capital Mall, Xiamen Affordable Housing, Shenzhen Affordable Housing, and Beijing Affordable Housing will be unlocked [39][41]. 3.3 Two IDC REITs Hit the Daily Limit on Their Listing Days, and the Offline New - Share Subscription Yield in 2025 Exceeds 3% - **New Listings**: As of August 15, the total number of listed REITs on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges reached 73, with a total market value of 219 billion RMB. Three new REITs were listed in the first half of August (including two IDC and one energy REIT), with an issuance scale of 8.8 billion RMB. The two IDC projects hit the 30% daily limit on their listing days and continued to rise within three days of listing [53]. - **Offline New - Share Subscription Yield**: As of August 15, after excluding the extreme value of AVIC Yicang REIT, the offline new - share subscription returns for 0.5 billion/1 billion RMB cash accounts in 2025 totaled 167/334 million RMB, with an offline subscription yield of 3.34%. There were no newly - issued unlocking projects in the first half of August (based on a 12 - month lock - up period) [57].
2025年公募REITs市场7月报:消费板块走势稳健,交通、保租房派息率提升-20250804
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-08-04 13:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the document. 2. Core View of the Report - In July 2025, the REITs index fluctuated and corrected, with the consumption sector showing steady performance. The dividend - payout ratio spread between REITs and CSI Dividend narrowed, and the dividend - payout ratios of transportation and rental housing for guaranteed occupancy increased. Guojun Lingang REIT's expansion will increase the distribution ratio in 2025. The first - time issuance of data center REITs saw a narrowing of the first - day listing gains [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 REITs Index Fluctuated and Corrected, Consumption Sector Showed Steady Performance - **Index Performance**: In the second half of July, the CSI REITs (closing) index and CSI REITs Total Return Index fell by 0.4%/0.2% cumulatively. In the last week of July, as the 10 - year Treasury yield and the stock market both fluctuated and declined, the REITs market regained its upward momentum. Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI REITs (closing) index and CSI REITs Total Return Index have risen by 10.4%/13.9% cumulatively, outperforming the CSI 300 Index [4][9]. - **Sector Performance**: - Consumption sector: It has maintained an upward trend for 7 consecutive months, with an average increase of 1.81% in July, and the number of rising REITs accounted for 67% [4][13]. - Ecological and environmental protection sector: The turnover rate reached 1.27% (month - on - month increase of 0.35 pct), with some individual REITs rising and some falling [4][17]. - Industrial park and warehousing logistics sectors: They have risen for 3 consecutive months, but the average increase has shown a narrowing trend [4][13]. - Transportation sector: It fell for the first time since 2025, with an average decline of 0.75%, and the number of falling REITs accounted for more than half [4][13]. - Rental housing for guaranteed occupancy and water conservancy facilities sectors: They corrected for the first time after rising for 4 consecutive months, with an average decline of 1.95%/1.49% in July [4][13]. - Energy sector: It had the deepest decline in July, with an average decline of 2.94% [4][13]. - **Dividend - Payout Ratio**: As of July 31, 2025, the average TTM dividend - payout ratios of equity - type and concession - type REITs were 3.72%/7.16% respectively. Among equity - type REITs, warehousing logistics and industrial parks had relatively high dividend - payout ratios, while rental housing for guaranteed occupancy had a relatively low but increasing ratio. Among concession - type REITs, transportation REITs' leading advantage in dividend - payout ratio further expanded [4][20]. - **Valuation**: For concession - type REITs, the energy sector had a relatively high valuation, while the transportation sector had an attractive IRR. For equity - type REITs, the industrial park sector's IRR returned to the historical central level [21][25]. 3.2 Guojun Lingang REIT's Expansion, Distribution Ratio in 2025 to Increase - **Expansion Plan**: On July 29, 2025, Guojun Lingang Industrial Park REIT announced an expansion plan, with a proposed issuance share limit of 446.1 million shares and a proposed fundraising of no more than 1.7235 billion yuan. The expansion asset is the Kangqiao project, with an evaluation value of 1.532 billion yuan, a 69.19% increase compared to the book value [4][37]. - **Distribution Ratio Forecast**: After the expansion, the predicted distributable amounts for the period from April - December 2025 and 2026 are 82.52 million yuan and 110.6 million yuan respectively. With a fundraising of 1.7235 billion yuan, the predicted distribution ratios for 2025 and 2026 are 4.11%/4.15%, and the 2025 distribution ratio is 0.39 pct higher than before the expansion [4][37]. 3.3 First - Time Issuance of Data Center REITs, Narrowing of First - Day Listing Gains - **New Issuance**: In July 2025, two data center REITs were issued for the first time, enriching the underlying asset types of REITs. The number of offline inquiry institutions reached a new high, but the effective subscription multiple decreased due to the large issuance scale of the new projects, and the配售 ratio increased slightly to 0.6% [4]. - **Market Performance**: Affected by the secondary - market adjustment, the two REITs listed in July did not trigger the daily limit, with an average first - day closing increase of 24.2%. From January to July 2025, the offline total returns for 0.5/1 billion yuan of funds were 1.4214 million yuan/2.8428 million yuan, with a return rate of 2.84%. The three REITs with the first - time strategic placement unlocking in July all had positive returns, with an average unlocking return rate of 46.39%. There are currently 11 first - time issuance REITs projects in the queue [4].
中信建投:短期波动不改REITs中期向好趋势 推荐密切关注回调后配置机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 04:05
Core Viewpoint - The C-REITs market is expected to continue its bull market trend into 2025, with the CSI REITs Index showing a year-to-date increase of 12.8%. Recent market pullbacks are attributed to lower risk appetite and lock-up expirations, but the core logic of REITs as a dividend allocation asset remains unchanged, suggesting better allocation opportunities post-adjustment [1][2]. Performance Summary - A total of 66 REITs disclosed their Q2 2025 reports, with 31 REITs providing achievement rate data. The average achievement rates for the three core indicators (revenue, EBITDA, and distributable amount) were 94.1%, 101.5%, and 91.5%, respectively. However, the overall performance pressure persists, with year-on-year growth rates for these indicators at -3.5%, -4.7%, and -7.0% [2][3]. Sector Analysis - The performance across sectors has become increasingly differentiated: - **Industrial Parks**: Overall performance and operations are mixed, with factory REITs maintaining stability while research and office REITs face ongoing pressure [4]. - **Warehousing and Logistics**: A strategy of exchanging price for volume continues, with a contraction in supply and growth in demand supporting a rebound in occupancy rates [4]. - **Affordable Rental Housing**: Operations remain stable at high levels, with policy-driven affordable rental housing showing significant performance advantages [4]. - **Consumer Sector**: Generally, performance targets are met, with high occupancy rates and seasonal fluctuations in rental prices. Shopping center REITs maintain stable occupancy, while outlet REITs face high pressure on occupancy and rental rates [4]. - **Transportation**: Overall performance is under pressure, with some projects significantly affected by traffic network diversions [4]. - **Municipal Projects**: Waste treatment projects face performance pressure, while water and water conservancy projects operate steadily [4]. - **Energy Sector**: Performance continues to diverge, influenced by electricity price pressures and fluctuations in power generation [4]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on two main lines for investment: - Prioritize quality domestic demand sectors, including policy-driven affordable rental housing, consumption, and municipal environmental protection [1][2]. - Pay attention to assets with relative valuation advantages under improving economic conditions, such as strong operational management factory projects, continuously improving occupancy warehouse logistics projects, and high-traffic highway projects [1][2].
产业资本赋能“智算”革命:首程控股(0697.HK)的REITs版图再添新引擎
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-11 00:54
Group 1 - The Chinese public REITs market is moving towards diversified and deepened development, with the approval of the first two data center REITs marking a significant step in asset diversification [1] - The data center is recognized as the "heart of computing power" driving the digital economy, with increasing demand due to advancements in technologies like AI and 5G [1] - The introduction of data center REITs provides a standardized and market-oriented exit channel, encouraging social capital participation in the sector [1] Group 2 - The strategic investment by Shoucheng Holdings reflects a deep understanding of the value of digital economy infrastructure, focusing on long-term holdings of quality assets [2] - The company is actively involved in building the Chinese REITs ecosystem, transitioning from a financial investor to a key player in infrastructure value reconstruction [3] - The investment in data center REITs not only diversifies the company's portfolio but also enhances liquidity and value, supporting the securitization of the IDC industry [3]
REITs爆发年终极赢家!消费基础设施包揽涨幅前五,95%出租率印证“运营为王”时代
市值风云· 2025-07-10 10:05
Core Viewpoint - The public REITs market in China has evolved significantly since its inception in May 2021, becoming an essential part of the capital market, with a total issuance of 68 products and a fundraising scale nearing 180 billion yuan by June 2025 [2][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of now, the CSI REITs total return index has increased by over 11% this year, showcasing a high level of excess returns compared to the stock market [3]. - Among the 68 REITs products this year, 67 have achieved positive returns, with an average increase of 20.3% [4]. - The top 20 REITs products have an average increase of 36.3%, with the highest performers being the Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT and the Huaxia Dayuecheng Commercial REIT, both nearing a 50% increase [4][5]. Group 2: Investment Trends - The investment value of public REITs has attracted a wider range of institutional investors, including insurance companies, brokerage self-operated funds, and wealth management subsidiaries [7]. - The market is expected to continue its strong momentum, with 10 new public REITs issued by mid-2025, contributing to a total of 68 products in the market [9]. Group 3: Specific REIT Performance - The Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT has recorded a remarkable increase of 51.56% this year, attributed to its resilient community commercial model [11]. - The Jiashi Wumei Consumption REIT reported a revenue of 25.58 million yuan and a net profit of 797,500 yuan for the first quarter of 2025 [13]. - The REIT's underlying assets, primarily community commercial properties, have maintained a high occupancy rate of 95% and a rental collection rate of 99.1% [17]. Group 4: Market Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the success of consumption REITs, the overall public REITs market faces challenges, including a scarcity of quality assets that meet operational and cash flow requirements [35]. - The rise of "Guzi Economy," characterized by high-value products driven by cultural symbols, is becoming a new growth point for consumption REITs [32].
行业周报:六部门联合发文支持消费基础设施发行REITs,中海正式申报公募REITs-20250629
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-29 12:55
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The REITs market is expected to continue to provide good investment opportunities due to the downward pressure on bond market interest rates and the expectation of increased allocations from social security and pension funds [3][5] - The market transaction scale for REITs reached 599 million shares, a year-on-year increase of 20.04%, with a transaction amount of 2.895 billion yuan, up 49.92% year-on-year [25][27] - The overall performance of various REITs sectors showed mixed results, with housing REITs experiencing a weekly decline of 1.94% but a monthly increase of 5.98% [36][52] Summary by Sections 1. Policy Support - Six departments, including the People's Bank of China and the National Development and Reform Commission, jointly issued guidelines to support the issuance of REITs for eligible consumer infrastructure [4][12] - The China Green Development Commercial REIT was officially listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, marking the 68th product in the public REIT market [13][14] 2. Market Review - The CSI REITs closing index was 880.9, up 11.83% year-on-year but down 1.46% month-on-month; the CSI REITs total return index was 1109.13, up 18.46% year-on-year but down 1.38% month-on-month [15][20] - Year-to-date, the CSI REITs closing index has increased by 16.45%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which has risen by 14.3% [15][20] 3. Weekly Tracking - The weekly performance of various REIT sectors showed declines: housing (-1.94%), environmental (-0.88%), highway (-1.83%), industrial park (-1.06%), warehousing logistics (-2.37%), energy (-0.30%), and consumer REITs (-1.93%) [36][52] - The monthly performance for housing REITs was positive, with a 5.98% increase [36] 4. Market Activity - There are currently 16 REITs waiting to be listed, indicating a vibrant issuance market [6][36] - The average turnover rate over the past 30 days was 0.62%, down 10.11% year-on-year [30][34]
数字基建REITs破冰释放积极信号
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-27 22:10
Core Viewpoint - The transition of the REITs market from traditional infrastructure to new infrastructure, particularly in data centers, is expected to enhance the digital economy and foster high-quality development in China [1][3]. Group 1: Development of REITs - The recent approval of two infrastructure REITs focused on data centers marks a significant step in the expansion of the REITs market in China [1][2]. - The issuance of infrastructure REITs has entered a normalization phase, indicating the end of a four-year pilot program and the beginning of a new journey for the market [2]. - Currently, there are 70 infrastructure REITs projects listed in China, with a total fund issuance amounting to 179.4 billion yuan, which is expected to drive over 1 trillion yuan in new project investments [4]. Group 2: Market Potential and Opportunities - The REITs market in China has become the largest in Asia and the second largest globally, with significant potential for future growth, especially in the securitization of new asset types like intellectual property and data assets [4]. - The successful listing of data center REITs indicates a breaking down of financing barriers for private enterprises in large infrastructure projects, enhancing their investment confidence [3]. - The "investment-operation-revitalization-reinvestment" cycle created by digital infrastructure REITs can be replicated in other sectors such as 5G and smart cities, promoting further integration of finance and the real economy [3].
深市REITs平稳运行四周年 市场活力持续释放
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-06-22 17:10
Group 1 - The first batch of 9 infrastructure public REITs in China marks its fourth anniversary, showcasing a robust growth trajectory since the pilot program was initiated in April 2020 [1][2] - As of now, there are 22 REITs listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with a total fundraising scale of 57.81 billion yuan, covering various asset types such as ecological protection, industrial parks, toll roads, and logistics [1][2] - The "first issuance + expansion" dual-driven model has become a key development direction for the REITs market, with significant policy support for expansion [1][2] Group 2 - The total market capitalization of the 22 REITs on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange is approximately 68.67 billion yuan, with an average closing price increase of 25.18% compared to the issuance price, and a total dividend payout exceeding 6.54 billion yuan [2] - The approval of the first data center REIT, Southern Runze Technology REIT, on June 18, 2025, signifies a critical step towards new infrastructure sectors and supports the development of cutting-edge industries like AI and cloud computing [2] Group 3 - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange aims to promote high-quality development of the REITs market, focusing on expanding the pilot scale and supporting the issuance of REITs in technology innovation sectors [3] - Efforts will be made to improve regulatory mechanisms, enhance the quality of listed REITs, and optimize investor structure by encouraging institutional investors to participate more actively [3]
扩募与首发齐头并进 公募REITs市场持续扩容
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-06-13 16:14
Group 1 - The public REITs market in June continued to heat up, with significant activities including the successful expansion of the first public REIT for affordable rental housing, Huaxia Beijing [1][2] - The expansion of Huaxia Beijing REIT raised approximately 946 million yuan (about 94.6 million) through a targeted offering to 24 specific investors, with a final sale price of 4.220 yuan per share [2][3] - The successful issuance of the CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT, which sold out in one day, indicates strong market interest, with a total fundraising scale of 236.823 billion yuan (about 23.68 billion) [5][6] Group 2 - The expansion of Huaxia Beijing REIT is seen as a breakthrough in the affordable rental housing REIT sector, setting a benchmark for similar products and providing a replicable model for future projects [3][4] - The management of Huaxia Beijing REIT emphasizes that the expansion not only enhances the growth potential of the product but also offers investors new opportunities in the development of affordable housing in Beijing [3][4] - As of June 13, 2023, there have been 8 public REITs successfully launched this year, with the total market value of public REITs surpassing 200 billion yuan for the first time [6]
REITs 规模破 2000 亿,发行节奏有所加快
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-06-08 13:30
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the REITs industry [2]. Core Insights - The total market capitalization of the REITs industry has surpassed 200 billion yuan, reaching 2020.74 billion yuan, with 66 listed companies [2]. - The REITs index increased by 1.58% this week, with operational rights REITs rising by 3.74% and property rights REITs by 0.01% [12][16]. - The report highlights a significant increase in issuance pace, with several REITs launching and experiencing high subscription rates [6][9]. Market Performance Summary - The REITs index performance this week shows a 1.58% increase, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.88%, and the CSI 500 Index, which increased by 1.60% [12][16]. - The trading volume for the week was 20.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.1%, with daily turnover rates averaging 0.4% [35]. - Specific sectors within REITs showed varied performance, with highway REITs seeing a 19.9% increase in trading volume, while clean energy REITs experienced a 40.3% decline [35]. Key Events - The issuance price for the CICC Yizhuang Industrial Park REIT was set at 2.720 yuan per share, with a total of 400 million shares available, and an initial subscription rate of 265.76 times [6][9]. - The Huaxia Special Transformer New Energy REIT saw a cumulative increase of 50.63% before a temporary suspension of trading [6][9]. - The report notes ongoing inquiries and feedback from exchanges regarding various REITs, indicating active regulatory engagement [6][9]. Valuation Situation - The estimated yield for various REITs ranges from -2.47% to 10.52%, with the highest yield observed in the Huaxia China Communications REIT at 10.52% [41]. - The Price-to-NAV (P/NAV) ratio for REITs varies between 0.77 and 1.79, indicating differing valuations across the sector [41].