Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for resource stocks, emphasizing the continued performance of the non-ferrous metals sector [2]. Core Views - The report highlights the impact of U.S. tariffs on copper imports, which have led to a decrease in domestic copper prices by 1.63% [5]. - It notes a decline in aluminum ingot inventory and an increase in aluminum rod inventory, indicating mixed trends in the aluminum market [5]. - The report emphasizes the strong earnings growth forecasts for several companies in the sector, driven by production increases and favorable raw material prices [5][7][8]. Industry Overview - **Basic Industry Data**: The non-ferrous metals sector comprises 125 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 31,100.02 billion and a circulating market value of 27,077.84 billion [2]. - **Performance Metrics**: The sector has shown a 6.0% absolute performance over the past month and 18.7% over the past year, indicating a positive trend [3]. - **Copper Market**: The report discusses the implications of a 50% tariff on copper imports announced by the U.S., which has led to a significant market reaction and price adjustments [5]. - **Aluminum Market**: The report notes a decrease in aluminum ingot inventory and an increase in aluminum rod inventory, suggesting a complex market dynamic influenced by both supply and demand factors [5]. Company Insights - **Yun Aluminum Co.**: The company forecasts a 7.19% to 11.16% increase in net profit for H1 2025, attributed to full production capacity and favorable raw material prices [5]. - **Zhongfu Industrial**: Expected net profit growth of 53.35% to 62.37% for H1 2025, driven by cost reductions and increased sales prices [5]. - **Jincheng Mining**: Anticipates a net profit increase of 74.62% to 82.78% for H1 2025, supported by higher sales volumes and effective cost control measures [5]. - **Hunan Gold**: Projects a 40% to 60% increase in net profit for H1 2025, primarily due to rising sales prices of gold and antimony products [7]. - **Huayou Cobalt**: Forecasts a net profit increase of 55.62% to 67.59% for H1 2025, benefiting from integrated operations and rising cobalt prices [8]. - **North Rare Earth**: Expects a staggering net profit increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% for H1 2025, driven by significant growth in production and sales of rare earth products [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting an increase in metal prices due to rising interest rate cut expectations [2]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring copper smelting negotiations, which have reached a critical point with TC/RC set at 0.0 USD/dry ton, indicating ongoing tightness in copper concentrate supply and potential production cuts in the second half of 2025 [8]. - It also notes that domestic aluminum ingot inventories are showing signs of accumulation, but the expectation of interest rate cuts may support aluminum prices moving forward [8]. - The report highlights the strong performance of specific companies, such as China Hongqiao, which is expected to see a 35% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by higher sales prices and volumes of aluminum alloy and alumina products [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals sector includes 125 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 295.59 billion CNY and a circulating market value of about 257.00 billion CNY [5]. 2. Market Performance - The absolute performance of the sector over the past month, six months, and twelve months has been 9.1%, 15.3%, and 22.7% respectively, indicating a strong upward trend [6]. 3. Copper Industry Insights - The report discusses the copper smelting industry, noting that the TC negotiations have reached 0.0 USD/dry ton, which may lead to increased production pressure in the latter half of 2025 [8]. - It also mentions that copper prices increased by 1.3% in response to these developments and the interest rate cut expectations [8]. 4. Aluminum Industry Insights - The report tracks aluminum inventory levels, indicating a slight increase in domestic aluminum ingot inventories, with a total of 463,000 tons reported [8]. - The report suggests that the aluminum market may face challenges due to seasonal effects but could be supported by the anticipated interest rate cuts [8]. 5. Precious Metals and Small Metals - The report recommends focusing on companies in the precious metals sector, such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Company, as well as small metals like tin and silver, which are expected to see production growth [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating on non-ferrous metal stocks, particularly under supply constraints, anticipating strong performance in the upcoming months [2]. Core Insights - The suspension of mining operations by Alphamin Resources in the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to shift the tin supply-demand balance from slight surplus to slight shortage in 2025 [3][8]. - The report highlights a significant increase in aluminum demand and a reduction in inventory levels, indicating a positive trend for aluminum prices and profitability in the sector [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for price increases in strategic minor metals such as tin, antimony, and cobalt due to supply constraints and rising demand [8]. Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector consists of 126 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 30,247.68 billion [4]. - Recent performance metrics show a 6.3% increase over the past month and a 34.0% increase over the past six months for the sector [5]. - The report notes that copper inventories have reached a turning point, with ongoing supply-demand conflicts in the mining and smelting sectors [7]. Aluminum Industry Insights - Domestic aluminum ingot social inventory has decreased to 869,000 tons, reflecting a 1.5% reduction week-on-week, indicating improving demand [7]. - The report forecasts continued improvement in aluminum fundamentals as the peak season approaches, with expectations of profit recovery in the electrolytic aluminum industry [7]. Copper Industry Insights - The report indicates a decrease in domestic electrolytic copper inventory to 352,900 tons, down by 18,000 tons week-on-week, suggesting tightening supply conditions [7]. - The report suggests that the copper market is experiencing heightened tensions between mining and smelting operations, which could impact future pricing [7]. Minor Metals Insights - The report anticipates a significant increase in tin production from Alphamin, with a projected output of 20,000 tons in 2025, which could be affected by the recent suspension of operations [8]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with clear growth potential in tin and antimony production, such as Xingye Silver Tin and Hunan Gold [8].