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华尔街到陆家嘴精选丨美国5月小非农惨遭滑铁卢 特朗普再度要求降息!美财政部创纪录回购美债 日债今日发行是否顺利?SpaceX今年收入将超155亿美元 明年或超NASA整年预算
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 01:27
Group 1: Employment Data and Economic Outlook - The ADP employment data for May showed an increase of 37,000 jobs, the smallest growth since March 2023, significantly below the expected 110,000 jobs, indicating a potential cooling in the labor market and economic uncertainty [1][2] - The decline in employment growth has led to a decrease in confidence in the US dollar, resulting in a drop in the dollar index [2] Group 2: US Treasury Actions - The US Treasury conducted a record $10 billion buyback of old bonds to inject liquidity into the market, which is seen as a "light QE" measure amid rising bond yields and market volatility [1][2] - The Treasury plans to issue $65 billion in new bonds, reducing the scale of previous issuances, indicating a strategic adjustment in debt management [2] Group 3: CrowdStrike Financial Performance - CrowdStrike reported Q1 revenue of $1.1 billion, a nearly 20% year-over-year increase, but incurred a net loss of $110 million compared to a profit of $42.8 million in the same period last year [3][4] - The company expects Q2 adjusted earnings per share of $0.82 to $0.84, but revenue guidance of up to $1.15 billion is below expectations, causing a nearly 5.8% drop in stock price [3] Group 4: SpaceX Revenue Projections - Elon Musk projected SpaceX's revenue for this year to exceed $15.5 billion, with $1.1 billion coming from NASA, and indicated that next year's revenue could surpass NASA's budget [5][6] - The revenue growth is attributed to increased rocket launch services and Starlink business, with expectations of 170 launches this year compared to 134 last year [6] Group 5: Nuclear Power Sector Growth - US nuclear stocks have surged, with companies like Energy Fuels seeing over 17% gains recently, driven by major tech firms entering nuclear power agreements [7][8] - The nuclear sector is expected to enter a decade-long growth cycle, with structural shortages in the global uranium market anticipated [7] Group 6: Coking Coal Market Dynamics - Coking coal futures saw a strong increase of over 7%, but analysts suggest that prices may still face downward pressure due to supply-demand imbalances [9][10] - Domestic coking coal production increased by 6% year-over-year in the first four months, while demand remains weak, leading to concerns about oversupply [9]
5月26日连板股分析:连板股晋级率40% 可控核聚变、无人配送等题材活跃
news flash· 2025-05-26 08:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the stock market is experiencing a recovery in short-term sentiment, with a notable increase in the number of stocks hitting the daily limit up, particularly in sectors like controllable nuclear fusion and unmanned delivery [1] - A total of 61 stocks reached the daily limit up, with 10 stocks classified as consecutive limit-up stocks, and a promotion rate of 40% for these stocks [1] - Among the stocks, Suzhou Longjie exceeded expectations with a limit-up, while Zhongchao Holdings achieved a remarkable 10 consecutive limit-ups over 16 days [1] Group 2 - The controllable nuclear fusion concept saw significant gains, with over 20 stocks either hitting the limit up or rising more than 10%, including Zhongchao Holdings and Shangwei Shares [1] - The unmanned delivery vehicle concept remained active, with Zhongyou Technology hitting a 20% limit up and reaching a historical high [1] - Notable individual stock performances include Yibin Paper with 5 limit-ups in 6 days and Anada with 5 limit-ups in 9 days [2]
晨报|关税僵局VS政策托底
中信证券研究· 2025-04-28 00:14
裘翔 | 中信证券首席A股策略师 S1010518080002 策略聚焦 | 再次高低切换 在彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施前,中美贸易谈判可能进展有限;国内的政策是托 底和应对式的,4月只是第一波以试验和预防为特征的政策;筹码出清相对彻底且对 业绩不敏感的主题阶段性占优;市场整体情绪位置不算低,科技板块相对医药和消费 更接近冰点,对风偏回升更敏感。配置上,5月关注新技术和产业题材轮动、海外科 技映射链修复以及服务业扩内需政策落地。 风险因素:中美科技、贸易、金融领域摩擦加剧;国内政策力度、实施效果或经济复 苏不及预期;海内外宏观流动性超预期收紧;俄乌、中东地区冲突进一步升级;我国 房地产库存消化不及预期;特朗普政策侧重点超预期。 杨帆|中信证券 宏观与政策首席分析师 S1010515100001 中信证券|强化底线思维,充分备足预案:政治局会议学习体会 2025年4月政治局会议指出,虽然一季度经济开局良好,但外部冲击影响加大,下行 风险显著上升;需要"强化底线思维",对外部压力从最坏处准备,努力争取最好的结 果,因时而动用好政策工具箱,巩固经济与社会稳定。 风险因素:经济增速下行风险;政策力度或效果不及预期; ...