长江基建发布半年报，1H25 实现营收22.09 亿港元（yoy -10.9%），归母净利43.48 亿港元（yoy +0.9%）。公司分派中期股息18.39 亿港元，占归母净利的42.3%；对应DPS 0.73 港元（1H24 0.72 港 元）。考虑公司业务模式具有强抗风险能力，多个资产有望于2025/26 年迎来回报率上调窗口期，我们 认为未来公司利润或稳中有增，维持"买入"评级。 1H25 英国/电能实业溢利贡献同比+19/+1%，澳洲/加拿大同比-8/9%受益于受规管资产与2024 年收购的 可再生能源组合的稳健运营及英镑汇率走强，1H25 英国业务贡献溢利22.23 亿港元（yoy +19.2%），考 虑到RIIO-2约定超支费用回收周期自2 年调整为1 年内，UK Power Networks（UKPN）于2H24 迎来超支 费用回收高峰期（RIIO-ED2 自2023/4/1 开始），2H25溢利贡献或同比承压。1H25 电能实业稳健运营， 贡献溢利10.95 亿港元（yoy+1.2%）。1H25 澳洲业务贡献溢利7.93 亿港元（yoy -8.2%），主要系 EnergyDevelopmen ...

机构：华泰证券 随受规管资产回报率上调，看好公司未来业绩稳中有增公司旗下多个于2020/21 年低利率时期进入上一 规管期的受规管资产将于2025/26 年进入新规管期，我们看好回报率实现提升，支撑公司未来业绩稳中 有增。英国地区，Northumbrian Water 已于2025/4/1 进入新规管期，为获取更优条款，公司目前正向监 管机构申请重新裁定，预计上诉结果将于年底公布（现有监管方案中准许回报率同比提升0.83pct 至 4.03%）；Northern GasNetworks（NGN）、Wales & West Utilities（WWU）将于2026/4/1 进入RIIO- GD3，Ofgem已于2025/8/1 发布监管草案，准许回报率同比提升1.37pct至4.22%。澳洲地区，SAPN 外的 其他受规管资产多于2026 年进入新规管期，同一监管机制下我们预期该部分资产也将实现准许回报率 的提升。 盈利预测与估值 考虑到1）UKPN 受去年同期高基数影响2H25 溢利贡献或同比承压；2）SAPN、NGN、WWU 等受规 管资产准许回报率的上调将支撑公司未来盈利提升；3）据公司公告，UK Rai ...

Financial Performance Summary - The total operating revenue for the first half of 2025 was RMB 162,339.14 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.94% compared to RMB 159,250.43 million in the same period last year [1] - Operating profit decreased by 24.71% to RMB 1,290.54 million from RMB 1,714.19 million year-on-year [1] - Total profit fell by 35.62% to RMB 1,199.49 million from RMB 1,863.09 million in the previous year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses increased by 66.35% to RMB 627.00 million from RMB 376.91 million year-on-year [1][2] - Basic earnings per share decreased by 19.19% to RMB 0.0139 from RMB 0.0172 in the previous year [1] Asset and Equity Overview - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were RMB 456,311.55 million, up 3.70% from RMB 440,011.77 million at the beginning of the period [1] - The equity attributable to shareholders increased by 7.41% to RMB 57,832.0818 million from RMB 53,840.0659 million [1] Operational Metrics - The total electricity sales volume was 228,743 million kWh, a slight decrease of 0.08% year-on-year [1] - The total gas sales volume was 9,190 million cubic meters, down 1.10% year-on-year [1] - The total water sales volume was 3,084 million cubic meters, also showing a decline [1] Cost and Profitability Factors - The implementation of a new time-of-use electricity pricing policy from May 2025 reduced gross profit from electricity sales, alongside increased gas purchase costs due to new contract terms, collectively reducing profits by approximately RMB 27 million [1] - Increased self-generated electricity and small hydropower generation led to a decrease in electricity purchase costs, resulting in a gross profit increase of approximately RMB 29 million [1] - The absence of non-recurring gains from asset disposals in the previous year, which amounted to approximately RMB 3.4 million, contributed to the decline in overall profit [1] - An increase in impairment losses due to aging receivables added approximately RMB 3.3 million in costs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company received an inquiry letter from the Shanghai Stock Exchange regarding its 2024 annual report, prompting a detailed response concerning its engineering business and contract assets [1]. Group 1: Engineering Business and Revenue - In 2024, the company's engineering construction and other businesses generated revenue of 803 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.94% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 34.52%, down 4.85 percentage points from the previous year [1]. - The year-end balance of contract assets was 222 million yuan, a significant increase of 150.8% year-on-year, primarily due to completed engineering projects that had not yet reached the collection point [1][9]. - The company reported a cumulative provision for bad debts of 12.55 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Revenue Breakdown and Margin Analysis - The revenue breakdown for engineering construction and other businesses included: - Expansion projects: Revenue of 272.27 million yuan, gross margin of 46.21% - Old community renovation: Revenue of 193.35 million yuan, gross margin of 23.19% - Power distribution projects: Revenue of 164.88 million yuan, gross margin of 15.71% - Service business: Revenue of 114.86 million yuan, gross margin of 65.89% - Wastewater treatment: Revenue of 10.54 million yuan, gross margin of 13.98% - Others: Revenue of 47.51 million yuan, gross margin of 7.56% [3]. - The gross profit margin for expansion projects decreased from 55.88% to 45.37% due to the impact of the real estate market [3]. Group 3: Contract Assets and Bad Debt Provisions - The company’s contract assets primarily consist of completed but unsettled engineering business. The major projects include old community renovation projects, with clients mainly being government units with good credit [5][10]. - The company has a bad debt provision policy based on aging, with a 5% provision for assets aged within one year and a higher percentage for older assets [5]. - The company believes that the basis for the provision for bad debts is sufficient, given the long settlement cycles of the projects [5][10]. Group 4: Audit and Compliance - The annual audit confirmed that the company’s revenue recognition policies comply with accounting standards, and there were no indications of premature revenue recognition [9][14]. - The audit procedures included reviewing cost occurrence data, settlement documents, and project completion records to ensure the reasonableness of revenue recognition [9][14].

Economic Performance - In May, the industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year, down from 6.1% in April, with a cumulative growth of 6.3% from January to May[1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 6.4% year-on-year in May, up from 5.1% in April, with a cumulative growth of 5.0% from January to May[1] - Fixed asset investment from January to May increased by 3.7% year-on-year, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous value, with May's investment growth at 2.7%, a decline of 0.8 percentage points from April[1][2] Industrial Sector Insights - The manufacturing sector's added value growth slowed to 6.2% in May, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, primarily due to external trade environment changes affecting export trade[4] - Despite a slowdown in export delivery value growth to 0.6% in May, the industrial added value remained around 6.0% due to domestic demand policies and technological innovation[5] - High-tech manufacturing added value grew by 8.6%, indicating strong support for overall industrial performance[5] Consumer Behavior - The rapid growth in retail sales was driven by the "old-for-new" policy for durable goods, with significant increases in categories like home appliances (53.0% growth) and communication equipment (33.0% growth) in May[8] - Automotive retail sales saw a rebound with a 13.6% increase, although the retail sales growth was only 1.1%, indicating pricing pressures in the market[8][9] Investment Trends - Manufacturing investment from January to May showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 8.5%, with equipment investment growing by 17.3%, contributing significantly to overall investment growth[10] - Real estate investment continued to decline, with a cumulative drop of 10.7% from January to May, and a monthly decline of 12.4% in May, reflecting ongoing market adjustments[11] - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) grew by 5.6% year-on-year from January to May, but May's growth slowed to 5.1% due to weak project funding and execution[12] Future Outlook - The economic outlook suggests continued challenges from external trade dynamics, with expectations of further monetary easing and fiscal measures to support growth in the second half of the year[3][13] - The real estate market's stabilization is crucial for boosting consumer confidence and investment, with anticipated support measures to enhance housing market recovery[11][14]

Group 1 - In May, Guangdong Province had the highest number of newly registered business entities, totaling 270,167, a decrease of 52,000 from the previous month [2] - The top ten provinces for new business registrations included Hubei, Henan, Zhejiang, Shandong, Jiangsu, Hunan, Hebei, Fujian, and Sichuan [2][3] - Overall, the top ten provinces accounted for over 60% of the national new business registrations [3] Group 2 - Hubei Province recorded the fastest year-on-year growth in new business registrations at 8.33%, although this was a significant drop from the previous month's 26.10% [5] - Only six provinces experienced positive year-on-year growth in May, with the top ten growth rankings including Hubei, Hunan, Liaoning, Beijing, Shaanxi, Fujian, Shandong, Guangdong, Guangxi, and Zhejiang [5] Group 3 - The retail sector had the highest number of new business registrations in May, with 191,800 new entities, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.19% [7] - Other sectors with significant new registrations included wholesale, business services, technology promotion and application services, software and information technology services, construction and decoration, cultural arts, agriculture, professional technical services, and real estate [7] - The technology promotion and application services sector saw the fastest growth at 25.83% year-on-year [7] Group 4 - In May, the capital market financing demand decreased, with a total of 260 financing events and a total financing scale of 20.578 billion [9] - The manufacturing sector had the highest financing scale at 11.752 billion, accounting for 57.11% of the total [9] - The electricity, gas, and water production and supply sector received 3.217 billion, making up 15.63% of the total financing [9] Group 5 - In terms of regional financing, economically developed southeastern coastal provinces led in financing scale [10] - Jiangsu had 44 financing events with a total scale of 3.693 billion, while Shanghai achieved a financing scale of 3.042 billion [11] - The financing rounds showed that public offerings accounted for 24.22% of the total financing, with D-round financing at 21.59% and A-round financing at 14.26% [11]

Summary of Leshan Electric Power Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Leshan Electric Power - **Industry**: Electric Power and Utilities Key Financial Performance - **2024 Revenue**: 3.196 billion CNY - **2025 Q1 Profit**: Total profit of -1.8709 million CNY, net profit of -1.2038 million CNY, and net profit after non-recurring items of -2.7128 million CNY [2][10] - **2024 Power Generation**: 531 million kWh, up 1.74% YoY; Sales volume of 4.692 billion kWh, up 3.52% YoY [3] - **Gas Sales**: 1.72 million cubic meters, down 2.34% YoY; Water intake of 65.94 million cubic meters, up 7.66% YoY [2][11] Business Segments and Developments - **Water and Gas Business**: Water business growth offset some declines in gas sales, indicating a need for further optimization of the business structure [2] - **Infrastructure Development**: New construction and renovation of 5 substations and 104 km of transmission lines, along with upgrades to old gas pipelines and user connections [2][12] - **Energy Storage Projects**: The company’s 100 MW/200 MWh energy storage project was selected as a pilot project in Sichuan, with user-side storage capacity accounting for 30.56% of the province [2][13] Strategic Initiatives - **High-Quality Development Measures**: The company has outlined a strategic plan focusing on foundational stability, transformation, and efficiency improvements [4][5] - **Technological Innovation**: Investment in technology and innovation, including obtaining national high-tech enterprise certification and securing multiple patents [6][8] - **Safety Management**: Implementation of comprehensive safety management systems to enhance operational safety and management levels [7] Future Outlook - **Continued Focus on High-Quality Development**: Plans to maintain a focus on modernizing operations, enhancing core competitiveness, and leveraging technology for growth [9][15] - **Expansion of New Energy and Platforms**: Ongoing efforts to develop new energy projects, including virtual power plants and user-side storage solutions [8][9][13] Internal Control and Governance - **Internal Control Evaluation**: No significant deficiencies in financial reporting controls were reported, indicating effective internal control operations [14][16] Additional Insights - **Green Energy Transactions**: The company signed contracts with 938 customers for a total of 7.8 billion kWh, participating in green energy trading [2][13] - **Charging Infrastructure**: Expansion of charging stations and infrastructure, contributing to service revenue growth [13]