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帮主郑重:顺周期板块9月崛起,这三类龙头股有望领跑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 06:34
朋友们,我是帮主郑重。九月A股开门红,市场风格似乎正在悄然切换。连续超2万亿的成交额和美联储降息预期升温,让"顺周期"这个老朋友重新回到了 舞台中央。这波行情是昙花一现还是趋势性的机会?且听帮主给你捋一捋。 顺周期板块的崛起,背后是宏观环境、资金面和基本面三重因素的共振。 首先,全球制造业景气回升的预期是核心驱动力。美联储9月降息窗口即将打开, 这有望强化弱美元环境,对资源品价格产生新一轮催化,并推动市场逻辑从纯粹的现金流驱动向更广泛的信贷驱动和实体经济需求扩散。 其次,市场内在的轮动需求。8月以来科技成长板块涨幅巨大,拥挤度已处于高位。资金自然会去寻找那些同样具备业绩改善预期,但估值仍处低位的板 块。"盈利改善预期的兑现"将成为下个阶段市场的主要驱动力,顺周期板块正好契合这一点。 最后,扎实的业绩支撑。以有色金属为例,行业超九成公司上半年实现盈利,其中紫金矿业归母净利润同比大增54.41%,北方稀土更是惊人地增长了 1951.52%。铜、铝、稀土等主要金属价格同比上涨,呈现出量价齐升的格局,为股价提供了坚实的安全垫。 面对这样的机会,帮主的操作策略是: • 总仓位管理优于个股选择:市场可能进入高位震荡,保持 ...
中远海发:拟委托建造6艘21万吨级纽卡斯尔型散货船,总金额31.68亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 11:37
Group 1 - The company plans to construct six Newcastle-type bulk carriers with a deadweight of 210,000 tons through its wholly-owned subsidiary Hainan COSCO Shipping Development Co., Ltd. [1] - The total transaction amount for the construction of these vessels is 316.8 million RMB [1]
交运行业一周天地汇:24日美船舶法案听证,通过利好集运,否决利好船舶,关注德翔海运
申万宏源· 2025-03-16 02:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the transportation industry, particularly highlighting the potential benefits from the upcoming U.S. shipping legislation hearing on March 24, 2025 [4][23]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the U.S. shipping legislation and its potential impact on the shipping and logistics sectors, particularly for companies like 德翔海运 (Dexion Shipping) [4][23]. - The report identifies AI-driven logistics as a key factor in reducing logistics costs, with companies like 圆通速递 (YTO Express) expected to benefit significantly from digital transformation initiatives [6][23]. - The report notes a mixed performance across sub-sectors, with the express delivery sector showing the highest growth, while the airline sector faced declines [7][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The transportation index increased by 1.07%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.52 percentage points [7]. - The express delivery sector saw a significant increase of 3.62%, while the airline transportation sector experienced a decline of 1.81% [7][14]. Shipping and Logistics - The report highlights the volatility in shipping rates, with the VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) rates rising by 3% to $35,202 per day, while the Suezmax rates increased by 24% to $51,524 per day [25][24]. - The SCFI (Shanghai Containerized Freight Index) recorded a drop of 8.1%, indicating pressure on container shipping rates [27][39]. Air Transportation - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and domestic demand recovery are likely to enhance the airline sector's performance, with a focus on the potential for increased passenger volumes [44]. High Dividend Stocks - The report lists high dividend yield stocks in the transportation sector, including 渤海轮渡 (Bohai Ferry) with a yield of 12.07% and 大秦铁路 (Daqin Railway) with a yield of 7.07% [19][21]. Recommendations - The report recommends关注 (focus on) companies like 中国动力 (China Power), 中国船舶 (China Shipbuilding), and 招商轮船 (China Merchants Energy) for potential investment opportunities [24][23].