Market Overview - In 2025, the A-share market experienced an overall upward trend, with major indices recording significant gains, including an increase of over 18% in the Shanghai Composite Index and over 49% in the ChiNext Index [1] - The commodity market showed notable differentiation, with precious metals driven by safe-haven attributes and macroeconomic logic, achieving a cumulative annual increase of over 81% [1] Private Fund Performance - By the end of 2025, among 5,192 private funds displayed on the Private Fund Ranking website, the average annual return reached 31.93% [1] - Quantitative long and subjective long strategies performed particularly well, with average returns of 44.74% and 37.71%, respectively [1] - The active rotation in sectors such as consumption, technology, and high-end manufacturing created substantial structural opportunities for equity strategy funds, supported by active market trading and sustained liquidity [1] Strategy Performance Quantitative Long Strategy - The top-performing quantitative long products included 806 funds with an average return of 44.74% [3] - Notable products in this category included Gaia Qingke, Jintong Investment, and Hanrong Investment [4] Subjective Long Strategy - The subjective long strategy had 2,185 funds with an average return of 37.71%, with the highest entry threshold for the top 20 products [4][9] - Leading products in this category came from companies like Nengjing Investment Holdings and Shanghai Ge Ru Private Equity [10] Composite Strategy - The composite strategy saw 427 funds with an average return of 30.77%, with top products from Shuohe Asset and Tianhui Investment [12][15] Macro Strategy - The macro strategy included 133 funds, with the top products from companies like Jiuqi Investment and Luyuan Private Equity [16][18] - Notably, Luyuan Private Equity's product achieved significant returns, highlighting the effectiveness of macro strategies [20] Subjective CTA Strategy - The subjective CTA strategy had 78 funds, with top products from Yizu Investment and Chiying Private Equity [21][24] Quantitative CTA Strategy - The quantitative CTA strategy included 185 funds, with Hua Cheng Private Equity leading with significant returns [25][27] Private FOF Strategy - The private FOF strategy had 56 funds, with an average return of 20.55%, and top products from Shanghai Taiying and Qingdao Hongyun Ruiheng Private Equity [29][31] - The FOF strategy focuses on selecting and allocating multiple private funds to achieve diversified investment [29]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant upward trend in 2025, with major indices showing considerable gains, including an over 18% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index and a more than 49% rise in the ChiNext Index. Precious metals, driven by their safe-haven properties and macroeconomic logic, saw an impressive annual increase of over 81% [3]. Private Fund Performance - By the end of 2025, the average return for 5,192 private funds displayed on the Private Fund Ranking Network reached 31.93%. Notably, quantitative long and subjective long strategies performed exceptionally well, with average returns of 44.74% and 37.71%, respectively [3][5]. - The active rotation in sectors such as consumption, technology, and high-end manufacturing created substantial structural opportunities for equity strategy funds, further enhanced by active market trading and sustained liquidity [3]. Strategy Performance - Multi-asset strategies, including composite and macro strategies, also performed well, with average returns exceeding 29%. Other mainstream strategies, such as CTA and FOF strategies, achieved average returns above 20% [3]. - The top-performing strategies in 2025 included: - Quantitative Long: Average return of 44.74% - Subjective Long: Average return of 37.71% - Composite Strategy: Average return of 30.77% - Macro Strategy: Average return of 29.01% [5][6][11]. Top Funds by Strategy - The top 20 quantitative long products included firms such as Gaia Qingke, Jintong Investment, and Hanrong Investment, with the top threshold for returns being notably high [6][7]. - The leading subjective long products were from firms like Nengjing Investment Holdings and Shanghai Geryu Private Equity, with a high entry threshold for returns [11][13]. - In the composite strategy category, Shuohe Asset led the performance, followed by Tianhui Investment and Ningbo Shufa Private Equity [17][18]. - For macro strategies, notable performers included Jiuqi Investment and Luyuan Private Equity, with a significant number of products achieving high returns [20][21]. Private Fund of Funds (FOF) - The average return for private FOF products in 2025 was 20.55%, with the top ten funds including Shanghai Taiying and Qingdao Hongyun Ruiheng Private Equity [35][36]. - The leading FOF product, managed by Li Chunyu of Rongzhi Investment, achieved a notable return, emphasizing a focus on diversified asset allocation and risk management [40].

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 在私募行业中，主观多头策略始终是国内私募领域的核心主线，它既是基金经理认知深度与决策魄力的试金石，也是投资者穿越周期、追寻阿尔 法收益的重要倚仗。在刚过去的2025年，A股、港股、美股主要指数均录得不同程度的涨幅，私募主观多头产品整体也取得了不错的业绩。 私募排排网数据显示，截至2025年底，2048只符合排名规则的主观多头产品， 2025年收益均值高达37.78%，其中1923只产品年内实现正收 益，正收益占比高达93.90%。 收益分位统计来看，124只主观多头产品2025年收益在100%以上(占比6.05%)、491只主观多头产品2025年收益在50%以上(占比23.97%)、跑赢 年度沪深300指数的主观多头产品共1324只(占比64.65%)。 | 公司规模 | 符合排名规则 的产品数 | 2025年收益均值 | 正收益产品数 | 正收益占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 100亿以上 | 184 | 21.61% | 172 | 93.48% | | 50-100亿 | 114 | 34.52 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of multi-asset and multi-strategy investment approaches for achieving stable returns in the private equity sector, especially in the context of market fluctuations and varying performance across different strategies [10][12]. Market Performance - In 2025, the A-share market showed a notable performance with index increases of approximately 30% for both the 500 and 1000 indices, alongside high trading volumes, benefiting both subjective long positions and quantitative strategies [3]. - The commodity market also exhibited strengths, particularly in precious metals and non-ferrous metals, while energy and chemical sectors remained weak. The trend in lithium carbonate, driven by "anti-involution," provided trading opportunities for CTA strategies [3]. Strategy Performance - Despite the overall positive market conditions, not all strategies performed consistently well throughout the year. For instance, quantitative stock strategies faced challenges after August due to concentrated investments in AI technology stocks, leading to a situation where indices rose but individual stocks did not [6]. - Subjective long strategies experienced significant volatility, with extreme reversals in early and April causing many products to miss subsequent rebounds. The frequent rotation of structural market conditions resulted in notable performance differentiation among products [6]. - CTA strategies also displayed considerable performance variance, with many products enduring prolonged periods of low performance during the first half of the year [6]. Investment Outlook for 2026 - The article suggests that for 2026, investors should focus on multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches, which have gained popularity due to their ability to provide diversified income sources and risk mitigation [10][12]. - The demand for such products is evidenced by the rapid sell-out of strategies from leading institutions, such as Bridgewater's all-weather strategy and Man Group's macro strategy, indicating strong market interest [14][12]. Types of Multi-Asset Strategies - Three main types of multi-asset multi-strategy investment approaches are highlighted: 1. **Macro Strategies**: These strategies consider various macroeconomic factors to flexibly allocate across stocks, commodities, and bonds, aiming for stable absolute returns [15]. 2. **CTA Strategies**: These involve using multiple CTA strategies to trade indices, government bonds, and commodity futures, allowing for diversified asset allocation and profit from futures trading [15]. 3. **Multi-Strategy Combinations**: These strategies leverage low correlations between different strategies to achieve diversified returns and smooth overall volatility, exemplified by products like Blackwing's "quantitative + CTA + convertible bonds" combination [17][18]. Conclusion - The article concludes that despite favorable market conditions, volatility is inevitable, which can impact the holding experience and lead to missed long-term compounding returns. Therefore, a focus on multi-asset and multi-strategy private equity is recommended for better investment experiences and more predictable returns [20][21].

Market Overview - In 2023, major stock markets including A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and US stocks experienced significant volatility due to tariff issues, but benefitted from liquidity easing and advancements in AI technology, leading to varying degrees of increases in major indices from January to November [2] - The ChiNext Index in A-shares led with an increase of over 42%, while the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index both rose over 25%. Among US stocks, the Nasdaq outperformed with a rise of approximately 21% [2] A-share Performance - The performance of major A-share indices from January to November 2023 is as follows: - Shanghai Composite Index: +16.02% - Shenzhen Component Index: +24.67% - ChiNext Index: +42.54% - CSI 300: +15.04% - CSI 500: +22.81% - CSI 1000: +23.10% - CSI 2000: +31.65% [3] Private Equity Performance - The overall performance of private equity products under billion-yuan private equity firms was impressive, with an average return of approximately 29.55% from January to November 2023 [3] - Among the 663 billion-yuan private equity products displayed on the platform, over 80% were equity strategy products, which yielded an average return of about 32.74%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index [4] Strategy Breakdown - Equity strategy products accounted for 535 products, with quantitative long products achieving an average return of over 44% [4] - Multi-asset strategy products totaled 64, yielding an average return of approximately 21.68% [4] - Bond strategy products numbered 36, while futures and derivatives strategy products accounted for 25, with average returns of 10.26% and 9.17% respectively [4] Top Performing Products - The top-performing quantitative long products included: - Longqi Technology's "Longqi Technology Innovation Selected No. 1 C Class" led with returns exceeding ***% [8] - Other notable products came from Stable Investment, Lingjun Investment, and others, with returns surpassing the set threshold [6][11] - In the subjective long category, the top product was "Yuanxin China Active Growth C Class" managed by Wang Aoye from Yuanxin Investment, with returns close to ***% [11] Multi-Asset Strategy Leaders - The leading products in the multi-asset strategy category included: - "Heiyi Preferred Growth No. 1 A Class" managed by Chen Zehao from Heiyi Asset, with returns exceeding ***% [18] - Other top products came from firms like Jiuzhi Investment and Yinye Investment [15]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of controlling drawdowns in investment, especially in the context of recent market fluctuations, highlighting that achieving low drawdowns alongside high returns is a challenging goal for investors [2]. A-share Market Performance - As of October 2025, the A-share market has experienced varying levels of drawdown, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing the smallest drawdown of nearly 10%, while the ChiNext Index faced a maximum drawdown of approximately 21% [2]. - The performance of major A-share indices from January to October 2025 is as follows: - Shanghai Composite Index: +17.99% with a maximum drawdown of 9.71% - Shenzhen Component Index: +28.46% with a maximum drawdown of 14.98% - ChiNext Index: +48.84% with a maximum drawdown of 20.79% [3]. Private Fund Performance - In the "quantitative long" category, 27 products ranked in the top 30% for both returns and drawdown control, with a total of 825 products analyzed [4]. - The top five performing products in the quantitative long category for the year are from Jiuming Investment, Shengguanda, Evolutionary Asset, Beijing Guanghua Private Equity, and Qianhai Xuhui Asset [4]. - In the "subjective long" category, 29 products ranked in the top 20% for returns and drawdown control, out of 2156 products analyzed [9]. - The top five performing products in the subjective long category are from Junzhou Private Equity, Liangli Private Equity, Shanghai Ruixin Investment, Meigang Capital, and Fengyu Investment [9]. CTA Strategy Performance - In the CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) category, 22 products ranked in the top 30% for returns and drawdown control, from a total of 557 products analyzed [13]. - The top five performing products in the CTA category are from Hangjingxinghe Asset, Yidao Asset, Zhixin Rongke, Fubeng Investment, and Alpha Private Equity [13]. Multi-Asset Strategy Performance - In the multi-asset strategy category, 29 products ranked in the top 20% for returns and drawdown control, from a total of 710 products analyzed [16]. - The top five performing products in the multi-asset category are from Guoyuan Xinda, Yiqiao Asset, Xiamen Zhendao Private Equity, Shanghai Congrong Investment, and Qianming Asset [16].

Core Insights - The number of private equity firms managing over 10 billion yuan has surpassed 100, indicating a new phase of growth in the industry driven by market conditions and structural changes [1][2][3] - The shift from subjective to quantitative strategies marks a significant evolution in the private equity landscape, with quantitative firms now outnumbering subjective ones [4][5][6] Industry Growth - As of October 2023, the number of billion-yuan private equity firms reached 101, up from 96 at the end of September, with notable new entrants and returning firms [2] - The average return for billion-yuan private equity firms in the first three quarters of 2023 was nearly 30%, with over 98% of firms reporting positive returns [2][3] Performance Comparison - Quantitative private equity firms achieved an average return of 66.8% from September 2024 to October 2025, significantly outperforming subjective strategies, which returned 41.98% [5] - The average return for all private equity funds in the market was 25%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [3] Strategy Evolution - The current market environment has led to a preference for stable and reliable investment strategies, with investors increasingly favoring established firms with robust risk management and operational compliance [3][9] - The integration of quantitative methods into traditional subjective strategies is becoming common, as firms seek to enhance their investment capabilities and adapt to market changes [11] Investor Behavior - Investors are shifting from self-directed investments to allocating funds to private equity products, reflecting a growing trust in established firms [3][9] - There is a notable change in investor preferences, with a focus on stable returns and risk-adjusted performance rather than solely on high excess returns [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the high confidence among private equity firms in maintaining high stock positions during the upcoming long holiday, reflecting a belief in the resilience of the A-share market despite potential uncertainties [1][2][8]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Positioning - Over 65% of private equity firms plan to hold high or full positions (over 70% equity) during the long holiday, with an average stock position of 71.44% [2][8]. - A survey indicates that 70.19% of private equity firms are optimistic about the A-share market post-holiday, expecting a gradual recovery [3][8]. - The average stock position among private equity firms reached a new high of 78.41% as of September 19, 2023 [2]. Group 2: Macro Economic Factors - The chief strategist of Heisaki Capital believes that the beginning of a U.S. interest rate cut cycle and a shift towards a loose global liquidity environment will benefit capital markets in the long term [3]. - Domestic economic policies are supportive, with monetary and fiscal policies providing ample funding for the market [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Focus - A significant 59.62% of private equity firms favor technology growth sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and smart driving for post-holiday investments [5]. - The investment strategy of "core + satellite" is suggested, combining high-growth technology stocks with defensive low-valuation sectors to mitigate risks [5][6]. - There is a noted divergence in investment strategies, with some firms cautious about high valuations in technology stocks, while others remain committed to growth sectors [4][5]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article highlights a consensus among private equity firms that the market will experience a rotation between technology growth and value stocks, with 62.50% expecting a balanced market style [4]. - The potential for a "high-low cut" in market performance is acknowledged, where previously lagging sectors may catch up [6]. - Overall, despite differing views, there is a strong belief in the market's ability to generate returns in the medium to long term, particularly in technology sectors [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in August experienced significant structural differentiation, with the CSI 300 index rising by 10.33%, led by technology sectors such as electronics, computers, communications, and non-ferrous metals, while other sectors lagged behind [2][4]. Performance of Private Equity Funds - In August, 5,098 private equity products reported an average return of 6.50%, with an average excess return of -1.56%. Quantitative long-only products had an average return of 8.96%, but an excess return of -2.36%, indicating challenges in outperforming the index in a highly differentiated market [4][5]. - Subjective long-only products also underperformed, with an average return of 9.21%, which was still below the CSI 300 index's performance [4][5]. Top Performing Private Equity Firms - Among large private equity firms (over 100 billion), only two firms, Fusheng Asset and Xuanyuan Investment, managed to outperform the market in August, with average returns of approximately 3.42% and 15.89% year-to-date [5][7]. - In the 50-100 billion category, five firms, including Tongben Investment and Huaxin, achieved an average return of 12.16% in August, outperforming the market [10][11]. - In the 20-50 billion category, seven firms, led by Zige Investment and Shengqi Asset, reported an average return of 11.11% in August [15][16]. - In the 10-20 billion category, nine firms, including Liangli Private Equity and Jiuge Investment, managed to outperform the market with an average return of 8.90% [19][21]. - In the 5-10 billion category, twelve firms, led by Yijiu Private Equity, achieved an average return of 10.47% [22][23]. - In the 0-5 billion category, 37 firms, with Huichuang Fuxiang at the forefront, reported an average return of 9.56% [25][27]. Investment Strategies and Insights - Fusheng Asset focuses on a "compound interest victory" investment philosophy, emphasizing stable excess returns through a deep understanding of underlying business barriers [8][9]. - Xuanyuan Investment adopts a multi-strategy approach based on industry profitability and market conditions, maintaining a positive outlook on the market while managing risks [9]. - Shengqi Asset's founder has expressed optimism about gold prices, which have risen significantly this year [15][16]. - The overall sentiment among private equity firms indicates a cautious yet optimistic view on market conditions, with a focus on identifying undervalued companies and managing risk effectively [14][19].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown sustained active sentiment since the "9.24" market event last year, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching new highs, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the market [2] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of August 22, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed 3800 points, marking a nearly 10-year high, with a one-year cumulative increase of 34.03% for the index and 73.41% for the ChiNext Index [2] - The margin financing balance has also exceeded 2.1 trillion yuan for the first time in 10 years [2] Fund Performance - As of August 15, 2025, there are 1713 subjective long products with a total scale of approximately 1507.99 billion yuan, with an average one-month return of 9.62%, outperforming quantitative long products which averaged 8.47% [3] Top Performing Private Equity Firms - In the category of private equity firms with over 100 billion yuan, the top three firms based on average one-year returns are: - Fusheng Asset - Jiuqi Investment - Rido Investment [4][5] - Fusheng Asset has six qualifying subjective long products with a total scale of approximately 1.912 billion yuan, achieving a notable one-year return [5] - Rido Investment has 19 qualifying products with a total scale of approximately 12.09 billion yuan, also showing strong performance [5] Performance by Scale - For private equity firms with a scale of 20-100 billion yuan, the top three are: - Tongben Investment - Haokun Shengfa Asset - Shenzhen Dream Factory Investment [6][8] - In the 10-20 billion yuan category, the top three are: - Nengjing Investment Holdings - Jiuge Investment - Longhang Asset [11][13] - For the 5-10 billion yuan category, the top three are: - Yijiu Private Fund - Beijing Xiyue Private Fund - Fuyuan Capital [15][16] - In the 0-5 billion yuan category, the top three are: - Qinxing Fund - Binli Investment - Zhaoyi Investment [17][19] Investment Strategies - The investment strategies of top-performing firms include focusing on sectors such as entertainment, finance, healthcare, and traditional high-dividend assets, indicating a diversified approach to capitalizing on market opportunities [5][6]