【导读】私募"百亿俱乐部"成员再破百，这次有啥不一样？ 中国基金报记者 孙越 吴君 在市场行情助推下，私募基金行业迎来新一轮规模扩张。今年10月，百亿元级证券私募管理人数量再度 突破100家。与2021年首次突破百家时相比，这一次百亿阵营的结构与成色已然不同。 过去一年，A股市场在震荡中孕育结构性机会，同时，资金长期化、机构化的趋势明显增强。伴随着券 商投顾制度完善、机构代销渠道扩容等变化，头部量化私募的产品可得性与投资者信任度显著提升，推 动私募规模加速扩张。 百亿元级私募数量曾在2021年底首次突破100家，此后持续扩容，到2023年一度增至115家。然而，随着 市场行情低迷，私募规模大幅缩水，2024年8月，百亿元级私募数量曾降至80家。2024年"9·24"行情以 来，百亿元级私募数量重新回升，如今再度突破100家。 权益市场上行、私募业绩突出，是推动这一轮"百亿俱乐部"快速扩容的最直接原因。好买基金数据显 示，截至10月10日，近一年量化多头指数上涨39.01%，主观多头指数上涨25.93%。波克私募称，A股自 去年四季度以来企稳反弹，权益资产赚钱效应凸显，今年前三季度百亿元级私募平均收益率接近30 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the high confidence among private equity firms in maintaining high stock positions during the upcoming long holiday, reflecting a belief in the resilience of the A-share market despite potential uncertainties [1][2][8]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Positioning - Over 65% of private equity firms plan to hold high or full positions (over 70% equity) during the long holiday, with an average stock position of 71.44% [2][8]. - A survey indicates that 70.19% of private equity firms are optimistic about the A-share market post-holiday, expecting a gradual recovery [3][8]. - The average stock position among private equity firms reached a new high of 78.41% as of September 19, 2023 [2]. Group 2: Macro Economic Factors - The chief strategist of Heisaki Capital believes that the beginning of a U.S. interest rate cut cycle and a shift towards a loose global liquidity environment will benefit capital markets in the long term [3]. - Domestic economic policies are supportive, with monetary and fiscal policies providing ample funding for the market [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Focus - A significant 59.62% of private equity firms favor technology growth sectors such as AI, semiconductors, and smart driving for post-holiday investments [5]. - The investment strategy of "core + satellite" is suggested, combining high-growth technology stocks with defensive low-valuation sectors to mitigate risks [5][6]. - There is a noted divergence in investment strategies, with some firms cautious about high valuations in technology stocks, while others remain committed to growth sectors [4][5]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article highlights a consensus among private equity firms that the market will experience a rotation between technology growth and value stocks, with 62.50% expecting a balanced market style [4]. - The potential for a "high-low cut" in market performance is acknowledged, where previously lagging sectors may catch up [6]. - Overall, despite differing views, there is a strong belief in the market's ability to generate returns in the medium to long term, particularly in technology sectors [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in August experienced significant structural differentiation, with the CSI 300 index rising by 10.33%, led by technology sectors such as electronics, computers, communications, and non-ferrous metals, while other sectors lagged behind [2][4]. Performance of Private Equity Funds - In August, 5,098 private equity products reported an average return of 6.50%, with an average excess return of -1.56%. Quantitative long-only products had an average return of 8.96%, but an excess return of -2.36%, indicating challenges in outperforming the index in a highly differentiated market [4][5]. - Subjective long-only products also underperformed, with an average return of 9.21%, which was still below the CSI 300 index's performance [4][5]. Top Performing Private Equity Firms - Among large private equity firms (over 100 billion), only two firms, Fusheng Asset and Xuanyuan Investment, managed to outperform the market in August, with average returns of approximately 3.42% and 15.89% year-to-date [5][7]. - In the 50-100 billion category, five firms, including Tongben Investment and Huaxin, achieved an average return of 12.16% in August, outperforming the market [10][11]. - In the 20-50 billion category, seven firms, led by Zige Investment and Shengqi Asset, reported an average return of 11.11% in August [15][16]. - In the 10-20 billion category, nine firms, including Liangli Private Equity and Jiuge Investment, managed to outperform the market with an average return of 8.90% [19][21]. - In the 5-10 billion category, twelve firms, led by Yijiu Private Equity, achieved an average return of 10.47% [22][23]. - In the 0-5 billion category, 37 firms, with Huichuang Fuxiang at the forefront, reported an average return of 9.56% [25][27]. Investment Strategies and Insights - Fusheng Asset focuses on a "compound interest victory" investment philosophy, emphasizing stable excess returns through a deep understanding of underlying business barriers [8][9]. - Xuanyuan Investment adopts a multi-strategy approach based on industry profitability and market conditions, maintaining a positive outlook on the market while managing risks [9]. - Shengqi Asset's founder has expressed optimism about gold prices, which have risen significantly this year [15][16]. - The overall sentiment among private equity firms indicates a cautious yet optimistic view on market conditions, with a focus on identifying undervalued companies and managing risk effectively [14][19].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown sustained active sentiment since the "9.24" market event last year, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching new highs, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the market [2] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of August 22, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed 3800 points, marking a nearly 10-year high, with a one-year cumulative increase of 34.03% for the index and 73.41% for the ChiNext Index [2] - The margin financing balance has also exceeded 2.1 trillion yuan for the first time in 10 years [2] Fund Performance - As of August 15, 2025, there are 1713 subjective long products with a total scale of approximately 1507.99 billion yuan, with an average one-month return of 9.62%, outperforming quantitative long products which averaged 8.47% [3] Top Performing Private Equity Firms - In the category of private equity firms with over 100 billion yuan, the top three firms based on average one-year returns are: - Fusheng Asset - Jiuqi Investment - Rido Investment [4][5] - Fusheng Asset has six qualifying subjective long products with a total scale of approximately 1.912 billion yuan, achieving a notable one-year return [5] - Rido Investment has 19 qualifying products with a total scale of approximately 12.09 billion yuan, also showing strong performance [5] Performance by Scale - For private equity firms with a scale of 20-100 billion yuan, the top three are: - Tongben Investment - Haokun Shengfa Asset - Shenzhen Dream Factory Investment [6][8] - In the 10-20 billion yuan category, the top three are: - Nengjing Investment Holdings - Jiuge Investment - Longhang Asset [11][13] - For the 5-10 billion yuan category, the top three are: - Yijiu Private Fund - Beijing Xiyue Private Fund - Fuyuan Capital [15][16] - In the 0-5 billion yuan category, the top three are: - Qinxing Fund - Binli Investment - Zhaoyi Investment [17][19] Investment Strategies - The investment strategies of top-performing firms include focusing on sectors such as entertainment, finance, healthcare, and traditional high-dividend assets, indicating a diversified approach to capitalizing on market opportunities [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a significant upward trend since the U.S. tariff impact on April 7, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching above 3600, indicating a favorable environment for subjective investment strategies to outperform the market [1] Group 1: Performance of Subjective vs. Quantitative Funds - As of July 25, 2023, the average return for 1,231 quantitative private equity products was 4.74%, while 2,303 subjective private equity products achieved an average return of 5.74% over the same period [1] - The average return for subjective long-only products from private equity managers with assets over 5 billion reached 11.91%, with 96.30% of products showing positive returns [1][2] Group 2: Top Performing Fund Managers - The top three subjective private equity fund managers for the year include Tong Xun from Tongben Investment, Lu Hang from Fusheng Asset, and Wang Yiping from Evolutionary Asset, with their respective products achieving significant returns [1][3] - Tong Xun manages three products with a total scale of approximately 302 million yuan, while Lu Hang oversees five products totaling about 1.109 billion yuan [3] Group 3: Performance by Fund Size Categories - For funds sized 20-50 billion, the average return was 15.32%, with 91.16% of products showing positive returns, led by Xu Hongbing from Shenzhen Dream Factory Investment [5][6] - In the 10-20 billion category, the average return was 27.08%, with all products achieving positive returns, led by Sun Jie from Nengjing Investment [7][8] - The 5-10 billion category saw an average return of 22.88%, with Liu Xianglong from Fuyuan Capital leading the performance [10][11] - For the smallest category (0-5 billion), the average return was 18.36%, with Yao Yong from Qinxing Fund achieving the highest performance [13][14] Group 4: Investment Strategies and Focus Areas - Tong Xun and Lu Hang have successfully captured the "new consumption" trend, focusing on sectors that are expected to benefit from economic stabilization and differentiation [3][4] - Xu Hongbing emphasizes traditional business logic in investment, while Chen Yu from Shennong Investment focuses on innovative pharmaceuticals, which have seen significant market interest [7][9] - The investment philosophy of Yao Yong from Qinxing Fund is rooted in extensive company research, leveraging over 20 years of experience in the field [15]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a revitalization through various themes such as artificial intelligence, robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption, leading to new opportunities for stock strategy private equity products [2] Summary by Categories Stock Strategy Products Performance - As of July 25, there are 2,758 stock strategy products with nearly one year of performance data, averaging a return of 49.04% and a dynamic drawdown of 13.23% [2][3] - Among the four secondary strategies, quantitative long and subjective long products have the highest average returns of 65.01% and 48.24%, respectively [2][3] - Quantitative long products exhibit a lower dynamic drawdown of 10.99% compared to subjective long products at 15.06% [2][3] - The stock market neutral products have the lowest dynamic drawdown at 5.54%, primarily due to their use of shorting to hedge beta risk [2] Top Performing Products - In the quantitative long category, the top three products are managed by Shengguanda, Hainan Shengfeng, and Liangchuang Investment [4][5] - Among 674 quantitative long products, 368 have a dynamic drawdown below the average of 10.99%, accounting for 54.6% [4] - The top products in the quantitative long category are primarily from private equity firms with assets under management between 20-50 billion [4] Subjective Long Products - In the subjective long category, 1,098 out of 1,810 products have a dynamic drawdown below the average of 15.06%, representing 60.66% [10] - The top three products are managed by Qinxing Fund, Beiheng Fund, and Youbo Capital [10][12] Stock Market Neutral Products - In the stock market neutral category, 136 out of 208 products have a dynamic drawdown below the average of 5.54%, which is 65.38% [15] - The top three products are managed by Jiaji Fund, Saisuo Fund, and Liangkui Private Equity [15][17] Stock Long-Short Products - In the stock long-short category, 36 out of 66 products have a dynamic drawdown below the average of 10.47%, accounting for 54.55% [18] - The top three products are managed by Yihua Yinghe Fund, Shengquan Hengyuan, and Beijing Jintai Fund [18][20]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of subjective private equity funds in the A-share market, highlighting the advantages of subjective investment strategies over quantitative approaches in capturing structural opportunities and achieving superior returns [2][4]. Group 1: Performance of Subjective Private Equity Funds - As of July 25, 2023, the average return of subjective private equity funds was 5.74%, compared to 4.74% for quantitative funds [2]. - The average return for subjective long-only products in the top tier (over 5 billion) was 11.91%, with 96.30% of products showing positive returns [2][3]. - The top three fund managers in the over 50 billion category were Tong Xun from Tongben Investment, Lu Hang from Fusheng Asset, and Wang Yiping from Evolutionary Asset [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Manager Rankings by Size - In the 20-50 billion category, the average return was 15.32%, with 91.16% of products showing positive returns. The top managers were Xu Hongbing from Shenzhen Dream Factory Investment, Chen Yu from Shennong Investment, and He Xiao from Orange Capital [5][6]. - In the 10-20 billion category, the average return was 27.08%, with all products achieving positive returns. The leading managers were Sun Jie from Nengjing Investment, Zhai Jingyong from Rongshu Investment, and Ding Yushuang from Chenyao Private Fund [8][9]. - In the 5-10 billion category, the average return was 22.88%, with 91.99% of products showing positive returns. The top managers were Liu Xianglong from Fuyuan Capital, Chen Long from Youbo Capital, and Han Yongfeng from Jiu Private Fund [11][12]. - In the 0-5 billion category, the average return was 18.36%, with 90.24% of products showing positive returns. The top managers were Yao Yong from Qinxing Fund, Xian Lisheng from Weifang Fund, and Li Linkai from Xinjing Investment [15][16]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Market Trends - Tong Xun and Lu Hang successfully captured the "new consumption" trend, leading to their top performance in the market [4]. - Chen Yu from Shennong Investment focused on innovative pharmaceuticals, benefiting from the sector's strong performance this year [7][8]. - Liu Xianglong from Fuyuan Capital emphasized high-growth new consumption companies, indicating a strategic focus on sectors poised for recovery [12][13].

Core Insights - The private equity industry has witnessed three significant phenomena in the first half of the year, primarily centered around quantitative investment and AI advancements [2] - Quantitative private equity has outperformed subjective strategies, with average returns of 17.54% for 592 quantitative long products compared to 11.57% for 1,758 subjective long products [21] - The number of quantitative private equity firms managing over 10 billion yuan has surpassed that of subjective firms for the first time, with 41 quantitative firms compared to 40 subjective firms [2][28] Group 1: AI Breakthroughs in Quantitative Investment - The launch of the DeepSeek AI model has marked a new era for quantitative investment, gaining significant attention both domestically and globally [3] - DeepSeek has topped the download charts in China and the US, surpassing even ChatGPT in the US [3] - Several quantitative private equity firms have made notable advancements in AI, such as Jiukun Investment's collaboration with Microsoft and NianKong Technology's new training framework [3][4] Group 2: Advantages of Quantitative Private Equity in AI - Quantitative investment benefits from rich data resources accumulated over time, which aids in training and optimizing AI models [5] - The effectiveness of AI models can be validated through real-time performance tracking in quantitative strategies, allowing for timely adjustments [6] - The high demands of quantitative investment drive continuous innovation in AI technology, enhancing computational capabilities and processing speeds [8] Group 3: Performance Comparison - In the first half of the year, the average return for 194 quantitative long products from billion-yuan private equity firms was 18.84%, significantly outperforming the 4.80% average return of 171 subjective long products [21] - The top three billion-yuan private equity firms based on excess returns for quantitative products were Longqi Technology, Stable Investment, and Xinhong Tianhe [22] Group 4: Growth of Billion-Yuan Quantitative Firms - As of June 30, the number of billion-yuan quantitative private equity firms reached 41, surpassing subjective firms for the first time [28] - The overall number of billion-yuan private equity firms has increased to 90, with both quantitative and subjective firms showing growth [28][29]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the A-share market in the first half of the year, highlighting significant events in the fund industry and the rise of AI in quantitative investment strategies, particularly through the DeepSeek model developed by Huanfang Quantitative. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - In the first half of the year, the A-share market experienced volatility, with major indices rising; the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 2.76% and the Northern Securities 50 Index surged by 39.45%, reaching a historical high [2] - The market showed a clear structural differentiation, with a resonance between technology and dividend sectors [2] Group 2: Fund Industry Developments - Several major events in the fund industry sparked market discussions, including the emergence of DeepSeek in January and the collective support from prominent private equity firms for the Chinese market in April [2][3] - In May, a systematic reform document for the public fund market was released, marking a shift from a focus on scale to a focus on returns [2][6] Group 3: AI and Quantitative Investment - The launch of DeepSeek-R1, an AI model by Huanfang Quantitative, has garnered significant attention due to its cost-effectiveness, being approximately one-tenth the training cost of GPT-4, while achieving complex logical reasoning capabilities [3] - As of May 27, 15 major quantitative private equity firms have reported substantial progress in AI applications [4] Group 4: Fund Manager Responses to Market Conditions - In April, notable fund managers expressed confidence in Chinese assets despite tariff impacts, with some increasing their positions significantly [6][7] - Data shows that as of May 31, the number of billion-dollar quantitative private equity firms is approaching that of subjective private equity firms, indicating a growing trend in quantitative strategies [7] Group 5: Public Fund Systematic Reform - The systematic reform plan for public funds aims to shift the focus from "scale" to "returns," with specific measures to adjust performance compensation for fund managers based on their performance relative to benchmarks [16] - As of June 30, 2025, only 12.37% of actively managed equity funds exceeded their performance benchmarks by more than 10% over three years [16] Group 6: ETF Market Growth - The total scale of domestic ETFs surpassed 4 trillion yuan for the first time in April, driven by significant inflows from state-owned funds during market volatility [18] - The increase in ETF scale reflects a broader trend of institutional investment in the market, particularly during critical periods [18]

Market Performance - In April, the A-share market exhibited a V-shaped trend, but all three major indices closed lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 1.70%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 5.75%, and the ChiNext Index down by 7.40% [1] Private Fund Performance - Despite the market downturn, many private fund products reached historical highs in net value in April, with 974 private fund products achieving this milestone [1] - Among these, 406 were quantitative products and 568 were non-quantitative products [1] - The most common product strategy was equity strategy, with 333 products, followed by futures and derivatives strategy with 282 products, multi-asset strategy with 168 products, bond strategy with 160 products, and combination fund products with 31 products [1] Billion-Level Private Funds - A total of 71 products from billion-level private funds reached historical highs in April, with quantitative products making up 49 of these, nearly 70% [1] - The equity strategy was the most prevalent among these products, with 29 products, accounting for nearly 40% [1] Top Performers - Ten billion-level private funds had three or more products reaching new highs, with notable contributions from博润银泰投资 (9 products), 合晟资产 (7 products), and others [2] - The threshold for the top 10 private fund products in terms of returns over the past year was close to 26%, with four of these being quantitative long products [2] - The top five products in terms of returns came from博润银泰投资, 泓湖私募, 乐瑞资产, and宽德私募, with the latter holding two positions [2] Overall Private Fund Market - As of April 30, the average return for all private securities funds was 2.52%, with 8,758 products, or 69.82%, achieving positive returns, indicating a strong profit-making effect [2] - Quantitative long strategies significantly outperformed subjective long strategies, with an average return of 4.77% for 1,424 quantitative long products compared to 1.95% for 5,994 subjective long products [2] - The issuance of private fund products has seen a recovery, with nearly 3,500 new private securities investment funds registered this year, representing a nearly 40% increase compared to the same period last year [2]