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同程旅行(0780.HK):成本费用具持续优化空间 聚焦提升用户价值
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 20:01
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 4.669 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.0%, and an adjusted net profit of 775 million yuan, up 18.0% year-on-year [1][2] Financial Performance - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was 1.185 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.4%, up 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 65.0%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the adjusted net profit margin was 16.6%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from accommodation booking services was 1.371 billion yuan, up 15.2% year-on-year, while transportation ticketing services generated 1.881 billion yuan, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year [2] - Other business revenue reached 755 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.5%, while vacation business revenue was 662 million yuan, down 8.0% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing compared to Q1 2025 [2] User Metrics - The cumulative number of service users reached 1.99 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, with annual paid users hitting a record high of 252 million [2] - The average revenue per user (ARPU) for the first half of 2025 increased by 13.8% year-on-year, and the number of paid "Black Whale" members grew by 24% year-on-year [2] Business Development - The company's hotel management business is growing rapidly, with over 2,700 hotels under the "Elong" brand, and plans to acquire Wanda's hotel management business to enhance its high-end hotel brand matrix [2] - The company is expanding its services into niche markets, with a significant increase in transfer passenger flow at regional airports and a strong growth in first-time users of air travel services [2] - The company's self-owned app maintained strong growth in daily active users, reaching a historical high before the May Day holiday, and increased investment in social media to attract younger, experience-focused users [2] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.6 billion yuan, 3.08 billion yuan, and 3.59 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with adjusted net profits of 3.32 billion yuan, 3.71 billion yuan, and 4.22 billion yuan for the same period [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 17X, 15X, and 13X for net profit, and 14X, 12X, and 11X for adjusted net profit for the years 2025 to 2027 [3]
上半年营收90.5亿元! 同程旅行非一线市场布局进入收获期
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-08-19 17:09
Core Insights - Tongcheng Travel has experienced a significant growth period due to structural changes in the domestic tourism market, particularly in non-first-tier cities, leading to a revenue increase of 11.5% year-on-year to 9.05 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of 2.34 billion yuan, reflecting a 35.2% increase, and an adjusted net profit of 1.56 billion yuan [2] Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, Tongcheng Travel's accommodation business revenue grew by 18.8% year-on-year, reaching 2.56 billion yuan, driven by an increase in demand for quality accommodations [3] - The transportation ticketing service revenue rose by 7.9% year-on-year to 1.88 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with international ticket sales reaching a historical high, growing nearly 30% [4][5] User Engagement and Market Penetration - As of the end of Q2 2025, Tongcheng Travel's cumulative service users reached 1.99 billion, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, with over 87% of registered users coming from non-first-tier cities [6][7] - The company has expanded its service offerings to include a variety of transportation options, enhancing user engagement and satisfaction [7] Diverse Travel Demand - The demand for travel services has diversified, with a notable increase in leisure travel and experiences among users from non-first-tier cities, contributing to a 24.1% year-on-year growth in other revenues, reaching 1.36 billion yuan [8] - The introduction of innovative services such as "dynamic packaging" and "multi-modal transport combinations" has made travel more cost-effective for users [10]
同程旅行(00780):2季度符合预期,暑期住宿业务保持快速增长,利润率保持提升趋势
BOCOM International· 2025-08-19 07:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 25.50, indicating a potential upside of 29.7% from the current price of HKD 19.66 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, with a projected 15% year-on-year growth in core OTA business revenue for Q3, driven by a 10-15% increase in accommodation nights and stable ADR [2][7]. - The overall core OTA business is expected to grow by 16% for the year, with an operational profit margin improvement of approximately 2 percentage points, attributed to a strategic shift towards enhancing user ARPU and profitability in new business areas [2][3]. - Despite a 10% expected decline in revenue from the outbound travel business due to negative impacts in Southeast Asia, the company remains profitable [2]. Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for 2025 are set at RMB 19,295 million, reflecting an 11.3% growth rate, with adjustments showing slight decreases from previous forecasts [3][13]. - The accommodation booking segment is expected to generate RMB 5,505 million in revenue, while transportation ticketing is projected at RMB 8,032 million for 2025 [3][8]. - Adjusted operating profit for 2025 is forecasted at RMB 3,756 million, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 19.5% [3][13]. Operational Data - The company reported a robust growth in user base, with annual paying users reaching 252 million, a 10% increase year-on-year [6][7]. - The company's self-owned app remains a key channel for acquiring new users, contributing approximately 8% to core OTA revenue [6][7]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 8.02%, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 45.36 billion [5][12]. - The stock's 52-week high and low are HKD 23.45 and HKD 13.04, respectively [5].
同程旅行(00780):利润率持续改善,关注国际扩张表现
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-26 04:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has shown continuous improvement in profit margins, with a focus on international expansion performance [3][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.4 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 13%, and an adjusted net profit of 790 million yuan, up 41% year-over-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 18%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points year-over-year [5][6]. Financial Performance - The core online travel platform generated revenue of 3.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 18%, with an operating profit margin of 29.2%, up 6.6 percentage points year-over-year [6]. - Revenue from transportation ticketing reached 2 billion yuan, up 15% year-over-year, benefiting from increased demand and enhanced value-added services [6]. - Accommodation bookings generated 1.2 billion yuan in revenue, a 23% year-over-year increase, with international hotel night volume growing over 50% [6]. - The vacation business faced short-term revenue pressure, generating 590 million yuan, down 11.8% year-over-year, due to safety issues in Southeast Asia [6]. User Metrics - The average monthly paying user count reached 46.5 million, a 9.2% year-over-year increase, with annual paying users totaling 247 million, up 7.8% year-over-year [6]. - Over 87% of registered users reside in non-first-tier cities in China, with 68% of new paying users from these areas, reinforcing the platform's position in the mass market [6]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 19.3 billion, 22.1 billion, and 24.9 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 2.7 billion, 3.0 billion, and 3.5 billion yuan [8]. - The target market capitalization for 2025 is set at 51.4 billion yuan, with a target price of 24 HKD per share [8].