11月25日晚间，同程旅行披露截至2025年9月30日止三个月的业绩。当季，同程旅行收入由去年同期的49.915亿元同比增加10.4%至55.091亿元。经调整 EBITDA同比增加14.5%至15.103亿元；经调整EBITDA利润率增加至27.4%，去年同期为26.4%。经调整溢利净额同比增加16.5%至10.602亿元。经调整净利 润率由去年同期的18.2%增加至19.2%。 此外，当季来自度假业务的收入达9.003亿元，同比下降8.0%，主要由于旅客对东南亚旅游的安全担忧持续存在。 用户规模方面，2025年第三季度，同程旅行平均月付费用户同比增加2.8%至4770万人，创历史新高。年付费用户同比增加8.8%至2.529亿人，创历史新 高。另外，截至2025年9月30日止的十二个月，累计服务人次同比增加7.3%至20.194亿。 蔡淑敏/摄 业务细分来看，第三季度，同程旅行的住宿业务收入同比增长14.7%至15.795亿元。同程旅行表示，公司当季重点满足用户对高品质酒店日益增长的需 求，推动了平台上高品质酒店间夜量占比的显著提升，并强化了在低线城市高价值用户中的品牌认知度，另外在国际酒店方面，持续致力于 ...

财报显示，截至2025年三季度末，同程旅行年付费用户达到2.53亿，年累计服务人次突破20亿，创历史 新高。 同程旅行还在酒店市场持续发力。截至2025年9月末，艺龙酒店科技平台运营酒店数量已增至近3000 家，另有1500家正在筹建。2025年三季度，同程旅行其他收入板块同比增长34.9%，达到8.21亿元。随 着对万达酒管的收购，同程旅行将进一步完善酒店管理业务版图。 北京商报讯（记者 吴其芸）11月25日，同程旅行发布2025年三季度业绩报告，报告期内，同程旅行实 现营业收入55.09亿元，同比增长10.4%。其中，交通业务收入同比增长9%，达22.09亿元；住宿业务收 入实现14.7%的同比增长，达15.8亿元。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 25.50, indicating a potential upside of 18.4% from the current price of HKD 21.54 [1][5][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a 9% year-on-year revenue growth and a 13% increase in profit for the third quarter, with core OTA revenue projected to grow by 15% to RMB 4.6 billion [5][6]. - Adjustments have been made to the financial forecasts for 2025-2027, with total revenue estimates for 2025 set at RMB 19.232 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 10.9% [4][12]. - The report highlights that the travel industry is facing challenges due to weak demand for group tours in certain overseas regions, impacting overall performance [5][6]. Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 19,232 million, RMB 21,466 million, and RMB 23,703 million respectively, with a consistent growth trajectory [4][12]. - Adjusted net profit estimates for the same years are RMB 3,390 million, RMB 3,813 million, and RMB 4,278 million, indicating a steady increase in profitability [4][12]. - The gross profit margin is expected to remain stable, with slight improvements projected over the forecast period [4][12]. Performance Metrics - The company’s market capitalization is approximately HKD 49.996 billion, with a year-to-date stock price change of 18.35% [3][12]. - The stock has a 52-week high of HKD 24.28 and a low of HKD 16.88, indicating significant price movement within the year [3][12]. - Daily average trading volume stands at 5.46 million shares, reflecting active trading interest [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Tongcheng Group's subsidiary, Yilong Network Information Technology, has acquired 100% of Newborn Payment for approximately 300 million yuan, allowing the company to enter the payment sector indirectly through the acquisition of a payment license [1] - The acquisition is expected to benefit the company by leveraging opportunities in the Hainan Free Trade Port, focusing on cross-border trade and cultural tourism consumption, and aiding the digital upgrade of tourism consumption scenarios [1] - Newborn Payment, established in early 2008 and under HNA Group, is one of the first third-party payment companies in China to obtain a full payment license, with its license valid until May 2026 [1] Group 2 - After acquiring Newborn Payment, Tongcheng Travel can reduce payment costs and create synergies with its main business, which includes accommodation booking and transportation ticketing services [2] - The value of payment licenses has been increasing, with companies like JD.com, Meituan, and ByteDance acquiring licenses through similar means, while competitors like Ctrip have developed their own payment solutions [2] Group 3 - In the first half of 2025, Tongcheng Travel reported revenue of 9.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, with adjusted EBITDA of 2.34 billion yuan, up 35.2%, and adjusted net profit of 1.56 billion yuan, an increase of 28.6% [3] - Revenue from transportation ticketing for the same period was 3.88 billion yuan, growing by 11.6%, while accommodation booking revenue reached 2.56 billion yuan, up 18.8% [3]

Core Insights - Ctrip Group reported a net revenue of 14.843 billion RMB for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.22% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same quarter was 4.846 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year growth of 26.43% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Accommodation booking revenue for Q2 2025 reached 6.2 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 12% [1] - Transportation ticketing revenue was 5.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 11% and stable quarter-on-quarter performance [1] International and Inbound Tourism - Ctrip's international OTA platform bookings grew by over 60% year-on-year in Q2 2025 [1] - Inbound tourism bookings saw a remarkable increase of over 100% year-on-year, driven primarily by demand from South Korea and Southeast Asia [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 4.669 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.0%, and an adjusted net profit of 775 million yuan, up 18.0% year-on-year [1][2] Financial Performance - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was 1.185 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.4%, up 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 65.0%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the adjusted net profit margin was 16.6%, up 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from accommodation booking services was 1.371 billion yuan, up 15.2% year-on-year, while transportation ticketing services generated 1.881 billion yuan, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year [2] - Other business revenue reached 755 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.5%, while vacation business revenue was 662 million yuan, down 8.0% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing compared to Q1 2025 [2] User Metrics - The cumulative number of service users reached 1.99 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, with annual paid users hitting a record high of 252 million [2] - The average revenue per user (ARPU) for the first half of 2025 increased by 13.8% year-on-year, and the number of paid "Black Whale" members grew by 24% year-on-year [2] Business Development - The company's hotel management business is growing rapidly, with over 2,700 hotels under the "Elong" brand, and plans to acquire Wanda's hotel management business to enhance its high-end hotel brand matrix [2] - The company is expanding its services into niche markets, with a significant increase in transfer passenger flow at regional airports and a strong growth in first-time users of air travel services [2] - The company's self-owned app maintained strong growth in daily active users, reaching a historical high before the May Day holiday, and increased investment in social media to attract younger, experience-focused users [2] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.6 billion yuan, 3.08 billion yuan, and 3.59 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with adjusted net profits of 3.32 billion yuan, 3.71 billion yuan, and 4.22 billion yuan for the same period [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 17X, 15X, and 13X for net profit, and 14X, 12X, and 11X for adjusted net profit for the years 2025 to 2027 [3]

Core Insights - Tongcheng Travel has experienced a significant growth period due to structural changes in the domestic tourism market, particularly in non-first-tier cities, leading to a revenue increase of 11.5% year-on-year to 9.05 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of 2.34 billion yuan, reflecting a 35.2% increase, and an adjusted net profit of 1.56 billion yuan [2] Revenue Growth - In the first half of 2025, Tongcheng Travel's accommodation business revenue grew by 18.8% year-on-year, reaching 2.56 billion yuan, driven by an increase in demand for quality accommodations [3] - The transportation ticketing service revenue rose by 7.9% year-on-year to 1.88 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with international ticket sales reaching a historical high, growing nearly 30% [4][5] User Engagement and Market Penetration - As of the end of Q2 2025, Tongcheng Travel's cumulative service users reached 1.99 billion, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, with over 87% of registered users coming from non-first-tier cities [6][7] - The company has expanded its service offerings to include a variety of transportation options, enhancing user engagement and satisfaction [7] Diverse Travel Demand - The demand for travel services has diversified, with a notable increase in leisure travel and experiences among users from non-first-tier cities, contributing to a 24.1% year-on-year growth in other revenues, reaching 1.36 billion yuan [8] - The introduction of innovative services such as "dynamic packaging" and "multi-modal transport combinations" has made travel more cost-effective for users [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 25.50, indicating a potential upside of 29.7% from the current price of HKD 19.66 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, with a projected 15% year-on-year growth in core OTA business revenue for Q3, driven by a 10-15% increase in accommodation nights and stable ADR [2][7]. - The overall core OTA business is expected to grow by 16% for the year, with an operational profit margin improvement of approximately 2 percentage points, attributed to a strategic shift towards enhancing user ARPU and profitability in new business areas [2][3]. - Despite a 10% expected decline in revenue from the outbound travel business due to negative impacts in Southeast Asia, the company remains profitable [2]. Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for 2025 are set at RMB 19,295 million, reflecting an 11.3% growth rate, with adjustments showing slight decreases from previous forecasts [3][13]. - The accommodation booking segment is expected to generate RMB 5,505 million in revenue, while transportation ticketing is projected at RMB 8,032 million for 2025 [3][8]. - Adjusted operating profit for 2025 is forecasted at RMB 3,756 million, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 19.5% [3][13]. Operational Data - The company reported a robust growth in user base, with annual paying users reaching 252 million, a 10% increase year-on-year [6][7]. - The company's self-owned app remains a key channel for acquiring new users, contributing approximately 8% to core OTA revenue [6][7]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 8.02%, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 45.36 billion [5][12]. - The stock's 52-week high and low are HKD 23.45 and HKD 13.04, respectively [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has shown continuous improvement in profit margins, with a focus on international expansion performance [3][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.4 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 13%, and an adjusted net profit of 790 million yuan, up 41% year-over-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 18%, an increase of 3.6 percentage points year-over-year [5][6]. Financial Performance - The core online travel platform generated revenue of 3.8 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 18%, with an operating profit margin of 29.2%, up 6.6 percentage points year-over-year [6]. - Revenue from transportation ticketing reached 2 billion yuan, up 15% year-over-year, benefiting from increased demand and enhanced value-added services [6]. - Accommodation bookings generated 1.2 billion yuan in revenue, a 23% year-over-year increase, with international hotel night volume growing over 50% [6]. - The vacation business faced short-term revenue pressure, generating 590 million yuan, down 11.8% year-over-year, due to safety issues in Southeast Asia [6]. User Metrics - The average monthly paying user count reached 46.5 million, a 9.2% year-over-year increase, with annual paying users totaling 247 million, up 7.8% year-over-year [6]. - Over 87% of registered users reside in non-first-tier cities in China, with 68% of new paying users from these areas, reinforcing the platform's position in the mass market [6]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 19.3 billion, 22.1 billion, and 24.9 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 2.7 billion, 3.0 billion, and 3.5 billion yuan [8]. - The target market capitalization for 2025 is set at 51.4 billion yuan, with a target price of 24 HKD per share [8].