Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics has seen a significant decline in stock price, dropping over 30% from its September peak of 65 HKD, with a current price of 45.06 HKD, reflecting market concerns about its future profitability [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock of Changfei Fiber Optics (601869) and its subsidiary Changxin Bochuang (300548) has experienced a drop of over 4%, with a trading volume of 6.76 billion HKD [1] - The current stock price is reported at 45.06 HKD, down 3.92% at the time of reporting [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - Nomura's research indicates that the rise in Changfei's stock earlier this year was driven by market expectations of increased demand for high-end products like G.654E fiber and hollow fiber due to AI data centers [1] - The firm believes that the recent tender results from China Mobile show a decline in Changfei's market share and average selling price, which may pressure profitability starting from Q3 of this year [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating Changes - Nomura has downgraded its rating on Changfei from "Buy" to "Neutral," suggesting that the current stock price reflects the positive factors associated with AI business expansion [1] - The target price has been significantly adjusted from 18.6 HKD to 52 HKD, indicating a more cautious outlook despite the upward revision [1]

消息面上，华泰证券表示，公司是全球领先的光纤预制棒、光纤、光缆及综合解决方案供应商，自2016 年以来集团市场份额稳居全球第一。研报指出，市场认为公司成长天花板有限，而该行认为AI算力基 础设施建设有望驱动公司迎来新一轮成长：1)在光传输领域，数据中心多模光纤、骨干网G.654.E光纤 产品快速增长，空芯光纤产业应用前景广阔，公司作为行业龙头正在快速推进运营商长距传输网和数通 领域应用，具备先发优势；2)多元化打开成长空间，子公司长芯博创（300548）、长芯盛在MPO、 AOC、高速铜缆领域具备较强竞争优势，有望加速导入海外客户实现业务放量。 值得注意的是，9月19日，Draka Comteq B.V.通过大宗交易出售长飞光纤光缆3759.53万股H股，占总股 本5%，减持后H股数量为零。截至今年3月底，DrakaComteqB.V.和中国华信邮电科技有限公司并列长飞 光纤第一大股东，持股比例都是23.73%。4月17日至9月19日，Draka Comteq B.V.累计减持长飞光纤H股 近1.8亿股，占公司总股本的23.73%。 长飞光纤（601869）光缆(06869)尾盘涨超10%，截至发稿，涨10. ...

2020-2025年1-8月中国光缆产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 上市企业：长飞光纤(601869),特发信息(000070),中天科技(600522),亨通光电(600487) 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国电力光缆行业市场全景评估及发展趋势研究报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年8月中国光缆产量为2044万芯千米，同比下降10.7%；2025年1-8月中 国光缆累计产量为16686.8万芯千米，累计下降4.6%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics experienced a 5.04% decline in stock price, closing at 100.23 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 741 million CNY and a market capitalization of 75.965 billion CNY as of September 30 [1] Company Overview - Changfei Fiber Optics Co., Ltd. is located in Wuhan, Hubei Province, and was established on May 31, 1988, with its listing date on July 20, 2018 [1] - The company focuses on the telecommunications industry, particularly on telecom operators and data communication, specializing in the R&D and manufacturing of optical fiber preforms, optical fibers, and cables [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes: optical transmission products 64.50%, optical interconnection components 17.35%, other products 15.85%, and additional items 2.30% [1] Shareholder Information - The top circulating shareholder of Changfei Fiber Optics includes a fund from Caitong Fund, specifically Caitong Value Momentum Mixed A (720001), which entered the top ten circulating shareholders in the second quarter with 1.6368 million shares, representing 0.22% of circulating shares [2] - The estimated floating loss for this fund today is approximately 8.7077 million CNY [2] Fund Performance - Caitong Value Momentum Mixed A (720001) was established on December 1, 2011, with a current scale of 1.987 billion CNY [2] - Year-to-date return for the fund is 57.23%, ranking 784 out of 8167 in its category; the one-year return is 112.36%, ranking 201 out of 8010; and since inception, the return is 852.49% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of Caitong Value Momentum Mixed A is Jin Zicai, who has a cumulative tenure of 10 years and 319 days [3] - The total asset size of the fund is 4.319 billion CNY, with the best fund return during the tenure being 593.87% and the worst being -1.6% [3] Fund Holdings - Caitong Value Momentum Mixed A holds 1.6368 million shares of Changfei Fiber Optics, accounting for 3.17% of the fund's net value, making it the tenth largest holding [4] - The estimated floating loss for this position is also approximately 8.7077 million CNY [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on the company with a rating of "Buy" and sets a target price of RMB 115.52 / HKD 64.12, corresponding to a 2026 PE of 54x / 27x [1][5][7]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in the optical fiber preform, fiber, and cable industry, maintaining the largest market share since 2016. The report anticipates a new growth cycle driven by the rapid development of AI computing infrastructure, with high demand for hollow-core fibers, multimode fibers, and ultra-low loss single-mode fibers [1][3][20]. - The optical fiber and cable industry is characterized by high barriers to entry, heavy manufacturing, and broad applications, with domestic manufacturers leading globally. The report expects a new growth cycle in the optical fiber industry, particularly in data communication driven by AI applications [2][16][18]. Company Analysis - The company occupies a dominant position in the global optical fiber preform, fiber, and cable industry. It is transitioning from a manufacturing-focused entity to a platform-based company, expanding both vertically and horizontally within the optical communication industry [3][20]. - The company has established eight overseas production bases, with overseas revenue accounting for 33.7% in 2024, indicating a strong international presence [3][18][20]. Industry Analysis - The report highlights a high demand for optical fibers in data centers, with a projected CAGR of 76.0% for AI application-related fiber demand from 2020 to 2029. The hollow-core fiber technology is expected to have significant development potential in various applications [2][17]. - The telecommunications sector in China is experiencing a slowdown in demand, while overseas 5G fixed network construction is expected to boost optical fiber exports [2][17]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of RMB 8.65 billion, RMB 16.21 billion, and RMB 23.92 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.96%, 87.48%, and 47.51% [5][10]. - The report uses a 2026 valuation framework, assigning a PE of 54x for A-shares and 27x for H-shares, reflecting the company's leading position in the optical fiber industry and its deep engagement in new fiber technologies [5][10].

Group 1 - A new company, Jiangxi Tiexun Optoelectronics Co., Ltd., has been established with a registered capital of 500,000 RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Feng Jinbing [1] - The business scope includes fiber optic manufacturing, sales of fiber optics, manufacturing and sales of optical communication equipment, and sales of optical cables [1] Group 2 - The company is also involved in wholesale and retail of hardware products, sales of communication equipment, daily necessities, electronic products, and photographic equipment [1] - Additional activities include the sale of commercial cryptographic products, import and export of goods, technology import and export, and domestic trade agency services [1] - The company operates independently within the scope of its business license, except for projects that require approval by law [1]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Hangzhou Electric Co., Ltd. (杭电股份) has experienced a significant drop after a period of speculative trading, leading to a trading halt at the daily limit down [2][3]. Stock Performance - From September 16 to September 23, the stock price surged from 6.90 CNY to 12.23 CNY, marking a cumulative increase of 77.25% [4]. - On September 24, the stock opened lower and hit the daily limit down by 10:35 AM [3]. Trading Activity - The stock exhibited high turnover rates on September 18, 22, and 23, with rates of 21.24%, 25.03%, and 29.48% respectively, indicating a "hot potato" trading effect and significant trading risks [4]. - On September 22, the company saw a financing buy-in of 199 million CNY and a net buy-in of 86.54 million CNY, which was a historical high, with cumulative net buy-ins reaching 875.1 million CNY over five trading days [4]. Company Operations - The company reaffirmed that its daily operations are normal and that there have been no significant changes in its internal or external business environment [5]. - The market speculation regarding the company's stock price was linked to a partnership with Yushu Technology, which was announced in a framework cooperation agreement in the field of artificial intelligence applications in power [6]. Financial Performance - The company has been facing financial pressure, with a reported net profit of 137.6 million CNY in 2023 and 138 million CNY in 2024, compared to a peak of 143 million CNY in 2022 [9]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.524 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 16.77%, but a net profit decline of 46.27% to 37.81 million CNY [9]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company's debt-to-asset ratio was 72.21%, with interest-bearing liabilities of 5.383 billion CNY, significantly exceeding cash holdings of 1.152 billion CNY [9]. Strategic Direction - The company is attempting to break through its current challenges through industrial expansion [10].

长飞光纤今年以来股价涨281.20%，近5个交易日涨18.06%，近20日涨58.89%，近60日涨183.85%。 今年以来长飞光纤已经10次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为9月18日。 资料显示，长飞光纤光缆股份有限公司位于湖北省武汉市东湖高新技术开发区光谷大道9号,香港铜锣湾 希慎道33号利园1期19楼1918室，成立日期1988年5月31日，上市日期2018年7月20日，公司主营业务涉 及专注于通信行业,聚焦电信运营商和数据通信相关领域,致力于光纤预制棒、光纤和光缆以及数据通信 相关产品的研发创新与生产制造,形成了棒纤缆、综合布线、通信网络工程和其他光通信产品一体化的 完整产业链、相关多元化和国际化的业务模式。主营业务收入构成为：光传输产品64.50%，光互联组 件17.35%，其他15.85%，其他(补充)2.30%。 长飞光纤所属申万行业为：通信-通信设备-通信线缆及配套。所属概念板块包括：CPO概念、光纤光 缆、光通信、百元股、5G等。 9月23日，长飞光纤盘中下跌2.05%，截至09:48，报112.92元/股，成交8.04亿元，换手率1.71%，总市值 855.83亿元。 资金流向方面，主力 ...

Group 1 - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber will suspend production for approximately 90 days starting October 1, 2025, affecting an annual capacity of 31,200 tons, resulting in a revenue decrease of approximately 185 million yuan and a profit reduction of about 48 million yuan [1] - Bozhong Precision plans to transfer 18.29% of its stake in Suzhou Linghou Robot for 64 million yuan, retaining a 21.61% ownership post-transaction [1] - Haixing Electric is a recommended candidate for a State Grid procurement project, with an expected bid amount of approximately 128 million yuan [2] Group 2 - Samsung Medical is a recommended candidate for multiple State Grid procurement projects, with a total expected bid amount of approximately 193 million yuan [2][3] - Youxunda is a recommended candidate for a State Grid procurement project, with a bid amount of approximately 107 million yuan, representing 10.55% of its 2024 revenue [3] - Tiancheng Self-Control has received a notification for a seat assembly project from a well-known domestic new energy vehicle company, expected to start mass production in June 2026 [4] Group 3 - YKYY013 injection has received FDA approval for clinical trials to treat chronic hepatitis B virus infection [4] - Pulaide has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with an international electric tool brand, with a total procurement amount exceeding 700 million yuan over five years [4] - Sichuan Shuangma's subsidiary has obtained GMP certification from Russia, covering core aspects of drug quality and production systems [6] Group 4 - Boshi Co. has signed an industrial service contract worth approximately 96.99 million yuan with Guoneng Baotou Coal Chemical [7] - Wansheng Intelligent is a recommended candidate for a State Grid project, with an expected bid amount of approximately 67.98 million yuan, representing 7.25% of its 2024 revenue [9][10] - Huazi Industrial plans to sell its dairy farm assets for 38.5 million yuan, expecting a positive impact of approximately 11.7 million yuan on its current profits [10] Group 5 - Jinguang Electric has won a State Grid project with a total bid amount of approximately 28.4 million yuan, accounting for 3.82% of its 2024 revenue [11] - Nanjiao Food reported a net profit of 10,410 yuan for August, a year-on-year decrease of 98.31% [13] - Dongfang Bio's subsidiary has obtained registration certificates for two medical device products [15] Group 6 - Lanhua Kecai has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Shanghai Pangu Power to promote intelligent and efficient transformation in the coal mining industry [17] - Yabao Pharmaceutical has decided to terminate the SY-009 research project, with a total investment of approximately 87.87 million yuan to be fully impaired [18] - Tian Shili's subsidiary has received approval for a new indication for its recombinant human urokinase injection for acute ischemic stroke treatment [20] Group 7 - Su Yan Jingshen's executives plan to increase their shareholding in the company, with a total investment of between 1.9 million and 2.66 million yuan [22] - Baiyun Electric and its subsidiary have won a State Grid project with a total bid amount of approximately 162 million yuan, covering multiple equipment types [23] - China West Electric's director has resigned due to work reasons, effective September 19, 2025 [25] Group 8 - Jianan Intelligent is a recommended candidate for a State Grid project with a total expected bid amount of approximately 73.12 million yuan [26] - Juhua Technology is a recommended candidate for a State Grid project with a total expected bid amount of approximately 142 million yuan [27] - Tengyuan Cobalt's actual controller has committed not to reduce holdings for the next 12 months, holding 37.89% of the total shares [28] Group 9 - Changfei Optical Fiber announced that Draka Comteq B.V. no longer holds H shares in the company after selling 37.59 million shares [28] - Mongcao Ecological's subsidiary has signed a contract for an ecological restoration project worth 225.2 million yuan [29] - Weiao Co. plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.1 yuan per share, totaling approximately 39.29 million yuan [30]

Group 1 - Longfly Fiber's largest shareholder, DrakaComteq B.V., completely divested its holdings, selling 37.5953 million H-shares on September 19, 2025, and no longer holds any shares in the company [2] - As of March 31, 2025, both DrakaComteq B.V. and China Huaxin Post and Telecommunications Technology Co., Ltd. are the largest shareholders of Longfly Fiber, each holding 180 million shares, representing 23.73% of the total shares [2] - From the beginning of the second quarter of 2025 until now, DrakaComteq B.V. has sold all of its 180 million shares, during which Longfly Fiber's A-shares rose by 259.2% and H-shares increased by 297.42% [2] Group 2 - Longfly Fiber's stock price surged over four times from HKD 11.93 per share at the beginning of the year to HKD 61.6 per share on September 19, 2025, while the A-share price increased by over three times during the same period [3] - In 2024, Longfly Fiber faced revenue pressure, reporting operating income of CNY 12.197 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.65%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 676 million, down 47.91% year-on-year [3] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating income of CNY 6.384 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.38%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 296 million, down 21.71% year-on-year [3] Group 3 - The market has shown increasing interest in optical fiber and cable products related to computing data centers, particularly hollow-core fibers; however, Longfly Fiber stated that these products currently represent a small proportion of global demand for optical fibers and cables [4] - The application of hollow-core fibers is still in its early stages, lacking scale sales and stable pricing and profit levels, with no significant impact on the company's financial data yet [4] - In July 2025, China Mobile launched its first commercial hollow-core fiber, with Longfly Fiber being the sole bidder at an actual bid price of approximately CNY 36,000 per core kilometer [4]