Core Viewpoint - The marketing campaign "suspending the Earth" by Xiangpiaopiao highlights the company's ongoing struggles, with significant losses and declining sales in its core instant tea business, which has shrunk by 75% over four years [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Xiangpiaopiao reported revenue of 1.035 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.21%, and a net loss of 97.39 million yuan, worsening from a loss of 29.5 million yuan in the same period last year [3][4]. - The instant tea business generated revenue of 423 million yuan, down 31.04% year-on-year, marking a significant decline compared to the previous peak [3][4]. - The company's losses in the first half of 2025 reached the highest level in three years, marking the sixth consecutive year of losses in the first half [3][4]. Market Dynamics - The instant tea market is facing intense competition from fresh tea drinks, which have rapidly gained popularity since 2012, leading to a shift in consumer preferences [4][6]. - The number of distributors for Xiangpiaopiao decreased by 92 in the first half of 2025, indicating a contraction in sales channels [5]. Marketing and Strategy - Xiangpiaopiao invested 331 million yuan in marketing in the first half of 2025, accounting for one-third of its revenue, but this strategy has not translated into sustainable growth [6][7]. - The company is exploring new growth avenues by developing functional products and new categories of instant products, while also pushing existing products towards healthier options [8][10]. Product Development - The ready-to-drink segment showed better performance, with revenue of 591 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.03%, surpassing the instant tea business for the first time [8][10]. - New product launches include healthier options with no trans fats, no plant-based fats, and no artificial flavors, aiming to align with current consumer health trends [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xiangpiaopiao, has experienced a significant decline in revenue and is struggling to regain its market position amidst the rise of new-style tea drinks [1][7]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Xiangpiaopiao reported revenue of 1.035 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of over 12%, with a net loss approaching 100 million yuan [1]. - The company's revenue from ready-to-drink products has shown growth, with figures of 638 million yuan in 2022, 901 million yuan in 2023, and projected 973 million yuan in 2024, indicating three consecutive years of growth [5]. Group 2: Marketing and Brand Strategy - To attract younger consumers, the company has engaged in various marketing efforts, including participation in reality shows and recruiting a "tea-making boy band" with specific physical criteria [2]. - Despite these marketing initiatives, the company has stated that there are currently no plans to open tea drink chain stores [2]. Group 3: Strategic Direction - The founder, Jiang Jianqi, recognized the impact of street drink shops on their business as early as 2015 and identified three potential paths for growth: opening chain stores, becoming a supplier for tea shops, or developing ready-to-drink products [3][4]. - The company ultimately chose to focus on ready-to-drink products, leveraging its fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) background [4]. Group 4: Profitability Challenges - The gross margin for ready-to-drink products is significantly lower than that of brewed products, with a gross margin of 44.4% for brewed products compared to only 24.88% for ready-to-drink products in 2024 [6]. - Despite the growth in ready-to-drink sales, the company still relies heavily on brewed tea for its main revenue, which exposes it to seasonal risks [7].

Core Viewpoint - The takeaway from the recent financial report of Xiangpiaopiao is that the company is facing significant challenges, particularly in its instant tea segment, which has seen a substantial decline in revenue, while the ready-to-drink segment is becoming more prominent but is not yet profitable [2][5][7]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Xiangpiaopiao reported revenue of 1.035 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.21%, with a net loss of 97.39 million yuan, marking a 230.13% increase in losses compared to the previous year [2][5]. - The revenue from the instant tea segment fell by 31.04% to 423 million yuan, while the ready-to-drink segment grew by 8.03% to 591 million yuan, indicating a shift in revenue sources [4][5]. - The overall revenue from the instant tea segment has declined from 3.067 billion yuan in 2020 to 2.271 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a long-term downward trend [4]. Market Dynamics - The instant tea segment's revenue contribution has dropped from 52.8% to 41.7%, while the ready-to-drink segment now accounts for 58.3% of total revenue [5][7]. - The competitive landscape in the beverage industry is intensifying, with significant price competition from major delivery platforms affecting traditional beverage sales [10]. Inventory and Supply Chain - The inventory turnover days for Xiangpiaopiao increased to 37.75 days, the highest in five years, indicating slower product movement [11]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to maintain a "dual-engine" strategy focusing on both instant and ready-to-drink products, with efforts to improve channel stocking and inventory management in the instant tea segment [12][13]. - New product development will be emphasized in the ready-to-drink segment, exploring new market opportunities [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company's brewing business is under pressure, with profitability declining year-on-year. The revenue for H1 2025 was 1.035 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.21% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was -97 million yuan, with losses widening year-on-year [4][5] - The company is focusing on stabilizing its brewing business while actively expanding its ready-to-drink segment, which showed a revenue increase of 8.03% year-on-year in H1 2025 [5][7] - The report highlights the need to monitor the recovery of the brewing products during peak seasons and the expansion of channels and categories in the ready-to-drink business [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the brewing business generated revenue of 423 million yuan, down 31.04% year-on-year, primarily due to changes in the consumption environment and the company's efforts to maintain channel health by reducing inventory [5] - The ready-to-drink segment achieved revenue of 591 million yuan, marking an 8.03% increase year-on-year, with Meco fruit tea showing competitive advantages in differentiated packaging [5] - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 29.36%, down 1.22 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to negative effects from revenue scale [6] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from various channels in H1 2025 showed mixed results: distribution channels decreased by 17.01%, while e-commerce channels increased by 12.39% [5][6] - The company reduced the number of distributors by 92 to 1,735, indicating a strategic optimization of the distributor structure [5] Future Outlook - The company plans to focus on the healthy upgrade of products and the development of the "original leaf brewing" series, with a good performance in online repurchase rates for new products [7] - The ready-to-drink business will continue to expand in campus channels and increase its presence in snack retail and dining channels [7] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards due to weak demand and negative impacts from delivery platform subsidies [7]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the financial performance and operational strategies of Xiangpiaopiao Food Co., Ltd. for the first half of 2025, indicating a decline in revenue and net profit, while emphasizing the company's focus on product innovation and market expansion in the beverage sector [1][3]. Financial Performance - The total revenue for the first half of 2025 was approximately 1.035 billion RMB, representing a decrease of 12.21% compared to the same period last year [3]. - The total profit for the period was a loss of approximately 137 million RMB, compared to a loss of about 49.75 million RMB in the previous year [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately -97.39 million RMB, a significant decline from -29.50 million RMB in the same period last year [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was approximately -258.26 million RMB, slightly worse than -244.64 million RMB in the previous year [3]. Industry Overview - The company operates in the beverage manufacturing sector, specifically in the tea beverage category, and has maintained the largest market share in the cup-based tea market for 13 consecutive years from 2012 to 2024 [4][5]. - The company has introduced health-oriented and innovative products, such as the "original leaf handmade oat milk tea," which have received positive consumer feedback [4][5]. Product Development and Innovation - The company has focused on product health upgrades and high-quality pricing strategies, increasing R&D expenses by 49.11% compared to the previous year [8][9]. - New product launches include seasonal limited editions and health-oriented beverages, such as "Meco" fruit tea and "Lan Fang Yuan" Hong Kong-style tea, which have been well-received in the market [9][10]. Sales and Marketing Strategy - The company employs a "sales-driven procurement" model, ensuring that production aligns with sales forecasts to maintain product freshness and quality [6][11]. - The marketing strategy has shifted towards content-driven approaches, enhancing consumer engagement through interactive campaigns and collaborations with popular brands [10][11]. Future Outlook - The company plans to continue its dual-driven strategy focusing on stabilizing the brewing business while accelerating the ready-to-drink segment, with new product launches and market expansion efforts planned for the second half of 2025 [12].

Core Insights - The fierce price war in the ready-to-drink tea market has led to the downfall of Xiangpiaopiao, marking it as the first casualty of the ongoing food delivery battle [1][7] - The rapid growth of ready-to-drink tea brands is significantly impacting traditional brewing markets, raising questions about the future of established brands like Xiangpiaopiao [2][12] Company Performance - Xiangpiaopiao reported a net loss of 97.39 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase in losses of 68 million yuan, marking its worst mid-year performance since going public [5][6] - The company's stock price has dropped over 60% since its peak in 2019, resulting in a market capitalization loss exceeding 8.4 billion yuan [5] Market Trends - The ready-to-drink tea segment has seen explosive growth, with brands like Nayuki and Mixue experiencing significant increases in order volumes, while Xiangpiaopiao struggles to maintain its market position [4][8] - The number of new tea drink stores is projected to rise from 378,000 in 2020 to 630,000 by 2025, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards ready-to-drink options [8] Competitive Landscape - New tea brands are rapidly innovating and introducing new products, while Xiangpiaopiao has stagnated with a limited product range, leading to a decline in sales volume from 45.59 million boxes in 2020 to 32.78 million boxes in 2024 [9][10] - The convenience of ready-to-drink options is reshaping consumer behavior, making traditional brewing methods less appealing [10][12] Strategic Challenges - Xiangpiaopiao's attempts to diversify into ready-to-drink products have faced challenges due to inconsistent brand positioning and competition from both new entrants and established players [15][18] - The company's marketing efforts have not effectively translated into market share gains, as it struggles to compete in both traditional and modern retail channels [16][17]

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing significant challenges in its traditional bubble tea business, with a notable decline in revenue and profits, while attempting to pivot towards ready-to-drink tea products amidst fierce competition in the beverage market [2][5][20]. Group 1: Company Performance - In Q1 2023, the company's revenue decreased by 19.98% year-on-year, and it reported a net loss of 18.77 million yuan [2]. - For the first half of 2023, the company expects revenue of 1.035 billion yuan, down 12.21% year-on-year, with a net loss of approximately 111 million yuan, an increase of 230.12% compared to the previous year [2]. - The company's revenue peaked at 3.978 billion yuan in 2019 but has been on a downward trend since 2020, with a cumulative decline of 21.4% by 2022 [5][6]. Group 2: Market Trends - The ready-to-drink tea segment is growing, with sales of ready-to-drink tea and functional beverages increasing by 16.6% and 12.1% respectively in 2024 [11]. - The retail scale of instant tea has been declining, with a compound annual growth rate of -2.01% from 2014 to 2023, while the overall retail scale of hot drinks grew at a rate of 4.31% [10]. Group 3: Product Transition - The company is transitioning from its traditional brewing products to ready-to-drink options, with the ready-to-drink segment accounting for nearly 30% of total revenue in 2024 [16]. - The Meco fruit tea product line has shown promising growth, with revenue reaching 780 million yuan in 2024, a growth rate of 20.69% [14]. - Despite the introduction of new products, the overall ready-to-drink segment's growth remains limited compared to leading competitors in the market [15][18]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The number of new tea drink stores in China has increased significantly, from 378,000 in 2020 to nearly 630,000 in 2024, intensifying competition for market share [19]. - The company faces stiff competition from established brands like Mixue Ice City, which sells around 1 billion cups of fresh lemon water annually, highlighting the disparity in market presence [17][18]. Group 5: Channel Strategy - The company is exploring new retail channels, including snack wholesale stores, and has launched a portable 280ml Meco fruit tea package targeting this market [26][27]. - The company has over 30,000 partnerships with snack wholesale stores, indicating a strategic shift in distribution channels [26]. - The company is cautious about expanding its direct retail presence, focusing instead on using physical stores as testing grounds for new products [23][24]. Group 6: Marketing and Promotion - The company has been investing heavily in marketing, with sales promotion expenses significantly exceeding research and development costs, indicating a focus on brand visibility [37][38]. - The company has engaged popular youth idols for brand endorsements, which has led to increased sales during live-streaming events [34][35]. - Despite these efforts, the online sales channel remains underdeveloped, with e-commerce revenue declining by 25% in 2024 [36].

Core Viewpoint - Xiangpiaopiao is facing significant performance challenges, with a projected revenue of 1.035 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year decline of approximately 12.21% and a net loss of about 111 million yuan, marking the worst mid-year results since its IPO in 2017 [1][2] Group 1: Performance and Market Challenges - The company attributes its performance decline to various factors, including seasonal consumption patterns, changes in consumer habits, and demand fluctuations [1] - The traditional bubble tea market is experiencing structural changes, with emerging categories like new tea drinks and ready-to-drink milk tea gaining popularity, leading to increased competition [1][2] - Younger consumers are increasingly prioritizing health, quality, and experience, which the company's product line, primarily focused on solid bubble tea, fails to meet [1] Group 2: Strategic and Operational Issues - Despite attempts to enter the ready-to-drink beverage market with products like Meco fruit tea and Lan Fang Yuan frozen lemon tea, the company is struggling to compete effectively due to slow transformation and a strong association with traditional bubble tea [2] - Changes in distribution channels, with traditional supermarkets and convenience stores seeing stagnant growth, pose additional challenges, as new channels like e-commerce and instant delivery require enhanced supply chain responsiveness and marketing capabilities [2] - The decline in performance reflects the broader trend of traditional bubble tea models losing ground in the new market environment, emphasizing the need for continuous evolution and adaptation to remain competitive [2]

Core Viewpoint - Xiangpiaopiao is expected to report its largest half-year loss since its listing, with a projected revenue decline of approximately 12.2% and a net loss of around 97.39 million yuan, which is an increase in losses by 2.3 times compared to the previous year [3][5] Revenue and Profit Summary - The company anticipates a revenue of approximately 1.04 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of about 144 million yuan or 12.21% year-on-year [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to show a loss of around 97.39 million yuan, which is an increase in losses by approximately 67.89 million yuan compared to the same period last year [5][6] - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to changes in consumer behavior and a shortened peak sales period due to the earlier timing of the Spring Festival [5][6] Business Challenges - The core business of instant tea is facing significant challenges, with sales volume dropping from approximately 45.59 million boxes in 2020 to about 32.79 million boxes in 2024, leading to a revenue decline in this segment [7] - Sales expenses have increased significantly, with 2024 sales expenses reaching approximately 761 million yuan, three times the net profit for that period, and a 35% increase over two years [7] - Rising costs in raw materials, labor, transportation, and energy have pressured profit margins, prompting price increases of 2% to 8% in early 2022 [7] Market Competition - The ready-to-drink tea market is expanding rapidly, with a projected market size of 368.9 billion yuan by 2025, growing at a rate of 20.97% [9] - Competitors like Mixue Ice City and others have significantly increased their market presence, with Mixue having over 39,000 stores, which poses a direct threat to Xiangpiaopiao's market share [9][10] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a price war, with ready-to-drink products often priced similarly to Xiangpiaopiao's instant products, but with the added convenience of immediate consumption [10] Strategic Adjustments - In response to market pressures, Xiangpiaopiao has restructured its teams to focus on both instant and ready-to-drink products, with a particular emphasis on lower-tier cities [8] - The company has also attempted to innovate its product offerings, such as launching new fruit tea products and leveraging e-commerce channels, which saw a significant sales increase during promotional periods [10] - However, the sustainability of the ready-to-drink business remains uncertain, with challenges in product innovation and market penetration [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively engaging in product innovation and market exploration, particularly focusing on new tea products and expanding its distribution channels, while also addressing cost management and sales team restructuring. Product Performance - The company has launched new tea products, including "Original Leaf Fresh Brew Light Milk Tea" and "Original Leaf Fresh Brew Milk Tea," which are currently in trial sales in select online and offline regions. The "Original Leaf Fresh Brew" series aims to fill a gap in the gift market and has received positive feedback [2] - The company is exploring new flavors for the "Original Leaf Fresh Brew Light Milk Tea" based on market trends, including "Ming Qian Special Grade Longjing" and "Xin Hui Chen Pi Moonlight White" [2] Meco Fruit Tea Strategy - Meco fruit tea is a core part of the ready-to-drink business, with plans to deepen school channels and explore snack retail and gift channels. New flavors like "Orange Jasmine" and "Mulberry Jasmine" have been introduced [3] - The company is focusing on content marketing to enhance brand communication with consumers [3] Collaboration with Snack Retail Channels - The company is actively developing its snack retail channel, with over 30,000 stores in direct cooperation. Customized products for snack retail channels are currently in trial sales [4] Sales Team Adjustment - In 2024, the company restructured its brewing and ready-to-drink teams to adapt to market changes, with a focus on the brewing team for lower-tier markets and a dedicated team for core cities [5] Distribution Structure of Ready-to-Drink Products - Ready-to-drink products have a significant sales presence in first and second-tier cities, primarily through campus and convenience store channels, with ongoing exploration of snack channels [6] Cost Management Outlook - The company employs a fiscal year price-locking model for procurement and is focused on controlling raw material prices while optimizing costs through packaging updates and lean production [7] Expense Investment Planning - The company plans to maintain a prudent approach to expense investment, with significant investment in the ready-to-drink segment, while ensuring effective cost management to balance profitability [9] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 580 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.98%, and a net profit of -18.775 million yuan, down 174.47%. The gross margin was 31.19% [9]