养殖ETF（159865）跟踪的是中证畜牧指数（930707），该指数从沪深市场中选取业务涉及畜禽养殖、 饲料加工等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映畜牧业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。中证畜牧 指数覆盖了畜禽养殖、饲料及动保等多个细分领域，具有较强的行业代表性。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 相关机构表示，总体而言，当前市场仍然处于供需博弈的阶段，据钢联数据，供应端，规模猪企出栏进 度超前，出栏压力相对缓和，普遍采取控量提价的策略，标猪涨价幅度突出。需求端，天气逐步转冷， 叠加腌腊季到来，需求有望逐步好转。在国家政策引导下，未来生猪行业发展"提质增效"是主要趋势， 落后产能将逐步出清，成本低财务状况好的优质产能市占率将进一步提升。 ...

Group 1 - The current market is in a supply-demand game, with supply pressures easing as large-scale pig farms adopt strategies to control output and raise prices, leading to notable increases in pig prices [1] - The demand side is expected to improve gradually due to colder weather and the arrival of the curing season, which typically boosts demand [1] - The pig farming industry is still in a loss-making state, with self-breeding farms experiencing an average loss of 114.81 yuan per head, and purchased piglets facing an average loss of 205.64 yuan per head, indicating an expansion of losses [1] Group 2 - The industry is actively reducing production capacity under the current losses, and measures to combat internal competition are being implemented, suggesting a potential long-term increase in domestic pig price levels [1] - Future development in the pig farming industry is expected to focus on "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement," leading to the gradual elimination of outdated production capacity and an increase in market share for financially stable and low-cost producers [1] - The Livestock ETF (159865) tracks the China Securities Livestock Index (930707), which reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in livestock farming, feed processing, and related sectors, indicating strong industry representation [1]

Core Insights - The swine industry is experiencing significant losses, with the average selling price of live pigs dropping to 11.56 yuan/kg, leading to a loss of 71.95 yuan per head for self-bred pigs [1] - Analysts suggest that the current oversupply and weak demand may result in a "non-peak" season for pork prices in Q4, indicating potential investment opportunities in the sector [1] - The industry is expected to undergo capacity reduction, which may lead to an upward adjustment of pork price levels by 2026, benefiting low-cost producers [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 18, 2025, the China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) showed mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Muyuan Foods (002714) leading with a 0.43% increase [1] - The Livestock ETF (516760) was quoted at 0.7 yuan [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 65.58% of the total index weight, indicating a concentration in a few key players [2] Group 2: Stock Performance - The stock performance of key companies includes: - Muyuan Foods (002714): +0.43%, weight 11.37% - Haida Group (002311): +0.34%, weight 9.52% - Biological Shares (600201): +0.25%, weight 3.91% - Other notable declines include New Hope (000876): -1.01% and Tian康 Biological (002100): -1.96% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The pig farming industry is experiencing significant losses, leading to accelerated capacity reduction, while the dairy market faces supply-demand imbalances, impacting livestock numbers and prices [1][2]. Group 1: Pig Farming Industry - The pig farming sector has been in a state of continuous loss for several weeks, with the national average price of commercial pigs dropping by 28% year-on-year in Q3 2025, and major listed pig companies seeing a 68% decline in net profit [1]. - Current asset-liability ratios in the industry are well-controlled, but there is a noticeable divergence between the growth rate of pig sales and cost control, indicating a shift from cyclical to efficiency-driven competition [1]. - Due to ongoing losses and policy guidance, it is expected that capacity reduction will accelerate, laying the groundwork for a future price recovery [1]. Group 2: Dairy and Beef Market - Dairy prices have fallen below the previous cycle's bottom, highlighting a significant supply-demand imbalance, with dairy cow inventory decreasing by over 8% cumulatively in October [1]. - The beef market is entering an upward price trend, with expectations of price fluctuations in November and December due to the winter consumption peak [1]. - Long-term projections suggest that the beef cycle's price increase may exceed expectations, particularly benefiting companies with cow resources [1]. Group 3: Index and Stock Performance - The CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Tianma Technology (603668) leading with a 5.06% increase, while Jinnong (002548) is the biggest loser [1]. - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 65.58% of the index, with Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuffs (300498) being the largest components [2]. - The performance of the top ten stocks varies, with Muyuan Foods down 3.63% and Wens Foodstuffs down 2.10% [3].

截至2025年11月14日 10:32，中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)上涨0.28%，成分股罗牛山(000735)上涨3.40%， 天马科技(603668)上涨2.79%，生物股份(600201)上涨2.64%，华英农业(002321)上涨2.17%，瑞普生物 (300119)上涨1.78%。养殖ETF(516760)上涨0.28%，最新价报0.71元。 消息面上，近期生猪养殖行业持续处于亏损状态，猪价已跌破多数企业现金成本线，仔猪销售也陷入深 度亏损，反映出养殖户对后市的悲观预期。 数据显示，截至2025年10月31日，中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)前十大权重股分别为牧原股份(002714)、 温氏股份(300498)、海大集团(002311)、梅花生物(600873)、新希望(000876)、大北农(002385)、生物股 份(600201)、圣农发展(002299)、天康生物(002100)、立华股份(300761)，前十大权重股合计占比 65.58%。 广发证券指出，当前猪周期正处于下行期的筑底阶段，叠加"反内卷"背景，产能去化大幕有望开启，行 业去化节奏或逐步加快。在供给压力仍存的背景下，具备成 ...

养殖ETF（159865）跟踪的是中证畜牧指数（930707），该指数从沪深市场中选取业务涉及畜禽养殖、 饲料加工等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映畜牧业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。中证畜牧 指数覆盖了畜禽养殖、饲料及动保等多个细分领域，具有较强的行业代表性。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 根据wind数据，养殖ETF（159865）盘中流入2000万份，盘中净流入100万份，资金抢筹养殖资产。 财通证券表示，猪价延续上行。供应缩量，仔猪交易增加，二育入场放缓，供需博弈猪价上行。预计， 供应压力释放，叠加政策引导，产能去化或加速。 ...

根据Wind数据，养殖ETF（159865）盘中流入1.13亿份，净流入7100万份，资金抢筹养殖资产。 东兴证券表示，国家统计局数据显示，9月末能繁母猪存栏量4035万头，环比下降0.07%，相比二季度 末减少9万头。从三方数据来看，9月涌益能繁存栏样本数据环比8月下降0.84%，钢联样本数据环比下 降0.28%。官方与三方数据趋势一致，猪价加速下行趋势下，产能去化趋势已现。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 养殖ETF（159865）跟踪的是中证畜牧指数（930707），该指数从沪深市场中选取业务涉及畜禽养殖、 饲料加工等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映畜牧业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。中证畜牧 指数覆盖了畜禽养殖、饲料及动保等多个细分领域，具有较强的行业代表性。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The livestock ETF (159865) has seen a net inflow of 210 million shares, indicating strong investor interest in livestock assets [1] Supply Side - In September, there was a concentrated release of live pig output, with an increase in both the scale and social market's output plans as temperatures cooled, leading to higher weights at slaughter [1] - The supply of pigs and the amount of meat available in the market have both increased, but post-October, supply-side pressures are expected to continue, putting significant downward pressure on pig prices [1] Demand Side - The demand side experienced a slight boost due to pre-holiday stocking for the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, along with cooler weather, although slaughter enterprises remain cautious [1] - The slow de-stocking of frozen products has limited the increase in fresh product consumption [1] - By mid-October, the second round of fattening is expected to accelerate at around 10 yuan/kg, providing slight support for short-term pig prices [1] Index Information - The livestock ETF (159865) tracks the China Securities Livestock Index (930707), which selects listed companies involved in livestock farming and feed processing to reflect the overall performance of the livestock industry [1] - The China Securities Livestock Index covers various sub-sectors, including livestock farming, feed, and animal health, demonstrating strong industry representation [1]

Core Insights - The livestock ETF (159865) has seen significant inflows, with 21 million shares flowing in and a net inflow of 19 million shares, indicating strong capital interest in livestock assets [1] - Dongfang Securities highlights that the pig farming industry is likely to undergo a capacity reduction, driven by weak current and expected pig prices, alongside policy support, which may initiate market-driven capacity reduction [1] - The livestock ETF tracks the CSI Livestock Index (930707), which includes listed companies involved in livestock farming, feed processing, and related sectors, reflecting the overall performance of the livestock industry [1] Industry Summary - The pig prices have reached a low point for the year, and there is a possibility of further decline, suggesting that the industry is likely to start market-driven capacity reduction [1] - Policy measures are increasingly restricting the production capacity of leading firms, which, combined with market conditions, is expected to restart overall capacity reduction in the industry, potentially supporting long-term price increases for pigs [1] - The CSI Livestock Index covers various sub-sectors, including livestock farming, feed, and animal health, demonstrating strong industry representation [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index has surged past 3950 points, reaching a nearly ten-year high and approaching the 4000-point mark [1][2] - The total trading volume for the week in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 8.9 trillion yuan, with the Shanghai market accounting for 3.93 trillion yuan and the Shenzhen market for 4.97 trillion yuan [2] ETF Fund Flows - Over 200 billion yuan has flowed out of stock and cross-border ETFs this week, with a net outflow of 212 billion yuan from thematic industry ETFs [2][15] - Major broad-based index ETFs experienced a net outflow of 88.41 billion yuan, with the ChiNext ETF seeing a net outflow of 37.16 billion yuan [8][15] Sector Performance - The brokerage and robotics ETFs have attracted significant capital, with net inflows of 9.87 billion yuan and 7.06 billion yuan, respectively [13][17] - Conversely, the artificial intelligence and new energy vehicle-related ETFs faced substantial outflows, with net outflows of 8.81 billion yuan and 5.93 billion yuan, respectively [15][17] Notable ETF Movements - The brokerage ETF (512000) saw its shares increase by 16.76 billion, reaching a new high of 649.19 billion shares [16][17] - The robotics ETF (562500) also experienced a rise, with shares reaching 226.54 billion, marking a new high [17] Upcoming ETF Issuance - Six new ETFs are set to be issued next week, tracking sectors such as the satellite industry, technology, and photovoltaic industries [25][26]