Workflow
猪肉及猪副产品
icon
Search documents
东兴证券晨报-20251226
Dongxing Securities· 2025-12-26 06:55
Economic News - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment proposed to strengthen cybersecurity and information technology infrastructure, integrating big data, AI, and blockchain with ecological governance [1] - The Fengtai District of Beijing has registered a government industrial investment fund matrix with an initial scale of no less than 10 billion yuan, expected to launch in 2026 [1] - Hainan Province reported over 400 million yuan in "zero tariff" imports during the first week of its customs closure, indicating ongoing policy benefits and enhanced industrial momentum [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized industry management, focusing on reducing crude steel output while promoting technological innovation in key industries [1] - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund has officially launched, with a target scale of 50 billion yuan for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region fund [1] - Japan's government approved a record budget of approximately 122.3092 trillion yen for the fiscal year 2026 [1] - As of the end of November, China's total installed power generation capacity reached 3.79 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 17.1% [1] - The photovoltaic industry association confirmed the establishment of a polysilicon capacity integration acquisition platform to address intense competition in the sector [1] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission initiated pilot projects for data resource development among state-owned enterprises [1] - A new national standard for electric vehicle energy consumption will be implemented starting January 1, 2026, marking a global first [1] Company News - Landun Optoelectronics holds a 4.9533% stake in Shanghai Xingsi Semiconductor through its wholly-owned subsidiary, focusing on 5G and satellite communication applications [2] - Defang Nano plans annual equipment maintenance from December 26, 2025 [2] - Zhongwei Co. signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement with Xinwanda Power Technology to develop solid-state battery materials [4] - Jinlongyu intends to establish an industrial merger and acquisition fund with a subscribed scale of 1.5 billion yuan [4] - Del's shares are advancing the construction of a solid-state battery pilot line, expected to be completed in the first half of 2026 [4] Industry Research - The Ministry of Commerce announced anti-dumping duties on EU pork imports, effective December 17, 2025, with rates ranging from 4.9% to 19.8% [5] - EU pork imports accounted for 51% of China's total pork imports, but only 2.03% of total consumption, indicating a limited impact on the overall market [6] - The anti-dumping duties are expected to reduce EU pork imports, leading to a diversification of import sources for China [6] - The domestic pork market remains under pressure, with a breeding sow inventory of 39.9 million heads, indicating a continued oversupply [7] - The anti-dumping measures are anticipated to improve the domestic supply-demand balance in the short term, with a focus on enhancing breeding efficiency and reducing costs [7] - The dairy industry is facing challenges due to low domestic milk prices, with a need to accelerate the development of deep processing of dairy products [12] - The temporary anti-subsidy measures on EU dairy products are expected to benefit domestic companies engaged in high-value-added processing [12]
东兴证券晨报-20251225
Dongxing Securities· 2025-12-25 10:00
Economic News - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy to promote stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation issues a plan for the special governance of the quality and safety of industrial products sold online from 2025 to 2027 [2] - In November, China's total electricity consumption reached 835.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing industries seeing a 6.7% increase [2] - The Ministry of Commerce announces increased policy support for foreign trade innovation and development [2] - The Chinese Foreign Ministry firmly opposes the U.S. plans to impose tariffs on China's semiconductor industry starting in 2027 [2] - Beijing's housing authorities relax home purchase conditions for non-local families and support housing needs for families with multiple children [2] Company News - Springlight Technology receives OEM/ODM orders for "W1" and "M1" robot products from Lexiang Technology, amounting to 43.2628 million yuan [3] - Wankai New Materials' subsidiary, Qing Magnesium Smart Plastic, signs a procurement contract with Lingxin Qiaoshou for lightweight components and assembly services, totaling 10 million yuan [3] - Nanshan Aluminum establishes a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hainan with an investment of 5 million yuan to expand high-end aluminum product development and trade [3] - Sunshine Nuohuo signs a technology development contract with Zhejiang Xinghao, with a total payment of 500 million yuan, including an 8% sales share [5] - Jiaheng Home Products' controlling shareholder is planning a change in control, leading to a temporary suspension of trading [5] Industry Research Agriculture and Animal Husbandry - The Ministry of Commerce announces anti-dumping duties on EU pork imports, effective from December 17, 2025, with rates ranging from 4.9% to 19.8% [6] - EU pork imports account for 51% of China's total pork imports, but only 2.03% of total consumption, indicating a limited impact on overall supply [7] - The anti-dumping duties are expected to increase the cost of EU pork imports, leading to a decrease in import volumes and a diversification of import sources [7] - Despite the anti-dumping measures, domestic supply and demand dynamics will continue to influence pork prices, with an oversupply expected to persist [8] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the pig farming industry, such as Muyuan Foods, as the market dynamics improve [8] Food and Beverage - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce initiates temporary anti-subsidy measures on EU dairy products, with preliminary subsidy rates between 28.6% and 42.7% [10][11] - The affected dairy products include cream and cheese, which have significantly impacted domestic producers' profitability [12] - The average price of fresh milk in China remains low at 3.03 yuan/kg, putting pressure on dairy companies [13] - The anti-subsidy measures are expected to create market opportunities for domestic dairy processing companies, benefiting firms like Lihai and Miao Ke Landuo [13]
农林牧渔行业:欧盟猪肉反倾销税落地,国内供需格局向好
Dongxing Securities· 2025-12-25 07:17
农林牧渔行业:欧盟猪肉反倾销税 落地,国内供需格局向好 2025 年 12 月 25 日 看好/维持 农林牧渔 行业报告 事件:商务部宣布,自 2025 年 12 月 17 日起,中国对原产于欧盟的进口猪肉 及猪副产品征收反倾销税,实施期限 5 年,税率范围为 4.9%至 19.8%。 进口压力缓解,行业供需根本仍在国内。为期 5 年反倾销税的征收有利于缓解 低价进口猪肉及副产品对我国市场的压力,然而仍需清醒地认识到,我国猪价 变化的决定因素是国内供需格局。截至 2025 年 10 月,国内能繁母猪存栏量 3990 万头,仍高于 3900 万头的正常保有量,未来一段时间行业供过于求,价 格低迷的趋势仍将持续,在政策管控和行业亏损下,行业落后产能将进一步去 化。国内养殖行业将向提升养殖效率,降低养殖成本,绿色化智能化的方向升 级,持续修炼内功,提升竞争力。短期来看,生猪养殖行业供需格局向好,推 荐关注生猪养殖行业的左侧布局机会;中长期来看,行业高质量发展,市场集 中度有望进一步提升。重点推荐养殖头部企业牧原股份,其他受益标的有温氏 股份、德康农牧、天康生物、神农集团等。 风险提示:生猪产能去化不及预期,市场消费 ...
中方对欧盟猪肉加税后,马克龙通告全球,欧洲不排除对我们采取措施
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 19:09
Core Viewpoint - The recent anti-dumping tax measures imposed by China on EU pork products should be understood within the broader context of the significant economic cooperation between China and the EU, which cannot be easily disrupted by tariff disputes [1] Group 1: Anti-Dumping Measures - In June 2024, the China Animal Husbandry Association formally accused EU pork products of dumping, leading to a six-month investigation [3] - On December 17, 2025, China announced anti-dumping duties ranging from 4.9% to 9.8% on EU pork and pork by-products for five years, aligning with China's anti-dumping regulations and WTO rules [3] - The announcement aimed to protect the domestic livestock industry from the impact of low-priced EU pork, which has caused operational difficulties for many local farmers [3] Group 2: Reactions from the EU - The announcement caused a stir within the EU, with countries like Spain relieved by the lower-than-expected tax rate, while Denmark expressed dissatisfaction over the perceived high rate [3] - French President Macron's response highlighted a contradiction; while advocating for cooperation with China, he also suggested that Europe might adopt more protectionist measures against China [4] - Macron's claims of a €300 billion trade surplus with China were challenged by data showing a 27% decrease in the EU's trade deficit with China since 2022 [4] Group 3: European Trade Policy - Despite initiating multiple trade investigations and imposing restrictions on Chinese companies, these measures have not effectively enhanced European competitiveness, revealing underlying weaknesses in innovation and productivity [5] - Macron acknowledged that the urgent task for Europe is to improve its competitiveness rather than impose restrictions on Chinese goods [5] Group 4: Future Negotiations - China's anti-dumping tax measures maintain a balance between protecting domestic industries and leaving room for future negotiations, contrasting with the EU's unilateral investigations [7] - The dual stance of Macron reflects Europe's dilemma in its relationship with China, as it seeks to pressure China for increased investment while relying on the Chinese market [7] - The decline in EU pork exports to China indicates that the tariff adjustments will not fundamentally alter the trade dynamics between China and the EU [7] Group 5: Long-term Cooperation - By lowering the final tax rate, China has signaled a willingness to manage differences through negotiation, emphasizing the importance of long-term cooperation over short-term disputes [9] - The cooperative agreements reached during Macron's visit to China in areas like nuclear energy and agriculture are deemed more valuable than the ongoing pork trade friction [9]
中国对欧加税不到24小时,马克龙改口通告全球:欧盟必须对华开放
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 02:51
Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced anti-dumping duties on EU-origin pork and pork products, which is not a sudden decision but follows a preliminary ruling made in September 2025 regarding dumping practices that harm the domestic industry [3] - China is the world's largest consumer and producer of pork and a significant market for EU pork exports, indicating the importance of this trade relationship [3] - The implementation of these anti-dumping duties directly affects the competitiveness of EU agricultural products in the Chinese market, signaling that China is open to cooperation but insists on fair trade practices [5] Group 2 - French President Macron highlighted the trade imbalance, stating that the trade surplus of China with the EU has nearly doubled over the past decade to €300 billion, which he deemed unsustainable [5] - However, data shows that since 2022, the EU's trade deficit with China has been decreasing, with a 27% reduction in 2023 [5] - The EU has maintained a service trade surplus with China, and nearly 40% of products from European companies in China are re-exported back to Europe, complicating the narrative of a simple trade deficit [7] Group 3 - Following China's announcement of anti-dumping duties, Macron called for the EU to open up to China, emphasizing that investment should create jobs, promote innovation, and facilitate technology sharing in Europe [7] - Macron's desire for advanced technology from China is evident, but there are concerns about the current European environment being unprepared for such integration, as seen in Germany's actions against Chinese 5G technology [9] - External pressures, particularly from the U.S., are influencing European policies, with threats of retaliation against perceived discriminatory measures by the EU [9] Group 4 - The geopolitical landscape is challenging for Europe, as it faces pressures from China, the U.S., and Russia simultaneously, raising questions about the effectiveness of current European diplomatic strategies [11] - Macron's call for openness towards China must be matched with tangible actions from Europe to demonstrate sincerity in its approach [11]
对欧加税生效!马克龙通告全球:欧盟必须对华开放
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-21 07:42
Group 1 - China will impose anti-dumping duties on pork and pork products originating from the EU starting December 17, 2025, to protect domestic industries and curb dumping practices [2] - The EU's pork exports to China are projected to account for 45% of its total exports in 2024, directly impacting over 100,000 jobs in related industries [2] - The EU has shown a clear tendency towards trade protectionism this year, previously imposing high tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles under the pretext of "excessive subsidies" [3] Group 2 - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs emphasized that its anti-dumping measures comply with WTO rules and international practices, advocating for a rational view of trade differences with the EU [3][4] - The European agricultural sector, particularly pork, is highly dependent on stable demand from the Chinese market, making it vulnerable to trade tensions [4] - The European Farmers' Union (COPA-COGECA) plays a crucial role in advocating for policy adjustments in EU-China trade, focusing on market openness and industry collaboration [4] Group 3 - France is taking a leading role in coordinating EU agricultural and trade policies, with strict regulations requiring unanimous agreement from member states for new trade policies towards China [5] - The EU's trade strategy relies heavily on member state collaboration, which complicates the adjustment of trade policies towards China due to varying national interests [5] - The EU's industries face challenges in scale and profit margins if they detach from the Chinese market, highlighting the need for a balanced approach between trade protection and market openness [5]
中方敲山震虎,荷兰尝到没收中企股份恶果,欧洲:理当对中国开放
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 03:47
Group 1 - China has imposed anti-dumping duties on EU pork and pork products, ranging from 4.9% to 19.8%, for five years, signaling a significant impact on the Netherlands, the highest per capita pork exporter in the EU [1] - The anti-dumping measures are based on thorough investigations by China, indicating a legitimate basis for the actions rather than arbitrary decisions [1] - The current EU is under pressure and is unlikely to confront China directly, as the anti-dumping measures serve as a warning signal [1] Group 2 - Europe faces three major pressures: deteriorating security due to the Ukraine conflict, technological lag behind the US and China, and competition from Chinese electric vehicles impacting traditional industries like automotive [3][4] - The EU is compelled to cooperate with China, as the pressure from China is primarily market competition rather than political or military threats, and China is open to dialogue [4] - French President Macron has emphasized the need to rebalance EU-China relations, advocating for market openness while ensuring that Chinese investments contribute to job creation and innovation [6]
欧洲刚宣布稀土喜讯,冯德莱恩转身对中国发难,中国早已留好后手,反制已到位
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 16:44
Group 1 - The EU has become increasingly reliant on China for rare earth materials, with a dependency rate of 98%, which directly impacts key industries such as renewable energy, military, and aerospace [4] - In September 2025, China exported 2,582 tons of rare earth magnets to the EU, marking a 21% month-on-month increase and reaching a recent high [1] - The EU is planning to impose a 50% tariff on Chinese steel and has initiated 20 anti-dumping investigations, indicating a shift towards protectionist measures against Chinese imports [1] Group 2 - The EU's recent sanctions against 12 Chinese companies, accused of helping Russia evade sanctions, have raised concerns among European businesses about the potential disruption of supply chains [1][9] - China's recent export controls on rare earth materials include a compliance review system, which could impact global supply chains and create a "valve" controlled by China [7] - The EU's Critical Raw Materials Act aims to reduce reliance on single third-country suppliers to below 65% by 2030, but challenges remain due to slow progress in domestic rare earth projects [6] Group 3 - European companies are facing production disruptions due to China's tightened rare earth export controls, with some firms experiencing a 40% drop in imports and a 15% increase in production costs [9] - The political tensions between the EU and China are creating a complex environment for businesses, as companies like those in Bavaria are successfully navigating through established "green channels" for importing rare earth materials [10] - The EU's internal contradictions regarding its approach to China are evident, as it seeks to balance geopolitical alignment with the U.S. while also recognizing the necessity of maintaining stable supply chains from China [6]
欧盟连退3步后,中国终于给了稀土许可证,轮到日本被卡脖子,没想到中国还有后手
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 06:47
欧盟委员会贸易和经济安全委员谢夫乔维奇在12月15日确认了这一消息,他坦言这种有效期为一年的许可证将极大缓解欧洲企业的审批瓶颈问题。 对德国 汽车制造商、清洁技术公司和国防承包商而言,这无疑是个及时雨。 欧盟的喜悦只持续了不到24小时,12月16日,中国商务部发布公告,决定自12月17日起对原产于欧盟的进口猪肉及猪副产品征收反倾销税。 这一松一紧的 两记重拳,向世界展示了中国在贸易博弈中精准而老练的策略。 稀土这场博弈始于今年4月,当时中国正式对部分稀土物项实施出口管制。 中国方面明确表示,这是基于国家安全和履行国际防扩散义务的正常做法,并非 针对任何特定国家。 在最初的几个月里,欧洲企业经历了艰难的适应过程。他们需要提交包括供应链照片和最终用途说明在内的详细资料,而这些资料即使是国家监管机构通常 也不会要求提供。 欧盟企业提交了约2000份申请,但获批率一度只有约50%,严重威胁到德国汽车制造商和其他关键行业的正常运行。 此次出口许可的范围甚至罕见地扩大到了欧洲的国防承包商。中国实施稀土管制的一个重要原则就是维护国家安全,限制军民两用物项的出口。愿意向欧洲 军工企业部分放开,这体现了中方在互信基础上与欧盟探 ...
调查结束,中方通告全球,对欧盟猪肉加征关税,马克龙威胁也没用
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 02:38
«——【·前言·】——» 调查结束,中方对欧盟猪肉加征关税,马克龙威胁也没用。那么,中方此时对欧盟猪肉出手,背后有着 怎样的考量?马克龙"关税威胁"为何最终会沦为空谈? «——【·中方制裁落地·】——» 消息刚一传出,欧盟方面的反应就跟按了快进键似的。尤其是法国总统马克龙,此前就借着经贸磋商的 由头放话,声称要是中国"不解决中欧贸易失衡问题",欧盟就要"被迫采取强硬反制",言语里的威胁意 味藏都藏不住。 12月16日这天,中国商务部直接抛出了一则炸场通告,瞬间让中欧贸易圈的神经紧绷起来。这份编号为 2025年第80号的公告白纸黑字写得明白,针对原产于欧盟的相关猪肉及猪副产品,反倾销调查已经完成 终裁,从12月17日开始就要依法征收反倾销税,而且这一措施一执行就是五年。 可这会儿中方终裁公告一落地,才发现这些警告压根没掀起半点波澜,马克龙的强硬表态彻底成了空谷 回音。 有欧洲媒体当天就捕捉到一个细节,马克龙的办公室在公告发布三小时后才勉强回应,措辞里没了之前 的硬气,只含糊地说"对这一结果表示遗憾"。 明眼人都看得出来,这哪里是遗憾,分明是底气不足的表现。毕竟中方这次的动作,从头到尾都踩着规 则的红线走,欧盟就 ...