近日，由北京大学经济学院和北京大学中国保险与社会保障研究中心（CCISSR）主办的"北大赛瑟 （CCISSR）论坛·2025（第二十二届）"在京召开。本届论坛主题为"展望'十五五'——战略机遇和风险 挑战"，探讨保险业在"十五五"期间如何更好地服务国家战略、应对不确定性挑战中的责任与担当。 "要紧紧围绕全会提出的'十五五'时期经济社会发展目标任务，持续提升保险与经济发展的适配 性。"梁涛提出了三大领域、十个方面。一是高效服务现代化产业体系建设和新质生产力发展。保险业 要聚焦智能化、绿色化、融合化方向，为传统产业优化提升、新兴产业和未来产业培育壮大提供更多保 险产品。具体而言，要大力发展科技相关保险，运用保险资金服务新质生产力，大力发展绿色保险，以 及大力发展数据资产和网络安全的保险。 在防灾减灾救灾方面，保险业充分发挥经济减震器和社会稳定器功能。面对重大灾害和突发事件， 行业快速响应、及时理赔，为灾后重建和社会稳定提供了有力支撑。 "'十五五'时期我国仍处于机遇与风险并存的阶段。大国演进、科技进步、人口发展与风险演化四 大规律交织，既给当代社会带来重大机遇，也带来了不确定性剧增之下风险管理这一紧迫的议题。"北 ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is expected to focus on high-quality development and enhance its adaptability to the economy, with specific emphasis on three major areas and ten types of business [2][4]. Group 1: Key Areas of Development - The first area is to efficiently serve the construction of a modern industrial system and the development of new productivity, emphasizing the growth of technology-related insurance, green insurance, and data asset and cybersecurity insurance [3]. - The second area involves robust support for constructing a new development pattern, particularly through the development of domestic credit insurance and international transportation and shipping insurance [4]. - The third area is to effectively meet financial needs in the livelihood sector, which includes the development of pension and health insurance, improving accessibility and standards of inclusive insurance services, and significantly advancing agricultural and disaster insurance [4]. Group 2: Digital Transformation and AI Integration - The insurance industry is entering the AI era, necessitating a comprehensive implementation of a digital transformation strategy to enhance operational efficiency and risk management [5][7]. - AI technology is expected to significantly improve risk pricing, underwriting, claims management, fraud detection, and customer service, leading to a collaborative enhancement of operational efficiency and service optimization [5][6]. - By 2025, AI applications in the insurance sector are anticipated to reach a critical turning point, with a growing number of companies adopting large model technologies [5]. Group 3: Industry Collaboration and Risk Management - The insurance industry must combat internal competition and promote collaboration to achieve more stable and high-quality development, which is essential for meeting national strategies and safeguarding livelihoods [8][9]. - Future collaboration directions include strengthening internal industry cooperation, enhancing customer collaboration for risk reduction, integrating resources for cross-industry collaboration, and building safety nets through cooperation with public sectors [9][10][11]. - By fostering collaboration, the insurance industry can improve its overall risk-bearing capacity and better serve national strategies, the real economy, and livelihood security [11].

Regulatory Dynamics - Five departments are promoting the implementation of a long-term care insurance system, supporting the inclusion of qualified medical and nursing institutions as designated service providers [6] - As of the end of September, the cumulative balance of three social insurance funds reached 9.85 trillion yuan, with total income of 6.69 trillion yuan and total expenditure of 6.04 trillion yuan for the first nine months [7] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau announced that the fourth set of life tables will be implemented starting January 1, 2026, which includes various tables for different insurance products [9] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau supports domestic insurance companies in issuing "sidecar" insurance-linked securities in the Hong Kong market [10] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau expects insurance premium income to reach 6 trillion yuan this year [24] Company Dynamics - Ping An Life increased its stake in China Merchants Bank H-shares to 18.02% [30] - China Life plans to invest 2 billion yuan in a private equity investment plan focusing on semiconductors, digital energy, and smart electric vehicles [31] - China Life reported a strong growth of 41.8% in new business value for the first three quarters [32] - China Ping An's net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 45.4% year-on-year in the third quarter [33] - China Reinsurance achieved a net profit of 51.97 billion yuan, a significant increase of 131.49% year-on-year [39] - AIA Group's new business value rose by 25% to 1.476 billion USD in the third quarter [40] Industry Dynamics - The five major insurance companies in A-shares collectively earned over 426 billion yuan in net profit for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 33.5% [53][54] - The first report on reinsurance business in China showed that the ceded business exceeded 200 billion yuan, covering 14 countries and regions [55] - The insurance industry is expected to see a gradual stabilization or decrease in premium rates for new energy vehicle insurance in the short to medium term [26] - The insurance sector is exploring a comprehensive grading system for insurance models to reduce costs across the entire lifecycle of vehicles [26] - The comprehensive expense ratio of the property insurance industry reached a 20-year low, while the comprehensive cost ratio hit a 10-year low in the first nine months of this year [27]

Group 1: Insurance Sector Development - The 2025 Financial Street Forum highlighted the direction for the insurance sector during the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on optimizing trade financing and export credit insurance to enhance cross-border services and promote domestic and international dual circulation [1] - The government has increased support for export credit insurance as part of policies to stabilize foreign trade, emphasizing its role in mitigating risks for exporters and contractors [3] - Export credit insurance is recognized as a tool for promoting foreign trade, covering political risks and commercial risks, ultimately safeguarding the interests of domestic exporters and overseas investors [3] Group 2: Financial Services for Livelihoods - The insurance sector is urged to meet financial needs in education, health, and other livelihood areas, with a focus on developing pension and health insurance products to address the growing demand due to aging populations [4] - There is a shift in pension and health insurance from optional to essential, prompting insurers to innovate products and services that cater to these needs [4] - Insurers are encouraged to integrate health management with insurance offerings, creating a comprehensive health ecosystem to better serve the aging population [4] Group 3: Disaster Risk Management - The insurance industry's role as a stabilizer in response to natural disasters has become increasingly important, with significant losses reported from recent weather events [5] - Policies are being developed to enhance the catastrophe insurance system, aiming to create a robust risk management framework for natural disasters [5] - Collaboration among government, market, and society is essential to establish an effective disaster risk management system that can improve societal resilience to climate uncertainties [5]

Group 1 - The National Financial Regulatory Administration plans to expand the pilot scope for long-term investment of insurance funds, with an additional 60 billion yuan to be approved to inject more incremental funds into the market [2] - In the first four months of this year, the banking and insurance sectors provided approximately 17 trillion yuan in new financing to the real economy through various means such as loans and bonds [3] - The insurance industry has paid out about 1 trillion yuan in claims from January to April, with over 10 trillion yuan accumulated in long-term preparation funds for pension and health insurance [3] Group 2 - The regulatory authority will further adjust and optimize regulatory rules, including a 10% reduction in the risk factor for insurance companies' stock investments to support a stable and active capital market [4] - Insurance capital is increasingly focused on high-dividend assets, aligning with the demand for long-term stable returns, suggesting a potential increase in the proportion of holdings in such assets [5] - As of the end of the first quarter, insurance capital appeared among the top ten shareholders in over 700 stocks, with a significant presence in banking, transportation, real estate, telecommunications, and public utilities sectors [4]

Group 1 - The head of the Financial Regulatory Bureau, Li Yunzhe, announced that the short-term export credit insurance underwriting amount increased by 15.3% year-on-year in the first four months, providing a strong foundation for stabilizing foreign trade [1] - In the first four months of this year, the insurance industry paid out approximately 1 trillion yuan in claims [1] - The number of new energy vehicles insured by insurance companies has exceeded 10 million [1] Group 2 - The long-term reserve for pension and health insurance accumulated by insurance companies has surpassed 10 trillion yuan [1]