Core Viewpoint - Swire Properties is continuing to divest its investments in Miami, with the recent sale of a development site in the Brickell City Centre for $45 million, marking the third asset divested since last year [2][6]. Group 1: Asset Divestment - The sale of the Brickell City Centre site is part of a broader strategy to liquidate non-core assets, which has positively impacted Swire Properties' financial performance [2][6]. - In the first half of the year, Swire Properties reported a 15% increase in underlying profit to HKD 4.42 billion, primarily due to the sale of various assets within the Brickell City Centre [2][12]. - The company has sold 75% of its stake in the Brickell City Centre shopping mall for approximately $549 million and completed the sale of a super-tall office site for about $210 million [6]. Group 2: Historical Context - Swire Properties' involvement in Miami dates back to the 1970s, with significant developments including the Brickell City Centre, which was launched in 2012 with a total investment of $1.05 billion [4][5]. - The Brickell City Centre project was designed as a landmark development in downtown Miami, covering a total area of 5.4 million square feet and is recognized as one of the largest sustainable development projects in the U.S. [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Despite the asset sales, Swire Properties reported a loss attributable to shareholders of HKD 1.202 billion for the first half of the year, marking the first mid-year loss in 15 years [12]. - The company’s revenue for the first half of the year reached HKD 8.723 billion, a 20% increase year-on-year, although the underlying profit decreased by 4% [11][12]. - Rental income from retail properties in mainland China increased by 1% to HKD 2.622 billion, while overall rental income from retail properties was HKD 3.652 billion, showing a slight decline compared to the previous year [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Swire Properties Limited reported a revenue of HKD 8.72 billion for the first half of the year, with a basic profit increase of 15% to HKD 4.42 billion, but a 4% decrease in recurring basic profit attributable to shareholders, primarily due to declining rental income from office buildings in Hong Kong [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first half of the year was HKD 8.72 billion, with a basic profit increase of 15% to HKD 4.42 billion [2] - Recurring basic profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4%, from HKD 3.57 billion in the first half of 2024 to HKD 3.42 billion in the first half of 2025 [2] - Rental income from retail properties in mainland China remained stable at HKD 30.73 billion, unchanged from the previous year [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Swire Properties has invested 67% of its HKD 100 billion investment plan, with 92% of the HKD 50 billion allocated to the mainland market already implemented [6] - The company is focused on expanding its core markets in Hong Kong, mainland China, and Southeast Asia [6] - The company is actively seeking opportunities for retail-led mixed-use development projects in first-tier and emerging first-tier cities in mainland China [6] Group 3: Retail Performance - Retail rental income in mainland China totaled HKD 22.72 billion, a 2% increase compared to the previous year [3] - Specific retail locations showed varied performance, with Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li rental income up 5%, while Shanghai Xinyang Taikoo Li saw a 10% decline [3][4] - Overall, the company's retail sales in mainland China increased by 1% compared to the previous year, outperforming the market and up 70% from the same period in 2019 [3] Group 4: Hong Kong Market - In Hong Kong, retail rental income slightly decreased by 2% to HKD 12.63 billion, despite some properties achieving 100% occupancy [4] - The overall retail sales in Hong Kong declined by approximately 3.3%, although some properties experienced growth [4] - The rental income from office properties in Hong Kong fell by 5% to HKD 24.55 billion, with an overall occupancy rate of 88% [5] Group 5: Future Developments - Upon completion of ongoing projects, the total investment property area in mainland China is expected to grow from 10.44 million square feet to 18.92 million square feet by 2027 [7] - The company plans to continue investing in the Hong Kong residential market, with two residential projects expected to be launched for sale within the year [7] - Swire Properties has sold stakes in its Miami commercial projects, generating funds for further expansion plans [7]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Swire Properties in 1H25 met market expectations, with a revenue increase of 20% year-on-year to HKD 8.72 billion, while the recurring net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4% to HKD 3.42 billion, but increased by 15% to HKD 4.42 billion when considering asset disposal gains [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 rose by 20% to HKD 8.72 billion - Recurring net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4% to HKD 3.42 billion - Basic profit attributable to shareholders increased by 15% to HKD 4.42 billion, aligning with market expectations - Interim dividend declared at HKD 0.35 per share, a 3% increase year-on-year, corresponding to a current dividend yield of 1.66% [1] Operational Highlights - Retail sales in mainland shopping centers improved, with a 1% year-on-year increase in 1H25, compared to a decline of 7% in 1H24 - Notable retail sales growth in Shanghai Taikoo Hui (+14%) and Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li (+7%) - Rental income from mainland shopping centers increased by 2% to HKD 2.27 billion in 1H25 - Hong Kong office rental income decreased by 5% to HKD 2.46 billion, with an occupancy rate of 88% [1][2] Asset Disposal and Financial Strategy - The company recorded asset disposal gains of HKD 1 billion in 1H25, primarily from the Miami shopping center and adjacent land, with a total consideration of up to USD 760 million - The net debt ratio remained stable at 15.7% compared to the end of 2024 [2] Investment Plans - The company has a HKD 100 billion investment plan, with HKD 50 billion allocated to the mainland market, of which HKD 46 billion is already earmarked - Upcoming projects include the phased opening of Guangzhou Julong Bay Taikoo Li by the end of 2025, the opening of Sanya Taikoo Li in 2026, and the completion of Xi'an Taikoo Li in 2027 [2] Shareholder Returns and Financial Safety - The company reiterated its guidance for a mid-single-digit annual growth in dividends, supported by asset disposals and residential sales - The company has confirmed or planned asset disposals for the second half of the year, including the Miami site and the sale of the 43rd floor of the Eastern Island Center [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Earnings forecasts remain largely unchanged, with expected recurring net profit for 2025 and 2026 projected to decrease by 5% and increase by 17% to HKD 6.17 billion and HKD 7.20 billion, respectively [2] Rating and Target Price - The company maintains an outperform rating with a target price of HKD 23.8 per share, implying a 30% target NAV discount and a 4.8% target dividend yield for 2025, indicating a 13% upside potential [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Swire Properties reported a strong performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching HKD 87.23 billion, a 20% year-on-year increase, and a 15% rise in shareholder profit to HKD 44.2 billion [1] - The company plans to focus on enhancing shareholder value through capital flow strategies and reallocating funds to high-growth potential markets, including Hong Kong, mainland China, and Southeast Asia [1] - Retail sales in mainland China showed signs of stabilization, with rental income from investment properties totaling HKD 30.73 billion, remaining stable compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Group 2 - Swire Properties has initiated a HKD 100 billion investment plan, with 67% of the funds already allocated, primarily targeting Hong Kong, mainland China, and Southeast Asia [2] - The company plans to invest HKD 50 billion in the mainland market, with 92% of this already secured, focusing on large-scale development projects such as Lujiazui Swire Source and the expansion of Qiantan Swire [2] - Swire Properties is enhancing its commitment to sustainable development and community building in projects like Beijing Taikoo Li, while also advancing innovative retail projects in Sanya and establishing a retail-focused Taikoo Li project in Xi'an [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong retail performance in its shopping centers, with most locations showing year-on-year growth in retail sales for the first half of 2025, indicating a robust recovery in the retail sector [1][2]. Group 1: Retail Performance - Shanghai Xinyi Taikoo Hui saw a retail sales increase of 13.5% year-on-year, while Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li grew by 6.8% [1]. - Chengdu Taikoo Li and Shanghai Qiantan Taikoo Li reported retail sales growth of 4% and 0.2% respectively, with Beijing Yiti Port remaining flat and Guangzhou Taikoo Hui declining by 2.1%, a significant improvement from a 10.7% decline in 2024 [1]. - The overall trend indicates that major shopping centers are benefiting from the continued entry of luxury brands, which is expected to further enhance retail sales and rental income in the coming years [1]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market Insights - Hong Kong shopping centers maintained full occupancy with a slight improvement in retail sales growth, contrasting with street shops affected by tourist spending [2]. - Taikoo Place, Taikoo City Centre, and Cityplaza reported retail sales growth of 1.4%, 2%, and a decline of 3.3% respectively, with a consistent 100% occupancy rate for six consecutive quarters [2]. - The Hong Kong office market remains under pressure due to historical rent reductions, with new supply continuing to impact rental rates, although new lease rates have not seen significant declines [2]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company’s assets are primarily located in prime shopping districts, providing a strong competitive advantage and operational capabilities that enhance project performance [2]. - Projected net profit growth for the company is estimated at 449%, 54%, and 37% for 2025 to 2027, with dividends expected to grow at 5% annually [2]. - The current estimated net present value per share is HKD 23.92, with a projected dividend yield of 5.6% for 2025, maintaining a "recommended" rating [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the operational performance of Swire Properties for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing strong occupancy rates across its retail properties in mainland China [1] Group 2 - In Beijing, the occupancy rate of Taikoo Li Sanlitun reached 99%, up from 98% in the same period last year [1] - Guangzhou Taikoo Hui maintained a 100% occupancy rate, consistent with the previous year [1] - Beijing Yintai Center achieved a 100% occupancy rate, an increase from 98% year-on-year [1] - Chengdu Taikoo Li reported a 97% occupancy rate, up from 96% year-on-year [1] - Shanghai Xingye Taikoo Hui's occupancy rate was 94%, an increase from 93% year-on-year [1] - Shanghai Qiantan Taikoo Li maintained a stable occupancy rate of 98%, unchanged from the previous year [1] Group 3 - In terms of development, the total floor area of Beijing Taikoo Fang is 375,837 square meters, with completion expected to begin in mid-2026 [1] - Construction is currently underway for the above-ground, curtain wall, and electromechanical installation works [1] - Xi'an Taikoo Li and Sanya Taikoo Li are projected to be completed starting in 2027, with relevant construction also in progress [1]

Core Viewpoint - Swire Properties emphasizes that a talented team is crucial for implementing its HKD 100 billion investment plan, with recent management changes aimed at enhancing its retail business in mainland China [1][9]. Group 1: Management Changes - Swire Properties has announced a series of internal appointments, promoting executives with extensive experience in the mainland market, particularly in the management teams of its Taikoo Li projects in Beijing, Shanghai, and Chengdu [1]. - Yu Guoan, previously in charge of Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li, has been appointed as General Manager of Retail Business (New Projects) for mainland China [1][5]. - Gu Yuzhen, General Manager of Shanghai Qiantan Taikoo Li, has been appointed as General Manager of Retail Business (Shanghai Pudong) [1][5]. - Wu Yushan, General Manager of Chengdu Taikoo Li, has been promoted to General Manager of Retail Business for mainland China, while continuing to lead Chengdu Taikoo Li [1][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The recent management changes are closely linked to Swire Properties' HKD 100 billion investment plan, with approximately HKD 50 billion allocated to the mainland market [9]. - The company aims to double its total floor area in mainland China by 2032, reflecting its long-term commitment to the market [9]. - Retail business is a key focus area for Swire Properties, with several new or expanded retail projects planned [9]. Group 3: Retail Performance - In 2024, retail business accounted for 51.2% of Swire Properties' total revenue, marking a 2.5 percentage point increase from 2023 [9]. - Rental income from retail properties in mainland China rose by 7% to HKD 4.489 billion, with an average foot traffic increase of about 5% [10]. - The rental income for Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li increased by 12%, reaching a historical high since its opening, while Shanghai Qiantan Taikoo Li saw a 7% growth [10]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the mainland retail market, anticipating a steady growth in retail sales driven by domestic demand and ongoing renovations of its shopping centers [10]. - The mainland is expected to become one of the largest luxury goods markets globally, supported by a continuous increase in luxury sales [10].

Group 1: Company Performance - The company reported Q1 retail sales growth in its mainland shopping centers, with Shanghai Xinya Taikoo Hui, Beijing Sanlitun Taikoo Li, and Shanghai Qiantan Taikoo Li showing increases of 10.1%, 6%, and 1.5% year-on-year respectively [1] - Retail sales in Chengdu Taikoo Li, Guangzhou Taikoo Hui, and Beijing Yintai Center declined by 2.9%, 2.5%, and 0.4% year-on-year, but the decline was significantly narrower compared to 2024 [1] - The improvement in retail sales is attributed to the introduction of more luxury brands following renovations completed at the beginning of 2025, particularly benefiting Shanghai Xinya Taikoo Hui [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Hong Kong shopping centers maintained full occupancy with a slight improvement in retail sales growth, with Taikoo City Centre, Taikoo Place, and Citygate Outlets showing year-on-year growth rates of +2.9%, -5%, and -5.8% respectively [2] - The overall rental rate for Hong Kong office buildings remained under pressure due to market oversupply, with a Q1 occupancy rate of 89%, consistent with the end of 2024 [2] - In mainland office projects, Guangzhou Taikoo Hui and Beijing Yintai Center saw occupancy rates increase by 1 percentage point to 91% and 84% respectively, while Shanghai Xinya Taikoo Hui's rate decreased by 2 percentage points to 94% [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company is characterized as a commercial real estate firm that generates stable cash flow through holding assets with a competitive edge [3] - Q1 performance in mainland shopping centers aligns with expectations, driven by the company's strong leasing and renovation capabilities [3] - Projected net profit growth for the company is 449%, 54%, and 37% for the years 2025 to 2027, with a consistent annual dividend growth of 5% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Swire Properties (1972.HK) with a target price of HKD 21.55 [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 performance met expectations, with improvements in the operation of shopping centers in mainland China. Retail sales in key locations such as Shanghai and Beijing showed positive growth, while declines in other areas were significantly reduced compared to 2024 [2][8]. - The report highlights the strong competitive advantage of Swire Properties due to its prime location shopping centers and robust leasing capabilities, which are expected to drive rental income growth in the coming years [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach HKD 14,428 million in 2024, with a slight decline of 2.1% year-on-year, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 1.3%, 2.6%, and 24.3% in the subsequent years [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to recover from a loss of HKD 766 million in 2024 to HKD 2,676 million in 2025, reflecting a significant growth of 449.3% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -0.13 HKD in 2024 to 0.46 HKD in 2025, indicating a positive turnaround [4]. Market Performance - The report notes that Swire Properties' shopping centers in Hong Kong maintained full occupancy, with slight improvements in retail sales growth compared to the previous year [8]. - The overall rental market for office spaces in Hong Kong remains under pressure due to oversupply, with an occupancy rate of 89% in Q1 [8]. Investment Recommendations - Swire Properties is characterized as a commercial real estate company that generates stable cash flows through holding assets with a competitive moat. The expected growth in net profit and consistent dividend growth of 5% per year supports the investment thesis [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Swire Properties (1972.HK) with a target price of HKD 21.55 [2][8]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 performance met expectations, with improvements in the operation of shopping centers in mainland China. Retail sales in key locations such as Shanghai and Beijing showed positive growth, while declines in other areas were significantly reduced compared to 2024 [2][8]. - The report highlights the strong competitive advantage of Swire Properties due to its prime location shopping centers and robust leasing capabilities, which are expected to drive rental income growth in the coming years [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are HKD 14,428 million, HKD 14,616 million, HKD 14,995 million, and HKD 18,638 million respectively, with growth rates of -2.1%, 1.3%, 2.6%, and 24.3% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be -HKD 766 million in 2024, increasing to HKD 2,676 million in 2025, HKD 4,132 million in 2026, and HKD 5,671 million in 2027, with growth rates of -129.0%, 449.3%, 54.4%, and 37.2% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -HKD 0.13 in 2024, HKD 0.46 in 2025, HKD 0.72 in 2026, and HKD 0.98 in 2027 [4]. Market Performance - The report notes that Swire Properties' shopping centers in Hong Kong maintained full occupancy, with slight improvements in retail sales growth compared to the previous year [8]. - The overall rental market for office spaces in Hong Kong remains under pressure due to oversupply, with an occupancy rate of 89% in Q1 [8]. Investment Recommendation - Swire Properties is characterized as a commercial real estate company that generates stable cash flow through holding assets with a competitive moat. The expected growth in net profit and consistent dividend growth of 5% annually supports the investment thesis [8].