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2025年7月Web3行业月度发展报告 |陀螺研究院
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 11:57
从市场来看,7月的加密领域,无疑表现相当优异。在降息预期、监管开放周期与机构购买狂潮的三重刺激下,加密市场跟随科技股一路上扬,比特币持 续突破新高,一度涨至12.3万美元,本就处于估值洼地的以太坊更是反弹明显,在7月暴涨60%以上,成功拉动沉寂许久的山寨市场实现增长。从行业事 件而言,含稳定币天才法案在内的三大加密法案通过奠定了加密货币在美国的战略基础,确立了依托稳定币实现美元霸权延伸的发展路径,自此,加密市 场正式走向全面主流化、机构化与政治化,加密与传统金融相融合、相接入将是行业发展的重心,无论是月初的美股代币化还是后续愈演愈烈的币股,都 显示了这一趋势。以此而言,宏观政策对加密领域的影响将日益增大,在关税之后,美国货币政策仍将成为决定市场的主线。回到国内,香港稳定币市场 热度高涨,港股市场上演闻声立涨,一则消息即可实现拉盘,过热的市场环境让监管机构表示担忧。 政策方向,从内地来看,产业政策数量发布平稳,本月新增两条区块链政策,一是中证协在团体标准三年规划中重点提及区块链,明确将行业当前重点应 用场景、区块链平台框架基础设施、技术支撑以及区块链+监管等三方面开展标准编制,二是国家版权局针对区块链领域等新兴 ...
【招银研究|资本市场专题】认识代币货基,链上财富管理新版图——财富视角看稳定币系列之一
招商银行研究· 2025-08-01 08:47
Core Viewpoint - Tokenized money market funds (TMFs) represent a digital form of traditional money market funds, leveraging blockchain technology for enhanced traceability, transparency, and potential efficiency improvements. The market for TMFs in Hong Kong is expected to accelerate with the anticipated opening of secondary market trading [3][5][26]. Group 1: Understanding Tokenized Money Market Funds - TMFs are digital representations of traditional money market funds, where each token represents a share in the fund, maintaining similar underlying assets such as bonds and short-term deposits [7][8]. - The current TMFs in Hong Kong are primarily non-listed and only allow subscription and redemption in the primary market, with secondary market trading expected to be permitted within the year [8][10]. - The issuance of TMFs provides a dual distribution model, allowing participation through traditional brokers and digital asset platforms [7][8]. Group 2: Mechanism and Market Landscape - The operational mechanism of TMFs involves key participants such as tokenization service providers, custodians, and qualified distributors, ensuring compliance and security in managing tokenized assets [11][12]. - The TMF market in Hong Kong is rapidly developing, with various funds launched, including those by Bosera and Huaxia, covering multiple currencies [17][18][19]. Group 3: Comparison with Traditional Money Market Funds - The primary differences between TMFs and traditional money market funds include ownership recording methods, transparency levels, management fees, and transaction efficiency [20][21]. - TMFs utilize decentralized record-keeping via blockchain, enhancing transparency and reducing fraud risks compared to centralized systems of traditional funds [22]. - While TMFs currently have similar initial investment thresholds as traditional funds, future secondary market trading may lower these barriers [24][25]. Group 4: Future Prospects and Market Potential - The future of TMFs appears promising, driven by market demand, technological innovation, and regulatory clarity, with significant growth potential anticipated [26][27]. - The successful issuance of TMFs is expected to facilitate the connection between crypto assets and traditional financial assets, serving as a foundation for further tokenization in asset management [26][27]. - The market for TMFs is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting that tokenized products could reach $400 billion by 2030, with TMFs being a key driver [28][32].
香港稳定币牌照申请窗口开启 发钞行有望抢占先机
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-31 21:32
Core Points - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Regulation officially came into effect on August 1, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) releasing guidelines for licensed stablecoin issuers [1][2] - Major banks such as Bank of China (Hong Kong) and Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) are expected to be among the first to apply for stablecoin issuer licenses [1][2] - The initial phase will likely see only a few licenses granted, possibly just 2 to 3, as the HKMA aims to be cautious in its approach [2][3] Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The guidelines set clear application thresholds for issuers, including financial conditions, personnel qualifications, reserve assets, and custody redemption requirements [1][2] - Existing stablecoin issuers must apply for licenses within a three-month transition period, or they will enter a winding-up phase by November 1, 2025 [3] Group 2: Market Participants - Various entities, including state-owned banks, sandbox testing companies, and large internet firms, are eager to apply for stablecoin licenses [4] - The three major note-issuing banks in Hong Kong are crucial players in the stablecoin market, as they are responsible for issuing currency backed by U.S. dollar reserves [2][4] Group 3: Application Scenarios - The application scenarios for stablecoins are critical for license approval, with potential uses including digital asset trading, cross-border payments in global trade, and traditional asset tokenization [4] - Different regions may have varying applications for stablecoins, with Western markets focusing more on financial applications [4] Group 4: Securities Firms' Involvement - 44 financial institutions have upgraded to the first type of securities trading license, with an increase of 3 since the end of June [6] - Securities firms are expected to focus on virtual asset trading, financing, and consulting services related to stablecoins [5][6] Group 5: Future Developments - There is anticipation for the emergence of offshore RMB-backed stablecoins, with recent initiatives like the launch of tokenized funds exploring this possibility [8]
香港稳定币牌照申请窗口开启发钞行有望抢占先机
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-31 18:33
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Stablecoin Regulation" in Hong Kong marks a significant step towards the formalization of stablecoin issuance, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) releasing guidelines for licensed stablecoin issuers [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The guidelines set clear application thresholds for stablecoin issuers, including financial conditions, personnel qualifications, reserve assets, custody and redemption requirements, jurisdiction, and transitional arrangements [1]. - The application window for stablecoin issuer licenses is open until September 30, with expectations that only a few licenses will be granted initially, possibly just 2 to 3 [2][3]. Group 2: Key Players - Major commercial banks in Hong Kong, such as Bank of China (Hong Kong) and Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong), are expected to be the first to apply for stablecoin issuer licenses due to regulatory compliance and business needs [2]. - Other potential applicants include Chinese banks, sandbox testing companies, large state-owned enterprises, and internet companies with payment licenses [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The competition for the first batch of stablecoin licenses is intense, with the application scenarios being a critical consideration for approval, including digital asset trading, cross-border payments in global trade, and traditional asset tokenization [4]. - As of the end of July, 44 financial institutions in Hong Kong have upgraded to the first type of securities trading license, with an increase of 3 since the end of June, indicating a growing interest in virtual asset trading [6]. Group 4: Future Prospects - There is a strong anticipation for the emergence of offshore RMB-backed stablecoins, with recent initiatives like the launch of tokenized funds by Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) exploring this possibility [8].
香港抢占RWA风口:基础设施、生态规模与产业链
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 08:03
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong is focusing on enhancing its digital asset infrastructure and product ecosystem following the release of favorable policies, particularly the "Hong Kong Digital Asset Development Policy Declaration 2.0" which aims to establish the city as a global innovation center for digital assets [1][2] Group 1: Digital Asset Development - The latest policy emphasizes the tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWA) and the development of stablecoins, marking a significant shift from previous virtual asset terminology [2][3] - The global tokenization market is projected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, which is approximately three times the current market value of gold [1] - The transition from virtual to digital assets reflects a broader trend in the financial landscape, driven by Web3 technologies [2] Group 2: Infrastructure and Market Dynamics - The current infrastructure for digital assets in Hong Kong is still in its early stages, with significant gaps that need to be addressed [3] - Traditional financial institutions are keen to enter the Web3 space to improve transaction efficiency and cater to a new generation of clients [2][3] - The demand for distribution channels for RWA products is high, necessitating the creation of a sales network to connect these products with clients [4] Group 3: Technological Solutions - Star Road Technology has launched the FinRWA Platform 1.0 to address infrastructure challenges, providing compliance guidance and technical support for RWA issuance [3][5] - The platform aims to bridge the gap between traditional finance and Web3, enabling the integration of virtual assets with traditional financial products [4][5] Group 4: Market Trends and Product Diversification - The most popular RWA products currently are money market funds, which play a crucial role in liquidity management and risk management in traditional finance [5][6] - The policy encourages the diversification of tokenized products, including traditional financial instruments and various asset classes such as precious metals and renewable energy [5][6] - The trend towards tokenization is seen as irreversible, with significant developments already occurring in sectors like real estate and renewable energy [5][6] Group 5: Economic Impact and Job Creation - The Hong Kong Investment Promotion Agency has attracted over HKD 160 billion in investments, creating approximately 19,000 new jobs, primarily in financial services and technology [7][8] - The Digital Port is identified as a key base for tokenization projects, fostering collaboration among stakeholders in the digital asset industry [8][9] - The Digital Port has become a hub for over 440 fintech companies, enhancing Hong Kong's position in the global digital economy [9]
公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.07.14-2025.07.18):权益风偏回升,债市震荡蓄势-20250721
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-07-21 09:48
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the week of 2025.07.14 - 2025.07.18, bond yields fluctuated narrowly, with interest - rate bonds showing differentiated performance across maturities and credit bond yields declining. The equity market strengthened, and the bond market was affected by various factors such as central bank policies, tariff effects, and changes in risk preferences [3]. - The issuance of two digital currency funds by Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) marks a breakthrough in the application of RMB assets in blockchain finance, and the tokenized currency funds have advantages over traditional ones [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - **Bond Market Review**: Bond yields fluctuated narrowly. The ChinaBond Composite Wealth Index (CBA00201) rose 0.08%, and the ChinaBond Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00203) rose 0.03%. Interest - rate bonds had differentiated performance, with mid - and short - term yields better than long - term ones. Credit bond yields declined, and credit spreads compressed [10]. - **Market Influencing Factors**: The central bank maintained a stable tax - period capital market, with a net open - market injection of 1261.1 billion yuan. The bond market was affected by factors such as stable fundamentals, under - expected incremental policies, and the stock - bond seesaw effect. The long - term US Treasury yields rose due to tariff concerns, and the REITs secondary market was suppressed by the increasing risk preference in the equity market [11][12][13]. - **Outlook and Suggestions**: The bond market's favorable environment is unlikely to reverse in the short term, but caution is advised due to potential volatility. For US Treasuries, short - term investors should wait for adjustment opportunities, and long - term investors should monitor tariff issues. For REITs, investors who have profited should consider taking profits and stay cautious [11][12][13]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) issued the Huaxia US Dollar Digital Currency Fund and the Huaxia RMB Digital Currency Fund. The Huaxia RMB Digital Currency Fund is the world's first tokenized money - market fund denominated in RMB, forming a complete currency - tokenized fund series covering HKD, USD, and RMB [4]. - Tokenized currency funds have advantages over traditional ones in terms of trading time, settlement cycle, and trading channels [15]. 3.2 Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Index Performance Tracking 3.2.1 Pure - Bond Index Tracking - **Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Aims at liquidity management, selects 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict risk control, and significant absolute - return capabilities, and has a performance benchmark of 50% * Short - Term Pure - Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money - Market Fund Index [17]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Invests in medium - and long - term pure - bond funds, selects 5 funds with both return and risk - control capabilities, and adjusts the duration and the ratio of credit - bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to market conditions [20]. 3.2.2 Fixed - Income + Index Tracking - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: Has an equity center of 10%, selects 10 funds with an equity center within 15% in the past three years and recently, and has a performance benchmark of 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [23]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: Has an equity center of 20%, selects 5 funds with an equity center between 15% - 25%, and has a performance benchmark of 20% CSI 800 Index + 80% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [25]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: Has an equity center of 30%, selects 5 funds with an equity center between 25% - 35%, and has a performance benchmark of 30% CSI 800 Index + 70% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index (CBA00303.CS) [27]. 3.2.3 Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index Selects 5 convertible - bond funds from a sample space based on multiple evaluation criteria, including the fund's long - and short - term returns, risk - adjusted returns, and the fund manager's timing and bond - selection abilities [33]. 3.2.4 QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index Tracking Selects 6 QDII bond funds with stable returns and good risk control, whose underlying assets are overseas bonds covering various regions and types [35]. 3.2.5 REITs Fund Preferred Index Tracking Selects 10 REITs funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity, whose underlying assets are mainly high - quality infrastructure projects [37].
【公募基金】权益风偏回升,债市震荡蓄势——公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.07.14-2025.07.18)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-07-21 09:09
Market Overview - The bond market experienced narrow fluctuations last week (July 14-18, 2025), with the China Bond Composite Wealth Index (CBA00201) rising by 0.08% and the China Bond Composite Full Price Index (CBA00203) increasing by 0.03%. Short- to medium-term yields outperformed long-term yields, with 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year government bond yields decreasing by 0.55bp, 1.56bp, 1.44bp, and 0.54bp respectively [12][14] - The central bank's liquidity support stabilized the funding environment during the tax period, leading to a strong equity market and fluctuating bond yields. The central bank injected a net of 12,611 billion yuan into the market, with 17,868 billion yuan in injections and 5,257 billion yuan in withdrawals [14] - The long-end U.S. Treasury yields rose due to concerns over inflation driven by tariff issues, while short-end yields remained stable under the expectation of interest rate cuts [15] Public Fund Market Dynamics - Huaxia Fund Management Company (Hong Kong) launched the world's first RMB-denominated tokenized money market fund, marking a significant advancement for RMB assets in the blockchain financial application sector. This fund series includes USD, HKD, and RMB tokenized funds [17][18] - The new fund series adopts a dual distribution model, allowing investors to transact through traditional financial institutions and licensed virtual asset trading platforms [17][19] Fund Performance Tracking - Short-term bond funds rose by 0.05% last week, with a cumulative return of 4.08% since inception [3] - Medium- to long-term bond funds increased by 0.08%, achieving a cumulative return of 6.64% since inception [4] - Low-volatility fixed income plus funds rose by 0.17%, with a cumulative return of 3.01% since inception [5] - Medium-volatility fixed income plus funds increased by 0.36%, with a cumulative return of 2.71% since inception [6] - High-volatility fixed income plus funds also rose by 0.36%, achieving a cumulative return of 3.99% since inception [7] - Convertible bond funds increased by 0.78%, with a cumulative return of 12.56% since inception [8] - QDII bond funds decreased by 0.18%, with a cumulative return of 7.80% since inception [9] - REITs funds rose by 0.35%, achieving a cumulative return of 37.68% since inception [10]
国内外AI共振,继续推动算力需求提升
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [31]. Core Insights - The report highlights a resonance in AI development both domestically and internationally, driven by the launch of OpenAI's general-purpose AI Agent and advancements in large models [11][12]. - The introduction of the world's first RMB tokenized fund by Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) is noted, which enhances the offshore RMB hub status of Hong Kong and improves transparency and settlement efficiency through blockchain technology [14]. - NVIDIA's H20 chip has received export approval to China, which may alleviate the short-term shortage of inference computing power, while the launch of the RTX Pro GPU is expected to accelerate industrial robot and autonomous driving transformations [15][16]. Summary by Sections AI Development - OpenAI released the ChatGPT Agent, integrating various tools for enhanced human-computer interaction, achieving significant performance in benchmark tasks [11][12]. - The Kimi K2 model, launched by Moonshot AI, is the largest open-source model to date, demonstrating superior capabilities in coding and task execution [12][13]. Financial IT Sector - Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong) launched the first RMB tokenized fund, which allows investors to subscribe or redeem through traditional and digital channels, filling a gap in RMB on-chain income-generating assets [14]. Chip and Computing Power - NVIDIA's H20 chip, while limited in performance compared to its flagship models, is expected to support vertical model inference and may impact local chip manufacturers [15][16]. - The RTX Pro GPU is designed for digital factories and robotics, enhancing sensor simulation capabilities crucial for industrial applications [16]. Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the large model, computing power, and financial IT sectors, including Keda Xunfei, Kingsoft Office, and others [4].
自由现金流指数家族再扩容【国信金工】
量化藏经阁· 2025-07-20 14:35
Market Review - The A-share market saw all major broad-based indices rise last week, with the ChiNext Index, the SME Index, and the Shenzhen Component Index leading with returns of 3.17%, 2.26%, and 2.04% respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and CSI 500 lagged with returns of 0.69%, 1.09%, and 1.20% respectively [6][12] - The total trading volume of major broad-based indices increased last week, with the average daily trading volume also rising over the past month, placing indices within the 75%-90% historical percentile range over the last 36 months [14][15] Fund Performance - Last week, 35 new funds were established with a total issuance scale of 181.85 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week. The issuance included 118.58 billion yuan in equity funds, 0.22 billion yuan in mixed funds, and 63.05 billion yuan in bond funds [4][45] - The median returns for active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds were 2.23%, 1.36%, and 1.14% respectively last week. Year-to-date, alternative funds performed best with a median return of 14.29%, while active equity, flexible allocation, and balanced mixed funds had median returns of 9.49%, 5.79%, and 3.36% respectively [6][33][40] Fund Issuance Dynamics - A total of 26 funds were reported for issuance last week, a decrease from the previous week. The reported products included 3 FOFs and several ETFs focused on innovative pharmaceuticals and the Hong Kong stock market [5][6] - The number of newly established funds last week included 17 passive index funds and 5 equity mixed funds, with issuance scales of 62.55 billion yuan and 46.77 billion yuan respectively [46] ETF Developments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange announced progress in its ETF mutual cooperation with the Brazilian Securities and Futures Exchange, with the successful issuance of a fund tracking the China A50 ETF, enhancing investment access for Brazilian investors to Chinese assets [11] - The China Securities Index Co. will officially launch the CSI A500 Free Cash Flow Index on July 16, 2025, aimed at providing more investment targets by selecting 50 companies with high free cash flow rates from the CSI A500 Index [7] Bond Market - As of last Friday, the central bank's net reverse repurchase injection was 1.3011 trillion yuan, with 425.7 billion yuan maturing, resulting in a net open market injection of 1.7268 trillion yuan. The pledge-style repo rates and SHIBOR rates saw increases of 8.43 basis points and 12.90 basis points respectively [20][21] - The yield spread for different-rated credit bonds has decreased, indicating a general decline in interest rates across various maturities [22][25] Open-End Fund Overview - As of last week, there were 244 ordinary FOF funds, 120 target date funds, and 154 target risk funds in the open-end public fund category. The median performance of target date funds was the best this year, with a cumulative return of 5.19% [38][40]
基金周报:自由现金流指数扩容,全球首只人民币代币化基金推出-20250720
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-20 14:28
- The "China A500 Free Cash Flow Index" will be officially launched on July 16, 2025, by the China Securities Index Company. This index selects 50 listed companies with high free cash flow rates from the China A500 Index sample, aiming to reflect the overall performance of companies with strong cash flow generation capabilities within the A500 Index sample [10] - As of July 18, 2025, there are 20 existing free cash flow indices in the market, including the China Securities Free Cash Flow Index, Free Cash Flow Index, 800 Free Cash Flow Index, 300 Free Cash Flow Index, and FTSE China A-Share Free Cash Flow Focus Index. These indices are tracked by corresponding index products [10][11] - The free cash flow-themed index products have seen continuous expansion in scale and quantity. As of July 18, 2025, the total scale of these products exceeded 100 billion yuan, reaching 121.85 billion yuan, with 28 products in total. Among them, the passive products tracking the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index have the largest scale of 54.8 billion yuan, followed by the FTSE China A-Share Free Cash Flow Focus Index with a scale of 31.7 billion yuan, and the China Securities Free Cash Flow Index with a scale of 21.5 billion yuan [13]